Data Source: from January 1871 to October 2022 (~152 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.15%
1 Day
Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
2.04%
Current Month
November 2022

The US Stocks Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.

It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the US Stocks Portfolio obtained a 9.79% compound annual return, with a 15.27% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The US Stocks Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

100% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The US Stocks Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
100.00 %
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Oct 31, 2022

The US Stocks Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • No fees or capital gain taxes
  • the reinvestment of dividends
US STOCKS PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%)
Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2022
  1 Day Time ET(*) Nov 2022 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~152Y)
US Stocks Portfolio -0.15 2.04 8.11 -5.43 -16.87 9.80 12.41 9.79 9.02
US Inflation Adjusted return 7.68 -8.26 -22.84 5.73 9.60 7.11 6.77
Components
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
-0.15 03:59PM
Nov 29 2022
2.04 8.11 -5.43 -16.87 9.80 12.41 9.79 10.34
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Oct 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.75% , 5Y: 3.85% , 10Y: 2.57% , 30Y: 2.51%

Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022

Metrics of US Stocks Portfolio, updated as of 31 October 2022.

Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • No fees or capital gain taxes
  • the reinvestment of dividends
US STOCKS PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 October 2022 (~152 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~152Y)
Portfolio
Return (%)
8.11 -5.52 -5.43 -16.87 9.67 9.80 12.41 10.07 9.79 9.02
US Inflation (%) 0.41 0.59 3.08 7.75 5.01 3.85 2.57 2.52 2.51 2.11
Infl. Adjusted
Return (%)
7.68 -6.07 -8.26 -22.84 4.44 5.73 9.60 7.36 7.11 6.77
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 21.26 20.97 18.65 14.88 15.21 15.27 16.60
Sharpe Ratio -0.83 0.44 0.47 0.80 0.59 0.50 0.30
Sortino Ratio -1.24 0.59 0.62 1.05 0.77 0.65 0.42
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -24.81 -24.81 -24.81 -50.84 -50.84 -84.60
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 1929 09
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 1932 06
Start to Bottom (# months) 9 9 9 9 16 16 34
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
> 10
> 10
> 10
> 10
53
53
184
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 164.11 45.34 37.25 20.50 17.30 14.81
Worst Return (%) -67.90 -43.81 -19.58 -5.29 1.15 2.64
% Positive Periods 73% 84% 90% 97% 100% 100%
MONTHS
Positive 1 1 2 4 21 39 84 161 237 1106
Negative 0 2 4 8 15 21 36 79 123 716
% Positive 100% 33% 33% 33% 58% 65% 70% 67% 66% 61%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 41.83 24.69 17.18 9.14 8.60 8.53
Perpetual WR (%) 4.25 5.42 8.76 6.86 6.63 6.34
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Portfolio Dividends

In 2021, the US Stocks Portfolio granted a 1.51% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Stocks Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Oct 31, 2022

An investment of 1000$, since November 1992, now would be worth 16480.55$, with a total return of 1548.05% (9.79% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7841.77$, with a net total return of 684.18% (7.11% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1871, now would be worth 497993412.44$, with a total return of 49799241.24% (9.02% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 20843326.20$, with a net total return of 2084232.62% (6.77% annualized).

Drawdowns

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-50.84% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Mar 2012 37 53
-43.94% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 Mar 2006 42 67
-24.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 1 10
-20.84% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7
-17.57% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Nov 1998 3 5
-14.20% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 3 Apr 2019 4 7
-8.84% Jun 2015 Sep 2015 4 May 2016 8 12
-8.44% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-7.43% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 5 Feb 1995 8 13
-6.82% Apr 2012 May 2012 2 Aug 2012 3 5
-6.45% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-6.42% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 3 Nov 1999 2 5
-6.17% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 2 Sep 1996 2 4
-5.64% Feb 2018 Mar 2018 2 Jul 2018 4 6
-5.42% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3
-5.23% Jun 2007 Jul 2007 2 Oct 2007 3 5
-4.56% Feb 1997 Mar 1997 2 May 1997 2 4
-4.46% Sep 2021 Sep 2021 1 Oct 2021 1 2
-4.18% Jan 2000 Jan 2000 1 Mar 2000 2 3
-3.73% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Mar 1999 1 2
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-84.60% Sep 1929 Jun 1932 34 Dec 1944 150 184
-50.84% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Mar 2012 37 53
-45.86% Jan 1973 Sep 1974 21 Dec 1976 27 48
-43.94% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 Mar 2006 42 67
-34.11% Apr 1876 Jun 1877 15 Feb 1879 20 35
-30.27% Oct 1906 Nov 1907 14 Nov 1908 12 26
-30.06% Dec 1968 Jun 1970 19 Mar 1971 9 28
-29.34% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 May 1989 18 21
-27.16% Oct 1902 Oct 1903 13 Nov 1904 13 26
-26.86% Feb 1893 Aug 1893 7 Aug 1897 48 55
-24.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 1 10
-23.91% Jul 1881 Jan 1885 43 Nov 1885 10 53
-23.13% Nov 1919 Jun 1921 20 Apr 1922 10 30
-22.72% Nov 1912 Oct 1914 24 Sep 1915 11 35
-22.67% Jan 1962 Jun 1962 6 Apr 1963 10 16
-21.62% Dec 1916 Dec 1917 13 Apr 1919 16 29
-20.85% Jun 1946 Nov 1946 6 Nov 1949 36 42
-20.84% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7
-17.85% Dec 1980 Jul 1982 20 Oct 1982 3 23
-17.57% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Nov 1998 3 5

