Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 04:00PM Eastern Time
The Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.
It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio obtained a 5.61% compound annual return, with a 16.76% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
100.00 % | VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio | 1.15 | -2.20 | -3.47 | 10.79 | -4.82 | 2.80 | 5.11 | 5.61 | 8.11 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -4.01 | 9.07 | -10.24 | -1.02 | 2.43 | 3.03 | 3.97 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets |
1.15 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-2.20 | -3.47 | 10.79 | -4.82 | 2.80 | 5.11 | 5.61 | 8.11 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-3.47 | 2.95 | 10.79 | -4.82 | 6.81 | 2.80 | 5.11 | 7.30 | 5.61 | 8.11 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 3.98 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-4.01 | 1.88 | 9.07 | -10.24 | 1.57 | -1.02 | 2.43 | 4.67 | 3.03 | 3.97 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 24.19 | 20.79 | 18.28 | 15.28 | 17.24 | 16.76 | 17.18 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.20 | 0.24 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.42 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.27 | 0.33 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -23.08 | -28.08 | -28.08 | -28.08 | -57.00 | -57.00 | -57.00 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 11
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
79
|
79
|
79
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 90.05 | 60.37 | 42.40 | 24.60 | 16.26 | 12.94 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -49.94 | -19.64 | -7.06 | -0.38 | 1.34 | 3.90 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 68% | 81% | 89% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 71 | 146 | 215 | 380 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 49 | 94 | 145 | 258 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 57% | 59% | 61% | 60% | 60% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 38.72 | 20.08 | 12.43 | 10.47 | 5.96 | 4.82 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 1.54 | 0.00 | 2.37 | 4.46 | 2.94 | 3.82 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio granted a 2.42% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2445.13$, with a net total return of 144.51% (3.03% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7917.81$, with a net total return of 691.78% (3.97% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-57.00% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | May 2014 | 63 | 79 |
-48.19% | Jan 2000 | Mar 2003 | 39 | Sep 2005 | 30 | 69 |
-28.08% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-24.14% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2020 | 26 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 34 |
-17.94% | Jul 2014 | Feb 2016 | 20 | Apr 2017 | 14 | 34 |
-14.47% | Jun 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-13.15% | Sep 1994 | Feb 1995 | 6 | Mar 1996 | 13 | 19 |
-11.23% | Aug 1997 | Dec 1997 | 5 | Mar 1998 | 3 | 8 |
-10.94% | Sep 1993 | Nov 1993 | 3 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 5 |
-5.79% | May 1996 | Jan 1997 | 9 | May 1997 | 4 | 13 |
-4.28% | May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | Jun 1999 | 1 | 2 |
-3.73% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 2 | Sep 2006 | 3 | 5 |
-3.02% | Mar 1994 | Mar 1994 | 1 | Apr 1994 | 1 | 2 |
-2.98% | Jun 1993 | Jun 1993 | 1 | Jul 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-2.93% | Jun 2007 | Aug 2007 | 3 | Sep 2007 | 1 | 4 |
-2.83% | Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | Dec 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-2.16% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 2 |
-0.93% | Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | Aug 2021 | 2 | 3 |
-0.72% | Jan 2021 | Jan 2021 | 1 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-0.66% | Feb 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 2 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-57.00% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | May 2014 | 63 | 79 |
