When holding the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~21 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 217 months (from November 2007 to November 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-64.62%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+5.05% |
+158.55%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2007 |
41.25%
99 out of 240 |
|
-65.89%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+2.51% |
+149.54%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2007 |
44.58%
107 out of 240 |
|
-29.89%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+0.97% |
+97.94%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2007 |
48.68%
111 out of 228 |
|
-34.47%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
-1.33% |
+93.11%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2007 |
53.51%
122 out of 228 |
|
-22.07%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+2.51% |
+47.53%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2007 |
38.43%
83 out of 216 |
|
-26.25%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+0.42% |
+42.79%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2007 |
47.22%
102 out of 216 |
|
-14.49%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2011 |
+2.33% |
+23.62%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2009 |
38.73%
79 out of 204 |
|
-16.28%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2022 |
+0.62% |
+21.06%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2009 |
48.53%
99 out of 204 |
|
-12.55%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+2.82% |
+20.68%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2010 |
36.46%
70 out of 192 |
|
-15.79%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+0.40% |
+18.40%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2010 |
45.83%
88 out of 192 |
|
-11.56%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 |
+2.65% |
+18.25%
Jun 2005 - May 2011 |
34.44%
62 out of 180 |
|
-14.72%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 |
+0.34% |
+15.34%
Jun 2005 - May 2011 |
47.78%
86 out of 180 |
|
-6.22%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2014 |
+2.61% |
+13.35%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2012 |
26.19%
44 out of 168 |
|
-9.00%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+0.63% |
+10.58%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2012 |
43.45%
73 out of 168 |
|
-5.76%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015 |
+2.95% |
+12.89%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2013 |
25.00%
39 out of 156 |
|
-8.22%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+1.23% |
+10.24%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2013 |
41.67%
65 out of 156 |
|
-5.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2016 |
+2.54% |
+11.15%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
22.22%
32 out of 144 |
|
-8.07%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+0.06% |
+9.18%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
46.53%
67 out of 144 |
|
-3.25%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+2.40% |
+12.98%
May 2005 - Apr 2015 |
21.97%
29 out of 132 |
|
-5.65%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+0.54% |
+10.76%
May 2005 - Apr 2015 |
42.42%
56 out of 132 |
|
-3.24%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+2.23% |
+8.35%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2016 |
19.17%
23 out of 120 |
|
-5.76%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
-0.02% |
+6.46%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2016 |
50.00%
60 out of 120 |
|
-3.95%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+1.94% |
+9.84%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2017 |
21.30%
23 out of 108 |
|
-6.38%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
-0.41% |
+7.90%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2017 |
50.93%
55 out of 108 |
|
-2.97%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2022 |
+2.49% |
+10.89%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2018 |
26.04%
25 out of 96 |
|
-5.32%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2022 |
+0.26% |
+8.69%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2018 |
46.88%
45 out of 96 |
|
-1.91%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2021 |
+1.35% |
+8.85%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2019 |
33.33%
28 out of 84 |
|
-4.05%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2023 |
-1.06% |
+6.73%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2019 |
54.76%
46 out of 84 |
|
-5.88%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+1.64% |
+8.22%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2019 |
25.00%
18 out of 72 |
|
-8.07%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
-0.87% |
+6.18%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2020 |
62.50%
45 out of 72 |
|
-4.19%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+2.13% |
+8.84%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2021 |
26.67%
16 out of 60 |
|
-6.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
-0.41% |
+6.72%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2021 |
53.33%
32 out of 60 |
|
-2.58%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+2.10% |
+6.73%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2022 |
22.92%
11 out of 48 |
|
-4.91%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
-0.36% |
+4.32%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2022 |
50.00%
24 out of 48 |
|
-1.03%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
+2.36% |
+5.45%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2023 |
5.56%
2 out of 36 |
|
-3.41%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
-0.11% |
+2.85%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2023 |
50.00%
18 out of 36 |
|
+3.25%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2024 |
+4.10% |
+4.97%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
|
+0.67%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2024 |
+1.54% |
+2.46%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
|
+4.80%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+5.60% |
+6.08%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
|
+2.19%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+2.98% |
+3.52%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) ETF: Historical Returns
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