Rolling Returns ( more details)

US Stocks Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
10.84 164.11
Jul 1932 - Jun 1933
-67.90
Jul 1931 - Jun 1932
27.00%
2 Years
9.96 59.68
Jul 1932 - Jun 1934
-55.42
Jun 1930 - May 1932
19.51%
3 Years
9.58 45.34
Mar 1933 - Feb 1936
-43.81
Jul 1929 - Jun 1932
16.00%
5 Years
9.34 37.25
Jun 1932 - May 1937
-19.58
Jun 1927 - May 1932
10.15%
7 Years
9.25 24.63
Feb 1922 - Jan 1929
-9.49
Jul 1925 - Jun 1932
4.20%
10 Years
9.20 20.50
Jun 1949 - May 1959
-5.29
Sep 1929 - Aug 1939
2.94%
15 Years
9.09 18.24
May 1942 - Apr 1957
-0.35
Sep 1929 - Aug 1944
0.12%
20 Years
9.13 17.30
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
1.15
Jul 1912 - Jun 1932
0.00%
30 Years
9.33 14.81
Jun 1932 - May 1962
2.64
Jun 1902 - May 1932
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the US Stocks Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in US Stocks Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.46
40%
-1.51
40%
-1.51
60%
2.68
80%
0.37
60%
0.86
80%
4.31
100%
1.52
60%
-3.05
40%
1.51
60%
3.83
80%
0.65
80%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.46
99.93
98.43
101.07
101.44
102.32
106.73
108.35
105.05
106.63
110.72
111.44
Best 8.5
2019
3.6
2019
3.6
2021
13.1
2020
5.4
2020
7.1
2019
9.3
2022
7.1
2020
1.8
2019
8.1
2022
11.8
2020
4.7
2020
Worst -6.1
2022
-8.0
2020
-13.9
2020
-9.1
2022
-6.4
2019
-8.2
2022
1.4
2019
-3.7
2022
-9.2
2022
-7.4
2018
-1.5
2021
-9.2
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.30
40%
0.80
60%
0.29
70%
1.74
90%
1.05
80%
0.51
70%
3.29
90%
0.30
60%
-1.37
50%
2.24
70%
3.02
90%
0.71
70%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.30
101.10
101.40
103.16
104.24
104.77
108.21
108.53
107.04
109.45
112.75
113.56
Best 8.5
2019
5.7
2015
7.1
2016
13.1
2020
5.4
2020
7.1
2019
9.3
2022
7.1
2020
3.9
2013
8.1
2022
11.8
2020
4.7
2020
Worst -6.1
2022
-8.0
2020
-13.9
2020
-9.1
2022
-6.4
2019
-8.2
2022
-2.0
2014
-6.1
2015
-9.2
2022
-7.4
2018
-1.5
2021
-9.2
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.55
66%
0.38
57%
0.52
62%
1.38
66%
0.19
57%
0.61
55%
1.45
59%
1.22
66%
-0.18
57%
0.50
55%
1.10
62%
1.34
70%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.55
101.94
102.47
103.88
104.08
104.71
106.23
107.52
107.32
107.86
109.04
110.51
Best 14.1
1975
11.9
1931
10.9
1928
42.8
1933
16.6
1933
25.5
1938
38.5
1932
38.2
1932
16.8
1939
16.9
1974
12.4
1928
10.6
1991
Worst -8.0
2009
-17.7
1933
-25.1
1938
-19.7
1932
-23.1
1940
-16.6
1930
-10.6
1934
-15.7
1998
-29.7
1931
-22.3
1987
-13.5
1929
-14.0
1931
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1871 - Oct 2022