-48.19% | Jan 2000 | Mar 2003 | 39 | Sep 2005 | 30 | 69 |
-41.73% | Jan 1973 | Sep 1974 | 21 | Sep 1977 | 36 | 57 |
-31.21% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Jan 1994 | 40 | 49 |
-28.08% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-27.77% | Dec 1980 | Jul 1982 | 20 | Mar 1983 | 8 | 28 |
-27.31% | Jan 1970 | Jun 1970 | 6 | Mar 1971 | 9 | 15 |
-24.14% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2020 | 26 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 34 |
-17.94% | Jul 2014 | Feb 2016 | 20 | Apr 2017 | 14 | 34 |
-14.47% | Jun 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-13.46% | Sep 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 | Mar 1988 | 5 | 7 |
-13.15% | Sep 1994 | Feb 1995 | 6 | Mar 1996 | 13 | 19 |
-11.23% | Aug 1997 | Dec 1997 | 5 | Mar 1998 | 3 | 8 |
-11.03% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Jul 1980 | 4 | 6 |
-9.43% | May 1988 | Aug 1988 | 4 | Nov 1988 | 3 | 7 |
-8.91% | Sep 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | Jan 1980 | 3 | 5 |
-8.70% | Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 2 | Dec 1986 | 2 | 4 |
-7.94% | Mar 1989 | Jun 1989 | 4 | Jul 1989 | 1 | 5 |
-6.84% | Dec 1983 | May 1984 | 6 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 9 |
-5.86% | Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | Dec 1978 | 2 | 3 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
10.53 |
90.05 Sep 1985 - Aug 1986 |
-49.94 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
32.38% |
2 Years |
9.72 |
74.88 May 1985 - Apr 1987 |
-29.13 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
22.60% |
3 Years |
9.14 |
60.37 Jun 1984 - May 1987 |
-19.64 Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
19.40% |
5 Years |
8.88 |
42.40 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-7.06 Jun 2007 - May 2012 |
11.23% |
7 Years |
8.84 |
33.35 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
-2.53 Apr 1996 - Mar 2003 |
2.34% |
10 Years |
8.91 |
24.60 May 1977 - Apr 1987 |
-0.38 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.39% |
15 Years |
8.95 |
21.16 Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 |
0.53 Apr 1988 - Mar 2003 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
8.55 |
16.26 Jul 1970 - Jun 1990 |
1.34 Mar 1989 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
8.34 |
12.94 Jul 1970 - Jun 2000 |
3.90 Jan 1989 - Dec 2018 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.78
40% |
-1.80
40% |
-2.30
60% |
1.48
80% |
0.83
60% |
-0.49
40% |
1.73
80% |
-0.59
40% |
-2.23
40% |
0.08
60% |
4.81
80% |
1.14
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.78
|
99.95
|
97.65
|
99.10
|
99.92
|
99.43
|
101.16
|
100.56
|
98.32
|
98.39
|
103.13
|
104.30
|
Best |
9.0 2023 |
2.4 2021 |
2.8 2021 |
7.0 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
5.9 2019 |
5.3 2022 |
5.2 2020 |
3.2 2019 |
6.1 2022 |
14.3 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
Worst |
-3.9 2022 |
-7.7 2020 |
-15.1 2020 |
-6.8 2022 |
-5.2 2019 |
-9.2 2022 |
-2.0 2019 |
-5.8 2022 |
-9.9 2022 |
-8.6 2018 |
-4.6 2021 |
-5.7 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.73
50% |
-0.40
50% |
-0.16
60% |
2.26
90% |
0.60
50% |
-0.85
40% |
2.00
80% |
-1.11
50% |
-0.74
50% |
0.93
60% |
2.33
70% |
0.58
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.73
|
100.32
|
100.16
|
102.42
|
103.04
|
102.17
|
104.21
|
103.05
|
102.29
|
103.25
|
105.65
|
106.26
|
Best |
9.0 2023 |
6.2 2015 |
7.2 2016 |
7.0 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
5.9 2019 |
5.3 2022 |
5.2 2020 |
7.9 2013 |
6.7 2015 |
14.3 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
Worst |
-5.5 2016 |
-7.7 2020 |
-15.1 2020 |
-6.8 2022 |
-5.2 2019 |
-9.2 2022 |
-2.4 2014 |
-7.2 2015 |
-9.9 2022 |
-8.6 2018 |
-4.6 2021 |
-5.7 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.62
52% |
0.45
61% |
1.14
64% |
2.26
74% |
0.06
45% |
-0.04
45% |
1.05
64% |
0.06
57% |
-0.65
57% |
0.94
57% |
1.39
68% |
2.03
72% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.62
|
101.08
|
102.23
|
104.55
|
104.60
|
104.56
|
105.66
|
105.72
|
105.04
