HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT Developed UCITS (HPRO.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1986 - May 2026 (~40 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT Developed UCITS (HPRO.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 127 months (from April 2013 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 128 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT DEVELOPED UCITS (HPRO.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1986 - 31 May 2026 (~40 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1986/01 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.41%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT DEVELOPED UCITS (HPRO.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1986 - 31 May 2026 (~40 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1986/01 - 2026/05)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT DEVELOPED UCITS (HPRO.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1986 - 31 May 2026 (~40 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-39.91%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+7.23% +72.53%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
35.02%
166 out of 474
-41.75%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+4.58% +67.64%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
41.77%
198 out of 474
-31.37%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+6.59% +41.73%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
26.19%
121 out of 462
-33.25%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+3.50% +36.74%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
34.42%
159 out of 462
-18.16%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+5.77% +29.83%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006
22.44%
101 out of 450
-20.40%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+3.62% +27.78%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006
33.33%
150 out of 450
-7.59%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+6.46% +27.61%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2007
20.32%
89 out of 438
-12.06%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+4.27% +25.20%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2007
33.33%
146 out of 438
-3.66%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2024
+6.50% +18.67%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2006
11.50%
49 out of 426
-7.73%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2024
+3.45% +16.64%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2006
28.64%
122 out of 426
-3.47%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2025
+6.65% +21.00%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2006
9.90%
41 out of 414
-7.45%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2025
+4.13% +19.25%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2006
22.71%
94 out of 414
-2.98%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+6.72% +20.35%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2007
7.46%
30 out of 402
-6.59%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+4.09% +18.41%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2007
14.93%
60 out of 402
-1.24%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2024
+6.96% +17.28%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2007
4.62%
18 out of 390
-4.83%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2025
+4.29% +15.50%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2007
12.31%
48 out of 390
-1.39%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+7.32% +13.96%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2007
2.38%
9 out of 378
-4.87%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+4.35% +12.21%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2007
11.38%
43 out of 378
+0.38%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+7.24% +12.86%
Dec 1996 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 366
-2.72%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+4.66% +11.14%
Dec 1996 - Nov 2006
11.48%
42 out of 366
+0.51%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+7.39% +12.79%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2006
0.00%
0 out of 354
-2.55%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+4.75% +11.07%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2006
8.47%
30 out of 354
+0.78%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+7.41% +12.64%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2007
0.00%
0 out of 342
-2.04%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.01% +10.78%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2007
6.43%
22 out of 342
+1.06%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026
+7.49% +13.21%
Aug 1992 - Jul 2005
0.00%
0 out of 330
-1.72%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026
+5.03% +11.29%
Aug 1992 - Jul 2005
5.45%
18 out of 330
+2.14%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2020
+7.38% +13.05%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2006
0.00%
0 out of 318
-0.52%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2025
+4.95% +11.08%
Aug 1992 - Jul 2006
1.89%
6 out of 318
+2.78%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2025
+7.62% +12.44%
May 1992 - Apr 2007
0.00%
0 out of 306
-0.12%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2025
+5.22% +10.48%
May 1992 - Apr 2007
0.65%
2 out of 306
+1.84%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+7.66% +12.82%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2007
0.00%
0 out of 294
-1.13%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.33% +10.45%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2007
4.42%
13 out of 294
+1.61%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+7.79% +11.71%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
0.00%
0 out of 282
-1.30%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.49% +9.36%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
6.03%
17 out of 282
+1.84%
Jun 2007 - May 2025
+7.87% +10.25%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2006
0.00%
0 out of 270
-1.09%
Jun 2007 - May 2025
+5.44% +8.00%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2016
8.52%
23 out of 270
+1.74%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2026
+7.95% +10.69%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 258
-1.15%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2026
+5.74% +7.79%
Aug 1992 - Jul 2011
6.20%
16 out of 258
+2.29%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026
+7.63% +10.87%
Jan 1986 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 246
-0.64%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026
+5.36% +7.80%
Jan 1986 - Dec 2005
0.81%
2 out of 246
+5.31%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026
+7.23% +9.47%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 186
+2.58%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026
+4.80% +7.30%
Aug 1992 - Jul 2017
0.00%
0 out of 186
+5.15%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+7.28% +8.78%
Jan 1986 - Dec 2015
0.00%
0 out of 126
+2.68%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+4.70% +5.91%
Jan 1986 - Dec 2015
0.00%
0 out of 126
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