iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS (Acc) (EMIM.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1976 - July 2025 (~50 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS (Acc) (EMIM.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~50 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 145 months (from May 1976 to May 1988).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 146 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 July 2025 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 7.67%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 July 2025 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE MSCI EM IMI UCITS (ACC) (EMIM.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 July 2025 (~50 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-58.31%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987
+7.54% +123.28%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1992
33.39%
195 out of 584
-59.96%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987
+3.27% +110.87%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1989
42.47%
248 out of 584
-32.64%
Jan 1986 - Dec 1987
+5.73% +78.17%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
31.64%
181 out of 572
-35.07%
Jan 1986 - Dec 1987
+1.81% +69.63%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
44.23%
253 out of 572
-22.48%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
+5.85% +70.41%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
23.21%
130 out of 560
-25.73%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
+2.83% +63.81%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
40.54%
227 out of 560
-17.81%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998
+5.74% +54.43%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991
20.62%
113 out of 548
-19.64%
Aug 1978 - Jul 1982
+2.71% +46.22%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1994
40.15%
220 out of 548
-11.96%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1999
+6.68% +55.19%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
14.74%
79 out of 536
-16.26%
Aug 1977 - Jul 1982
+3.35% +47.75%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
32.09%
172 out of 536
-6.69%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003
+7.25% +53.03%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
11.07%
58 out of 524
-15.34%
Aug 1976 - Jul 1982
+4.03% +45.80%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
31.49%
165 out of 524
-5.81%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2001
+7.44% +38.76%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1994
9.77%
50 out of 512
-10.35%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1987
+4.29% +32.83%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1994
23.63%
121 out of 512
-5.22%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002
+7.85% +33.05%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
7.80%
39 out of 500
-10.58%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1987
+5.03% +27.52%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
22.20%
111 out of 500
-5.99%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2003
+7.65% +29.57%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
5.53%
27 out of 488
-10.15%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1987
+4.73% +24.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
15.37%
75 out of 488
-1.99%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
+7.82% +24.44%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997
3.15%
15 out of 476
-9.27%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
+5.07% +19.81%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997
14.92%
71 out of 476
-2.30%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
+8.53% +24.51%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993
1.51%
7 out of 464
-9.86%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
+5.84% +18.82%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993
11.21%
52 out of 464
-0.18%
Jun 1976 - May 1988
+9.01% +23.00%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
0.88%
4 out of 452
-8.33%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1987
+6.31% +18.91%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
7.96%
36 out of 452
+2.64%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1988
+9.30% +19.75%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1995
0.00%
0 out of 440
-5.48%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1988
+6.35% +15.09%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2000
5.91%
26 out of 440
+3.38%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+9.56% +18.82%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
0.00%
0 out of 428
-4.32%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1990
+6.85% +13.99%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
3.50%
15 out of 428
+2.14%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2009
+9.93% +18.69%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
0.00%
0 out of 416
-1.97%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1991
+7.02% +14.03%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
1.68%
7 out of 416
+3.31%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+9.96% +16.66%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1994
0.00%
0 out of 404
+0.30%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+6.73% +13.02%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003
0.00%
0 out of 404
+4.14%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+9.75% +16.50%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 392
+1.15%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+6.39% +13.84%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
0.00%
0 out of 392
+4.88%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2011
+9.79% +17.82%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 380
+2.15%
Jun 2007 - May 2025
+6.28% +14.66%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 380
+4.98%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016
+9.84% +17.68%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2006
0.00%
0 out of 368
+2.15%
Sep 1979 - Aug 1998
+6.15% +14.55%
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 368
+4.11%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2014
+9.61% +18.34%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
0.00%
0 out of 356
+1.25%
Sep 1978 - Aug 1998
+6.25% +15.19%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
0.00%
0 out of 356
+5.12%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2018
+8.99% +15.21%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 296
+1.47%
Oct 1976 - Sep 2001
+6.08% +12.02%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 296
+4.71%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024
+10.15% +13.88%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 236
+2.26%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024
+6.77% +10.98%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 236
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