Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2023
The Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 7 ETFs.
It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio obtained a 7.19% compound annual return, with a 8.99% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
15.00 % | SCZ | iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap | Equity, EAFE, Small Cap | |
15.00 % | EFV | iShares MSCI EAFE Value | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap, Value | |
7.50 % | IJR | iShares Core S&P Small-Cap | Equity, U.S., Small Cap | |
7.50 % | IJS | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value | |
7.50 % | VTV | Vanguard Value | Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value | |
7.50 % | VV | Vanguard Large-Cap | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
40.00 % | IEI | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2023
The Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Apr 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~48Y) |
|
Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio | n.a. | n.a. | 0.51 | 12.43 | -4.15 | 3.41 | 5.19 | 7.19 | 10.30 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | 0.51 | 10.92 | -8.40 | -0.39 | 2.53 | 4.58 | 6.36 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
SCZ iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 0.49 | 22.00 | -8.58 | 0.73 | 5.71 | 6.87 | 10.52 |
EFV iShares MSCI EAFE Value |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -0.04 | 27.41 | 0.56 | 1.53 | 3.57 | 5.60 | 9.95 |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -5.22 | 11.77 | -8.92 | 6.23 | 9.83 | 9.97 | 11.41 |
IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -6.48 | 14.24 | -7.17 | 6.05 | 9.23 | 10.37 | 12.82 |
VTV Vanguard Value |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -0.46 | 13.39 | -4.00 | 8.83 | 10.52 | 9.17 | 9.92 |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 3.61 | 15.21 | -8.87 | 10.92 | 12.07 | 9.77 | 8.92 |
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.92 | 3.76 | -2.27 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 4.28 | 4.50 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 4.64% , 5Y: 3.81% , 10Y: 2.60% , 30Y: 2.50%
Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023
Metrics of Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio, updated as of 31 March 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~48Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
0.51 | 3.61 | 12.43 | -4.15 | 8.21 | 3.41 | 5.19 | 7.45 | 7.19 | 10.30 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 4.64 | 5.24 | 3.81 | 2.60 | 2.48 | 2.50 | 3.71 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
0.51 | 2.21 | 10.92 | -8.40 | 2.82 | -0.39 | 2.53 | 4.85 | 4.58 | 6.36 |
Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 15.24 | 11.57 | 11.39 | 9.14 | 9.60 | 8.99 | 9.77 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.43 | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.65 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.62 | 0.89 | 0.26 | 0.66 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.87 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -14.75 | -18.44 | -18.44 | -18.44 | -32.39 | -32.39 | -32.39 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 49.03 | 34.18 | 28.56 | 18.89 | 14.65 | 13.20 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -27.21 | -6.40 | 0.60 | 4.77 | 6.30 | 7.14 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 85% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 75 | 157 | 233 | 386 |
Negative | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 45 | 83 | 127 | 193 |
% Positive | 100% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 61% | 60% | 63% | 65% | 65% | 67% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 39.91 | 20.90 | 12.65 | 9.94 | 7.17 | 9.24 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 2.75 | 0.00 | 2.46 | 4.63 | 4.38 | 5.98 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | SCZ | EFV | IJR | IJS | VTV | VV | IEI | |
SCZ |
1.00
|
0.96
|
0.83
|
0.81
|
0.85
|
0.90
|
0.78
|
|
EFV |
0.96
|
1.00
|
0.81
|
0.81
|
0.88
|
0.83
|
0.70
|
|
IJR |
0.83
|
0.81
|
1.00
|
0.99
|
0.92
|
0.91
|
0.52
|
|
IJS |
0.81
|
0.81
|
0.99
|
1.00
|
0.91
|
0.87
|
0.48
|
|
VTV |
0.85
|
0.88
|
0.92
|
0.91
|
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.57
|
|
VV |
0.90
|
0.83
|
0.91
|
0.87
|
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.75
|
|
IEI |
0.78
|
0.70
|
0.52
|
0.48
|
0.57
|
0.75
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | SCZ | EFV | IJR | IJS | VTV | VV | IEI | |
SCZ |
1.00
|
0.92
|
0.87
|
0.85
|
0.89
|
0.90
|
0.13
|
|
EFV |
0.92
|
1.00
|
0.82
|
0.84
|
0.88
|
0.79
|
-0.01
|
|
IJR |
0.87
|
0.82
|
1.00
|
0.99
|
0.91
|
0.89
|
-0.06
|
|
IJS |
0.85
|
0.84
|
0.99
|
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.85
|
-0.12
|
|
VTV |
0.89
|
0.88
|
0.91
|
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.92
|
-0.07
|
|
VV |
0.90
|
0.79
|
0.89
|
0.85
|
0.92
|
1.00
|
0.12
|
|
IEI |
0.13
|
-0.01
|
-0.06
|
-0.12
|
-0.07
|
0.12
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | SCZ | EFV | IJR | IJS | VTV | VV | IEI | |
SCZ |
1.00
|
0.92
|
0.79
|
0.77
|
0.82
|
0.86
|