Monthly/Yearly Returns

US Stocks Portfolio data source starts from January 1871: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1871 - Oct 2022
1106 Positive Months (61%) - 716 Negative Months (39%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1871 - Oct 2022
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2022
-18.71 -23.95 -6.1 -2.5 3.3 -9.1 -0.3 -8.2 9.3 -3.7 -9.2 8.1
2021
+25.67 +17.41 -0.3 3.1 3.6 5.0 0.5 2.5 1.7 2.9 -4.5 6.7 -1.5 3.8
2020
+21.03 +19.40 -0.1 -8.0 -13.9 13.1 5.4 2.3 5.7 7.1 -3.5 -1.9 11.8 4.7
2019
+30.67 +27.75 8.5 3.6 1.4 3.9 -6.4 7.1 1.4 -2.1 1.8 2.1 3.8 2.8
2018
-5.21 -6.99 5.2 -3.8 -2.0 0.4 2.7 0.7 3.3 3.4 0.2 -7.4 2.0 -9.2
2017
+21.21 +18.71 1.9 3.7 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.9 0.1 2.4 2.2 3.0 1.2
2016
+12.83 +10.53 -5.7 0.0 7.1 0.7 1.7 0.3 4.0 0.2 0.2 -2.2 4.5 2.0
2015
+0.36 -0.37 -2.7 5.7 -1.2 0.6 1.3 -1.7 1.7 -6.1 -2.9 7.9 0.6 -2.1
2014
+12.54 +11.70 -3.2 4.9 0.5 0.1 2.1 2.6 -2.0 4.2 -2.1 2.7 2.5 0.0
2013
+33.45 +31.48 5.4 1.3 3.9 1.6 2.4 -1.4 5.7 -3.0 3.9 4.3 2.7 2.7
2012
+16.45 +14.46 5.1 4.2 3.1 -0.6 -6.2 4.1 0.9 2.7 2.5 -1.8 0.8 1.3
2011
+0.97 -1.94 2.0 3.7 0.4 2.9 -1.1 -1.8 -2.3 -6.1 -7.6 11.4 -0.4 1.0
2010
+17.42 +15.69 -3.6 3.4 6.4 2.2 -7.9 -5.8 7.0 -4.7 9.5 4.0 0.5 7.0
2009
+28.89 +25.48 -8.0 -10.5 8.3 11.0 5.5 0.4 7.7 3.7 4.1 -2.6 5.7 2.9
2008
-36.98 -37.04 -6.2 -2.5 -0.9 4.9 2.0 -8.1 -0.6 1.5 -9.2 -17.5 -8.0 1.8
2007
+5.37 +1.24 1.9 -1.6 1.1 4.0 3.7 -1.8 -3.5 1.5 3.8 1.8 -4.5 -0.7
2006
+15.69 +12.83 3.2 0.2 2.1 1.0 -3.2 0.1 -0.1 2.3 2.3 3.5 2.3 1.2
2005
+6.31 +2.80 -2.5 2.1 -1.9 -2.2 3.9 0.8 4.4 -1.1 0.8 -2.3 4.6 0.0
2004
+12.79 +9.23 2.6 1.4 -1.0 -2.2 1.5 2.0 -3.6 0.1 1.7 1.8 4.7 3.4
2003
+30.75 +28.34 -2.8 -1.5 0.8 8.6 5.8 1.6 2.3 2.4 -1.1 6.1 1.5 4.0
2002
-20.47 -22.32 -0.9 -1.8 3.7 -4.5 -1.4 -6.9 -8.3 0.8 -10.1 7.5 6.0 -5.1
2001
-10.97 -12.33 3.8 -9.4 -6.7 8.2 1.0 -1.6 -1.7 -6.0 -9.0 2.5 7.6 1.8
2000
-10.57 -13.50 -4.2 2.5 5.7 -5.2 -3.4 4.4 -2.0 7.3 -4.7 -2.0 -9.9 1.8
1999
+23.81 +20.58 3.6 -3.7 3.9 4.7 -2.0 5.2 -3.2 -0.9 -2.4 6.3 3.4 7.6
1998
