iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor UCITS (IUQF.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1976 - February 2026 (~50 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor UCITS (IUQF.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~50 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 133 months (from September 2000 to September 2011).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 134 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI USA QUALITY FACTOR UCITS (IUQF.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 28 February 2026 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/02)

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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 14.39%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI USA QUALITY FACTOR UCITS (IUQF.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 28 February 2026 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/02)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES EDGE MSCI USA QUALITY FACTOR UCITS (IUQF.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 28 February 2026 (~50 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-33.94%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2003
+12.94% +75.58%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
20.98%
124 out of 591
-34.81%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2003
+9.65% +69.39%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
29.27%
173 out of 591
-24.80%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+14.30% +43.09%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
13.99%
81 out of 579
-25.67%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+9.92% +41.81%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
22.45%
130 out of 579
-15.26%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+14.22% +44.10%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
10.93%
62 out of 567
-17.49%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1979
+9.80% +36.88%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
17.11%
97 out of 567
-11.69%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004
+14.28% +35.79%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
9.01%
50 out of 555
-14.05%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1980
+10.25% +33.32%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
16.40%
91 out of 555
-7.36%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2005
+14.76% +33.91%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
7.18%
39 out of 543
-8.81%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2005
+10.08% +31.38%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
13.44%
73 out of 543
-6.05%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+14.90% +30.52%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2000
7.16%
38 out of 531
-7.65%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+10.18% +28.39%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2000
11.68%
62 out of 531
-3.78%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2007
+14.68% +27.34%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1987
6.94%
36 out of 519
-5.45%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+10.43% +24.60%
Jul 1992 - Jun 1999
8.09%
42 out of 519
-3.77%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+14.96% +27.66%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
4.54%
23 out of 507
-5.71%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+10.56% +25.35%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
7.89%
40 out of 507
-3.34%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2009
+14.55% +26.17%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
3.84%
19 out of 495
-5.19%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2009
+10.58% +22.98%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
6.87%
34 out of 495
-1.90%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010
+14.96% +25.87%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
3.11%
15 out of 483
-3.97%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010
+10.54% +22.88%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
6.83%
33 out of 483
-0.41%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011
+14.56% +24.01%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
0.21%
1 out of 471
-2.71%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011
+10.57% +20.01%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
5.10%
24 out of 471
+1.17%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2012
+14.07% +23.73%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 459
-1.18%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2012
+10.40% +19.75%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2000
2.83%
13 out of 459
+2.32%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
+14.02% +22.64%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 447
+0.02%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
+10.13% +18.81%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 447
+3.42%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2014
+13.47% +20.26%
Dec 1985 - Nov 1999
0.00%
0 out of 435
+1.06%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2014
+9.96% +16.30%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 435
+3.97%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+13.26% +21.33%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
0.00%
0 out of 423
+1.75%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+9.71% +16.80%
Sep 1985 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 423
+5.33%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2015
+12.66% +21.80%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 411
+3.20%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2015
+9.33% +17.21%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 411
+6.05%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+12.42% +22.49%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999
0.00%
0 out of 399
+3.84%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+9.03% +18.00%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999
0.00%
0 out of 399
+6.58%
Jun 2000 - May 2018
+12.08% +22.25%
Aug 1982 - Jul 2000
0.00%
0 out of 387
+4.38%
Jun 2000 - May 2018
+8.79% +18.00%
Aug 1982 - Jul 2000
0.00%
0 out of 387
+6.56%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+11.88% +22.21%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
0.00%
0 out of 375
+4.40%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+8.74% +16.99%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
0.00%
0 out of 375
+6.59%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+11.59% +22.06%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 363
+4.45%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+8.58% +17.14%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 363
+8.13%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+11.74% +17.70%
Jan 1976 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 303
+5.34%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+9.22% +11.59%
Jun 1980 - May 2005
0.00%
0 out of 303
+11.08%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2023
+12.49% +14.37%
May 1980 - Apr 2010
0.00%
0 out of 243
+7.37%
Oct 1976 - Sep 2006
+9.24% +10.69%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2020
0.00%
0 out of 243
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