Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.
It's exposed for 40% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio obtained a 5.61% compound annual return, with a 7.46% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
40.00 % | VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap | |
60.00 % | BNDX | Vanguard Total International Bond | Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio | 0.41 | 0.82 | -2.32 | 2.86 | -7.75 | 1.30 | 3.16 | 5.61 | 7.57 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -2.86 | 1.26 | -13.00 | -2.46 | 0.52 | 3.02 | 4.65 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets |
1.15 | Mar 20 2023 | -2.20 | -3.47 | 10.79 | -4.82 | 2.80 | 5.11 | 5.61 | 8.11 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond |
-0.08 | Mar 20 2023 | 2.83 | -1.50 | -1.94 | -9.67 | 0.01 | 1.50 | 4.87 | 6.58 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-2.32 | 0.00 | 2.86 | -7.75 | 0.03 | 1.30 | 3.16 | 5.52 | 5.61 | 7.57 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.79 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-2.86 | -1.04 | 1.26 | -13.00 | -4.88 | -2.46 | 0.52 | 2.93 | 3.02 | 4.65 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 13.65 | 10.54 | 8.82 | 7.23 | 7.67 | 7.46 | 8.10 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 | -0.06 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 0.44 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -1.11 | -0.09 | 0.02 | 0.46 | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.62 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -15.24 | -19.57 | -19.57 | -19.57 | -26.17 | -26.17 | -26.17 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 03 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 7 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
34
|
34
|
34
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 51.17 | 29.38 | 22.35 | 13.99 | 10.50 | 8.94 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -24.26 | -3.96 | 0.02 | 2.83 | 4.82 | 5.47 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 82% | 96% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 74 | 154 | 227 | 291 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 46 | 86 | 133 | 167 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 53% | 57% | 62% | 64% | 63% | 64% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 33.04 | 20.33 | 11.57 | 8.24 | 6.17 | 9.25 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 2.85 | 2.93 | 4.45 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|
Asset | VEA | BNDX | |
VEA |
1.00
|
0.86
|
|
BNDX |
0.86
|
1.00
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|
Asset | VEA | BNDX | |
VEA |
1.00
|
0.47
|
|
BNDX |
0.47
|
1.00
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|
Asset | VEA | BNDX | |
VEA |
1.00
|
0.37
|
|
BNDX |
0.37
|
1.00
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|
Asset | VEA | BNDX | |
VEA |
1.00
|
0.17
|
|
BNDX |
0.17
|
1.00
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|
Asset | VEA | BNDX | |
VEA |
1.00
|
0.21
|
|
BNDX |
0.21
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio granted a 1.75% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2443.90$, with a net total return of 144.39% (3.02% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5672.41$, with a net total return of 467.24% (4.65% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-26.17% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Aug 2010 | 18 | 34 |
-19.57% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-9.84% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-8.00% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | May 2003 | 8 | 38 |
-7.71% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-6.97% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Jul 1995 | 5 | 18 |
-6.62% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Jun 1997 | 2 | 7 |
-5.69% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 |
-5.53% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 15 |
-5.24% | Jul 1997 | Dec 1997 | 6 | Feb 1998 | 2 | 8 |
-4.79% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-4.63% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-4.00% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-3.91% | Jun 1998 | Aug 1998 | 3 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 5 |
-3.04% | Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | Mar 2017 | 4 | 6 |
-2.86% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-2.65% | May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | Jul 1999 | 2 | 3 |
-2.55% | Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | Dec 2010 | 1 | 2 |
-1.77% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 2 |
-1.71% | Sep 2014 | Dec 2014 | 4 | Feb 2015 | 2 | 6 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-26.17% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Aug 2010 | 18 | 34 |
-19.57% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-12.17% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 14 |
-9.84% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-8.00% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | May 2003 | 8 | 38 |
-7.71% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-6.97% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Jul 1995 | 5 | 18 |
-6.62% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Jun 1997 | 2 | 7 |
-6.45% | Jan 1992 | Apr 1992 | 4 | Aug 1992 | 4 | 8 |
-5.95% | Sep 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 | Feb 1988 | 4 | 6 |
-5.69% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 |
-5.53% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 15 |
-5.24% | Jul 1997 | Dec 1997 | 6 | Feb 1998 | 2 | 8 |
