iShares Core MSCI Pacific ex Japan (SXR1.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: June 1989 - March 2026 (~37 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares Core MSCI Pacific ex Japan (SXR1.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~37 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 182 months (from January 1994 to February 2009).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 183 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE MSCI PACIFIC EX JAPAN (SXR1.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 June 1989 - 31 March 2026 (~37 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1989/06 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 7.26%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE MSCI PACIFIC EX JAPAN (SXR1.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 June 1989 - 31 March 2026 (~37 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1989/06 - 2026/03)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE MSCI PACIFIC EX JAPAN (SXR1.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1989 - 31 March 2026 (~37 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-48.60%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998
+10.12% +112.07%
Jan 1993 - Dec 1993
31.55%
136 out of 431
-49.19%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+7.59% +105.51%
Jan 1993 - Dec 1993
37.12%
160 out of 431
-23.77%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+7.26% +63.08%
Jan 1992 - Dec 1993
21.48%
90 out of 419
-25.42%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+5.16% +57.95%
Jan 1992 - Dec 1993
26.49%
111 out of 419
-15.06%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+6.86% +50.42%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
15.72%
64 out of 407
-17.02%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+4.69% +45.16%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
25.80%
105 out of 407
-9.18%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998
+6.43% +29.68%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1994
13.42%
53 out of 395
-10.81%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998
+4.51% +25.37%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1994
21.77%
86 out of 395
-7.67%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2002
+6.89% +23.69%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1997
10.44%
40 out of 383
-9.28%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2002
+5.00% +20.69%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1997
17.23%
66 out of 383
-7.19%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003
+6.63% +23.09%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1997
5.66%
21 out of 371
-8.80%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003
+4.72% +19.54%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1997
7.82%
29 out of 371
-3.75%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2004
+7.04% +20.53%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
7.24%
26 out of 359
-5.52%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2004
+5.28% +17.21%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
11.70%
42 out of 359
-1.21%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002
+6.77% +16.94%
Jul 1989 - Jun 1997
2.59%
9 out of 347
-3.04%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002
+5.12% +14.47%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
14.12%
49 out of 347
-3.51%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2002
+6.80% +16.09%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
4.18%
14 out of 335
-5.41%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2002
+5.09% +13.32%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
7.76%
26 out of 335
-1.34%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2003
+6.52% +13.99%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000
0.62%
2 out of 323
-3.28%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2003
+4.73% +11.93%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
4.33%
14 out of 323
-0.15%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+6.66% +12.38%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2019
0.32%
1 out of 311
-2.09%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+4.76% +10.95%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2019
3.22%
10 out of 311
-1.12%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+6.63% +12.86%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2015
1.00%
3 out of 299
-2.97%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+4.48% +10.91%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2015
3.34%
10 out of 299
+0.85%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+6.82% +11.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 287
-1.03%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+4.74% +9.73%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
1.39%
4 out of 287
+2.02%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2008
+6.87% +11.49%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
0.00%
0 out of 275
-0.03%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2008
+4.75% +9.72%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
0.36%
1 out of 275
+0.02%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2008
+6.88% +11.35%
Oct 1992 - Sep 2007
0.00%
0 out of 263
-2.01%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2008
+4.96% +9.02%
Oct 1992 - Sep 2007
1.90%
5 out of 263
+3.23%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2010
+7.15% +11.20%
Nov 1991 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 251
+1.20%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2009
+5.18% +8.79%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019
0.00%
0 out of 251
+4.28%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2011
+6.85% +12.15%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 239
+2.24%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2011
+4.82% +9.61%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 239
+3.44%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2011
+6.78% +10.34%
Nov 1989 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 227
+1.36%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2011
+4.74% +8.35%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 227
+4.16%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016
+6.79% +9.94%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 215
+2.24%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2012
+4.82% +7.98%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 215
+4.13%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2013
+7.24% +10.28%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
0.00%
0 out of 203
+2.09%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2013
+5.22% +7.85%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
0.00%
0 out of 203
+4.46%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2018
+6.48% +9.24%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2015
0.00%
0 out of 143
+2.65%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2018
+4.55% +7.06%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2015
0.00%
0 out of 143
+4.76%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023
+7.17% +8.62%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 83
+2.65%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023
+5.11% +6.64%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 83
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