|
106.02
|
107.50
|
109.68
|
Best |
12.2 1975 |
11.1 1991 |
12.7 1986 |
11.8 2009 |
13.1 2009 |
7.4 1986 |
12.2 1989 |
12.1 1982 |
9.7 2010 |
18.0 1974 |
14.3 2020 |
9.0 2008 |
Worst |
-14.0 2009 |
-10.1 2009 |
-15.1 2020 |
-10.5 1970 |
-11.5 2010 |
-9.2 2022 |
-9.9 2002 |
-12.5 1998 |
-14.2 1990 |
-20.6 2008 |
-10.7 1973 |
-5.7 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio data source starts from January 1970: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+5.24 | +3.83 | 9.0 | -3.5 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-15.36 | -20.49 | -3.9 | -2.6 | 0.7 | -6.8 | 1.7 | -9.2 | 5.3 | -5.8 | -9.9 | 6.1 | 12.5 | -2.2 |
2021 |
+11.67 | +4.33 | -0.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -3.4 | 3.2 | -4.6 | 4.3 |
2020 |
+9.74 | +8.27 | -3.0 | -7.7 | -15.1 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 5.2 | -1.8 | -3.5 | 14.3 | 5.6 |
2019 |
+22.62 | +19.88 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 2.8 | -5.2 | 5.9 | -2.0 | -1.9 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 3.6 |
2018 |
-14.75 | -16.35 | 4.7 | -5.1 | -0.4 | 1.3 | -1.4 | -1.7 | 2.3 | -1.7 | 0.7 | -8.6 | 0.5 | -5.7 |
2017 |
+26.42 | +23.81 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
2016 |
+2.67 | +0.58 | -5.5 | -3.1 | 7.2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -2.0 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | -2.4 | -1.5 | 2.5 |
2015 |
-0.38 | -1.10 | 0.7 | 6.2 | -1.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | -2.9 | 1.5 | -7.2 | -4.1 | 6.7 | -0.8 | -2.1 |
2014 |
-5.98 | -6.68 | -5.2 | 5.9 | -0.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -2.4 | 0.3 | -4.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -3.8 |
2013 |
+21.83 | +20.03 | 3.8 | -1.1 | 1.2 | 5.2 | -3.0 | -2.8 | 5.2 | -1.6 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
2012 |
+18.56 | +16.53 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 0.3 | -2.4 | -11.2 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 4.2 |
2011 |
-12.30 | -14.83 | 2.2 | 3.7 | -2.5 | 6.2 | -2.7 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -8.6 | -11.3 | 9.8 | -2.1 | -2.1 |
2010 |
+8.35 | +6.75 | -5.4 | 0.7 | 6.3 | -2.8 | -11.5 | -1.8 | 11.7 | -3.6 | 9.7 | 4.1 | -4.9 | 8.4 |
2009 |
+27.49 | +24.11 | -14.0 | -10.1 | 8.4 | 11.8 | 13.1 | -1.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 3.9 | -2.8 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
2008 |
-40.65 | -40.70 | -7.4 | -1.0 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 1.2 | -8.7 | -3.5 | -4.0 | -11.6 | -20.6 | -6.6 | 9.0 |
2007 |
+11.15 | +6.80 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 2.5 | -0.1 | -2.2 | -0.7 | 5.3 | 4.5 | -3.8 | -2.6 |
2006 |
+26.27 | +23.14 | 6.2 | -0.7 | 3.6 | 4.9 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
2005 |
+13.60 | +9.85 | -1.9 | 4.2 | -2.4 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | -2.8 | 1.8 | 5.0 |
2004 |
+20.25 | +16.46 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | -2.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | -3.6 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 6.9 | 4.4 |
2003 |
+38.67 | +36.11 | -4.2 | -2.3 | -2.0 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 7.8 |
2002 |
-15.62 | -17.57 | -5.3 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | -4.0 | -9.9 | -0.3 | -11.0 | 5.5 | 4.6 | -3.3 |
2001 |
-21.94 | -23.13 | -0.1 | -7.5 | -6.6 | 7.7 | -4.1 | -4.1 | -1.8 | -2.5 | -10.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
2000 |
-14.29 | -17.10 | -6.5 | 2.9 | 3.8 | -5.4 | -2.4 | 3.9 | -4.2 | 0.9 | -4.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | 3.4 |
1999 |
+37.96 | +34.35 | 0.9 | -2.2 | 4.7 | 5.3 | -4.3 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 8.2 |
1998 |
+16.51 | +14.66 | 4.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 | -12.5 | -2.2 | 9.5 | 4.9 | 3.0 |
1997 |
-1.39 | -3.04 | -3.8 | 1.5 | -0.7 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0.9 | -6.3 | 4.1 | -6.8 | -2.3 | -0.1 |
1996 |
+4.68 | +1.31 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.3 | 0.4 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -1.2 | 3.1 | -1.9 |
