Data Source: from March 2010 to March 2023 (~13 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
7.53%
March 2023

The Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 3 ETFs.

It's exposed for 30% on the Stock Market and for 10% on Commodities.

In the last 10 Years, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 6.68% compound annual return, with a 12.80% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged has the following asset allocation:

30% Stocks
60% Fixed Income
10% Commodities

The Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
30.00 %
SSO ProShares Ultra S&P 500 2x, Equity, U.S., Large Cap
60.00 %
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury 2x, Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term
10.00 %
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold 2x, Commodity, Gold
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2023

The Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged guaranteed the following returns.

Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
GYROSCOPIC INVESTING DESERT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2023
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%)
Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2023
  1 Day Time ET(*) Apr 2023 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~13Y)
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged n.a. n.a. 7.53 14.50 -16.44 5.50 6.68 9.63
US Inflation Adjusted return 7.53 12.96 -20.14 1.63 3.98 6.92
Components
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
n.a. - n.a. 6.65 26.90 -23.17 14.21 19.12 11.89
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
n.a. - n.a. 6.71 5.97 -15.44 -1.10 -0.15 3.44
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
n.a. - n.a. 15.32 34.29 -4.72 8.69 -1.98 4.96
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Mar 2010
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 4.64% , 5Y: 3.81% , 10Y: 2.60%

Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023

Metrics of Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged, updated as of 31 March 2023.

Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
GYROSCOPIC INVESTING DESERT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2023 (~13 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~13Y)
Portfolio
Return (%)
7.53 8.77 14.50 -16.44 0.71 5.50 6.68 9.63
US Inflation (%) 0.00 1.36 1.36 4.64 5.24 3.81 2.60 2.54
Infl. Adjusted
Return (%)
7.53 7.30 12.96 -20.14 -4.30 1.63 3.98 6.92
Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 25.97 18.37 15.59 12.80 11.92
Sharpe Ratio -0.73 0.00 0.27 0.47 0.47
Sortino Ratio -1.06 0.00 0.36 0.62 0.63
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -27.02 -34.04 -34.04 -34.04 -34.04
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 04 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 6 9 9 9 9
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
> 12
> 15
> 15
> 15
> 15
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 30.15 21.11 16.96 13.25
Worst Return (%) -30.73 -2.57 2.85 5.55
% Positive Periods 87% 96% 100% 100%
MONTHS
Positive 1 2 4 5 20 35 72 102
Negative 0 1 2 7 16 25 48 55
% Positive 100% 67% 67% 42% 56% 58% 60% 65%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 35.28 24.21 13.87 15.25
Perpetual WR (%) 0.00 1.60 3.83 6.47
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.

If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.

Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2023
Swipe left to see all data
 
 
 
Asset SSO UST UGL
SSO
1.00
0.77
0.39
UST
0.77
1.00
0.70
UGL
0.39
0.70
1.00
 
 
 
Asset SSO UST UGL
SSO
1.00
0.11
0.18
UST
0.11
1.00
0.44
UGL
0.18
0.44
1.00
 
 
 
Asset SSO UST UGL
SSO
1.00
0.01
0.07
UST
0.01
1.00
0.44
UGL
0.07
0.44
1.00
 
 
 
Asset SSO UST UGL
SSO
1.00
-0.15
0.08
UST
-0.15
1.00
0.36
UGL
0.08
0.36
1.00

Portfolio Dividends

In 2022, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged granted a 0.29% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2023

An investment of 1000$, since April 2013, now would be worth 1909.50$, with a total return of 90.95% (6.68% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1477.47$, with a net total return of 47.75% (3.98% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since March 2010, now would be worth 3329.64$, with a total return of 232.96% (9.63% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2398.85$, with a net total return of 139.89% (6.92% annualized).

