Data Source: from January 1972 to September 2021

Last Update: 30 September 2021

The Gold Portfolio is exposed for 0% on the Stock Market and for 100% on Commodities.

It's a Very High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 1 ETF.

In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 0.38% compound annual return, with a 15.54% standard deviation.

In the last 25 years, a 6.02% compound annual return, with a 16.30% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Gold Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

0% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
100% Commodities

The Gold Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
100.00 % GLD SPDR Gold Trust Commodity, Gold
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns

The Gold Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

GOLD PORTFOLIO RETURNS (%)
Last Update: 30 September 2021
Swipe left to see all data
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y(*) 5Y(*) 10Y(*) 20Y(*) 25Y(*)
Gold Portfolio -3.22 -0.85 +2.66 -7.28 +13.35 +5.50 +0.38 +8.97 +6.02
Components
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust 		-3.22 -0.85 +2.66 -7.28 +13.35 +5.50 +0.38 +8.97 +6.02
(*) annualized
Portfolio returns are calculated assuming:
  • a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
  • the reinvestment of dividends
Readings that may interest you
Read People Like a Book: How to Analyze, Understand, and Predict People’s ...
The Wealthy Gardener: Lessons on Prosperity Between Father and Son
Summary: Principles – Life and Work by Ray Dalio

Historical Returns

Gold Portfolio - Historical returns and stats.

GOLD PORTFOLIO
Last Update: 30 September 2021
Swipe left to see all data
Period Returns
Sep 2021		 Standard
Deviation *		 Max
Drawdown		 Months
Pos - Neg
1M
-3.22%
-3.22%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
0 - 1
3M
-0.85%
-3.30%
Aug 2021 - Sep 2021
1 - 2
6M
+2.66%
-7.94%
Jun 2021 - Sep 2021
3 - 3
YTD
-7.93%
-10.31%
Jan 2021 - Mar 2021
3 - 6
1Y
-7.28%
16.31%
-10.31%
Jan 2021 - Mar 2021
4 - 8
3Y
+13.35%
annualized
14.79%
-13.73%
Aug 2020 - Mar 2021
19 - 17
5Y
+5.50%
annualized
13.39%
-13.73%
Aug 2020 - Mar 2021
28 - 32
10Y
+0.38%
annualized
15.54%
-40.97%
Oct 2012 - Dec 2015
54 - 66
20Y
+8.97%
annualized
16.81%
-42.90%
Sep 2011 - Dec 2015
129 - 111
25Y
+6.02%
annualized
16.30%
-42.90%
Sep 2011 - Dec 2015
154 - 146
MAX
01 Jan 1972
+7.56%
annualized
19.95%
-61.78%
Oct 1980 - Aug 1999
309 - 288
* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns

Best Classic Portfolios, with Very High Risk, ordered by 25 Years annualized return.

25 Years Stats
% Allocation
Portfolio Return▾ Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm.
Technology
 +13.30% -81.08% 100 0 0 Compare
US Stocks
 +9.79% -50.84% 100 0 0 Compare
Warren Buffett
 +9.32% -45.53% 90 10 0 Compare
Aggressive Global Income
 +9.18% -52.62% 80 20 0 Compare
Stocks/Bonds 80/20
 +9.12% -41.09% 80 20 0 Compare

See all portfolios

Capital Growth

Time Range:

Drawdowns

Time Range:

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Gold Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
 +9.94% +179.42%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980 		-37.71%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982 		41.13%
2 Years
 +8.32% +92.76%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 		-30.30%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982 		40.42%
3 Years
 +7.07% +70.26%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 		-15.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1983 		37.54%
5 Years
 +6.29% +36.39%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1980 		-14.70%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 		34.20%
7 Years
 +6.01% +38.74%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 		-6.75%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987 		36.77%
10 Years
 +5.37% +24.75%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1981 		-6.00%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990 		26.99%
15 Years
 +4.97% +15.89%
May 1972 - Apr 1987 		-3.63%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995 		25.36%
20 Years
 +4.30% +11.03%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1991 		-4.36%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000 		14.53%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Gold Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns

Gold Portfolio Seasonality: in which months is it better to invest?

In the table below, the average monthly return is represented.

Below each return, it's also mentioned the probability of obtaining a positive monthly result (Win %).