-4.79% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-4.63% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-4.19% | Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 2 | Dec 1986 | 2 | 4 |
-4.00% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-3.91% | Jun 1998 | Aug 1998 | 3 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 5 |
-3.37% | Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 2 | Dec 1992 | 2 | 4 |
-3.29% | May 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | Jun 1986 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
7.87 |
51.17 May 1985 - Apr 1986 |
-24.26 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
18.12% |
2 Years |
7.45 |
40.67 May 1985 - Apr 1987 |
-10.71 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
10.11% |
3 Years |
7.09 |
29.38 Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
-3.96 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
4.49% |
5 Years |
6.79 |
22.35 Jan 1985 - Dec 1989 |
0.02 Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
7 Years |
6.73 |
17.10 Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
2.02 Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
6.68 |
13.99 Jan 1985 - Dec 1994 |
2.83 Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
6.57 |
12.39 Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
3.00 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
6.65 |
10.50 Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
4.82 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
6.71 |
8.94 Jan 1985 - Dec 2014 |
5.47 Oct 1992 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.10
40% |
-1.12
20% |
-1.11
60% |
0.40
80% |
0.35
60% |
-0.05
40% |
1.50
80% |
-0.57
60% |
-1.32
40% |
0.04
60% |
2.21
80% |
0.26
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.10
|
99.97
|
98.85
|
99.24
|
99.60
|
99.55
|
101.04
|
100.46
|
99.14
|
99.18
|
101.37
|
101.63
|
Best |
5.0 2023 |
1.1 2019 |
1.3 2019 |
3.6 2020 |
2.2 2020 |
3.3 2019 |
4.0 2022 |
1.4 2020 |
1.0 2019 |
2.5 2022 |
6.2 2022 |
2.5 2020 |
Worst |
-2.4 2022 |
-2.6 2020 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-1.5 2019 |
-4.7 2022 |
-0.1 2019 |
-4.4 2022 |
-5.5 2022 |
-3.3 2018 |
-1.4 2021 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.67
50% |
-0.21
40% |
-0.05
70% |
0.86
90% |
0.22
60% |
-0.34
40% |
1.41
80% |
-0.57
60% |
-0.43
50% |
0.47
70% |
1.10
70% |
0.23
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.67
|
100.45
|
100.40
|
101.27
|
101.50
|
101.15
|
102.58
|
102.00
|
101.56
|
102.03
|
103.16
|
103.40
|
Best |
5.0 2023 |
2.6 2014 |
3.2 2016 |
3.6 2020 |
2.2 2020 |
3.3 2019 |
4.0 2022 |
1.4 2020 |
3.6 2013 |
3.0 2015 |
6.2 2022 |
2.5 2020 |
Worst |
-2.4 2022 |
-2.6 2020 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-2.6 2013 |
-4.7 2022 |
-0.6 2014 |
-4.4 2022 |
-5.5 2022 |
-3.3 2018 |
-1.4 2021 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.51
56% |
0.43
62% |
0.62
63% |
1.23
76% |
0.45
53% |
0.13
47% |
1.18
74% |
0.11
63% |
0.03
58% |
0.68
68% |
0.74
66% |
1.54
76% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.51
|
100.95
|
101.57
|
102.83
|
103.29
|
103.42
|
104.64
|
104.76
|
104.79
|
105.50
|
106.28
|
107.92
|
Best |
5.8 1987 |
6.9 1986 |
7.2 1986 |
5.2 2009 |
6.3 1990 |
4.8 1986 |
6.1 2009 |
5.1 1986 |
4.2 1991 |
6.4 1990 |
6.2 2022 |
5.6 2008 |
Worst |
-4.9 2009 |
-4.1 2009 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-4.3 2012 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.3 2002 |
-5.5 1990 |
-7.1 2008 |
-9.0 2008 |
-4.0 1993 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio data source starts from January 1985: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+2.59 | +1.21 | 5.0 | -2.3 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-13.80 | -19.02 | -2.4 | -1.8 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 0.2 | -4.7 | 4.0 | -4.4 | -5.5 | 2.5 | 6.2 | -2.5 |
2021 |
+3.30 | -3.49 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | -1.4 | 1.4 |
2020 |
+6.69 | +5.25 | -0.1 | -2.6 | -7.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 |
2019 |
+13.77 | +11.23 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -1.5 | 3.3 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
2018 |
-4.22 | -6.01 | 1.6 | -2.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 1.0 | -0.7 | 0.1 | -3.3 | 0.5 | -1.4 |
2017 |
+12.01 | +9.69 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
2016 |
+3.84 | +1.73 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -1.7 | -1.3 | 1.2 |
2015 |
+0.56 | -0.17 | 1.4 | 2.3 | -0.2 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -2.0 | 1.4 | -3.4 | -1.2 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
2014 |
+2.85 | +2.08 | -1.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.9 | -1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.8 |
2013 |
+8.25 | +6.64 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | -2.6 | -2.3 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
2012 |
+13.14 | +11.21 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | -0.3 | -4.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
2011 |
+0.24 | -2.65 | 1.1 | 1.8 | -1.0 | 3.1 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | -3.0 | -3.8 | 3.6 | -1.1 | 0.9 |
2010 |
+8.45 | +6.86 | -1.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -0.2 | -3.9 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | -2.5 | 2.6 |
2009 |
+20.17 | +16.99 | -4.9 | -4.1 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
2008 |
-17.67 | -17.75 | -1.3 | 0.5 | -0.6 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -3.9 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -7.1 | -9.0 | -2.2 | 5.6 |
