When holding the iShares 1-10 Year Laddered Government Bond Index (CLG.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~32 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 86 months (from August 2016 to September 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 87 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares 1-10 Year Laddered Government Bond Index (CLG.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.66%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-7.60%
Sep 2021 - Aug 2022 |
+4.46% |
+20.64%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1996 |
14.52%
54 out of 372 |
|
-14.08%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022 |
+2.42% |
+18.72%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1996 |
27.15%
101 out of 372 |
|
-4.44%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+4.28% |
+16.14%
Dec 1994 - Nov 1996 |
9.72%
35 out of 360 |
|
-9.57%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+2.26% |
+13.85%
Dec 1994 - Nov 1996 |
20.56%
74 out of 360 |
|
-3.19%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023 |
+3.95% |
+12.68%
Aug 1994 - Jul 1997 |
8.33%
29 out of 348 |
|
-7.80%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023 |
+2.08% |
+10.65%
Aug 1994 - Jul 1997 |
18.68%
65 out of 348 |
|
-1.23%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+4.04% |
+11.10%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998 |
4.76%
16 out of 336 |
|
-5.30%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+2.15% |
+9.54%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998 |
22.02%
74 out of 336 |
|
+0.32%
Jun 2017 - May 2022 |
+4.07% |
+9.67%
Jul 1994 - Jun 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 324 |
|
-3.26%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025 |
+2.26% |
+7.84%
Jul 1994 - Jun 1999 |
19.75%
64 out of 324 |
|
+0.05%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+4.11% |
+8.99%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 312 |
|
-2.83%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+2.27% |
+7.08%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001 |
18.59%
58 out of 312 |
|
-0.05%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+4.29% |
+8.99%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2001 |
0.33%
1 out of 300 |
|
-2.97%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+2.51% |
+6.97%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2001 |
17.67%
53 out of 300 |
|
+0.34%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2023 |
+4.31% |
+8.65%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 288 |
|
-2.39%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2023 |
+2.48% |
+6.53%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2002 |
17.36%
50 out of 288 |
|
+0.78%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2024 |
+4.20% |
+8.58%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 276 |
|
-1.86%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2024 |
+2.44% |
+6.40%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2003 |
18.12%
50 out of 276 |
|
+1.09%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+4.09% |
+7.87%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 264 |
|
-1.45%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+2.33% |
+5.78%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2005 |
18.94%
50 out of 264 |
|
+1.02%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023 |
+4.03% |
+7.88%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 252 |
|
-1.35%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023 |
+2.26% |
+5.70%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2005 |
18.65%
47 out of 252 |
|
+1.12%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023 |
+4.05% |
+7.07%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 240 |
|
-1.15%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023 |
+2.25% |
+4.98%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2006 |
19.17%
46 out of 240 |
|
+1.44%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+3.95% |
+6.99%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 228 |
|
-0.91%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+2.21% |
+4.91%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2008 |
21.05%
48 out of 228 |
|
+1.62%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
+3.90% |
+7.36%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 216 |
|
-0.62%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+2.15% |
+5.29%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2008 |
17.59%
38 out of 216 |
|
+1.75%
May 2009 - Apr 2024 |
+3.74% |
+6.96%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 204 |
|
-0.56%
May 2009 - Apr 2024 |
+1.96% |
+4.88%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2009 |
13.24%
27 out of 204 |
|
+1.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024 |
+3.75% |
+6.73%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 192 |
|
-0.24%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024 |
+1.94% |
+4.69%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2010 |
5.21%
10 out of 192 |
|
+2.06%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
+3.84% |
+6.57%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 180 |
|
-0.17%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
+2.02% |
+4.51%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2011 |
1.11%
2 out of 180 |
|
+2.38%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+3.98% |
+6.47%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 168 |
|
+0.23%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2023 |
+2.11% |
+4.40%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 168 |
|
+2.51%
May 2005 - Apr 2024 |
+4.12% |
+6.13%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 156 |
|
+0.31%
Jun 2005 - May 2024 |
+2.18% |
+4.11%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 156 |
|
+2.55%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+4.14% |
+6.06%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 144 |
|
+0.37%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+2.19% |
+4.16%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 144 |
|
+3.25%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+3.67% |
+5.26%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 84 |
|
+0.99%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+1.48% |
+3.31%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 84 |
|
+3.92%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+4.28% |
+4.48%
Aug 1994 - Jul 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
|
+1.76%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+2.14% |
+2.32%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
iShares 1-10 Year Laddered Government Bond Index (CLG.TO) ETF: Historical Returns

