When holding the iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS (Dist) (SAGG.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 116 months (from August 2016 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS (Dist) (SAGG.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.11%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-16.63%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1978 |
+3.98% |
+45.48%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2008 |
31.12%
197 out of 633 |
|
-28.10%
May 1979 - Apr 1980 |
+0.84% |
+41.17%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2008 |
45.81%
290 out of 633 |
|
-15.34%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978 |
+4.66% |
+33.20%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983 |
23.03%
143 out of 621 |
|
-23.67%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978 |
+0.90% |
+23.97%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983 |
44.28%
275 out of 621 |
|
-11.27%
Dec 1976 - Nov 1979 |
+4.71% |
+26.00%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985 |
14.45%
88 out of 609 |
|
-21.31%
Dec 1976 - Nov 1979 |
+1.46% |
+19.98%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985 |
37.60%
229 out of 609 |
|
-9.87%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980 |
+5.23% |
+25.43%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1984 |
13.74%
82 out of 597 |
|
-20.63%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980 |
+2.20% |
+17.45%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1984 |
32.83%
196 out of 597 |
|
-5.80%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1980 |
+5.23% |
+22.11%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986 |
13.50%
79 out of 585 |
|
-17.04%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1980 |
+2.83% |
+15.12%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986 |
31.28%
183 out of 585 |
|
-2.90%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1978 |
+5.42% |
+20.51%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986 |
12.57%
72 out of 573 |
|
-16.16%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1980 |
+2.99% |
+13.56%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1986 |
25.13%
144 out of 573 |
|
-3.19%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1979 |
+5.69% |
+17.35%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987 |
7.13%
40 out of 561 |
|
-16.01%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
+2.92% |
+10.16%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1987 |
19.61%
110 out of 561 |
|
-3.20%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1980 |
+5.92% |
+15.31%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988 |
3.46%
19 out of 549 |
|
-15.99%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1980 |
+3.00% |
+9.17%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1988 |
19.31%
106 out of 549 |
|
-0.65%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981 |
+6.14% |
+15.03%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1989 |
2.23%
12 out of 537 |
|
-13.43%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981 |
+2.96% |
+8.94%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1989 |
18.06%
97 out of 537 |
|
+1.11%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026 |
+6.26% |
+13.33%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 525 |
|
-11.42%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982 |
+2.89% |
+7.36%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1991 |
19.81%
104 out of 525 |
|
+1.53%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023 |
+6.31% |
+13.29%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 513 |
|
-8.83%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1983 |
+2.97% |
+7.66%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993 |
20.27%
104 out of 513 |
|
+1.55%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+6.38% |
+13.90%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 501 |
|
-7.15%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1984 |
+2.93% |
+7.96%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993 |
20.16%
101 out of 501 |
|
+1.50%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+6.30% |
+13.90%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 489 |
|
-6.20%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1985 |
+3.27% |
+8.08%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993 |
21.27%
104 out of 489 |
|
+1.53%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026 |
+6.13% |
+12.69%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 477 |
|
-4.41%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1986 |
+3.37% |
+6.54%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
20.55%
98 out of 477 |
|
+1.81%
Jun 2010 - May 2025 |
+6.02% |
+11.97%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 465 |
|
-4.89%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1987 |
+3.18% |
+6.65%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1995 |
19.57%
91 out of 465 |
|
+2.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026 |
+5.86% |
+11.47%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 453 |
|
-4.34%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1988 |
+3.09% |
+6.24%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996 |
15.23%
69 out of 453 |
|
+2.07%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
+5.88% |
+10.99%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 441 |
|
-3.67%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1990 |
+3.07% |
+6.07%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1997 |
10.88%
48 out of 441 |
|
+3.65%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026 |
+5.79% |
+10.78%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 429 |
|
-4.28%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1990 |
+3.02% |
+6.05%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1998 |
8.86%
38 out of 429 |
|
+3.81%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2024 |
+5.78% |
+10.20%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 417 |
|
-3.53%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1991 |
+3.00% |
+5.61%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001 |
10.55%
44 out of 417 |
|
+3.70%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025 |
+6.07% |
+10.16%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 405 |
|
-3.43%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1992 |
+3.08% |
+5.81%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2000 |
9.38%
38 out of 405 |
|
+3.54%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026 |
+6.30% |
+8.89%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 345 |
|
-1.68%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1997 |
+3.09% |
+5.12%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005 |
7.54%
26 out of 345 |
|
+3.77%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+6.06% |
+8.92%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 285 |
|
-0.75%
Aug 1972 - Jul 2002 |
+3.12% |
+5.24%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2010 |
3.51%
10 out of 285 |
iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS (Dist) (SAGG.L) ETF: Historical Returns

