iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS (Acc) (EMIM.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1976 - April 2026 (~50 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS (Acc) (EMIM.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~50 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 145 months (from May 1976 to May 1988).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 146 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 April 2026 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/04)

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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.22%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 April 2026 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/04)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 April 2026 (~50 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-58.31%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987
+8.35% +123.28%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1992
32.88%
195 out of 593
-59.96%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987
+3.80% +110.87%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1989
41.82%
248 out of 593
-32.64%
Jan 1986 - Dec 1987
+5.98% +78.17%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
31.15%
181 out of 581
-35.07%
Jan 1986 - Dec 1987
+1.94% +69.63%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
43.55%
253 out of 581
-22.48%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
+6.09% +70.41%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
22.85%
130 out of 569
-25.73%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
+3.13% +63.81%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
39.89%
227 out of 569
-17.81%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998
+5.96% +54.43%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991
20.29%
113 out of 557
-19.64%
Aug 1978 - Jul 1982
+2.71% +46.22%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1994
39.86%
222 out of 557
-11.96%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1999
+6.68% +55.19%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
14.50%
79 out of 545
-16.26%
Aug 1977 - Jul 1982
+3.06% +47.75%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
31.93%
174 out of 545
-6.69%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003
+7.26% +53.03%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
10.88%
58 out of 533
-15.34%
Aug 1976 - Jul 1982
+4.03% +45.80%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
30.96%
165 out of 533
-5.81%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2001
+7.45% +38.76%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1994
9.60%
50 out of 521
-10.35%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1987
+4.18% +32.83%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1994
23.22%
121 out of 521
-5.22%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002
+7.78% +33.05%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
7.66%
39 out of 509
-10.58%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1987
+4.87% +27.52%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
21.81%
111 out of 509
-5.99%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2003
+7.55% +29.57%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
5.43%
27 out of 497
-10.15%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1987
+4.57% +24.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
15.09%
75 out of 497
-1.99%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
+8.00% +24.44%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997
3.09%
15 out of 485
-9.27%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
+5.17% +19.81%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997
14.64%
71 out of 485
-2.30%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
+8.36% +24.51%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993
1.48%
7 out of 473
-9.86%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
+5.77% +18.82%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993
10.99%
52 out of 473
-0.18%
Jun 1976 - May 1988
+8.95% +23.00%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
0.87%
4 out of 461
-8.33%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1987
+6.17% +18.91%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
7.81%
36 out of 461
+2.64%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1988
+9.18% +19.75%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1995
0.00%
0 out of 449
-5.48%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1988
+6.27% +15.09%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2000
5.79%
26 out of 449
+3.38%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+9.49% +18.82%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
0.00%
0 out of 437
-4.32%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1990
+6.75% +13.99%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
3.43%
15 out of 437
+2.14%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2009
+9.90% +18.69%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
0.00%
0 out of 425
-1.97%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1991
+6.97% +14.03%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
1.65%
7 out of 425
+3.31%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+9.89% +16.66%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1994
0.00%
0 out of 413
+0.30%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+6.71% +13.02%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003
0.00%
0 out of 413
+4.14%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+9.69% +16.50%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 401
+1.15%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+6.38% +13.84%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
0.00%
0 out of 401
+4.88%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2011
+9.67% +17.82%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 389
+2.11%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
+6.27% +14.66%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 389
+4.98%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016
+9.74% +17.68%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2006
0.00%
0 out of 377
+2.15%
Sep 1979 - Aug 1998
+6.13% +14.55%
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 377
+4.11%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2014
+9.57% +18.34%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
0.00%
0 out of 365
+1.25%
Sep 1978 - Aug 1998
+6.21% +15.19%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
0.00%
0 out of 365
+5.12%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2018
+8.92% +15.21%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 305
+1.47%
Oct 1976 - Sep 2001
+6.03% +12.02%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 305
+4.71%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024
+10.08% +13.88%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 245
+2.26%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024
+6.70% +10.98%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 245
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