When holding the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~21 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 215 months (from October 2007 to August 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-64.62%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+4.83% |
+158.55%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2007 |
41.77%
99 out of 237 |
|
-65.89%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+2.44% |
+149.54%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2007 |
45.15%
107 out of 237 |
|
-29.89%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+0.96% |
+97.94%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2007 |
49.33%
111 out of 225 |
|
-34.47%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
-1.45% |
+93.11%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2007 |
54.22%
122 out of 225 |
|
-22.07%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+2.47% |
+47.53%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2007 |
38.97%
83 out of 213 |
|
-26.25%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+0.14% |
+42.79%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2007 |
47.89%
102 out of 213 |
|
-14.49%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2011 |
+2.33% |
+23.62%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2009 |
39.30%
79 out of 201 |
|
-16.28%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2022 |
+0.74% |
+21.06%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2009 |
47.76%
96 out of 201 |
|
-12.55%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+2.84% |
+20.68%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2010 |
36.51%
69 out of 189 |
|
-15.79%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+0.84% |
+18.40%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2010 |
44.97%
85 out of 189 |
|
-11.56%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 |
+2.77% |
+18.25%
Jun 2005 - May 2011 |
35.03%
62 out of 177 |
|
-14.72%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 |
+0.61% |
+15.34%
Jun 2005 - May 2011 |
46.89%
83 out of 177 |
|
-6.22%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2014 |
+2.66% |
+13.35%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2012 |
26.67%
44 out of 165 |
|
-9.00%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+0.90% |
+10.58%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2012 |
42.42%
70 out of 165 |
|
-5.76%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015 |
+3.01% |
+12.89%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2013 |
25.49%
39 out of 153 |
|
-8.22%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+1.29% |
+10.24%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2013 |
40.52%
62 out of 153 |
|
-5.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2016 |
+2.43% |
+11.15%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
22.70%
32 out of 141 |
|
-8.07%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+0.09% |
+9.18%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
46.81%
66 out of 141 |
|
-3.25%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+2.34% |
+12.98%
May 2005 - Apr 2015 |
22.48%
29 out of 129 |
|
-5.65%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+0.58% |
+10.76%
May 2005 - Apr 2015 |
41.86%
54 out of 129 |
|
-3.24%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+2.19% |
+8.35%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2016 |
19.66%
23 out of 117 |
|
-5.76%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+0.13% |
+6.46%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2016 |
49.57%
58 out of 117 |
|
-3.95%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+1.70% |
+9.84%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2017 |
21.90%
23 out of 105 |
|
-6.38%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
-0.41% |
+7.90%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2017 |
51.43%
54 out of 105 |
|
-2.97%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2022 |
+2.37% |
+10.89%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2018 |
26.88%
25 out of 93 |
|
-5.32%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2022 |
+0.13% |
+8.69%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2018 |
48.39%
45 out of 93 |
|
-1.91%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2021 |
+1.30% |
+8.85%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2019 |
34.57%
28 out of 81 |
|
-4.05%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2023 |
-1.09% |
+6.73%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2019 |
56.79%
46 out of 81 |
|
-5.88%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+1.64% |
+8.22%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2019 |
26.09%
18 out of 69 |
|
-8.07%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
-0.87% |
+6.18%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2020 |
60.87%
42 out of 69 |
|
-4.19%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+2.34% |
+8.84%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2021 |
28.07%
16 out of 57 |
|
-6.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
-0.23% |
+6.72%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2021 |
50.88%
29 out of 57 |
|
-2.58%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+1.89% |
+6.73%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2022 |
24.44%
11 out of 45 |
|
-4.91%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
-0.43% |
+4.32%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2022 |
53.33%
24 out of 45 |
|
+0.94%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2025 |
+2.65% |
+5.45%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 33 |
|
-1.52%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2025 |
+0.12% |
+2.85%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2023 |
45.45%
15 out of 33 |
|
+3.25%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2024 |
+4.19% |
+4.97%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 21 |
|
+0.67%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2024 |
+1.66% |
+2.46%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 21 |
|
+4.80%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+5.40% |
+5.74%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 9 |
|
+2.19%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+2.78% |
+3.11%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 9 |
iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF: Historical Returns
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
