iShares Edge MSCI World Value Factor UCITS (Acc) (IWFV.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1972 - July 2025 (~54 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Edge MSCI World Value Factor UCITS (Acc) (IWFV.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 118 months (from May 1999 to February 2009).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 119 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI WORLD VALUE FACTOR UCITS (ACC) (IWFV.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1972/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 8.36%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI WORLD VALUE FACTOR UCITS (ACC) (IWFV.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1972/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI WORLD VALUE FACTOR UCITS (ACC) (IWFV.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-28.97%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+11.34% +84.91%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1983
23.89%
151 out of 632
-30.79%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+7.70% +77.49%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1983
31.96%
202 out of 632
-19.84%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2003
+11.07% +46.41%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1976
14.03%
87 out of 620
-26.76%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1974
+6.09% +34.53%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1984
28.06%
174 out of 620
-11.43%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+10.53% +38.42%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
9.21%
56 out of 608
-12.59%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+5.46% +31.47%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
20.39%
124 out of 608
-5.15%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2003
+10.38% +32.78%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
6.21%
37 out of 596
-6.24%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2003
+5.69% +27.00%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
15.94%
95 out of 596
-3.60%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2003
+9.88% +31.58%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
3.94%
23 out of 584
-6.22%
Sep 1987 - Aug 1992
+5.48% +25.97%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
14.04%
82 out of 584
+0.25%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2003
+9.03% +29.56%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 572
-4.85%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1978
+4.91% +18.46%
May 1980 - Apr 1986
6.12%
35 out of 572
-0.66%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+8.74% +27.80%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
0.18%
1 out of 560
-2.74%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+4.98% +17.17%
Jun 1980 - May 1987
2.86%
16 out of 560
-1.65%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+8.65% +25.61%
Aug 1979 - Jul 1987
0.55%
3 out of 548
-3.63%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+4.95% +17.09%
Aug 1979 - Jul 1987
2.74%
15 out of 548
-0.72%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+8.77% +26.43%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1983
0.37%
2 out of 536
-2.58%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+5.17% +14.35%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1987
2.99%
16 out of 536
+0.72%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+8.63% +26.65%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 524
-1.08%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+5.57% +13.57%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
1.15%
6 out of 524
+1.05%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+8.60% +25.14%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985
0.00%
0 out of 512
-0.72%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+5.69% +12.45%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985
0.78%
4 out of 512
+2.38%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+8.61% +24.98%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1986
0.00%
0 out of 500
+0.38%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2012
+5.57% +12.86%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1986
0.00%
0 out of 500
+3.12%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+8.68% +24.11%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 488
+1.32%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+5.72% +12.37%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 488
+3.86%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+8.52% +21.42%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1985
0.00%
0 out of 476
+1.70%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+5.73% +10.39%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 476
+3.07%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2009
+8.37% +21.66%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1989
0.00%
0 out of 464
+1.17%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2009
+5.57% +11.21%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1989
0.00%
0 out of 464
+4.30%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2009
+7.85% +19.34%
Dec 1973 - Nov 1989
0.00%
0 out of 452
+1.52%
Apr 1987 - Mar 2003
+5.36% +10.33%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 452
+4.76%
Mar 1992 - Feb 2009
+7.61% +18.59%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1991
0.00%
0 out of 440
+2.08%
Apr 1986 - Mar 2003
+4.95% +10.29%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999
0.00%
0 out of 440
+5.20%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2009
+7.49% +19.40%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1989
0.00%
0 out of 428
+2.21%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003
+4.90% +10.28%
Aug 1982 - Jul 2000
0.00%
0 out of 428
+4.47%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
+7.60% +18.53%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1993
0.00%
0 out of 416
+1.96%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
+4.92% +9.41%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2001
0.00%
0 out of 416
+4.61%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2020
+7.78% +17.24%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1994
0.00%
0 out of 404
+2.46%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
+4.97% +9.34%
Jun 1980 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 404
+5.76%
Aug 1987 - Jul 2012
+7.65% +16.42%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 344
+2.86%
Aug 1987 - Jul 2012
+5.20% +8.96%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 344
+6.27%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+8.31% +14.27%
Jan 1972 - Dec 2001
0.00%
0 out of 284
+3.84%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+5.34% +7.20%
Nov 1977 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 284
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