+23.26 +21.31 0.4 7.3 5.1 1.1 -2.7 3.5 -2.3 -15.7 6.7 7.5 6.2 6.5
1997
+30.99 +28.80 5.5 -0.1 -4.5 4.5 7.1 4.4 7.8 -3.7 5.8 -3.4 3.3 1.7
1996
+20.96 +17.07 2.7 1.6 1.1 2.4 2.7 -0.8 -5.4 3.1 5.4 1.4 6.8 -1.3
1995
+35.79 +32.42 2.2 4.0 2.7 2.5 3.5 3.0 4.0 1.1 3.6 -1.2 4.2 1.5
1994
-0.17 -2.77 3.1 -2.2 -4.4 0.9 1.0 -2.7 3.1 4.4 -1.8 1.6 -3.7 1.2
1993
+10.62 +7.67 1.0 0.5 2.5 -2.8 3.0 0.5 -0.3 3.9 0.0 1.6 -1.6 1.9
1992
+9.11 +6.03 0.0 1.3 -2.4 1.4 0.5 -1.8 3.9 -2.1 1.1 1.2 4.2 1.8
1991
+32.39 +28.46 5.0 6.9 2.9 0.4 4.0 -4.5 4.8 2.7 -1.2 1.7 -3.8 10.6
1990
-6.08 -11.48 -7.0 1.6 2.5 -2.8 8.8 -0.5 -1.1 -9.0 -5.2 -1.2 6.4 3.0
1989
+28.12 +22.43 6.6 -1.8 2.1 4.8 3.9 -0.2 7.6 2.3 -0.2 -2.8 1.6 1.8
1988
+17.32 +12.35 4.4 5.2 -1.4 1.1 -0.1 4.9 -0.6 -2.8 3.7 1.6 -1.6 2.0
1987
+2.61 -1.74 12.9 4.8 2.3 -1.5 0.5 4.2 4.6 3.8 -2.1 -22.3 -7.2 7.3
1986
+14.57 +13.33 0.8 7.1 5.8 -0.8 4.9 1.3 -5.9 6.4 -7.9 4.7 1.4 -2.9
1985
+31.27 +26.47 9.1 1.8 -0.4 -0.2 5.5 1.7 0.0 -0.7 -4.1 4.4 6.8 4.2
1984
+2.19 -1.70 -1.4 -4.0 1.2 0.3 -5.3 2.3 -2.1 11.1 0.0 0.0 -1.3 2.3
1983
+22.66 +18.18 4.1 3.0 3.5 7.4 1.3 3.8 -3.2 0.3 1.7 -2.8 3.0 -1.0
1982
+20.50 +16.05 -2.7 -5.1 -1.0 4.4 -2.8 -2.4 -2.0 11.9 1.7 11.8 5.1 1.5
1981
-4.15 -12.00 -4.1 1.6 4.6 -1.2 1.3 -1.0 -0.3 -5.6 -6.4 5.9 4.6 -2.8
1980
+33.15 +18.34 6.5 0.2 -12.0 5.2 6.0 3.7 6.9 2.3 2.9 2.1 10.6 -3.5
1979
+24.25 +9.67 4.9 -2.7 6.6 0.8 -1.4 4.6 1.5 6.5 0.2 -7.2 6.4 2.8
1978
+8.45 -0.52 -5.6 -1.0 3.4 8.3 2.3 -1.1 5.7 4.2 -0.7 -11.0 3.5 1.7
1977
-3.36 -9.43 -3.7 -1.6 -0.9 0.5 -1.1 5.2 -1.3 -1.4 0.1 -4.0 4.5 0.8
1976
+26.47 +20.60 12.6 0.6 2.7 -1.0 -0.9 4.5 -0.7 -0.2 2.5 -2.1 0.4 6.1
1975
+37.82 +28.88 14.1 5.9 3.1 4.8 5.6 5.2 -6.1 -2.3 -3.8 5.7 3.1 -1.1
1974
-27.81 -35.74 0.2 0.3 -2.3 -4.6 -4.1 -2.2 -7.1 -8.7 -11.1 16.9 -4.1 -2.7
1973
-18.18 -24.74 -2.7 -4.4 -0.7 -5.1 -2.3 -0.8 5.7 -2.9 5.3 0.0 -12.1 1.3
1972
+17.62 +13.75 2.8 3.2 0.9 0.6 1.7 -2.1 -0.4 3.6 -0.7 0.9 5.0 1.1
1971
+17.63 +13.91 4.6 1.4 4.2 4.1 -3.6 0.6 -3.6 4.1 -0.2 -3.6 0.3 8.9
1970
+4.79 -0.74 -7.3 5.7 0.5 -8.7 -5.7 -4.6 7.7 4.8 3.8 -0.9 5.1 6.0
1969
