Data Source: from January 1985 to October 2022 (~38 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.29%
1 Day
Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
1.19%
Current Month
November 2022

The Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.

It's exposed for 50% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio obtained a 8.06% compound annual return, with a 8.58% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

50% Stocks
50% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
50.00 %
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
50.00 %
TIP iShares TIPS Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Oct 31, 2022

The Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming: November 2022 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
SCOTT BURNS COUCH POTATO PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%)
Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2022
  1 Day Time ET(*) Nov 2022 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~38Y)
Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio -0.29 1.19 4.56 -7.20 -14.60 5.95 6.80 8.06 9.20
US Inflation Adjusted return 4.13 -9.97 -20.74 2.02 4.12 5.42 6.24
Components
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
-0.16 04:00PM
Nov 29 2022
2.03 8.11 -5.43 -16.87 9.80 12.41 9.79 10.34
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
-0.43 04:00PM
Nov 29 2022
0.35 1.42 -8.80 -12.43 1.79 0.80 5.47 5.86
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Oct 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.75% , 5Y: 3.85% , 10Y: 2.57% , 30Y: 2.51%

Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022

Metrics of Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio, updated as of 31 October 2022.

Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
SCOTT BURNS COUCH POTATO PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 October 2022 (~38 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~38Y)
Portfolio
Return (%)
4.56 -7.27 -7.20 -14.60 5.32 5.95 6.80 7.29 8.06 9.20
US Inflation (%) 0.41 0.59 3.08 7.75 5.01 3.85 2.57 2.52 2.51 2.79
Infl. Adjusted
Return (%)
4.13 -7.81 -9.97 -20.74 0.29 2.02 4.12 4.66 5.42 6.24
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.44 12.84 11.08 8.76 8.70 8.58 9.05
Sharpe Ratio -1.06 0.38 0.45 0.72 0.71 0.69 0.58
Sortino Ratio -1.55 0.50 0.58 0.93 0.92 0.89 0.76
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -19.77 -19.77 -19.77 -19.77 -27.04 -27.04 -27.04
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 9 9 9 9 16 16 16
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
> 10
> 10
> 10
> 10
30
30
30
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 37.91 20.59 17.45 14.28 11.75 10.06
Worst Return (%) -25.31 -5.41 -0.85 2.76 5.74 7.87
% Positive Periods 85% 97% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MONTHS
Positive 1 1 2 4 22 39 83 164 242 303
Negative 0 2 4 8 14 21 37 76 118 151
% Positive 100% 33% 33% 33% 61% 65% 69% 68% 67% 67%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 38.71 22.96 13.17 8.14 7.77 9.49
Perpetual WR (%) 0.29 1.98 3.96 4.45 5.14 5.87
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.

If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.

Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 October 2022
Swipe left to see all data
 
 
Asset VTI TIP
VTI
1.00
0.79
TIP
0.79
1.00
 
 
Asset VTI TIP
VTI
1.00
0.56
TIP
0.56
1.00
 
 
Asset VTI TIP
VTI
1.00
0.41
TIP
0.41
1.00
 
 
Asset VTI TIP
VTI
1.00
0.18
TIP
0.18
1.00
 
 
Asset VTI TIP
VTI
1.00
0.21
TIP
0.21
1.00

Portfolio Dividends

In 2021, the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio granted a 2.96% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Oct 31, 2022

An investment of 1000$, since November 1992, now would be worth 10227.46$, with a total return of 922.75% (8.06% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4866.43$, with a net total return of 386.64% (5.42% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1985, now would be worth 27930.43$, with a total return of 2693.04% (9.20% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 9868.98$, with a net total return of 886.90% (6.24% annualized).