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Win %		 1.85
54% 		1.12
52% 		-0.52
40% 		0.67
50% 		1.02
50% 		0.07
50% 		0.68
56% 		0.91
58% 		1.44
56% 		0.03
47% 		0.73
55% 		1.23
53%
Best
Year		 27.5
1980 		28.8
1973 		14.4
1985 		12.9
1982 		26.5
1973 		22.0
1980 		10.8
2020 		20.0
1982 		26.1
1979 		11.8
1978 		12.8
2009 		23.2
1979
Worst
Year		 -14.1
1981 		-18.2
1983 		-22.4
1980 		-8.3
2004 		-10.0
1982 		-11.1
1981 		-9.1
1976 		-10.5
1973 		-11.6
1975 		-16.1
2008 		-20.3
1978 		-10.7
2011
Statistics calculated for the period Jan 1972 - Sep 2021

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns of Gold Portfolio

Swipe left to see all data
Months
Year Return Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2021
 -7.93% -3.2 -6.3 -1.1 3.6 7.7 -7.2 2.5 -0.1 -3.2
2020
 +24.81% 4.5 -0.6 -0.2 7.3 2.6 2.7 10.8 -0.3 -4.2 -0.5 -5.4 7.0
2019
 +17.86% 2.9 -0.6 -1.6 -0.7 1.8 8.0 0.0 7.9 -3.4 2.6 -3.2 3.7
2018
 -1.94% 3.2 -2.1 0.6 -1.0 -1.2 -3.6 -2.2 -2.1 -0.7 2.1 0.3 4.9
2017
 +12.81% 5.4 3.2 -0.4 1.7 -0.1 -2.2 2.3 4.2 -3.4 -0.8 0.4 2.1
2016
 +8.03% 5.4 10.9 -0.8 5.1 -6.1 9.0 2.0 -3.3 0.7 -2.9 -8.4 -1.9
2015
 -10.67% 8.7 -5.9 -2.2 -0.2 0.6 -1.5 -6.6 3.7 -1.8 2.3 -6.8 -0.5
2014
 -2.19% 3.4 6.3 -3.1 0.5 -3.1 6.3 -3.6 0.4 -6.2 -3.1 -0.5 1.3
2013
 -28.33% -0.5 -5.1 1.0 -7.6 -6.2 -11.1 7.4 5.2 -4.8 -0.3 -5.5 -3.8
2012
 +6.60% 11.4 -3.0 -1.3 -0.2 -6.3 2.4 0.8 4.9 4.7 -2.9 -0.5 -2.4
2011
 +9.57% -6.4 6.0 1.6 8.9 -1.8 -2.4 8.4 12.3 -11.1 5.9 1.7 -10.7
2010
 +29.27% -1.3 3.3 -0.4 5.9 3.1 2.4 -5.1 5.7 4.8 3.7 2.1 2.4
2009
 +24.03% 5.5 1.5 -2.5 -3.3 10.2 -5.2 2.4 0.1 5.8 3.7 12.8 -7.2
2008
 +4.92% 10.8 5.2 -6.0 -4.2 0.9 4.5 -1.4 -9.3 4.1 -16.1 12.6 7.7
2007
 +30.45% 2.6 2.6 -1.1 2.1 -2.3 -1.9 2.4 1.1 10.5 7.0 -1.7 6.7
2006
 +22.55% 9.9 -1.1 3.6 12.0 -1.3 -4.7 3.2 -1.4 -4.5 1.3 6.9 -1.8
2005
 +17.76% -3.6 3.1 -1.6 1.2 -3.9 4.3 -1.4 1.4 7.6 -0.6 5.8 5.1
2004
 +4.65% -4.0 -1.0 7.0 -8.3 1.2 0.7 -1.1 4.1 2.1 2.4 6.5 -3.9
2003
 +19.89% 5.9 -5.5 -3.6 0.6 7.3 -4.3 2.5 5.9 3.3 -0.5 3.1 4.5
2002
 +25.57% 2.1 5.2 1.5 2.3 6.0 -2.5 -4.4 2.7 3.5 -2.1 0.7 8.8
2001
 +0.75% -3.6 0.8 -3.4 2.1 1.7 1.2 -1.7 2.7 7.4 -4.9 -1.2 0.4
2000
 -5.44% -2.4 3.7 -5.8 -0.6 -1.0 5.8 -4.0 0.1 -1.2 -3.3 1.7 2.0
