When holding the Amundi US TIPS Government Inflation-Linked Bond UCITS GBP Hedged Dist (TIPH.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 132 months (from November 2012 to October 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 133 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Amundi US TIPS Government Inflation-Linked Bond UCITS GBP Hedged Dist (TIPH.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.55%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-14.24%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+7.00% |
+45.25%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
18.28%
87 out of 476 |
-22.41%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+4.09% |
+39.39%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
27.31%
130 out of 476 |
-7.74%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+7.30% |
+28.15%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
12.07%
56 out of 464 |
-14.40%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+4.74% |
+22.61%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
21.34%
99 out of 464 |
-3.67%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2024 |
+7.23% |
+23.11%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993 |
10.18%
46 out of 452 |
-9.21%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023 |
+4.75% |
+17.74%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993 |
21.90%
99 out of 452 |
-1.36%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+7.40% |
+19.97%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1993 |
7.50%
33 out of 440 |
-6.55%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+4.59% |
+14.03%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1994 |
19.32%
85 out of 440 |
-0.68%
May 2013 - Apr 2018 |
+7.93% |
+19.46%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993 |
2.57%
11 out of 428 |
-4.45%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025 |
+5.42% |
+13.47%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993 |
19.16%
82 out of 428 |
-0.95%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2018 |
+7.83% |
+18.41%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993 |
2.64%
11 out of 416 |
-3.57%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+4.94% |
+12.62%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993 |
16.11%
67 out of 416 |
+0.06%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2019 |
+7.41% |
+17.26%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 404 |
-3.66%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+5.34% |
+11.23%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
16.34%
66 out of 404 |
+0.67%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+7.89% |
+17.77%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 392 |
-2.85%
May 2016 - Apr 2024 |
+5.82% |
+12.26%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993 |
17.86%
70 out of 392 |
+0.47%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+8.05% |
+17.08%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 380 |
-2.54%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+6.14% |
+11.80%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994 |
13.16%
50 out of 380 |
+0.10%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2022 |
+8.45% |
+15.16%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 368 |
-2.52%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2022 |
+6.25% |
+10.29%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
11.68%
43 out of 368 |
-0.05%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+8.33% |
+15.38%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995 |
0.28%
1 out of 356 |
-2.81%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+6.11% |
+10.58%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995 |
10.96%
39 out of 356 |
+0.50%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+8.28% |
+14.17%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 344 |
-2.25%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+6.13% |
+9.71%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997 |
11.05%
38 out of 344 |
+0.83%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+8.14% |
+14.25%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 332 |
-1.99%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025 |
+6.04% |
+10.00%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
10.54%
35 out of 332 |
+1.45%
Aug 2011 - Jul 2025 |
+8.13% |
+13.90%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 320 |
-1.40%
Aug 2011 - Jul 2025 |
+6.05% |
+9.72%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
10.31%
33 out of 320 |
+2.02%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2024 |
+7.96% |
+12.81%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 308 |
-0.90%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2024 |
+5.77% |
+9.49%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2004 |
11.04%
34 out of 308 |
+2.16%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+7.88% |
+13.11%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 296 |
-0.77%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+5.88% |
+9.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
7.77%
23 out of 296 |
+2.34%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025 |
+7.73% |
+12.77%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 284 |
-0.61%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025 |
+5.48% |
+9.27%
Oct 1985 - Sep 2002 |
5.63%
16 out of 284 |
+2.67%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+7.50% |
+13.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 272 |
-0.25%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+5.31% |
+9.80%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003 |
2.94%
8 out of 272 |
+2.74%
May 2005 - Apr 2024 |
+7.35% |
+13.04%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 260 |
-0.14%
May 2005 - Apr 2024 |
+5.25% |
+9.72%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2004 |
2.69%
7 out of 260 |
+2.87%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+7.18% |
+12.73%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 248 |
-0.03%
Jun 2005 - May 2025 |
+5.04% |
+9.48%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005 |
0.81%
2 out of 248 |
+4.43%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+6.89% |
+11.22%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 188 |
+1.90%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+4.75% |
+8.07%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 188 |
+5.03%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+7.55% |
+10.03%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 128 |
+2.56%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+5.13% |
+7.00%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 128 |
Amundi US TIPS Government Inflation-Linked Bond UCITS GBP Hedged Dist (TIPH.L) ETF: Historical Returns