Drawdowns

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-27.04% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Apr 2010 14 30
-19.77% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 1 10
-10.72% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jun 2020 3 5
-10.30% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 May 2003 8 33
-8.78% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 5 Mar 1995 9 14
-8.06% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Apr 2019 4 8
-8.06% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Nov 1998 3 5
-6.25% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Dec 2011 3 8
-6.09% May 2010 Jun 2010 2 Sep 2010 3 5
-5.47% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Apr 2016 7 14
-4.60% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-3.54% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Oct 2004 6 7
-3.41% Feb 1997 Mar 1997 2 May 1997 2 4
-3.30% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3
-3.29% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 3 Oct 1999 1 4
-3.24% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3
-3.18% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Jul 2013 1 3
-2.92% Feb 2018 Mar 2018 2 Jul 2018 4 6
-2.80% Aug 1997 Aug 1997 1 Sep 1997 1 2
-2.76% Jul 1996 Jul 1996 1 Sep 1996 2 3
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-27.04% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Apr 2010 14 30
-19.77% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 1 10
-16.03% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Jan 1989 14 17
-10.72% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jun 2020 3 5
-10.30% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 May 2003 8 33
-8.78% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 5 Mar 1995 9 14
-8.06% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Apr 2019 4 8
-8.06% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Nov 1998 3 5
-7.58% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 2 Jan 1991 4 6
-6.25% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Dec 2011 3 8
-6.09% May 2010 Jun 2010 2 Sep 2010 3 5
-5.55% Sep 1986 Sep 1986 1 Jan 1987 4 5
-5.47% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Apr 2016 7 14
-5.13% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 4 May 1990 1 5
-4.60% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-3.54% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Oct 2004 6 7
-3.41% Feb 1997 Mar 1997 2 May 1997 2 4
-3.30% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3
-3.29% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 3 Oct 1999 1 4
-3.24% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
9.79 37.91
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986
-25.31
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
15.12%
2 Years
9.41 25.27
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
-11.24
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
7.19%
3 Years
9.17 20.59
Dec 1994 - Nov 1997
-5.41
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
3.10%
5 Years
9.05 17.45
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
-0.85
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.25%
7 Years
8.98 15.55
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
2.22
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
10 Years
8.91 14.28
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
2.76
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
15 Years
8.51 13.85
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999
5.76
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
0.00%
20 Years
8.44 11.75
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
5.74
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
30 Years
8.92 10.06
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
7.87
Oct 1992 - Sep 2022
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.82
60%
-0.85
40%
-0.79
60%
1.50
80%
0.37
60%
0.47
80%
3.02
100%
0.75
60%
-2.52
20%
0.76
60%
2.21
80%
0.68
80%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.82
99.97
99.18
100.66
101.03
101.51
104.57
105.35
102.70
103.47
105.76
106.48
Best 5.0
2019
1.8
2019
1.7
2021
7.5
2020
2.8
2020
4.0
2019
6.6
2022
3.9
2020
0.4
2019
4.6
2022
6.4
2020
2.9
2020
Worst -4.1
2022
-3.5
2020
-7.5
2020
-5.6
2022
-2.6
2019
-5.6
2022
0.9
2019
-3.7
2022
-7.9
2022
-4.6
2018
-0.4
2021
-4.5
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.56
60%
0.39
70%
0.16
60%
1.12
90%
0.44
70%
0.13
70%
2.22
90%
0.05
50%
-1.23
40%
1.21
70%
1.56
90%
0.36
70%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.56
100.95
101.12
102.25
102.70
102.84
105.12
105.18
103.89
105.14
106.78
107.16
Best 5.0
2019
2.6
2014
4.3
2016
7.5
2020
2.8
2020
4.0
2019
6.6
2022
3.9
2020
3.0
2013
4.6
2022
6.4
2020
2.9
2020
Worst -4.1
2022
-3.5
2020
-7.5
2020
-5.6
2022
-2.6
2019
-5.6
2022
-1.0
2014
-3.7
2022
-7.9
2022
-4.6
2018
-0.4
2021
-4.5
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.04
66%
0.60
66%
0.62
63%
0.91
71%
1.04
68%
0.54
68%
1.11
66%
0.34
61%
-0.25
53%
0.68
68%
1.21
73%
1.42
78%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.04
101.65
102.28
103.21
104.28
104.85
106.01
106.38
106.11
106.83
108.13
109.67
Best 7.0
1987
7.0
1986
7.0
2009
7.5
2020
6.6
1985
4.1
1988
6.6
2022
4.8
1986
4.9
2010
6.3
2011
6.4
2020
8.2
1991
Worst -4.8
1990
-6.2
2009
-7.5
2020
-5.6
2022
-4.0
2010
-5.6
2022
-2.8
2002
-7.0
1998
-7.9
2022
-12.3
2008
-3.6
1987
-4.5
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1985 - Oct 2022