1999
 +0.85% -0.8 0.6 -2.7 2.6 -6.3 -2.8 -2.1 -0.3 17.4 0.0 -2.6 -0.4
1998
 -0.83% 5.1 -2.4 1.2 3.2 -5.5 0.9 -2.5 -5.4 7.5 -0.5 0.8 -2.3
1997
 -21.41% -6.4 3.8 -2.9 -2.3 1.6 -3.2 -2.5 -0.3 2.1 -6.2 -4.7 -2.2
1996
 -4.59% 4.8 -1.2 -1.1 -1.3 -0.2 -2.2 0.9 0.3 -1.9 0.1 -2.2 -0.6
1995
 +0.98% -2.2 0.4 4.1 -0.6 -1.4 0.7 -1.0 -0.3 0.4 -0.4 1.4 -0.2
1994
 -2.17% -3.5 1.0 2.0 -3.3 3.0 0.2 -1.1 0.5 2.4 -2.8 -0.2 0.0
1993
 +17.68% -0.7 -0.9 3.1 4.9 6.5 0.3 6.2 -7.5 -4.3 4.0 0.4 5.6
1992
 -5.73% 0.3 -0.3 -3.2 -1.6 0.3 1.8 4.2 -5.0 2.7 -2.8 -1.5 -0.4
1991
 -8.56% -5.2 -0.9 -1.9 0.6 0.7 2.2 -1.5 -4.3 2.2 0.7 2.5 -3.6
1990
 -3.11% 4.1 -1.8 -9.6 -0.2 -1.3 -3.0 5.7 4.2 5.3 -7.1 1.4 0.4
1989
 -2.84% -4.0 -1.8 -1.0 -1.5 -4.2 3.1 -1.3 -2.3 1.9 2.4 8.8 -2.3
1988
 -15.26% -5.4 -7.0 7.2 -1.7 1.5 -4.2 0.1 -2.1 -7.3 4.0 2.5 -2.9
1987
 +24.53% 3.0 1.3 3.7 7.7 -0.5 -0.8 3.4 -2.0 1.4 2.0 5.1 -1.7
1986
 +18.96% 7.3 -3.5 1.7 0.5 -0.7 1.0 3.1 7.6 10.0 -5.3 -2.9 -0.2
1985
 +6.00% -0.5 -6.2 14.4 -2.4 -2.3 1.2 3.1 1.8 -2.3 -0.2 0.1 0.5
1984
 -19.38% -2.3 5.5 -1.5 -3.3 2.3 -2.9 -8.2 1.7 -1.3 -3.0 -1.4 -6.3
1983
 -16.31% 9.3 -18.2 1.5 3.5 1.9 -4.9 1.4 -1.8 -2.2 -5.7 6.0 -5.6
1982
 +14.94% -2.6 -6.3 -11.8 12.9 -10.0 -2.4 8.0 20.0 -3.5 6.6 3.0 4.8
1981
 -32.60% -14.1 -3.5 5.1 -6.0 -0.7 -11.1 -4.7 4.7 0.9 -0.4 -2.9 -4.1
1980
 +15.19% 27.5 -2.5 -22.4 4.8 3.4 22.0 -6.0 2.8 5.6 -5.7 -1.5 -4.8
1979
 +126.55% 3.4 7.5 -4.5 2.2 11.9 1.1 6.8 6.3 26.1 -3.8 8.8 23.2
1978
 +37.01% 6.6 3.7 -0.4 -5.9 7.8 -0.6 9.4 4.2 4.0 11.8 -20.3 16.9
1977
 +22.64% -1.6 7.9 4.3 -1.1 -2.9 0.0 0.8 1.3 5.5 4.8 -0.9 3.1
1976
 -4.10% -8.6 3.2 -2.0 -0.9 -2.3 -1.4 -9.1 -7.6 11.5 6.2 5.8 3.3
1975
 -24.80% -5.7 3.4 -2.5 -5.8 0.0 -0.5 0.3 -4.1 -11.6 1.2 -3.3 1.5
1974
 +66.15% 18.0 22.6 6.5 -2.2 -7.4 -8.0 8.2 0.0 -3.0 10.4 10.2 1.4
1973
 +72.96% 1.7 28.8 5.9 0.8 26.5 7.4 -6.2 -10.5 -3.4 -2.0 3.1 11.1
1972
 +49.02% 8.3 2.2 0.4 2.5 19.9 8.8 5.7 -2.1 -4.0 0.3 -1.2 2.0

* Note:
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2004, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • GLD - SPDR Gold Trust: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
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