-10.28 -15.52 -0.7 -4.7 3.6 2.3 -0.1 -5.5 -6.0 4.2 -2.4 4.5 -3.4 -1.8
1968
+13.39 +8.28 -3.9 -2.7 1.4 8.5 1.7 1.3 -1.4 5.7 0.2 1.1 5.1 -3.7
1967
+27.39 +23.63 8.4 0.7 4.5 4.7 -4.7 2.3 5.0 2.8 0.2 -2.4 0.6 3.1
1966
-8.73 -11.78 0.9 -1.4 -1.8 2.4 -5.0 -1.2 -0.9 -7.3 -0.3 5.1 0.7 0.3
1965
+14.20 +12.04 3.7 0.2 -1.1 3.8 -0.4 -4.4 1.8 2.6 3.6 3.1 -0.5 1.3
1964
+16.40 +15.28 3.0 1.3 1.8 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.1 -1.4 3.1 1.1 -0.3 0.6
1963
+21.15 +19.19 5.1 -2.7 3.7 5.0 1.6 -1.9 -0.2 5.1 -1.0 3.4 -0.9 2.6
1962
-9.62 -10.81 -3.6 1.8 -0.4 -6.0 -8.4 -8.0 6.6 1.8 -4.6 0.7 10.5 1.6
1961
+26.94 +26.10 6.6 3.0 2.8 0.6 2.2 -2.6 3.5 2.2 -1.7 3.1 4.2 0.6
1960
+0.92 -0.43 -6.8 1.3 -1.1 -1.4 3.0 2.3 -2.2 2.9 -5.7 0.1 4.4 4.9
1959
+12.78 +10.86 0.7 0.3 0.4 4.2 2.2 0.0 3.8 -1.2 -4.2 1.5 1.7 3.1
1958
+44.81 +42.31 4.8 -1.6 3.6 3.6 1.9 3.0 4.7 1.6 5.2 2.9 2.6 5.5
1957
-9.93 -12.47 -3.8 -2.9 2.4 4.1 4.1 0.3 1.5 -5.2 -5.8 -2.8 2.0 -3.7
1956
+8.51 +5.36 -3.2 3.9 7.4 0.3 -6.1 4.4 5.6 -3.3 -4.0 1.0 -0.6 3.9
1955
+25.72 +25.25 1.7 0.3 -0.6 3.7 -0.2 8.3 6.2 -0.9 1.1 -3.2 7.7 -0.2
1954
+50.59 +51.71 5.5 0.6 3.3 5.2 3.6 0.4 6.0 -3.1 8.7 -1.7 8.5 5.4
1953
+0.66 -0.09 -0.1 -1.2 -1.8 -2.0 0.4 -1.0 3.2 -5.1 0.8 5.7 1.5 0.8
1952
+13.62 +12.76 1.7 -3.6 4.9 -4.2 2.4 4.8 1.9 -1.4 -1.9 0.0 5.0 3.8
1951
+20.75 +13.91 6.4 0.9 -1.6 5.2 -3.8 -2.3 7.3 4.8 -0.3 -1.2 0.0 4.3
1950
+30.33 +23.03 2.3 1.6 1.0 5.1 4.5 -5.3 1.5 3.9 6.2 1.0 0.5 5.2
1949
+19.97 +22.51 0.9 -3.3 3.7 -1.4 -3.0 0.5 7.0 1.9 3.0 3.7 0.8 5.0
1948
+2.36 -0.61 -3.7 -4.5 7.9 2.9 8.1 0.6 -5.2 1.1 -2.8 7.2 -10.8 3.5
1947
+3.84 -4.59 2.6 -1.2 -1.4 -3.6 -0.6 5.6 4.0 -2.6 -1.1 2.5 -2.5 2.5
1946
-6.27 -20.66 7.5 -6.5 5.1 4.2 2.7 -3.5 -2.1 -6.8 -9.5 -0.2 -0.6 4.8
1945
+38.22 +35.18 2.0 6.7 -4.1 9.3 1.6 0.2 -1.5 6.2 4.6 3.5 3.6 1.4
1944
+21.23 +18.51 2.1 0.3 2.3 -0.7 4.6 5.6 -1.6 1.4 0.2 0.5 0.9 4.0
1943
+27.90 +24.22 7.9 5.7 5.9 0.7 5.0 2.5 -4.8 1.6 2.9 -0.8 -6.9 6.4
1942
+16.72 +7.05 1.7 -2.9 -5.8 -4.1 6.8 2.2 3.5 1.0 3.0 6.9 -1.2 5.6
1941
-10.09 -18.21 -4.1 -0.8 1.1 -5.7 1.0 6.1 6.2 -0.2 -0.3 -6.0 -3.4 -3.7
