When holding the iShares Edge MSCI World Momentum Factor UCITS (IWFM.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~44 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 122 months (from September 2000 to October 2010).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 123 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Edge MSCI World Momentum Factor UCITS (IWFM.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 13.93%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-30.10%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001 |
+16.11% |
+81.09%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
18.85%
98 out of 520 |
|
-31.01%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001 |
+13.02% |
+74.71%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
22.69%
118 out of 520 |
|
-24.80%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002 |
+15.56% |
+49.77%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
15.16%
77 out of 508 |
|
-25.66%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002 |
+12.52% |
+48.43%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
19.69%
100 out of 508 |
|
-14.94%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+15.19% |
+44.65%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1999 |
11.90%
59 out of 496 |
|
-16.05%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+11.91% |
+42.56%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1999 |
18.15%
90 out of 496 |
|
-9.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+14.93% |
+39.32%
Jul 1995 - Jun 1999 |
8.47%
41 out of 484 |
|
-10.93%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+11.14% |
+37.16%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
14.05%
68 out of 484 |
|
-4.41%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+13.21% |
+38.59%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999 |
4.24%
20 out of 472 |
|
-5.74%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+8.96% |
+35.98%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999 |
7.42%
35 out of 472 |
|
-2.56%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+13.66% |
+33.45%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
1.30%
6 out of 460 |
|
-4.22%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+9.12% |
+31.22%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2000 |
3.48%
16 out of 460 |
|
-0.72%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+13.66% |
+31.10%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1999 |
0.67%
3 out of 448 |
|
-2.80%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+9.59% |
+28.50%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1999 |
4.46%
20 out of 448 |
|
-2.06%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+13.42% |
+31.47%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
3.21%
14 out of 436 |
|
-4.03%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+9.43% |
+29.09%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
4.59%
20 out of 436 |
|
-2.36%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2009 |
+13.92% |
+29.29%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
3.30%
14 out of 424 |
|
-4.23%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2009 |
+10.41% |
+25.97%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
4.95%
21 out of 424 |
|
-0.93%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010 |
+14.39% |
+28.43%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.49%
2 out of 412 |
|
-3.02%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010 |
+10.84% |
+25.38%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
5.58%
23 out of 412 |
|
+0.46%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+14.19% |
+26.85%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 400 |
|
-1.86%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+11.19% |
+22.75%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 |
2.75%
11 out of 400 |
|
+2.06%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2012 |
+14.42% |
+25.70%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 388 |
|
-0.30%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2012 |
+11.35% |
+21.84%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2000 |
0.26%
1 out of 388 |
|
+3.07%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012 |
+14.24% |
+24.00%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 376 |
|
+0.75%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012 |
+11.44% |
+20.13%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 376 |
|
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2014 |
+13.54% |
+21.41%
Dec 1985 - Nov 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 364 |
|
+2.04%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2014 |
+11.22% |
+17.33%
Dec 1985 - Nov 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 364 |
|
+5.05%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+13.10% |
+21.56%
Sep 1985 - Aug 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 352 |
|
+2.81%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+10.43% |
+17.71%
Sep 1985 - Aug 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 352 |
|
+5.92%
May 2000 - Apr 2016 |
+12.88% |
+21.42%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 340 |
|
+3.80%
May 2000 - Apr 2016 |
+10.14% |
+17.01%
Jun 1984 - May 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 340 |
|
+6.98%
May 1999 - Apr 2016 |
+12.51% |
+22.69%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 328 |
|
+4.83%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+9.80% |
+18.20%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 328 |
|
+7.51%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+12.32% |
+22.70%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 316 |
|
+5.31%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+9.55% |
+18.31%
Aug 1982 - Jul 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 316 |
|
+7.55%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+12.18% |
+21.42%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 304 |
|
+5.37%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+9.56% |
+17.17%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 304 |
|
+7.63%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+12.16% |
+19.14%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 292 |
|
+5.47%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+9.62% |
+15.11%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 292 |
|
+8.79%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+12.79% |
+16.34%
Jun 1982 - May 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 232 |
|
+5.99%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+10.16% |
+12.85%
Jun 1982 - May 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 232 |
|
+12.03%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+13.13% |
+14.80%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 172 |
|
+9.31%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
+10.34% |
+12.36%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 172 |
iShares Edge MSCI World Momentum Factor UCITS (IWFM.L) ETF: Historical Returns