Monthly/Yearly Returns

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio data source starts from January 1985: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1985 - Oct 2022
303 Positive Months (67%) - 151 Negative Months (33%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1985 - Oct 2022
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2022
-16.12 -21.53 -4.1 -0.8 0.6 -5.6 -0.6 -5.6 6.6 -3.7 -7.9 4.6
2021
+15.67 +8.07 0.0 0.7 1.7 3.3 0.7 1.6 2.2 1.4 -2.8 4.1 -0.4 2.2
2020
+15.93 +14.37 1.0 -3.5 -7.5 7.5 2.8 1.6 4.0 3.9 -2.0 -1.3 6.4 2.9
2019
+19.51 +16.84 5.0 1.8 1.7 2.2 -2.6 4.0 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.2 1.7
2018
-3.32 -5.13 2.2 -2.4 -0.5 0.2 1.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 -0.4 -4.6 1.3 -4.5
2017
+12.07 +9.75 1.4 2.1 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.1
2016
+8.75 +6.54 -2.1 0.6 4.3 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.3 -0.1 0.5 -1.4 1.2 1.0
2015
-0.70 -1.42 0.2 2.1 -0.8 0.6 0.1 -1.4 1.1 -3.6 -1.7 4.0 0.2 -1.6
2014
+8.07 +7.26 -0.5 2.6 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.5 -1.0 2.4 -2.3 1.8 1.3 -0.5
2013
+12.48 +10.82 2.4 0.8 2.1 1.2 -0.7 -2.5 3.6 -2.5 3.0 2.6 1.1 1.0
2012
+11.42 +9.51 3.7 1.9 1.2 0.5 -2.3 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.5 -0.6 0.7 0.3
2011
+7.12 +4.04 1.0 2.2 0.8 2.6 -0.4 -0.5 0.8 -2.6 -3.6 6.3 0.1 0.5
2010
+11.78 +10.13 -1.0 1.0 3.2 2.3 -4.0 -2.2 3.2 -1.3 4.9 3.2 -0.6 2.8
2009
+18.92 +15.77 -4.0 -6.2 7.0 4.1 3.7 0.3 3.9 2.3 3.1 -0.9 4.3 0.5
2008
-18.47 -18.54 -1.3 -0.4 -0.5 1.5 1.0 -3.0 -0.6 1.1 -6.4 -12.3 -2.9 4.6
2007
+8.64 +4.38 1.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 1.2 -1.0 -0.7 1.1 2.6 1.5 -0.3 -0.3
2006
+7.99 +5.31 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 -1.5 0.3 0.7 2.0 1.2 1.8 1.7 -0.5
2005
+4.40 +0.95 -1.2 0.8 -0.8 -0.2 2.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 -1.8 2.4 0.5
2004
+10.53 +7.05 1.9 1.8 0.3 -3.5 1.7 0.9 -1.4 1.4 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.6
2003
+19.38 +17.18 -1.1 1.1 -0.5 4.0 5.3 0.4 -1.0 2.1 0.9 3.4 0.8 2.6
2002
-1.93 -4.21 -0.2 -0.1 1.5 -0.8 0.1 -2.6 -2.8 2.4 -2.8 1.2 2.5 -0.2
2001
-1.68 -3.18 2.9 -3.9 -2.7 4.0 1.1 -0.8 0.0 -2.6 -3.7 2.4 1.9 0.2
2000
+3.54 +0.15 -1.8 2.5 4.2 -2.8 -1.8 3.3 -0.4 4.5 -2.3 -0.2 -3.1 2.0
1999
+9.67 +6.80 2.3 -3.3 2.0 2.7 -1.6 2.2 -2.0 -0.6 -0.7 3.4 1.6 3.6
1998
+16.26 +14.42 1.0 3.5 2.7 0.9 -0.9 2.4 -1.1 -7.0 4.4 3.2 3.4 3.2
1997
+21.85 +19.81 2.6 -0.1 -3.4 3.5 4.2 3.1 6.3 -2.8 4.1 -0.9 2.3 1.5
1996
+11.14 +7.57 1.4 -0.9 -0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 -2.8 1.0 4.2 2.5 4.9 -1.6
1995
+29.40 +26.20 2.4 3.1 1.7 1.9 4.2 1.9 1.9 1.5 2.6 0.1 3.0 1.8
1994
-3.21 -5.73 2.8 -2.9 -4.3 -0.4 0.2 -1.7 3.0 2.2 -2.4 0.6 -1.7 1.6
1993
+13.19 +10.16 1.7 1.9 1.3 -1.0 1.6 2.1 0.7 3.8 0.2 0.9 -1.5 1.1
1992
+8.92 +5.85 -1.7 1.4 -1.9 0.5 1.8 -0.1 3.8 -0.6 1.6 -0.7 2.3 2.4
1991
+25.50 +21.77 2.9 3.9 1.7 0.6 2.3 -2.5 3.3 2.7 0.7 1.3 -1.5 8.2
1990
+1.06 -4.76 -4.8 0.9 1.1 -2.3 6.2 0.7 0.0 -5.7 -1.9 0.4 4.7 2.4
1989
+21.95 +16.53 4.0 -1.6 1.4 3.7 3.6 1.8 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.9
1988
+11.91 +7.18 4.5 3.3 -1.7 -0.1 -0.7 4.1 -0.9 -1.5 3.5 1.9 -1.8 1.1
1987
+1.19 -3.11 7.0 2.9 0.6 -2.6 -0.2 3.1 2.2 1.6 -2.4 -10.7 -3.6 4.6
1986
+16.48 +15.21 0.4 7.0 5.7 -0.2 0.4 3.3 -2.8 4.8 -5.6 2.9 1.6 -1.5
1985
+28.66 +23.95 6.0 -0.9 0.8 0.9 6.6 1.3 -0.7 0.8 -1.9 3.5 5.1 4.4

Portofolio Returns, up to December 2003, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
  • TIP - iShares TIPS Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003

Portfolio efficiency

Compared to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio, no other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Medium Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Couch Potato
Scott Burns
+8.06 8.58 -27.04 50 50 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
+8.04 6.77 -21.11 40 60 0
Robo Advisor 50
Betterment
+7.53 9.11 -30.72 49.9 50.1 0
All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
+7.29 7.01 -20.19 30 55 15
Global Market Portfolio
Credit Suisse
+7.14 7.93 -25.90 45 55 0
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