2007 |
+7.46 | +3.24 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2.8 | 2.4 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
2006 |
+12.27 | +9.49 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
2005 |
+8.43 | +4.85 | -0.4 | 1.5 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -1.6 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
2004 |
+11.76 | +8.24 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -1.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | -1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
2003 |
+17.83 | +15.65 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4.1 |
2002 |
-0.67 | -2.98 | -1.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -1.1 | -3.3 | 0.6 | -3.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
2001 |
-2.28 | -3.77 | 1.2 | -2.4 | -1.5 | 2.3 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -3.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
2000 |
-0.20 | -3.46 | -2.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | -2.0 | -0.7 | 2.2 | -1.1 | 0.5 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 2.0 |
1999 |
+15.36 | +12.34 | 1.7 | -1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | -2.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
1998 |
+16.87 | +15.01 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -3.7 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 |
1997 |
-3.46 | -5.07 | -4.1 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 5.1 | 2.8 | -1.0 | -2.7 | 3.3 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
1996 |
+4.67 | +1.30 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | -1.1 |
1995 |
+14.33 | +11.50 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.6 | -1.1 | 3.3 | -0.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
1994 |
-0.47 | -3.07 | 4.0 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 0.9 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 1.5 | -1.6 | 0.0 |
1993 |
+21.82 | +18.56 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 2.7 | 3.5 | -1.2 | 1.4 | -4.0 | 4.0 |
1992 |
+1.22 | -1.63 | -2.3 | -1.0 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 4.3 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -0.4 | -2.9 | 0.9 | 3.6 |
1991 |
+16.64 | +13.18 | 1.4 | 5.4 | -1.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -2.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | -1.7 | 4.7 |
1990 |
-5.59 | -11.03 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -3.7 | -2.0 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | -5.5 | -4.9 | 6.4 | -0.7 | 1.7 |
1989 |
+11.80 | +6.84 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 1.4 | -0.7 | 0.8 | 5.7 | -2.7 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
1988 |
+15.54 | +10.65 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 0.6 | -2.3 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | -0.1 |
1987 |
+14.28 | +9.42 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.3 | 3.7 | -1.6 | -4.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
1986 |
+35.17 | +33.70 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 3.5 | -3.3 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.8 | -2.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 |
1985 |
+37.39 | +32.36 | 5.7 | -0.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VEA - Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2013
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber |
+6.96 | 7.92 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
Simplified Permanent Portfolio |
+6.80 | 6.75 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 |
+6.80 | 6.82 | -19.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
High Yield Bonds Income |
+6.61 | 8.69 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
Rob Arnott Portfolio Rob Arnott |
+6.60 | 7.10 | -24.27 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Conservative Merrill Lynch |
+6.54 | 6.72 | -20.48 | 37 | 63 | 0 | ||
Paul Boyer Portfolio Paul Boyer |
+6.47 | 7.41 | -18.04 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Desert Portfolio Gyroscopic Investing |
+6.46 | 5.39 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Lifepath Fund iShares |
+6.45 | 6.88 | -21.23 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 0 | ||
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne |
+6.45 | 6.44 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Sheltered Sam 40/60 Bill Bernstein |
+6.38 | 6.41 | -22.05 | 38.8 | 60 | 1.2 | ||
LifeStrategy Conservative Growth Vanguard |
+6.32 | 6.78 | -21.90 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
All Country World 40/60 |
+6.18 | 7.54 | -25.16 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Larry Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+6.14 | 5.50 | -15.96 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum |
+6.11 | 4.79 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 30/70 Bill Bernstein |
+5.80 | 5.16 | -16.58 | 29.1 | 70 | 0.9 | ||
All Country World 20/80 |
+5.79 | 5.53 | -17.97 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Eliminate Fat Tails Larry Swedroe |
+5.70 | 6.36 | -18.42 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
Developed World ex-US 40/60 |
+5.61 | 7.46 | -26.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 |
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum |
+1.50 | 8.13 | -19.40 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Developed World ex-US 40/60 |
+1.30 | 8.82 | -19.57 | 40 | 60 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Medium Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.45 | 9.24 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 |