The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 50/50 Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - May 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 2015
2.24$
Final Capital
May 2025
8.40%
Yearly Return
14.29%
Std Deviation
-31.96%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 2015
1.66$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.18%
Yearly Return
14.29%
Std Deviation
-36.13%
Max Drawdown
57months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.35$
Final Capital
May 2025
10.12%
Yearly Return
13.60%
Std Deviation
-31.96%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.95$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.35%
Yearly Return
13.60%
Std Deviation
-36.13%
Max Drawdown
57months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 50/50 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 2015
1.68$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.29%
Yearly Return
8.09%
Std Deviation
-15.17%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 2015
1.24$
Final Capital
May 2025
2.17%
Yearly Return
8.09%
Std Deviation
-20.43%
Max Drawdown
45months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.49$
Final Capital
May 2025
6.16%
Yearly Return
7.72%
Std Deviation
-15.17%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
1.69$
Final Capital
May 2025
3.49%
Yearly Return
7.72%
Std Deviation
-20.43%
Max Drawdown
45months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of May 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 10.12% compound annual return, with a 13.60% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -31.96% that required 32 months to be recovered.

As of May 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 50/50 Portfolio obtained a 6.16% compound annual return, with a 7.72% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -15.17% that required 27 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
50.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
25.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
12.50
VTV
Vanguard Value
10.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
7.50
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
5.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
3.50
EFV
iShares MSCI EAFE Value
2.50
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
2.50
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap
2.50
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe
2.50
VPL
Vanguard FTSE Pacific
30.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
1.50
GLTR
Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_lzp.webp Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
The Lazy Team
13.12 0.25 8.47 26.99 6.50 8.40 10.12
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_bernstein.webp Sheltered Sam 50/50
Bill Bernstein
2.83 1.76 -0.19 7.75 6.84 5.29 6.16
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of May 31, 2025

The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since June 2015, now would be worth 2.24$, with a total return of 124.03% (8.40% annualized).

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 50/50 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since June 2015, now would be worth 1.68$, with a total return of 67.50% (5.29% annualized).


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The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.35$, with a total return of 334.85% (10.12% annualized).

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 50/50 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 2.49$, with a total return of 148.91% (6.16% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Author The Lazy Team Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 48.5%
Fixed Income 50% 50%
Commodities 25% 1.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)
26.99
7.75
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 24.15 5.34
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.11
-2.94
Start to Recovery (months)
3
6*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.11
-2.94
Start to Recovery (months)
3
6*
Longest Negative Period (months)
3
7
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.76
6.17
Sharpe Ratio
2.54
0.49
Sortino Ratio
3.12
0.65
Ulcer Index
1.18
1.18
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation
3.08
1.26
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown
6.57
2.63
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Author The Lazy Team Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 48.5%
Fixed Income 50% 50%
Commodities 25% 1.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.50
6.84
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.81 2.14
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Negative Period (months) 46
32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.78
8.78
Sharpe Ratio 0.23
0.48
Sortino Ratio 0.32
0.65
Ulcer Index 14.09
4.97
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.39
0.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.20
0.45
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Author The Lazy Team Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 48.5%
Fixed Income 50% 50%
Commodities 25% 1.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)
8.40
5.29
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.18 2.17
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Negative Period (months) 50
32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.29
8.09
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
0.43
Sortino Ratio
0.64
0.58
Ulcer Index 10.58
4.06
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.59
0.65
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.26
0.35
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Author The Lazy Team Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 48.5%
Fixed Income 50% 50%
Commodities 25% 1.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)
10.12
6.16
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.35 3.49
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96
-15.17
Start to Recovery (months) 32
27
Longest Negative Period (months) 50
32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.60
7.72
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
0.65
Sortino Ratio
0.92
0.87
Ulcer Index 8.97
3.50
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.74
0.80
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.32
0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-31.96 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-15.17 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-13.44 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-11.63 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-9.99 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-8.58 9 Sep 2020
May 2021
-7.36 9 Jun 2015
Feb 2016
-6.63 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-5.95 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.30 13 Jun 2015
Jun 2016
-4.11 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025
-3.39 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.21 2 May 2016
Jun 2016
-2.94 6* Dec 2024
In progress
-2.72 2 May 2019
Jun 2019

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-31.96 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-15.17 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-13.44 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-12.86 17 Oct 2012
Feb 2014
-11.63 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-11.33 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-9.99 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-8.99 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-8.58 9 Sep 2020
May 2021
-7.47 5 Sep 2011
Jan 2012
-6.63 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.23 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-5.95 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.30 13 Jun 2015
Jun 2016
-4.81 5 Sep 2014
Jan 2015

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Sheltered Sam 50/50
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
13.12
0.00 2.83 -1.53
2024
19.37
-4.11 7.78 -2.94
2023
15.62
-11.16 9.63 -6.01
2022
-26.74 -31.96
-10.08
-15.17
2021
8.10 -7.85
12.55
-2.18
2020
24.56
-6.86 7.04 -11.63
2019
30.31
-2.13 15.24 -2.72
2018
-6.20 -9.99
-4.12
-6.63
2017
18.32
-2.33 9.70 0.00
2016
8.57 -13.44
8.66
-1.99
2015
-4.99 -11.33
-1.51
-5.30
2014
13.48
-4.81 5.32 -2.47
2013
-1.57 -11.75
11.17
-2.24
2012
13.11
-4.01 9.72 -3.50
2011
17.58
-7.47 2.12 -8.99
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