Last Update: 30 April 2022

Implementing the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 2 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 91.09% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from June 1991 until April 2022.

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
9.26 32.07
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-25.31
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
13.06%
2 Years
8.87 23.49
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-11.24
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
8.91%
3 Years
8.61 20.59
Dec 1994 - Nov 1997
-5.41
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
3.87%
4 Years
8.56 19.48
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998
-2.51
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
1.54%
5 Years
8.45 17.45
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
-0.85
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.32%
6 Years
8.33 15.56
Jul 1994 - Jun 2000
2.88
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
0.00%
7 Years
8.17 14.91
Jul 1991 - Jun 1998
2.22
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
8 Years
8.05 14.31
Jul 1991 - Jun 1999
1.84
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
0.00%
9 Years
7.93 13.68
Jul 1991 - Jun 2000
1.83
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
0.00%
10 Years
7.81 12.29
Jul 1991 - Jun 2001
2.76
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
11 Years
7.75 10.85
Dec 1994 - Nov 2005
3.41
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
0.00%
12 Years
7.72 11.00
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
4.99
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
0.00%
13 Years
7.63 10.87
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
5.58
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
0.00%
14 Years
7.53 10.60
Jul 1991 - Jun 2005
5.98
Jan 2005 - Dec 2018
0.00%
15 Years
7.54 10.21
Dec 1991 - Nov 2006
5.76
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
0.00%
16 Years
7.53 10.25
Jul 1991 - Jun 2007
5.81
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
0.00%
17 Years
7.53 9.73
Jun 1991 - May 2008
5.89
Feb 1999 - Jan 2016
0.00%
18 Years
7.62 9.01
Dec 1994 - Nov 2012
6.03
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
0.00%
19 Years
7.71 9.15
Dec 1994 - Nov 2013
5.89
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
20 Years
7.74 9.18
Dec 1994 - Nov 2014
5.74
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+9.26% +32.07%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-25.31%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
13.06%
47 out of 360
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.87% +23.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-11.24%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
8.91%
31 out of 348
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.61% +20.59%
Dec 1994 - Nov 1997
-5.41%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
3.87%
13 out of 336
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.56% +19.48%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998
-2.51%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
1.54%
5 out of 324
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.45% +17.45%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
-0.85%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.32%
1 out of 312
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.33% +15.56%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2000
+2.88%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 300
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.17% +14.91%
Jul 1991 - Jun 1998
+2.22%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 288
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.05% +14.31%
Jul 1991 - Jun 1999
+1.84%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 276
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.93% +13.68%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2000
+1.83%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 264
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.81% +12.29%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2001
+2.76%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 252
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.75% +10.85%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2005
+3.41%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 240
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.72% +11.00%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
+4.99%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 228
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.63% +10.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
+5.58%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
0.00%
0 out of 216
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.53% +10.60%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2005
+5.98%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 204
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.54% +10.21%
Dec 1991 - Nov 2006
+5.76%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
0.00%
0 out of 192
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.53% +10.25%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2007
+5.81%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
0.00%
0 out of 180
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.53% +9.73%
Jun 1991 - May 2008
+5.89%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2016
0.00%
0 out of 168
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.62% +9.01%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2012
+6.03%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 156
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.71% +9.15%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2013
+5.89%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 144
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.74% +9.18%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2014
+5.74%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 132
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

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