0.08
|
|
EFV |
0.92
|
1.00
|
0.74
|
0.75
|
0.84
|
0.79
|
-0.04
|
|
IJR |
0.79
|
0.74
|
1.00
|
0.99
|
0.88
|
0.86
|
-0.12
|
|
IJS |
0.77
|
0.75
|
0.99
|
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.83
|
-0.17
|
|
VTV |
0.82
|
0.84
|
0.88
|
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.93
|
-0.14
|
|
VV |
0.86
|
0.79
|
0.86
|
0.83
|
0.93
|
1.00
|
0.03
|
|
IEI |
0.08
|
-0.04
|
-0.12
|
-0.17
|
-0.14
|
0.03
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | SCZ | EFV | IJR | IJS | VTV | VV | IEI | |
SCZ |
1.00
|
0.91
|
0.72
|
0.72
|
0.73
|
0.73
|
-0.11
|
|
EFV |
0.91
|
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.75
|
0.81
|
0.78
|
-0.14
|
|
IJR |
0.72
|
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.96
|
0.80
|
0.82
|
-0.20
|
|
IJS |
0.72
|
0.75
|
0.96
|
1.00
|
0.85
|
0.82
|
-0.20
|
|
VTV |
0.73
|
0.81
|
0.80
|
0.85
|
1.00
|
0.95
|
-0.15
|
|
VV |
0.73
|
0.78
|
0.82
|
0.82
|
0.95
|
1.00
|
-0.12
|
|
IEI |
-0.11
|
-0.14
|
-0.20
|
-0.20
|
-0.15
|
-0.12
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | SCZ | EFV | IJR | IJS | VTV | VV | IEI | |
SCZ |
1.00
|
0.93
|
0.76
|
0.76
|
0.79
|
0.81
|
0.07
|
|
EFV |
0.93
|
1.00
|
0.76
|
0.77
|
0.84
|
0.83
|
0.05
|
|
IJR |
0.76
|
0.76
|
1.00
|
0.97
|
0.83
|
0.84
|
0.01
|
|
IJS |
0.76
|
0.77
|
0.97
|
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.83
|
0.02
|
|
VTV |
0.79
|
0.84
|
0.83
|
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.95
|
0.08
|
|
VV |
0.81
|
0.83
|
0.84
|
0.83
|
0.95
|
1.00
|
0.09
|
|
IEI |
0.07
|
0.05
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
0.08
|
0.09
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio granted a 1.76% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3829.45$, with a net total return of 282.94% (4.58% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 19551.56$, with a net total return of 1855.16% (6.36% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-32.39% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
-18.44% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 6 | 19 |
-14.55% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-11.27% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-9.50% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 4 | 8 |
-8.98% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | May 2003 | 8 | 12 |
-8.67% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Jun 2019 | 6 | 10 |
-6.83% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Mar 2002 | 6 | 14 |
-6.66% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-6.44% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Apr 1995 | 10 | 15 |
-5.80% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
-3.42% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 3 |
-3.17% | Jul 2014 | Sep 2014 | 3 | Feb 2015 | 5 | 8 |
-3.15% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
-2.93% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 3 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 4 |
-2.89% | Jun 1996 | Jul 1996 | 2 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 4 |
-2.86% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Aug 2018 | 5 | 7 |
-2.71% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-2.66% | Oct 1997 | Nov 1997 | 2 | Jan 1998 | 2 | 4 |
-2.64% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 2 | Sep 2006 | 3 | 5 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-32.39% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
-18.44% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 6 | 19 |
-17.06% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Sep 1988 | 10 | 13 |
-14.55% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-11.99% | Jan 1990 | Oct 1990 | 10 | Feb 1991 | 4 | 14 |
-11.27% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-10.06% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | May 1980 | 2 | 4 |
-9.50% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 4 | 8 |
-8.98% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | May 2003 | 8 | 12 |
-8.67% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Jun 2019 | 6 | 10 |
-7.97% | Jul 1975 | Sep 1975 | 3 | Jan 1976 | 4 | 7 |
-7.67% | Dec 1981 | Jun 1982 | 7 | Aug 1982 | 2 | 9 |
-7.65% | Sep 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | Jan 1980 | 3 | 5 |
-7.35% | Jul 1981 | Sep 1981 | 3 | Nov 1981 | 2 | 5 |
-7.08% | Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | Jan 1979 | 3 | 4 |
-6.83% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Mar 2002 | 6 | 14 |
-6.66% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-6.44% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Apr 1995 | 10 | 15 |
-6.36% | Feb 1984 | May 1984 | 4 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 7 |
-5.80% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
10.60 |
49.03 Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-27.21 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
15.49% |
2 Years |
10.44 |
37.44 Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
-14.86 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
5.94% |
3 Years |
10.36 |
34.18 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-6.40 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
2.57% |
5 Years |
10.34 |
