iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS (Dist) (SAGG.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: August 1972 - April 2026 (~54 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS (Dist) (SAGG.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 118 months (from July 2016 to April 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE GLOBAL AGGREGATE BOND UCITS (DIST) (SAGG.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1972 - 30 April 2026 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1972/08 - 2026/04)

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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.98%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE GLOBAL AGGREGATE BOND UCITS (DIST) (SAGG.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1972 - 30 April 2026 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1972/08 - 2026/04)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE GLOBAL AGGREGATE BOND UCITS (DIST) (SAGG.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1972 - 30 April 2026 (~54 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-16.63%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1978
+3.95% +45.48%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2008
31.23%
198 out of 634
-28.10%
May 1979 - Apr 1980
+0.83% +41.17%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2008
45.90%
291 out of 634
-15.34%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978
+4.66% +33.20%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
22.99%
143 out of 622
-23.67%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978
+0.89% +23.97%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
44.37%
276 out of 622
-11.27%
Dec 1976 - Nov 1979
+4.68% +26.00%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
14.59%
89 out of 610
-21.31%
Dec 1976 - Nov 1979
+1.40% +19.98%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
37.70%
230 out of 610
-9.87%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+5.21% +25.43%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1984
13.88%
83 out of 598
-20.63%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+2.19% +17.45%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1984
32.94%
197 out of 598
-5.80%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1980
+5.22% +22.11%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986
13.65%
80 out of 586
-17.04%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1980
+2.79% +15.12%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986
31.40%
184 out of 586
-2.90%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1978
+5.41% +20.51%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
12.72%
73 out of 574
-16.16%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1980
+2.98% +13.56%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1986
25.26%
145 out of 574
-3.19%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1979
+5.66% +17.35%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987
7.30%
41 out of 562
-16.01%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
+2.90% +10.16%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1987
19.75%
111 out of 562
-3.20%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1980
+5.92% +15.31%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
3.45%
19 out of 550
-15.99%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1980
+3.00% +9.17%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1988
19.45%
107 out of 550
-0.65%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981
+6.14% +15.03%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1989
2.23%
12 out of 538
-13.43%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981
+2.96% +8.94%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1989
18.22%
98 out of 538
+0.98%
May 2016 - Apr 2026
+6.25% +13.33%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1991
0.00%
0 out of 526
-11.42%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982
+2.88% +7.36%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1991
19.96%
105 out of 526
+1.53%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+6.31% +13.29%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1991
0.00%
0 out of 514
-8.83%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1983
+2.97% +7.66%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993
20.43%
105 out of 514
+1.55%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
+6.37% +13.90%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 502
-7.15%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1984
+2.91% +7.96%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
20.32%
102 out of 502
+1.46%
May 2013 - Apr 2026
+6.28% +13.90%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993
0.00%
0 out of 490
-6.20%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1985
+3.27% +8.08%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993
21.43%
105 out of 490
+1.53%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+6.12% +12.69%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
0.00%
0 out of 478
-4.41%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1986
+3.37% +6.54%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
20.71%
99 out of 478
+1.81%
Jun 2010 - May 2025
+6.02% +11.97%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1995
0.00%
0 out of 466
-4.89%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1987
+3.18% +6.65%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1995
19.74%
92 out of 466
+1.98%
May 2010 - Apr 2026
+5.86% +11.47%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
0.00%
0 out of 454
-4.34%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1988
+3.08% +6.24%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
15.42%
70 out of 454
+2.07%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
+5.88% +10.99%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1997
0.00%
0 out of 442
-3.67%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1990
+3.07% +6.07%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1997
11.09%
49 out of 442
+3.65%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
+5.78% +10.78%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 430
-4.28%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1990
+3.02% +6.05%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1998
8.84%
38 out of 430
+3.81%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2024
+5.77% +10.20%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
0.00%
0 out of 418
-3.53%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1991
+2.99% +5.61%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001
10.53%
44 out of 418
+3.70%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025
+6.06% +10.16%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 406
-3.43%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1992
+3.07% +5.81%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2000
9.36%
38 out of 406
+3.54%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026
+6.29% +8.89%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 346
-1.68%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1997
+3.09% +5.12%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005
7.51%
26 out of 346
+3.72%
May 1996 - Apr 2026
+6.06% +8.92%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2010
0.00%
0 out of 286
-0.75%
Aug 1972 - Jul 2002
+3.11% +5.24%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2010
3.50%
10 out of 286
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