Drawdowns

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-34.04% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 6 15
-10.03% Aug 2016 Nov 2016 4 Jul 2017 8 12
-8.09% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Oct 2013 4 6
-7.55% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 Mar 2019 5 14
-6.85% Feb 2015 Aug 2015 7 Mar 2016 7 14
-6.04% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Dec 2020 2 4
-5.79% Sep 2021 Sep 2021 1 Dec 2021 3 4
-5.23% Jan 2021 Mar 2021 3 Apr 2021 1 4
-3.61% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3
-3.41% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Nov 2014 2 3
-1.97% Jul 2014 Jul 2014 1 Aug 2014 1 2
-1.28% Sep 2017 Sep 2017 1 Nov 2017 2 3
-1.15% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-1.08% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Oct 2019 1 2
-0.92% Mar 2014 Mar 2014 1 Apr 2014 1 2
-0.80% May 2016 May 2016 1 Jun 2016 1 2
-0.18% Dec 2013 Dec 2013 1 Jan 2014 1 2
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-34.04% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 6 15
-10.03% Aug 2016 Nov 2016 4 Jul 2017 8 12
-8.09% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Oct 2013 4 6
-7.55% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 Mar 2019 5 14
-6.85% Feb 2015 Aug 2015 7 Mar 2016 7 14
-6.04% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Dec 2020 2 4
-5.79% Sep 2021 Sep 2021 1 Dec 2021 3 4
-5.23% Jan 2021 Mar 2021 3 Apr 2021 1 4
-3.61% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3
-3.56% Sep 2011 Sep 2011 1 Oct 2011 1 2
-3.41% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Nov 2014 2 3
-2.65% Oct 2012 Oct 2012 1 Mar 2013 5 6
-2.11% Jun 2011 Jun 2011 1 Jul 2011 1 2
-1.97% Jul 2014 Jul 2014 1 Aug 2014 1 2
-1.87% May 2012 May 2012 1 Jun 2012 1 2
-1.52% May 2010 May 2010 1 Jul 2010 2 3
-1.28% Sep 2017 Sep 2017 1 Nov 2017 2 3
-1.15% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-1.08% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Oct 2019 1 2
-0.96% Nov 2010 Nov 2010 1 Feb 2011 3 4

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
9.96 30.15
Jan 2019 - Dec 2019
-30.73
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
13.01%
2 Years
10.48 25.84
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020
-12.16
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022
7.46%
3 Years
10.46 21.11
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021
-2.57
Mar 2020 - Feb 2023
4.10%
5 Years
9.87 16.96
Mar 2010 - Feb 2015
2.85
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
0.00%
7 Years
9.78 13.17
Mar 2010 - Feb 2017
4.65
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022
0.00%
10 Years
10.36 13.25
Aug 2010 - Jul 2020
5.55
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
2.09
60%
-2.03
20%
1.10
40%
0.20
60%
1.04
60%
0.65
60%
4.00
100%
0.36
80%
-4.52
0%
0.04
60%
3.36
100%
0.30
60%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
102.09
100.02
101.12
101.32
102.37
103.04
107.16
107.55
102.69
102.73
106.18
106.50
Best 8.6
2023
1.2
2019
7.5
2023
6.1
2020
2.6
2020
7.2
2019
7.7
2022
4.4
2019
-1.1
2019
5.3
2021
8.8
2022
3.2
2020
Worst -5.9
2022
-6.8
2023
-3.0
2022
-10.5
2022
-1.1
2019
-6.2
2022
0.8
2019
-8.3
2022
-11.6
2022
-5.2
2018
0.2
2021
-4.8
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2018 - Mar 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
2.30
80%
-0.38
40%
0.69
30%
0.68
70%
0.61
60%
0.15
50%
2.89
90%
0.03
60%
-2.33
30%
0.90
70%
1.61
80%
0.17
60%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
102.30
101.91
102.61
103.31
103.94
104.10
107.10
107.14
104.64
105.58
107.28
107.46
Best 8.6
2023
4.2
2014
7.5
2023
6.1
2020
2.7
2014
7.2
2019
7.7
2022
4.7
2014
3.8
2013
5.3
2021
8.8
2022
3.2
2020
Worst -5.9
2022
-6.8
2023
-3.0
2022
-10.5
2022
-2.8
2013
-6.2
2022
-2.0
2014
-8.3
2022
-11.6
2022
-5.2
2018
-4.9
2016
-4.8
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2013 - Mar 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
2.36
85%
0.01
54%
0.89
50%
1.40
77%
0.34
54%
0.18
54%
3.00
92%
0.80
69%
-1.47
38%
0.98
69%
1.31
77%
0.13
62%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
102.36
102.37
103.28
104.73
105.08
105.27
108.43
109.30
107.70
108.76
110.18
110.33
Best 8.6
2023
4.2
2014
7.5
2023
6.1
2020
2.7
2014
7.2
2019
7.7
2022
5.1
2011
5.6
2010
5.3
2021
8.8
2022
3.2
2020
Worst -5.9
2022
-6.8
2023
-3.0
2022
-10.5
2022
-2.8
2013
-6.2
2022
-2.0
2014
-8.3
2022
-11.6
2022
-5.2
2018
-4.9
2016
-4.8
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Mar 2010 - Mar 2023