28.56 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
0.60 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
7 Years |
10.37 |
23.35 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
3.90 Oct 2015 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
10.43 |
18.89 Sep 1977 - Aug 1987 |
4.77 Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
10.09 |
17.23 Jan 1975 - Dec 1989 |
4.08 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
10.03 |
14.65 Jan 1975 - Dec 1994 |
6.30 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
10.06 |
13.20 Jan 1975 - Dec 2004 |
7.14 Oct 1992 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.48
60% |
-0.71
40% |
-1.42
60% |
0.96
80% |
0.62
80% |
-0.28
40% |
1.49
80% |
0.00
60% |
-1.83
20% |
0.49
60% |
2.81
80% |
0.39
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.48
|
100.76
|
99.33
|
100.28
|
100.90
|
100.63
|
102.13
|
102.13
|
100.26
|
100.75
|
103.58
|
103.99
|
Best |
5.6 2023 |
2.8 2021 |
2.1 2021 |
5.0 2020 |
2.8 2020 |
4.0 2019 |
4.3 2022 |
3.1 2020 |
2.0 2019 |
4.8 2022 |
8.4 2020 |
3.5 2020 |
Worst |
-2.6 2022 |
-4.5 2020 |
-9.3 2020 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.7 2019 |
-5.7 2022 |
-0.3 2019 |
-3.7 2022 |
-6.8 2022 |
-5.0 2018 |
-2.4 2021 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.61
50% |
0.10
50% |
-0.21
50% |
1.05
90% |
0.53
80% |
-0.24
40% |
1.42
80% |
-0.34
50% |
-0.59
40% |
0.94
70% |
1.86
90% |
0.36
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.61
|
100.71
|
100.50
|
101.56
|
102.10
|
101.85
|
103.30
|
102.94
|
102.33
|
103.30
|
105.22
|
105.60
|
Best |
5.6 2023 |
3.2 2014 |
4.6 2016 |
5.0 2020 |
2.8 2020 |
4.0 2019 |
4.3 2022 |
3.1 2020 |
4.6 2013 |
4.8 2022 |
8.4 2020 |
3.5 2020 |
Worst |
-2.8 2016 |
-4.5 2020 |
-9.3 2020 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.7 2019 |
-5.7 2022 |
-2.0 2014 |
-3.7 2022 |
-6.8 2022 |
-5.0 2018 |
-2.4 2021 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.23
65% |
0.50
63% |
0.84
69% |
1.47
79% |
0.94
71% |
0.71
58% |
0.73
63% |
0.54
65% |
-0.07
54% |
0.45
60% |
1.53
75% |
1.44
77% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.23
|
101.74
|
102.59
|
104.10
|
105.08
|
105.83
|
106.61
|
107.18
|
107.11
|
107.59
|
109.23
|
110.81
|
Best |
9.7 1975 |
6.8 1986 |
5.6 1986 |
7.7 2009 |
6.1 2003 |
4.3 1988 |
5.9 2009 |
8.5 1982 |
5.9 2010 |
8.8 1982 |
8.4 2020 |
7.6 1991 |
Worst |
-7.9 2009 |
-6.7 2009 |
-9.3 2020 |
-4.7 2022 |
-5.4 2010 |
-5.7 2022 |
-4.8 2002 |
-7.5 1998 |
-6.8 2022 |
-12.9 1987 |
-3.3 1987 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio data source starts from January 1975: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+3.61 | +2.21 | 5.6 | -2.4 | 0.5 | |||||||||
2022 |
-11.48 | -16.85 | -2.6 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -4.7 | 1.4 | -5.7 | 4.3 | -3.7 | -6.8 | 4.8 | 5.8 | -2.1 |
2021 |
+10.46 | +3.20 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -2.3 | 2.0 | -2.4 | 2.8 |
2020 |
+6.87 | +5.44 | -1.4 | -4.5 | -9.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3.1 | -1.6 | -1.1 | 8.4 | 3.5 |
2019 |
+16.14 | +13.54 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 | -3.7 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
2018 |
-6.64 | -8.39 | 2.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -0.5 | -5.0 | 1.0 | -4.3 |
2017 |
+13.36 | +11.02 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
2016 |
+8.15 | +5.95 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
2015 |
+0.47 | -0.26 | -0.2 | 3.1 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -1.2 | 0.6 | -3.5 | -1.7 | 3.5 | 0.1 | -1.5 |
2014 |
+2.33 | +1.56 | -1.7 | 3.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -2.0 | 1.5 | -2.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
2013 |
+17.81 | +16.07 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 4.0 | -1.7 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
2012 |
+11.70 | +9.79 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | -0.6 | -5.3 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
2011 |
-0.69 | -3.54 | 1.3 | 2.0 | -0.3 | 3.2 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -3.9 | -5.3 | 5.8 | -0.5 | 0.1 |
2010 |
+12.55 | +10.90 | -1.3 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | -5.4 | -1.7 | 5.6 | -2.4 | 5.9 | 2.6 | -1.4 | 4.5 |
2009 |
+17.16 | +14.06 | -7.9 | -6.7 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | -2.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
2008 |
-18.42 | -18.50 | -3.1 | -0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -4.7 | -0.7 | 0.4 | -4.9 | -9.8 | -1.9 | 3.6 |
2007 |
+5.07 | +0.95 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -2.4 | -1.1 |
2006 |
+15.49 | +12.63 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
2005 |
+8.71 | +5.12 | -0.3 | 1.8 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | -1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
2004 |
+16.23 | +12.56 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | -3.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -1.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
2003 |
+28.83 | +26.46 | -1.6 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 |
2002 |