1940
-7.16 -7.82 -2.9 1.3 1.7 0.2 -23.1 8.5 3.8 3.3 1.8 4.6 -3.4 0.4
1939
+2.33 +2.33 -6.3 3.9 -12.9 0.2 6.9 -5.6 11.4 -6.3 16.8 -0.8 -4.1 3.0
1938
+28.38 +32.05 1.7 6.4 -25.1 14.5 -4.3 25.5 7.5 -2.7 1.7 7.8 -3.3 3.9
1937
-34.85 -36.66 4.2 1.9 -0.6 -7.9 -0.6 -4.8 10.7 -5.1 -13.7 -9.6 -9.6 -4.4
1936
+33.65 +31.74 6.9 2.0 2.9 -7.4 5.0 3.4 7.3 1.2 0.5 8.0 0.8 -0.2
1935
+46.29 +42.05 -3.9 -3.8 -2.9 10.0 3.5 7.0 8.7 2.4 2.6 7.9 4.1 4.1
1934
+2.31 +0.78 11.3 -3.1 0.7 -2.0 -7.4 2.8 -10.6 6.0 0.3 -2.5 8.9 0.2
1933
+57.18 +55.99 1.6 -17.7 4.3 42.8 16.6 13.6 -8.3 11.9 -10.7 -8.3 10.7 2.7
1932
-8.65 +1.81 -2.3 6.0 -11.3 -19.7 -22.7 0.0 38.5 38.2 -3.2 -13.6 -5.3 5.7
1931
-44.12 -38.38 5.4 11.9 -6.6 -9.2 -13.3 14.5 -7.1 1.5 -29.7 9.1 -9.4 -14.0
1930
-28.35 -23.46 6.4 2.3 8.1 -0.9 -1.5 -16.6 3.8 0.9 -13.2 -9.0 -2.1 -7.6
1929
-11.30 -11.81 5.8 -0.5 -0.2 1.7 -4.2 11.5 4.7 10.0 -4.9 -20.2 -13.5 2.8
1928
+38.68 +40.30 -0.6 -1.8 10.9 3.3 1.3 -4.1 1.3 7.6 2.5 1.5 12.4 0.3
1927
+33.33 +36.41 -2.0 4.9 0.8 1.9 5.4 -0.8 6.7 4.7 3.4 -4.3 7.1 2.1
1926
+11.46 +12.72 0.3 -4.0 -5.5 2.5 1.5 4.8 2.3 4.8 2.7 -2.7 2.7 2.1
1925
+25.78 +21.56 2.1 1.0 -6.6 3.2 5.4 0.6 3.8 0.5 2.8 6.0 -0.2 5.1
1924
+27.03 +27.03 3.6 -1.5 -2.1 -0.2 1.2 4.2 5.0 1.1 0.7 -0.3 7.4 5.7
1923
+5.38 +2.94 0.7 7.0 -0.9 -2.2 -3.5 -7.1 2.5 2.2 -2.5 0.3 6.1 3.5
1922
+29.04 +32.09 1.4 3.7 3.9 6.3 5.6 -3.7 1.8 7.6 -0.9 2.9 -4.4 2.3
1921
+10.09 +23.46 4.4 -0.6 -2.2 2.5 -1.7 -7.3 3.0 -1.9 3.0 2.6 6.9 1.9
1920
-14.01 -16.22 -2.0 -6.4 10.8 -6.3 -2.9 0.1 -1.3 2.8 0.5 2.2 -6.7 -4.5
1919
+19.62 +4.43 -1.1 3.8 1.0 5.7 8.6 -2.5 6.6 -7.5 2.4 8.1 -5.6 0.0
1918
+18.16 -1.89 7.4 2.2 -3.8 1.4 1.8 2.4 -0.5 2.4 -1.7 5.5 -1.5 1.7
1917
-18.65 -31.12 -1.4 -4.4 4.2 -0.4 -2.2 3.1 -1.5 -1.7 -3.4 -3.9 -6.6 -1.8
1916
+8.05 -4.06 -1.3 -1.1 0.0 -0.7 2.6 1.4 -1.0 1.2 4.5 3.5 2.7 -3.7
1915
+31.16 +28.61 1.9 -1.2 2.7 7.7 -2.3 1.3 -0.3 4.5 3.9 5.8 3.7 0.3
1914
-5.46 -6.39 4.4 1.6 -1.6 -2.1 0.9 -0.2 -5.3 -8.6 0.3 -5.3 4.2 7.2
1913
-4.77 -7.63 -0.1 -2.7 -1.1 0.7 -1.8 -4.1 2.2 3.5 1.8 -2.2 -1.6 0.7
1912
