When holding the Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 49 months (from September 2019 to September 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 50 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Sep 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.61%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-5.55%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+4.09% |
+26.58%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982 |
7.58%
140 out of 1846 |
|
-19.18%
Jul 1919 - Jun 1920 |
+1.75% |
+30.37%
Jun 1877 - May 1878 |
36.51%
674 out of 1846 |
|
-2.89%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+4.09% |
+19.83%
May 1981 - Apr 1983 |
1.91%
35 out of 1834 |
|
-14.79%
Jul 1918 - Jun 1920 |
+2.00% |
+22.97%
Jul 1920 - Jun 1922 |
32.99%
605 out of 1834 |
|
-1.33%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023 |
+4.29% |
+17.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
1.43%
26 out of 1822 |
|
-12.40%
Feb 1917 - Jan 1920 |
+2.12% |
+17.30%
Aug 1873 - Jul 1876 |
30.52%
556 out of 1822 |
|
-0.24%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+4.34% |
+16.31%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1985 |
0.17%
3 out of 1810 |
|
-13.35%
Jun 1916 - May 1920 |
+1.93% |
+15.88%
Jun 1874 - May 1878 |
30.33%
549 out of 1810 |
|
+0.41%
Jun 1948 - May 1953 |
+4.30% |
+15.88%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 1798 |
|
-11.18%
Jul 1915 - Jun 1920 |
+1.90% |
+16.35%
Jun 1873 - May 1878 |
29.03%
522 out of 1798 |
|
+0.36%
Jul 1947 - Jun 1953 |
+4.31% |
+14.89%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 1786 |
|
-8.86%
Jul 1914 - Jun 1920 |
+1.80% |
+15.80%
Jan 1873 - Dec 1878 |
27.44%
490 out of 1786 |
|
+0.47%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+4.34% |
+14.06%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
0.00%
0 out of 1774 |
|
-7.12%
Jun 1913 - May 1920 |
+1.85% |
+14.38%
May 1872 - Apr 1879 |
26.61%
472 out of 1774 |
|
+0.51%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+4.34% |
+13.03%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
0.00%
0 out of 1762 |
|
-5.96%
Jul 1912 - Jun 1920 |
+1.79% |
+12.37%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1879 |
26.45%
466 out of 1762 |
|
+0.53%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
+4.37% |
+12.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989 |
0.00%
0 out of 1750 |
|
-5.94%
Jul 1911 - Jun 1920 |
+1.88% |
+10.37%
Jun 1872 - May 1881 |
27.94%
489 out of 1750 |
|
+0.51%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+4.36% |
+11.91%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
0.00%
0 out of 1738 |
|
-4.85%
Jun 1941 - May 1951 |
+1.93% |
+9.38%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1881 |
26.99%
469 out of 1738 |
|
+0.52%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2022 |
+4.39% |
+11.82%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 1726 |
|
-4.47%
Dec 1940 - Nov 1951 |
+1.85% |
+9.68%
Feb 1874 - Jan 1885 |
25.32%
437 out of 1726 |
|
+0.57%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+4.36% |
+11.67%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1714 |
|
-4.31%
Jun 1939 - May 1951 |
+1.84% |
+10.24%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1885 |
22.70%
389 out of 1714 |
|
+0.73%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+4.35% |
+11.54%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1702 |
|
-3.88%
Aug 1939 - Jul 1952 |
+1.77% |
+10.24%
Oct 1872 - Sep 1885 |
21.03%
358 out of 1702 |
|
+0.82%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
+4.34% |
+10.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 1690 |
|
-3.81%
Jul 1939 - Jun 1953 |
+1.79% |
+9.94%
May 1872 - Apr 1886 |
21.36%
361 out of 1690 |
|
+1.00%
Jul 1938 - Jun 1953 |
+4.37% |
+10.39%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 1678 |
|
-3.22%
Jul 1938 - Jun 1953 |
+1.84% |
+9.28%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1886 |
20.38%
342 out of 1678 |
|
+1.05%
Aug 1941 - Jul 1957 |
+4.34% |
+10.30%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 1666 |
|
-2.98%
Aug 1941 - Jul 1957 |
+1.81% |
+9.18%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1889 |
18.61%
310 out of 1666 |
|
+1.08%
Jun 1936 - May 1953 |
+4.30% |
+10.10%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1654 |
|
-2.81%
Jun 1936 - May 1953 |
+1.82% |
+8.98%
Jun 1872 - May 1889 |
18.86%
312 out of 1654 |
|
+1.02%
Jul 1935 - Jun 1953 |
+4.29% |
+10.01%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1642 |
|
-2.81%
Aug 1939 - Jul 1957 |
+1.79% |
+8.55%
Feb 1872 - Jan 1890 |
18.88%
310 out of 1642 |
|
+1.04%
Jul 1934 - Jun 1953 |
+4.29% |
+9.82%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1630 |
|
-2.57%
Jun 1934 - May 1953 |
+1.86% |
+8.89%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1892 |
17.48%
285 out of 1630 |
|
+1.14%
Jul 1933 - Jun 1953 |
+4.26% |
+9.55%
Aug 1973 - Jul 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1618 |
|
-2.56%
Jul 1933 - Jun 1953 |
+1.89% |
+8.76%
May 1872 - Apr 1892 |
18.11%
293 out of 1618 |
Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