Monthly/Yearly Returns

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged data source starts from March 2010: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Mar 2010 - Mar 2023
102 Positive Months (65%) - 55 Negative Months (35%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Mar 2010 - Mar 2023
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2023
+8.77 +7.30 8.6 -6.8 7.5
2022
-30.56 -34.77 -5.9 -1.1 -3.0 -10.5 -0.4 -6.2 7.7 -8.3 -11.6 1.6 8.8 -4.8
2021
+12.18 +4.81 -2.7 -2.5 -0.1 5.5 2.1 1.3 4.5 1.3 -5.8 5.3 0.2 3.1
2020
+21.66 +20.03 4.7 -1.0 -2.6 6.1 2.6 1.2 6.0 1.8 -2.8 -3.3 4.5 3.2
2019
+30.15 +27.24 5.8 1.2 3.6 1.8 -1.1 7.2 0.8 4.4 -1.1 1.8 0.8 1.8
2018
-5.84 -7.60 1.2 -4.3 -0.2 -2.0 2.0 -0.3 1.0 2.7 -1.3 -5.2 2.5 -1.8
2017
+17.48 +15.05 2.2 3.7 0.0 2.1 1.6 -0.8 2.0 2.5 -1.3 1.2 1.6 1.5
2016
+7.95 +5.76 1.9 4.0 3.1 1.0 -0.8 5.8 2.7 -2.1 0.1 -3.5 -4.9 0.8
2015
-1.47 -2.18 5.1 -1.2 -0.6 -0.3 0.2 -3.5 1.7 -3.2 0.0 4.1 -1.5 -1.8
2014
+17.56 +16.68 2.1 4.2 -0.9 1.4 2.7 2.2 -2.0 4.7 -3.4 2.6 3.2 0.0
2013
+8.45 +6.84 1.4 1.0 3.0 1.7 -2.8 -5.5 4.4 -3.4 3.8 4.4 0.9 -0.2
2012
+14.13 +12.17 6.2 0.7 0.1 2.1 -1.9 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.2 -2.7 1.3 -0.9
2011
+18.75 +15.33 0.2 2.2 0.3 5.5 1.7 -2.1 3.8 5.1 -3.6 3.9 0.6 0.2
2010
- - 2.3 3.9 -1.5 1.0 3.9 2.9 5.6 2.6 -1.0 0.7

