The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 3 ETFs.
It's exposed for 67% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio obtained a 7.53% compound annual return, with a 10.46% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
34.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
33.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
33.00 % | TIP | iShares TIPS Bond | Bond, U.S., All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2022 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Jul 2022 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y(*) | 10Y(*) | 30Y(*) | |
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio | -1.21 | -0.33 | -6.28 | -15.97 | -12.53 | 5.75 | 6.71 | 7.53 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -6.28 | -19.24 | -18.69 | 2.07 | 4.15 | 4.94 | |||
Components | |||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market |
-0.84 |
01:59PM Jul 05 2022 |
0.21 | -8.23 | -21.32 | -14.17 | 10.53 | 12.52 | 9.81 |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US |
-2.68 |
01:59PM Jul 05 2022 |
-2.70 | -7.68 | -17.38 | -18.51 | 2.89 | 5.19 | 5.29 |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond |
-0.12 |
01:59PM Jul 05 2022 |
1.49 | -3.11 | -9.04 | -5.27 | 3.04 | 1.57 | 5.80 |
US Inflation is updated to May 2022. Waiting for updates, inflation of Jun 2022 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.57% , 5Y: 3.61% , 10Y: 2.46% , 30Y: 2.47%
Portfolio Dividends
In 2021, the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio granted a 3.04% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Historical Returns as of Jun 30, 2022
Historical returns and stats of Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio. Total Returns and Inflation Adjusted Returns are both mentioned.
Period | Return (%) as of Jun 2022 |
Return (%) Infl.Adj. |
Standard Deviation (%) |
Max Drawdown (%) |
Months Pos - Neg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M
Jun 2022
|
-6.28
|
-6.28
|
-6.28
Jun 2022 - Jun 2022
|
0 - 1
|
|
3M
|
-11.75
|
-12.89
|
-11.75
Apr 2022 - Jun 2022
|
1 - 2
|
|
6M
|
-15.97
|
-19.24
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
2 - 4
|
|
YTD
|
-15.97
|
-19.24
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
2 - 4
|
|
1Y
|
-12.53
|
-18.69
|
10.55
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
6 - 6
50% pos
|
3Y(*)
|
5.14
|
0.61
|
12.41
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
24 - 12
67% pos
|
5Y(*)
|
5.75
|
2.07
|
11.23
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
41 - 19
68% pos
|
10Y(*)
|
6.71
|
4.15
|
9.43
|
-15.97
Jan 2022 - Jun 2022
|
83 - 37
69% pos
|
15Y(*)
|
5.22
|
2.86
|
11.75
|
-38.70
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
113 - 67
63% pos
|
20Y(*)
|
7.03
|
4.47
|
10.90
|
-38.70
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
158 - 82
66% pos
|
25Y(*)
|
6.46
|
3.94
|
10.96
|
-38.70
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
191 - 109
64% pos
|
30Y(*)
|
7.53
|
4.94
|
10.46
|
-38.70
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
238 - 122
66% pos
|
MAX(*)
01 Jun 1991
|
7.40
|
4.79
|
10.46
|
-38.70
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
245 - 128
66% pos
|
Returns and stats are calculated assuming a yearly rebalancing of the components weight. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
Capital Growth as of Jun 30, 2022
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4243.33$, with a net total return of 324.33% (4.94% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4280.35$, with a net total return of 328.04% (4.79% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-38.70% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Jan 2011 | 23 | 39 |
-22.41% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
-15.97% | Jan 2022 | Jun 2022 | 6 | in progress | 6 | |
-14.40% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-12.82% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-9.97% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
-9.72% | Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 5 |
-9.68% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Sep 2016 | 7 | 17 |
-5.67% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-5.54% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Apr 1995 | 13 | 15 |
-4.68% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Jan 1998 | 5 | 6 |
-4.43% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-4.31% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-3.64% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.40% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-3.39% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Oct 2004 | 6 | 7 |
-3.31% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-3.16% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Feb 2015 | 5 | 6 |
-2.96% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-2.95% | Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 3 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-38.70% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Jan 2011 | 23 | 39 |
-22.41% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
-15.97% | Jan 2022 | Jun 2022 | 6 | in progress | 6 | |
-14.40% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-12.82% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-9.97% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
-9.72% | Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 5 |
-9.68% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Sep 2016 | 7 | 17 |
-5.71% | Jan 1992 | Mar 1992 | 3 | Dec 1992 | 9 | 12 |
-5.67% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-5.54% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Apr 1995 | 13 | 15 |
-4.68% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Jan 1998 | 5 | 6 |
-4.43% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-4.31% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-3.79% | Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | Aug 1991 | 2 | 3 |
-3.64% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.40% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-3.39% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Oct 2004 | 6 | 7 |
-3.31% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-3.16% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Feb 2015 | 5 | 6 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
8.58 |
42.86 Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-34.38 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
18.23% |
2 Years |
8.23 |
29.52 Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-16.83 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
14.29% |
3 Years |
7.87 |
20.56 Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
-8.17 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
10.65% |
5 Years |
7.68 |
16.22 Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
-1.07 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.32% |
7 Years |
7.40 |
13.69 Jan 1993 - Dec 1999 |
2.40 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
7.15 |
10.43 Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
2.12 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
7.12 |
10.25 Nov 1992 - Oct 2007 |
5.02 Mar 1994 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
7.13 |
8.36 Jul 1991 - Jun 2011 |
4.90 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: in which months is it better to invest?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Win % |
0.23 61% |
0.17 58% |
0.66 68% |
1.64 81% |
0.47 65% |
0.00 56% |
1.02 65% |
0.09 68% |
0.08 58% |
0.75 65% |
0.94 68% |
1.69 77% |
Best Year |
5.9 2019 |
4.6 1998 |
8.0 2009 |
7.3 2020 |
7.5 2009 |
4.6 2019 |
6.3 2009 |
4.1 1993 |
6.7 2010 |
7.8 2011 |
8.3 2020 |
6.8 1991 |
Worst Year |
-7.0 2009 |
-7.2 2009 |
-9.9 2020 |
-5.9 2022 |
-6.2 2010 |
-6.3 2022 |
-5.2 2002 |
-9.4 1998 |
-8.2 2008 |
-15.3 2008 |
-4.4 1993 |
-4.7 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio monthly and yearly returns: how is the distribution of the returns recorded so far?