+7.12 -0.18 0.4 -0.5 3.2 3.5 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 -0.8 -3.3
1911
+3.47 +5.65 2.7 2.0 -1.0 -0.2 2.4 2.2 -0.2 -4.6 -5.3 0.8 4.3 0.7
1910
-3.44 +4.52 -1.4 -2.8 3.2 -1.7 -0.9 -4.0 -4.1 3.2 1.5 5.3 0.7 -1.9
1909
+16.09 +5.05 0.5 -2.8 1.5 4.7 3.5 1.9 1.6 2.6 0.2 0.5 -0.4 1.4
1908
+39.43 +34.95 4.4 -3.6 4.2 5.5 6.1 -0.4 3.8 4.5 -1.1 1.3 7.1 2.4
1907
-24.23 -22.58 -2.1 -2.3 -8.9 1.4 -2.5 -2.2 4.7 -6.3 0.0 -9.4 -4.4 5.9
1906
+0.60 -4.68 3.2 -1.0 -2.7 -1.6 -2.9 1.1 -2.9 7.4 3.0 -0.8 -0.6 -1.1
1905
+21.23 +21.24 2.6 4.8 3.2 -0.8 -4.5 1.6 3.5 4.1 0.7 1.8 -0.1 2.8
1904
+32.12 +26.20 2.1 -2.2 0.2 2.9 -1.6 0.6 4.6 3.8 4.8 6.3 5.8 1.4
1903
-17.14 -12.32 5.2 -0.5 -3.8 -4.0 -1.8 -5.4 -3.1 -4.5 -2.3 -3.2 0.5 4.9
1902
+8.21 +1.02 2.7 1.4 0.7 4.0 0.3 -0.1 2.8 3.2 0.8 -2.6 -3.2 -1.7
1901
+19.40 +13.73 9.1 2.3 3.3 8.2 -5.4 10.0 -7.2 1.2 -0.8 -1.4 2.0 -1.9
1900
+20.75 +25.34 2.4 2.8 1.8 2.3 -3.6 -1.8 1.1 2.3 0.7 -1.2 4.4 8.3
1899
+3.64 -11.30 7.4 3.6 1.2 1.1 -4.5 -2.5 3.4 2.4 -1.3 -0.7 1.8 -7.3
1898
+29.23 +27.32 3.5 0.6 -3.7 -0.9 7.3 4.6 1.1 4.4 0.5 -1.3 3.9 6.6
1897
+20.31 +20.31 0.6 -0.3 0.9 -2.5 1.1 5.2 5.0 7.0 5.3 -2.7 -2.9 2.6
1896
+3.20 +4.74 -0.7 4.7 -1.1 1.4 0.0 -1.4 -6.0 -5.2 5.7 2.7 7.2 -3.2
1895
+4.95 +2.00 -0.8 -1.0 0.4 4.7 5.9 2.3 0.8 1.8 1.0 -1.1 -3.0 -5.5
1894
+3.58 +10.99 -1.5 1.9 3.5 1.8 -3.2 -0.9 -1.6 4.3 2.1 -2.6 0.5 -0.4
1893
-18.85 -12.28 1.9 -1.7 -3.5 0.1 -8.8 -4.7 -9.3 -2.3 7.5 3.2 1.7 -3.5
1892
+6.08 +4.83 2.2 0.5 1.4 0.2 0.3 -0.2 0.3 1.8 -2.2 2.4 0.0 -0.7
1891
+18.83 +24.85 5.3 1.3 -1.8 3.4 -0.3 -2.0 -1.6 3.5 8.4 0.1 -1.5 3.2
1890
-6.20 -7.38 1.8 -0.5 -0.1 2.7 4.8 -0.1 -0.1 -1.7 -1.0 -3.8 -6.4 -1.6
1889
+7.03 +13.63 2.2 1.4 -1.8 0.1 3.0 2.0 -1.8 1.6 2.7 -1.5 -0.7 -0.3
1888
+3.28 +3.29 1.3 -0.1 -3.3 0.9 1.9 -2.6 3.1 2.6 2.9 -0.1 -1.6 -1.5
1887
-0.70 -6.45 -0.6 -0.2 2.8 2.8 2.2 -2.4 -1.9 -2.0 -0.8 -2.8 2.4 0.0
1886
+11.92 +17.38 0.3 2.2 -1.8 -1.1 -1.7 4.9 1.8 1.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 -2.4
1885
+29.98 +31.57 -1.5 3.9 1.0 0.5 -0.4 0.3 4.4 6.2 -0.6 6.3 7.0 -0.2
1884