Portfolio efficiency

Compared to the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 10 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Swipe left to see all data
10 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Technology
+17.69 17.94 -32.58 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 with Bitcoin
+17.61 37.60 -22.56 59 39 2
Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
+16.02 39.18 -23.09 40 40 20
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin
+15.79 38.27 -22.55 39 59 2
All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Ray Dalio
+15.28 39.96 -23.45 30 55 15
Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Harry Browne
+15.27 40.59 -23.85 25 50 25
Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
+14.94 38.86 -23.13 30 60 10
Cape US Sector Value
Robert Shiller
+14.00 15.50 -21.00 100 0 0
US Stocks Momentum
+12.17 15.12 -30.16 100 0 0
US Stocks
+11.68 15.17 -24.81 100 0 0
US Stocks Equal Weight
+11.11 15.99 -26.65 100 0 0
Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
+11.02 13.40 -23.08 90 10 0
US Stocks Minimum Volatility
+10.45 12.06 -19.06 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum
+10.13 12.44 -27.23 80 20 0
US Stocks Value
+10.11 15.13 -26.06 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20
+9.73 12.42 -22.75 80 20 0
US Stocks ESG
+9.67 15.73 -27.79 100 0 0
Simple Path to Wealth
JL Collins
+9.23 11.75 -22.24 75 25 0
Sheltered Sam 100/0
Bill Bernstein
+8.66 14.44 -25.40 97 0 3
Second Grader's Starter
Paul Farrell
+8.60 13.26 -24.21 90 10 0
All Country World Stocks
+8.25 14.61 -25.52 100 0 0
Edge Select Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
+8.21 12.58 -23.81 84 16 0
Robo Advisor 100
Betterment
+8.08 14.62 -24.17 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
+8.04 9.86 -24.21 60 40 0
Sheltered Sam 90/10
Bill Bernstein
+7.94 13.03 -22.65 87.3 10 2.7
Stocks/Bonds 60/40
+7.71 9.80 -20.69 60 40 0
Core Four
Rick Ferri
+7.62 11.86 -23.46 80 20 0
Three Funds
Bogleheads
+7.60 11.93 -23.18 80 20 0
Four Funds
Bogleheads
+7.60 12.01 -23.20 80 20 0
Robo Advisor 90
Betterment
+7.51 13.48 -23.36 90.1 9.9 0
LifeStrategy Growth Fund
Vanguard
+7.49 11.91 -23.11 80 20 0
Sheltered Sam 80/20
Bill Bernstein
+7.21 11.63 -19.89 77.6 20 2.4
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
+7.20 10.82 -22.31 69 31 0
Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy
Paul Merriman
+7.13 14.95 -27.54 100 0 0
Perfect Portfolio
Ben Stein
+7.04 11.58 -18.62 80 20 0
Mid-Twenties
Burton Malkiel
+7.04 12.76 -24.50 87 13 0
Late Thirties to Early Forties
Burton Malkiel
+7.04 12.54 -24.26 85 15 0
No Brainer Portfolio
Bill Bernstein
+7.02 11.35 -19.76 75 25 0
All Country World 80/20
+7.00 12.16 -23.52 80 20 0
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio
Jane Bryant Quinn
+6.95 10.83 -22.74 70 30 0
Robo Advisor 80
Betterment
+6.84 12.27 -22.63 80 20 0
Mid-Fifties
Burton Malkiel
+6.79 12.09 -24.05 80 20 0
Robust
Alpha Architect
+6.69 10.93 -19.09 70 20 10
Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing
+6.68 12.80 -34.04 30 60 10

The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.

Swipe left to see all data
5 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
+6.12 7.83 -15.73 30 60 10
Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing
+5.50 15.59 -34.04 30 60 10
Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
+4.70 6.96 -14.72 30 60 10

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 10 Years and Medium Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
10 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Couch Potato
Scott Burns
+6.67 9.02 -19.77 50 50 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
+5.87 7.46 -21.11 40 60 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
+5.64 7.38 -18.63 40 60 0
One-Decision Portfolio
Marvin Appel
+5.59 8.50 -16.74 50 50 0
Four Square
Scott Burns
+4.99 8.40 -19.67 50 50 0
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