1995 |
+3.98 | +1.41 | -3.9 | -5.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | -1.9 | -1.8 | 5.7 | -3.4 | 1.6 | -2.6 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
1994 |
+9.76 | +6.90 | 9.9 | 0.4 | -3.0 | 3.3 | -0.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | -2.9 | 2.8 | -5.4 | 0.9 |
1993 |
+29.92 | +26.45 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 3.6 | -3.0 | 4.2 | 4.8 | -3.0 | 1.3 | -9.4 | 6.1 |
1992 |
-14.79 | -17.19 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -7.2 | -0.8 | 7.1 | -4.6 | -3.3 | 7.0 | -2.7 | -5.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
1991 |
+9.48 | +6.23 | 1.7 | 11.1 | -4.8 | 1.6 | -0.4 | -6.6 | 4.0 | -3.1 | 6.4 | 2.0 | -5.3 | 4.0 |
1990 |
-24.79 | -29.11 | -3.6 | -6.5 | -10.4 | -2.8 | 11.7 | -0.3 | 2.3 | -10.4 | -14.2 | 17.1 | -7.8 | 1.3 |
1989 |
+12.85 | +7.84 | 2.3 | 0.6 | -2.3 | 1.3 | -4.8 | -2.4 | 12.2 | -4.0 | 5.5 | -3.7 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
1988 |
+25.66 | +20.35 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 1.9 | -2.4 | -3.0 | 1.7 | -5.9 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 6.8 | -0.5 |
1987 |
+30.48 | +24.94 | 11.7 | 2.3 | 11.2 | 10.5 | 0.5 | -3.1 | -0.5 | 8.4 | -1.2 | -12.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
1986 |
+63.38 | +61.60 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 12.7 | 7.2 | -3.2 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 7.2 | -1.9 | -7.0 | 5.6 | 5.0 |
1985 |
+56.04 | +50.33 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -1.2 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 5.4 |
1984 |
+7.32 | +3.24 | -0.4 | -3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -5.3 | 2.3 | -1.4 | 11.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.9 | 2.7 |
1983 |
+23.61 | +19.09 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 7.7 | -0.7 | 3.9 | -3.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | -1.2 | 2.4 | -0.5 |
1982 |
-1.94 | -5.56 | -3.4 | -7.2 | -2.9 | 2.2 | -5.2 | -4.1 | -4.9 | 12.1 | -1.0 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 0.2 |
1981 |
-2.36 | -10.36 | -4.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | -1.9 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.2 | -5.1 | -4.7 | 5.4 | 4.5 | -2.5 |
1980 |
+22.48 | +8.85 | 5.2 | -0.4 | -10.7 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 11.0 | -4.0 |
1979 |
+4.69 | -7.59 | 3.0 | -4.0 | 4.7 | -0.7 | -2.8 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -8.2 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
1978 |
+32.52 | +21.56 | -3.8 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 1.2 | -5.9 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
1977 |
+17.99 | +10.58 | -2.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | -1.5 | 4.8 | 2.3 |
1976 |
+2.46 | -2.30 | 10.4 | -2.5 | 1.1 | -2.7 | -2.8 | 3.7 | -2.4 | -1.5 | 1.1 | -4.2 | -1.5 | 4.6 |
1975 |
+35.29 | +26.51 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.0 | -6.8 | -2.1 | -3.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | -1.4 |
1974 |
-23.23 | -31.67 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -3.7 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -7.5 | -8.1 | -10.8 | 18.0 | -3.4 | -1.7 |
1973 |
-14.99 | -21.80 | -1.9 | -3.6 | -0.3 | -4.5 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 4.6 | -2.9 | 4.6 | -0.1 | -10.7 | 1.6 |
1972 |
+36.24 | +31.75 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3.1 | -0.6 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
1971 |
+29.49 | +25.40 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | -2.7 | 1.4 | -2.5 | 4.7 | 0.7 | -2.5 | 1.1 | 8.9 |
1970 |
-11.71 | -16.37 | -8.7 | 4.2 | -0.9 | -10.5 | -7.7 | -6.7 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 2.6 | -2.7 | 4.3 | 5.4 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VEA - Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Developed World ex-US Stocks Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+9.51 | 13.66 | -43.27 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.38 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 100/0 Bill Bernstein |