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2022 |
-15.97 | -19.24 | -3.5 | -1.6 | 0.3 | -5.9 | 0.1 | -6.3 | ||||||
2021 |
+13.33 | +5.82 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -3.0 | 3.7 | -1.7 | 2.7 |
2020 |
+14.40 | +12.95 | -0.4 | -4.5 | -9.9 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 4.1 | -1.9 | -1.5 | 8.3 | 3.8 |
2019 |
+20.39 | +17.72 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.4 | -3.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
2018 |
-6.92 | -8.67 | 3.4 | -3.4 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -5.8 | 1.3 | -4.7 |
2017 |
+17.22 | +14.77 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
2016 |
+7.53 | +5.37 | -3.3 | -0.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
2015 |
-2.03 | -2.66 | 0.1 | 3.4 | -1.0 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 0.7 | -5.0 | -2.5 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -1.9 |
2014 |
+3.95 | +3.28 | -2.3 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 1.9 | -3.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | -1.6 |
2013 |
+13.25 | +11.56 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 4.0 | -2.3 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
2012 |
+13.94 | +11.97 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -5.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
2011 |
+0.08 | -2.89 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 3.6 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -4.5 | -6.5 | 7.8 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
2010 |
+11.85 | +10.26 | -2.6 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | -6.2 | -2.0 | 5.5 | -2.0 | 6.7 | 3.4 | -1.7 | 4.6 |
2009 |
+25.18 | +21.75 | -7.0 | -7.2 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 7.5 | -0.5 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 4.1 | -1.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
2008 |
-26.90 | -26.88 | -3.5 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | -4.8 | -1.6 | -0.8 | -8.2 | -15.3 | -3.9 | 5.6 |
2007 |
+10.88 | +6.51 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 3.0 | -1.9 | -1.0 |
2006 |
+14.22 | +11.41 | 3.4 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | -2.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
2005 |
+8.11 | +4.61 | -1.4 | 2.1 | -1.5 | -0.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -2.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
2004 |
+13.95 | +10.27 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | -3.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
2003 |
+26.41 | +23.89 | -2.0 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 4.4 |
2002 |
-6.46 | -8.72 | -1.6 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -0.4 | 0.5 | -3.2 | -5.2 | 1.6 | -5.4 | 2.6 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
2001 |
-7.87 | -9.32 | 2.3 | -5.2 | -4.2 | 5.3 | -0.4 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -2.6 | -5.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
2000 |
-2.92 | -6.15 | -3.3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | -3.7 | -2.1 | 3.6 | -1.7 | 3.5 | -3.1 | -1.1 | -3.6 | 2.5 |
1999 |
+16.49 | +13.46 | 1.3 | -2.9 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -2.8 | 3.0 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 5.7 |
1998 |
+16.12 | +14.28 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | -1.1 | 1.5 | -0.4 | -9.4 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
1997 |
+14.48 | +12.57 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -2.3 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 4.8 | -4.7 | 4.6 | -3.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
1996 |
+9.11 | +5.54 | 1.1 | -0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -3.0 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 4.4 | -1.7 |
1995 |
+21.08 | +18.09 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | -0.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
1994 |
+1.10 | -1.46 | 5.2 | -1.7 | -3.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | -2.5 | 1.4 | -3.1 | 1.3 |
1993 |
+18.69 | +15.44 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -1.0 | 1.1 | -4.4 | 2.9 |
1992 |
+1.10 | -1.81 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -3.6 | 0.1 | 3.4 | -1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | -2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
1991 |
- | - | -3.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -2.6 | 6.8 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- TIP - iShares TIPS Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
Portfolio efficiency
Is the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio actually efficient, compared to other Lazy Portfolios?
Overall Ratings
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio is classified as High Risk.
Less than 25%
25% - 49.99%
50% - 74.99%
At least 75%
High Risk Portfolios |
All Portfolios |
||
---|---|---|---|
25 Years Ann. Return (Inflation Adjusted) |
+6.46%
(+3.94%) |
Poor : 1 / 5
|
Average : 2.5 / 5
|
Standard Deviation over 25 Years |
10.96% |
Average : 2 / 5
|
Good : 3.1 / 5
|
Maximum Drawdown over 25 Years |
-38.70% |
Bad : 1.5 / 5
|
Average : 2.6 / 5
|
Easy to manage | 3 ETFs |
Good : 4 / 5
|
Good : 4 / 5
|
Rating assigned considering all the High Risk Portfolios | Rating assigned considering all the Portfolios in the database |
Best Classic Portfolios, with High Risk
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Jul 2022 | Return▾ | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+0.42 | +8.84 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+0.17 | +8.66 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
-0.38 | +8.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+0.46 | +8.56 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
-0.06 | +8.28 | -40.89 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
Last update: Jul 05 2022, 02:00PM Eastern Time.