The Ted Aronson Family Taxable Portfolio can be implemented with 11 ETFs. This portfolio has a high risk, indicating it can undergo considerable value changes. It is appropriate for investors with a high risk tolerance who are aiming for higher returns and can handle notable drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 70% on the Stock Market, 30% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 30% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as high risk.

As of May 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Ted Aronson Family Taxable Portfolio obtained a 7.97% compound annual return, with a 11.80% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -38.46% that required 38 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Table of contents

Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the Ted Aronson Family Taxable Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

70% Stocks
30% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

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Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 ETF
Currency		 ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
15.00
VPL
USD Vanguard FTSE Pacific Equity, Developed Asia Pacific, Large Cap (USD)
15.00
VV
USD Vanguard Large-Cap Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
10.00
IJR
USD iShares Core S&P Small-Cap Equity, U.S., Small Cap (USD)
10.00
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap (USD)
5.00
IJT
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Growth (USD)
5.00
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value (USD)
5.00
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
5.00
VGK
USD Vanguard FTSE Europe Equity, Developed Europe, Large Cap (USD)
15.00
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term (USD)
10.00
TLT
USD iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Long-Term (USD)
5.00
HYG
USD iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of May 31, 2026

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Capital Growth
Inflation Adj:
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Show Live Returns: June 2026
Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of May 31, 2026
1 Day Time ET(*) Jun 2026 YTD
(5M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~41Y)
Investment Return 0.38 1.35 12.80 3.59 13.35 27.82 6.52 9.06 7.97 10.15
US Inflation Adjusted Return 10.11 3.11 10.31 22.70 1.96 5.50 5.27 7.12
Component Returns
VPL
USD Vanguard FTSE Pacific 0.67 Jun 30 2026 -0.39 28.47 8.25 31.36 52.45 10.38 10.74 4.36 7.22
VV
USD Vanguard Large-Cap 0.79 Jun 30 2026 -0.96 10.94 5.41 10.93 29.58 13.72 15.62 10.46 12.04
IJR
USD iShares Core S&P Small-Cap 0.64 Jun 30 2026 7.28 15.56 1.14 15.43 33.40 5.86 10.76 9.57 11.09
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets 1.45 Jun 30 2026 0.24 25.39 7.20 28.10 54.34 7.04 9.97 6.50 9.71
IJT
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth 1.06 Jun 30 2026 9.51 15.89 1.15 14.67 28.50 5.60 10.86 9.04 10.22
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value 0.25 Jun 30 2026 5.00 15.13 1.08 16.03 38.64 5.87 10.15 10.01 11.94
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market 0.80 Jun 30 2026 -0.39 11.46 5.18 11.44 30.03 12.88 15.11 10.28 11.72
VGK
USD Vanguard FTSE Europe 0.53 Jun 30 2026 0.83 6.96 2.15 10.72 19.65 8.73 9.56 7.31 10.29
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond -0.43 Jun 30 2026 -0.46 1.69 0.19 1.06 4.67 0.77 2.52 5.05 6.58
TLT
USD iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond -1.18 Jun 30 2026 1.17 -0.14 0.53 -2.79 3.91 -6.11 -1.42 4.71 6.80
HYG
USD iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond -0.05 Jun 30 2026 0.09 1.60 0.44 2.10 6.99 3.81 4.95 5.44 6.93
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
US Inflation is updated to May 2026. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 4.18% , 5Y: 4.47% , 10Y: 3.38% , 30Y: 2.56%
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Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2026