+9.26 | 15.17 | -54.91 | 97 | 0 | 3 | ||
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+9.21 | 13.51 | -45.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Aggressive Global Income |
+8.99 | 14.36 | -52.63 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 90/10 Bill Bernstein |
+8.85 | 13.61 | -50.12 | 87.3 | 10 | 2.7 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 |
+8.84 | 12.34 | -41.09 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Robust Alpha Architect |
+8.81 | 10.97 | -44.20 | 70 | 20 | 10 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.61 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 100 Betterment |
+8.51 | 15.75 | -54.55 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Mid-Fifties Burton Malkiel |
+8.51 | 12.91 | -46.21 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Late Thirties to Early Forties Burton Malkiel |
+8.45 | 13.54 | -48.28 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein |
+8.41 | 12.09 | -45.06 | 77.6 | 20 | 2.4 | ||
Robo Advisor 90 Betterment |
+8.37 | 14.39 | -50.07 | 90.1 | 9.9 | 0 | ||
Mid-Twenties Burton Malkiel |
+8.37 | 13.87 | -49.50 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+8.34 | 13.17 | -45.65 | 84 | 16 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.34 | 11.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.23 | 10.84 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 80 Betterment |
+8.18 | 13.01 | -45.47 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Second Grader's Starter Paul Farrell |
+8.15 | 13.77 | -48.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.14 | 11.26 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.06 | 10.67 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Core Four Rick Ferri |
+7.96 | 12.09 | -44.44 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein |
+7.95 | 10.60 | -39.73 | 67.9 | 30 | 2.1 | ||
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson |
+7.94 | 11.56 | -38.46 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 10.87 | -39.14 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.88 | 9.46 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
+7.88 | 10.78 | -40.89 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+7.86 | 11.04 | -38.23 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Four Funds Bogleheads |
+7.83 | 12.36 | -44.08 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green |
+7.77 | 12.03 | -43.02 | 65 | 30 | 5 | ||
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn |
+7.75 | 10.66 | -39.55 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Three Funds Bogleheads |
+7.73 | 12.29 | -43.68 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Growth Fund Vanguard |
+7.68 | 12.32 | -44.18 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.64 | 9.53 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Long Term Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.64 | 12.36 | -45.92 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.60 | 11.65 | -40.40 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Perfect Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.54 | 12.33 | -44.81 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Pinwheel |
+7.51 | 10.43 | -36.89 | 65 | 25 | 10 | ||
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein |
+7.45 | 9.15 | -34.12 | 58.2 | 40 | 1.8 | ||
Gretchen Tai Portfolio Gretchen Tai |
+7.45 | 11.61 | -41.80 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.45 | 9.24 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc |
+7.42 | 9.30 | -34.63 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.39 | 9.55 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
Five Fold Scott Burns |
+7.37 | 9.66 | -37.94 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.36 | 9.17 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Five Asset Roger Gibson |
+7.34 | 11.23 | -44.75 | 60 | 20 | 20 | ||
Margaritaville Scott Burns |
+7.32 | 10.79 | -38.70 | 67 | 33 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.26 | 9.00 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.25 | 8.84 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Nano Portfolio John Wasik |
