Amundi MSCI Japan (LCUJ.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1985 - March 2026 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Amundi MSCI Japan (LCUJ.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 359 months (from February 1989 to December 2018).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 360 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AMUNDI MSCI JAPAN (LCUJ.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 8.52%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AMUNDI MSCI JAPAN (LCUJ.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/03)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AMUNDI MSCI JAPAN (LCUJ.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2026 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-41.16%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1990
+5.60% +93.23%
Oct 1998 - Sep 1999
38.84%
188 out of 484
-43.55%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1990
+3.58% +90.88%
Oct 1998 - Sep 1999
42.98%
208 out of 484
-33.11%
Jun 2001 - May 2003
+5.52% +53.34%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
35.38%
167 out of 472
-34.38%
Jun 2001 - May 2003
+3.13% +50.96%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
41.74%
197 out of 472
-28.08%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+5.02% +30.19%
Feb 1986 - Jan 1989
30.65%
141 out of 460
-29.74%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+1.85% +29.16%
Feb 1986 - Jan 1989
39.78%
183 out of 460
-16.02%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1993
+4.41% +22.17%
Feb 1985 - Jan 1989
32.59%
146 out of 448
-18.91%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1993
+1.46% +21.04%
Feb 1985 - Jan 1989
41.07%
184 out of 448
-12.56%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+3.39% +14.32%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1989
38.99%
170 out of 436
-14.43%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+0.78% +13.44%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2017
45.87%
200 out of 436
-9.74%
Jun 1997 - May 2003
+1.44% +13.61%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2015
38.68%
164 out of 424
-11.36%
Jun 1997 - May 2003
-0.70% +11.92%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2015
54.25%
230 out of 424
-8.09%
May 1996 - Apr 2003
+1.70% +11.38%
Feb 1993 - Jan 2000
41.26%
170 out of 412
-9.72%
May 1996 - Apr 2003
-0.39% +10.38%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2019
52.43%
216 out of 412
-8.16%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2008
+1.96% +11.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
40.00%
160 out of 400
-10.25%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2008
-0.04% +9.94%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
50.00%
200 out of 400
-9.94%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+2.01% +10.69%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2021
29.90%
116 out of 388
-11.82%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+0.08% +9.56%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2021
48.71%
189 out of 388
-7.06%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2009
+1.98% +10.07%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2021
30.05%
113 out of 376
-8.96%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2009
-0.31% +8.72%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2021
51.86%
195 out of 376
-6.28%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+1.78% +9.06%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2020
32.97%
120 out of 364
-8.23%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
-0.23% +7.80%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2020
51.37%
187 out of 364
-5.42%
May 1991 - Apr 2003
+1.71% +9.68%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2026
34.38%
121 out of 352
-7.59%
May 1991 - Apr 2003
-0.55% +8.28%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2021
52.56%
185 out of 352
-4.84%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2003
+1.74% +9.63%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2025
39.41%
134 out of 340
-7.14%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2003
-0.43% +7.38%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2025
52.35%
178 out of 340
-5.97%
May 1989 - Apr 2003
+1.76% +9.38%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2026
39.63%
130 out of 328
-8.26%
May 1989 - Apr 2003
-0.16% +7.12%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2026
51.22%
168 out of 328
-4.43%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2009
+1.43% +8.96%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
38.61%
122 out of 316
-6.71%
May 1988 - Apr 2003
-0.84% +6.71%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
55.38%
175 out of 316
-3.25%
May 1989 - Apr 2005
+0.84% +8.70%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
40.13%
122 out of 304
-5.56%
May 1989 - Apr 2005
-1.24% +6.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
60.53%
184 out of 304
-2.46%
May 1994 - Apr 2011
+0.36% +9.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
40.07%
117 out of 292
-4.60%
Jun 1986 - May 2003
-1.61% +7.35%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
63.70%
186 out of 292
-3.03%
Apr 1991 - Mar 2009
+0.79% +7.02%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2026
33.57%
94 out of 280
-5.17%
Apr 1991 - Mar 2009
-1.16% +5.02%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
65.00%
182 out of 280
-3.20%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
+1.12% +6.17%
May 2003 - Apr 2022
29.10%
78 out of 268
-5.42%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
-0.87% +4.25%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
63.81%
171 out of 268
-3.91%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
+1.37% +5.98%
Jun 2003 - May 2023
26.56%
68 out of 256
-6.13%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
-0.55% +3.80%
Jun 2003 - May 2023
58.98%
151 out of 256
-1.63%
May 1989 - Apr 2014
+1.51% +4.63%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
21.43%
42 out of 196
-3.79%
May 1989 - Apr 2014
-0.41% +2.47%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
60.71%
119 out of 196
+0.19%
Feb 1989 - Jan 2019
+2.01% +3.93%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 136
-1.77%
Feb 1989 - Jan 2019
-0.00% +1.88%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2026
50.00%
68 out of 136
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