Last Update: 31 December 2020
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio is exposed for 67% on the Stock Market.
It's a High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 3 ETFs.
In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 7.83% compound annual return, with a 9.76% standard deviation.
In 2020, the portfolio granted a 1.73% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
34.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
33.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
33.00 % | TIP | iShares TIPS Bond | Bond, U.S., All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns
The Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y(*) | 5Y(*) | 10Y(*) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio | +3.83 | +10.74 | +17.57 | +14.40 | +8.63 | +10.07 | +7.83 |
Components | |||||||
VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market | +4.68 | +14.75 | +25.36 | +21.03 | +14.45 | +15.44 | +13.77 |
VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | +5.72 | +16.59 | +24.39 | +11.12 | +5.12 | +9.20 | +5.12 |
TIP - iShares TIPS Bond | +1.10 | +1.63 | +4.52 | +10.84 | +5.79 | +4.99 | +3.65 |
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
- the reinvestment of dividends
If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Historical Returns
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio - Historical returns and stats.
Period | Returns Dec 2020 |
Standard Deviation * |
Max Drawdown |
Months Pos - Neg |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M
|
+3.83%
|
0.00%
|
1 - 0 | |
3M
|
+10.74%
|
-1.54%
Oct 2020 - Oct 2020
|
2 - 1 | |
6M
|
+17.57%
|
-3.40%
Sep 2020 - Oct 2020
|
4 - 2 | |
YTD
|
+14.40%
|
17.15%
|
-14.40%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
7 - 5 |
1Y
|
+14.40%
|
17.15%
|
-14.40%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
7 - 5 |
3Y
|
+8.63%
annualized
|
12.55%
|
-14.40%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
23 - 13 |
5Y
|
+10.07%
annualized
|
10.31%
|
-14.40%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
44 - 16 |
10Y
|
+7.83%
annualized
|
9.76%
|
-14.40%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
80 - 40 |
MAX
01 Jan 2001
|
+6.76%
annualized
|
10.94%
|
-38.70%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
154 - 86 |
* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns
Best High Risk Porftolios, ordered by 10Y annualized return.
Portfolio | 10Y Return ▾ | Stocks | Bonds | Comm. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+11.38% | 75 | 25 | 0 | Compare | |
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+9.90% | 60 | 40 | 0 | Compare | |
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+9.07% | 70 | 30 | 0 | Compare | |
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+9.02% | 69 | 31 | 0 | Compare | |
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.95% | 66.67 | 33.33 | 0 | Compare |
Capital Growth
Drawdowns
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
Rolling Period | Average | Best | Worst | |
1 Year |
+7.31% |
+42.86% Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-34.38% Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
21.83% |
2 Years |
+7.26% |
+29.52% Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-16.83% Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
16.13% |
3 Years |
+7.34% |
+20.56% Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
-8.17% Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
9.76% |
5 Years |
+7.02% |
+16.22% Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
-1.07% Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.55% |
7 Years |
+6.71% |
+10.85% Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
+2.40% Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
+6.92% |
+10.43% Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
+4.76% Mar 2006 - Feb 2016 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
+6.95% |
+8.77% Feb 2003 - Jan 2018 |
+5.28% Feb 2001 - Jan 2016 |
0.00% |
* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns
Scott Burns Margaritaville Portfolio Seasonality
Months | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Best |
5.9 2019 |
3.6 2014 |
8.0 2009 |
7.3 2020 |
7.5 2009 |
4.7 2019 |
6.3 2009 |
4.1 2020 |
6.7 2010 |
7.8 2011 |
8.3 2020 |
5.6 2008 |
Worst |
-7.0 2009 |
-7.2 2009 |
-9.9 2020 |
-3.4 2004 |
-6.2 2010 |
-4.8 2008 |
-5.2 2002 |
-5.0 2015 |
-8.2 2008 |
-15.3 2008 |
-3.9 2008 |
-4.7 2018 |
Gain Frequency |
55 | 60 | 65 | 80 | 60 | 50 | 65 | 65 | 60 | 65 | 75 | 70 |
Detail of Monthly Returns
Months | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Return | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2020 |
+14.40% | -0.4 | -4.5 | -9.9 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 4.1 | -1.9 | -1.5 | 8.3 | 3.8 |
2019 |
+20.39% | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.4 | -3.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
2018 |
-6.92% | 3.4 | -3.4 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -5.8 | 1.3 | -4.7 |
2017 |
+17.22% | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
2016 |
+7.53% | -3.3 | -0.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
2015 |
-2.03% | 0.1 | 3.4 | -1.0 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 0.7 | -5.0 | -2.5 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -1.9 |
2014 |
+3.95% | -2.3 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 1.9 | -3.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | -1.6 |
2013 |
+13.25% | 2.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 4.0 | -2.3 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
2012 |
+13.94% | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -5.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
2011 |
+0.08% | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 3.6 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -4.5 | -6.5 | 7.8 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
2010 |
+11.85% | -2.6 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | -6.2 | -2.0 | 5.5 | -2.0 | 6.7 | 3.4 | -1.7 | 4.6 |
2009 |
+25.18% | -7.0 | -7.2 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 7.5 | -0.5 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 4.1 | -1.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
2008 |
-26.90% | -3.5 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | -4.8 | -1.6 | -0.8 | -8.2 | -15.3 | -3.9 | 5.6 |
2007 |
+10.88% | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 3.0 | -1.9 | -1.0 |
2006 |
+14.22% | 3.4 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | -2.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
2005 |
+8.11% | -1.4 | 2.1 | -1.6 | -0.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -2.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
2004 |
+13.95% | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | -3.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
2003 |
+26.41% | -2.0 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 4.4 |
2002 |
-6.46% | -1.6 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -0.5 | 0.5 | -3.2 | -5.2 | 1.6 | -5.4 | 2.6 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
2001 |
-7.87% | 2.3 | -5.2 | -4.2 | 5.3 | -0.4 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -2.6 | -5.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
* Note: Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
TIP - iShares TIPS Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003