-0.10 | -2.42 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | -1.7 | -4.8 | 1.1 | -3.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | -0.1 |
2001 |
-0.39 | -1.92 | 2.5 | -1.8 | -2.9 | 3.5 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -5.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
2000 |
+6.34 | +2.86 | -2.7 | 0.7 | 3.3 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 4.4 |
1999 |
+8.40 | +5.57 | 0.1 | -3.4 | 2.7 | 4.8 | -1.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.4 |
1998 |
+10.11 | +8.36 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | -0.6 | 0.1 | -1.6 | -7.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
1997 |
+8.93 | +7.11 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -1.7 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | -2.5 | 3.0 | -1.9 | -0.8 | 0.5 |
1996 |
+8.40 | +4.91 | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -2.8 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.6 | -1.1 |
1995 |
+20.10 | +17.12 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.8 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
1994 |
-1.91 | -4.47 | 3.1 | -2.0 | -3.5 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | -2.0 | 0.7 | -2.7 | 1.0 |
1993 |
+18.40 | +15.23 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 3.0 |
1992 |
+9.26 | +6.18 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -1.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 1.2 | -0.4 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
1991 |
+19.48 | +15.93 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -3.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 1.1 | -3.0 | 7.6 |
1990 |
-6.46 | -11.84 | -5.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -2.6 | 5.8 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -6.7 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
1989 |
+18.70 | +13.42 | 4.0 | -1.5 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
1988 |
+17.54 | +12.57 | 4.2 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 4.3 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 1.5 |
1987 |
+9.10 | +4.47 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 | -1.4 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.7 | -1.5 | -12.9 | -3.3 | 5.0 |
1986 |
+29.42 | +28.02 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | -2.2 | 6.0 | -4.1 | 4.2 | 2.3 | -0.7 |
1985 |
+35.92 | +30.95 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -1.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 4.2 |
1984 |
+8.33 | +4.22 | 0.6 | -2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
1983 |
+19.04 | +14.70 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | -2.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | -1.2 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
1982 |
+20.34 | +15.90 | -1.6 | -2.4 | -0.7 | 3.2 | -1.4 | -2.4 | 0.2 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
1981 |
+5.26 | -3.36 | -1.5 | 0.4 | 4.0 | -1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -3.8 | -2.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 | -2.5 |
1980 |
+16.99 | +3.98 | 2.8 | -3.2 | -7.0 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | -0.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 6.0 | -1.1 |
1979 |
+12.42 | -0.77 | 3.8 | -2.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
1978 |
+14.64 | +5.16 | -2.4 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | -7.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
1977 |
+8.65 | +1.82 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 4.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -1.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
1976 |
+18.42 | +12.93 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -0.7 | -1.7 | 3.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | -1.1 | 1.9 | 3.8 |
1975 |
+27.95 | +19.65 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 3.7 | -4.0 | -1.6 | -2.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- SCZ - iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- EFV - iShares MSCI EAFE Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
- IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
- IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
- VTV - Vanguard Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- VV - Vanguard Large-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.92 | 9.47 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.85 | 6.85 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.67 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.40 | 9.23 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.35 | 9.17 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.32 | 9.53 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.28 | 7.20 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.25 | 8.84 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.19 | 8.99 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.37 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.64 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.24 | 11.57 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.14 | 10.82 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.03 | 11.24 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 |