-12.37 -2.32 -2.4 3.2 0.1 -3.4 -7.9 -3.3 0.7 7.0 -2.8 -2.6 -1.3 0.3
1883
-5.53 +2.25 -0.2 -2.1 1.6 2.4 -1.7 1.4 -1.5 -4.3 1.5 -2.4 1.7 -1.8
1882
+3.58 +5.54 -1.1 -1.6 0.3 0.5 -0.8 0.1 6.2 3.4 1.5 -2.0 -3.7 1.0
1881
+0.18 -6.41 5.7 -0.6 1.0 -0.4 4.3 1.0 -3.7 -2.7 0.6 -1.9 0.5 -3.1
1880
+26.50 +29.04 4.3 2.5 2.2 -1.6 -7.3 0.9 5.2 4.3 0.3 3.4 5.8 4.5
1879
+49.29 +25.90 4.4 3.9 -1.0 3.4 5.0 1.3 1.9 1.3 4.0 11.3 5.6 0.1
1878
+16.25 +35.16 0.8 -1.1 2.4 3.9 1.2 2.9 2.5 -0.3 2.9 -0.3 0.4 0.1
1877
-1.12 +11.78 0.1 -5.2 -4.4 -6.2 0.8 -6.3 4.9 7.6 6.7 2.9 -0.9 0.2
1876
-14.18 -12.67 2.7 1.8 0.1 -3.5 -3.4 -0.2 -0.8 -3.9 -5.7 -0.3 -1.3 -0.3
1875
+5.35 +10.84 0.8 0.6 1.9 2.1 -3.0 -1.4 1.0 1.3 -0.4 -0.6 2.2 0.8
1874
+4.67 +10.78 5.4 3.0 -1.2 -2.8 -2.3 -0.4 0.2 0.5 1.9 -0.1 0.8 -0.1
1873
-2.53 +3.55 1.6 1.8 -0.1 -0.6 1.1 -0.3 0.7 0.9 -6.7 -7.4 -2.5 10.1
1872
+11.12 +8.63 2.7 0.8 3.4 3.3 0.3 -0.7 -0.4 -0.9 -1.1 0.7 0.1 2.7
1871
+15.59 +13.85 0.3 2.1 3.2 3.7 3.0 -0.1 -1.1 1.7 1.7 -4.4 1.7 3.0

Portofolio Returns, up to December 2001, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001

Portfolio efficiency

Compared to the US Stocks Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum
+11.15 12.13 -43.61 80 20 0
US Stocks
+9.79 15.27 -50.84 100 0 0

The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.

Swipe left to see all data
5 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Cape US Sector Value
Robert Shiller
+11.72 18.53 -21.00 100 0 0
US Stocks
+9.80 18.65 -24.81 100 0 0
US Stocks Equal Weight
+9.63 19.84 -26.65 100 0 0
US Stocks Momentum
+9.29 18.82 -30.16 100 0 0
US Stocks Minimum Volatility
+8.73 14.66 -19.06 100 0 0
US Stocks Value
+8.19 18.53 -26.06 100 0 0
US Stocks ESG
+7.41 18.72 -27.79 100 0 0

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Technology
+13.06 23.81 -81.08 100 0 0
US Stocks Momentum
+12.44 15.06 -53.85 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum
+11.15 12.13 -43.61 80 20 0
US Stocks
+9.79 15.27 -50.84 100 0 0
US Stocks Minimum Volatility
+9.77 13.59 -43.27 100 0 0
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