When holding the iShares £ Corp Bond 0-5yr UCITS GBP (Dist) (IS15.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~15 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 76 months (from June 2016 to September 2022).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 77 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES £ CORP BOND 0-5YR UCITS GBP (DIST) (IS15.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 April 2011 - 30 June 2026 (~15 years)
All Data
(2011/04 - 2026/06)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES £ CORP BOND 0-5YR UCITS GBP (DIST) (IS15.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 2011 - 30 June 2026 (~15 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-11.08%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+3.36% +11.68%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2012
13.95%
24 out of 172
-19.24%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+1.66% +8.78%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2012
30.23%
52 out of 172
-5.13%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022
+2.85% +8.14%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2024
11.88%
19 out of 160
-11.48%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2023
+1.42% +5.46%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
33.75%
54 out of 160
-2.78%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2022
+2.39% +7.26%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025
12.16%
18 out of 148
-7.77%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023
+0.38% +4.59%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2014
40.54%
60 out of 148
-1.16%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2022
+2.14% +5.32%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
8.82%
12 out of 136
-5.57%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2023
+0.14% +3.82%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
44.12%
60 out of 136
-0.82%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
+2.31% +5.06%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2016
4.84%
6 out of 124
-4.31%
Jul 2018 - Jun 2023
+0.23% +3.63%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2016
49.19%
61 out of 124
-0.44%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
+2.28% +4.57%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
0.89%
1 out of 112
-3.90%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2023
-0.05% +2.84%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
50.00%
56 out of 112
+0.36%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2022
+2.27% +3.90%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 100
-3.27%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2023
-1.24% +2.10%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
54.00%
54 out of 100
+0.57%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2022
+2.09% +3.94%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2019
0.00%
0 out of 88
-2.55%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2023
-1.36% +2.17%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2019
59.09%
52 out of 88
+0.90%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2022
+2.06% +3.83%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
0.00%
0 out of 76
-1.94%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2023
-1.33% +2.22%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
67.11%
51 out of 76
+1.30%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
+2.04% +3.44%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
0.00%
0 out of 64
-1.52%
Jul 2013 - Jun 2023
-1.02% +1.65%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
76.56%
49 out of 64
+1.83%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+2.19% +2.74%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 52
-1.00%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026
-0.71% +0.54%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2022
94.23%
49 out of 52
+1.95%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
+2.41% +2.77%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2023
0.00%
0 out of 40
-0.93%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
-0.45% -0.02%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2023
100.00%
40 out of 40
+2.36%
May 2013 - Apr 2026
+2.64% +3.01%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
0.00%
0 out of 28
-0.49%
May 2013 - Apr 2026
-0.20% +0.23%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
82.14%
23 out of 28
+2.74%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+2.94% +3.24%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2025
0.00%
0 out of 16
-0.11%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+0.07% +0.41%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2025
31.25%
5 out of 16
+2.85%
May 2011 - Apr 2026
+2.88% +2.92%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026
0.00%
0 out of 4
-0.00%
May 2011 - Apr 2026
+0.03% +0.04%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026
25.00%
1 out of 4
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