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 January 1985 - 31 May 2026 (~41 years)
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Metrics as of May 31, 2026
YTD
(5M) 		1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~41Y)
Investment Return (%)
12.80 3.59 5.11 13.35 27.82 15.94 6.52 9.06 7.73 7.97 10.15
Growth of 1$ 1.13 1.04 1.05 1.13 1.28 1.56 1.37 2.38 4.43 9.98 54.71
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
10.11 3.11 3.06 10.31 22.70 12.27 1.96 5.50 5.03 5.27 7.12
US Inflation (%) 2.44 0.47 1.99 2.75 4.18 3.27 4.47 3.38 2.57 2.56 2.82
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -5.51 -10.26 -23.76 -23.76 -38.46 -38.46 -38.46
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 5 31 31 38 38 38
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 3 9 9 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 2 22 22 22 22 22
End (yyyy mm) 2026 04 2023 12 2024 07 2024 07 2010 12 2010 12 2010 12
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same		 -4.25
same
same
same		 -19.15 -19.15
Start to Recovery (# months)
7 43 43
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2024 12 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 04 2000 04
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 9 9 16 30 30
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 2002 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 2 22 22 22 13 13
End (yyyy mm) 2026 04 2025 06 2024 07 2024 07 2010 12 2003 10 2003 10
Longest negative period (# months)
2 9 36 36 47 61 61
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 02 2024 08 2021 06 2021 05 2007 11 2004 02 2004 02
End (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2024 05 2024 04 2011 09 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -13.68 -0.79 0.00 -0.72 -0.51 -0.10 -0.10
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -6.32 -11.11 -29.05 -29.05 -39.48 -39.48 -39.48
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 5 53 53 40 40 40
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2023 08 2021 09 2021 09 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 3 13 13 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 2 40 40 24 24 24
End (yyyy mm) 2026 05 2023 12 2026 01 2026 01 2011 02 2011 02 2011 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same		 -5.43
same
same		 -29.05 -29.05 -29.05
Start to Recovery (# months)
7 53 53 53
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2024 12 2021 09 2021 09 2021 09 2021 09 2021 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 13 13 13 13 13
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 2 40 40 40 40 40
End (yyyy mm) 2026 05 2025 06 2026 01 2026 01 2026 01 2026 01 2026 01
Longest negative period (# months)
2 9 57 75 75 116 116
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 02 2023 08 2021 07 2017 08 2017 08 1999 07 1999 07
End (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2024 04 2026 03 2023 10 2023 10 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -19.33 -0.76 -0.02 -0.16 -0.16 -0.12 -0.12
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 10.32 11.28 12.97 11.91 12.09 11.80 11.88
Sharpe Ratio 2.32 1.00 0.24 0.58 0.51 0.49 0.59
Sortino Ratio 2.92 1.33 0.33 0.76 0.67 0.64 0.77
Ulcer Index 1.53 2.82 9.03 6.89 8.51 8.04 7.28
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.70 1.41 0.50 0.76 0.64 0.68 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 5.05 1.55 0.27 0.38 0.20 0.21 0.26
Positive Months (%)
91.66 69.44 60.00 68.33 65.41 65.00 67.20
Positive Months 11 25 36 82 157 234 334
Negative Months 1 11 24 38 83 126 163
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 9.06 11.88 11.88 15.66
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.88 3.57 3.57
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.50 9.95 9.95 11.71
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.04 0.95 0.95
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of May 2026 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.83 22.76 17.93 11.88 8.99 7.97
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -32.59 -8.72 -0.47 3.57 5.92
Positive Periods (%) 76.7 90.1 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 42.76 19.89 15.54 9.95 6.67 5.27
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -32.59 -10.66 -3.03 0.95 3.76
Positive Periods (%) 71.9 77.5 94.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.90 7.60 9.52 12.51 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.32 10.05 12.99 21.69 12.71 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.22 11.62 15.21 29.52 18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.70 14.18 18.82 31.24 21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 80.28 27.54 17.65 10.33 6.56 6.41
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- 1.13 3.43 5.04
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1985 - May 2026)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 47.20 23.42 21.42 15.66 12.63 10.97
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -32.59 -8.72 -0.47 3.57 5.92 7.13
Positive Periods (%) 79.8 93.0 99.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 44.90 19.89 17.13 11.71 9.32 8.02
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -32.59 -10.66 -3.03 0.95 3.76 4.49
Positive Periods (%) 75.1 83.7 96.3 100.0 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.77 7.16 8.61 10.12 2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.19 9.63 12.09 18.60 10.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.11 11.21 14.33 26.97 16.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.59 13.79 17.97 29.85 19.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 80.28 27.54 17.65 10.33 6.56 6.41
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- 1.13 3.43 4.81
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. When cashflows are involved, it is calculated using the Money-Weighted Rate of Return (MWRR), based on the Modified Dietz formula.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration. When cashflows are involved, portfolio values are normalized by the invested capital (i.e. owned quotes) at each time step: this isolates the effect of market performance from capital contributions, avoiding misleading drawdowns caused by large inflows that artificially lift portfolio value and, as a result, the drawdowns match the ones without cash flows.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Your practical guide to Building Wealth.
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Inflation Adj:
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Rolling Return Analysis

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns — Over Time & Distribution

Holding Periods and Returns

Holding periods are based on rolling periods: each rolling window represents the return an investor would have achieved by holding the investment for a fixed period (e.g., 10, 20, or 30 years) starting from different dates.

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Inflation Adj:
Percentiles: – Changes pending. Click 'Update' to refresh

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Time to Target

What it shows: Months to reach your target capital from each historical entry point, accounting for your initial investment and periodic contributions.

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Time to reach your Target Capital

Monthly Returns and Seasonality

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Ted Aronson Family Taxable Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

TED ARONSON FAMILY TAXABLE PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution

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Monthly Seasonality Analysis
41 full years are available for analysis

Returns, up to December 2007, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:

  • Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL), up to December 2005
  • Vanguard Large-Cap (VV), up to December 2004
  • iShares Core S&P Small-Cap (IJR), up to December 2000
  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), up to December 2003
  • iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth (IJT), up to December 2000
  • iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (IJS), up to December 2000
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI), up to December 2001
  • Vanguard FTSE Europe (VGK), up to December 2005
  • iShares TIPS Bond (TIP), up to December 2003
  • iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT), up to December 2002
  • iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG), up to December 2007

Portfolio efficiency

Compare Ted Aronson Family Taxable Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.


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Allocation
Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
Return▾		 Standard
Deviation		 Ulcer
Index		 Deepest
Drawdown		 Longest
Drawdown		 Longest
Neg.Period		 Avg
Rank

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Allocation
Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
Return▾		 Standard
Deviation		 Ulcer
Index		 Deepest
Drawdown		 Longest
Drawdown		 Longest
Neg.Period		 Avg
Rank

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Allocation
Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
Return▾		 Standard
Deviation		 Ulcer
Index		 Deepest
Drawdown		 Longest
Drawdown		 Longest
Neg.Period		 Avg
Rank
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Your practical guide to Building Wealth.
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