+7.24 | 9.56 | -36.66 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.18 | 8.23 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 | ||
Simple and Cheap Time Inc |
+7.18 | 9.30 | -34.84 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy&Hold FundAdvice |
+7.16 | 9.20 | -34.23 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.12 | 9.02 | -32.68 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard |
+7.07 | 9.44 | -33.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Big Rocks Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+7.06 | 9.06 | -33.80 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber |
+6.96 | 7.92 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
Dynamic 40/60 Income |
+6.95 | 8.02 | -29.84 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Dynamic 60/40 Income |
+6.95 | 9.22 | -41.44 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ideal Index Frank Armstrong |
+6.95 | 10.62 | -40.11 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 50/50 Bill Bernstein |
+6.93 | 7.75 | -28.23 | 48.5 | 50 | 1.5 | ||
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel |
+6.92 | 8.26 | -31.96 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Ivy Portfolio Mebane Faber |
+6.88 | 11.52 | -47.39 | 60 | 20 | 20 | ||
Four Square Scott Burns |
+6.81 | 8.40 | -29.95 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Simplified Permanent Portfolio |
+6.80 | 6.75 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 |
+6.80 | 6.82 | -19.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
7Twelve Portfolio Craig Israelsen |
+6.79 | 9.74 | -37.96 | 50 | 33.3 | 16.7 | ||
High Yield Bonds Income |
+6.61 | 8.69 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
Rob Arnott Portfolio Rob Arnott |
+6.60 | 7.10 | -24.27 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
All Country World 80/20 |
+6.56 | 12.71 | -47.32 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Conservative Merrill Lynch |
+6.54 | 6.72 | -20.48 | 37 | 63 | 0 | ||
Andrew Tobias Portfolio Andrew Tobias |
+6.52 | 9.93 | -36.42 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Paul Boyer Portfolio Paul Boyer |
+6.47 | 7.41 | -18.04 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Desert Portfolio Gyroscopic Investing |
+6.46 | 5.39 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Lifepath Fund iShares |
+6.45 | 6.88 | -21.23 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 0 | ||
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne |
+6.45 | 6.44 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
All Country World 60/40 |
+6.44 | 10.00 | -36.70 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 40/60 Bill Bernstein |
+6.38 | 6.41 | -22.05 | 38.8 | 60 | 1.2 | ||
LifeStrategy Conservative Growth Vanguard |
+6.32 | 6.78 | -21.90 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
All Country World 40/60 |
+6.18 | 7.54 | -25.16 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Larry Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+6.14 | 5.50 | -15.96 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum |
+6.11 | 4.79 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 30/70 Bill Bernstein |
+5.80 | 5.16 | -16.58 | 29.1 | 70 | 0.9 | ||
All Country World 20/80 |
+5.79 | 5.53 | -17.97 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Developed World ex-US 80/20 |
+5.77 | 13.44 | -47.74 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Developed World ex-US 60/40 |
+5.76 | 10.31 | -37.49 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Eliminate Fat Tails Larry Swedroe |
+5.70 | 6.36 | -18.42 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
Gold |
+5.62 | 15.53 | -42.91 | 0 | 0 | 100 | ||
Developed World ex-US Stocks |
+5.61 | 16.76 | -57.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Developed World ex-US Stocks Momentum |
+3.23 | 15.98 | -28.57 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Developed World ex-US Stocks |
+2.80 | 18.28 | -28.08 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+13.03 | 23.91 | -81.08 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 |