Data Source: from January 1871 to October 2022 (~152 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.49%
1 Day
Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
7.12%
Current Month
November 2022

The Gold Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.

It's exposed for 0% on the Stock Market and for 100% on Commodities.

In the last 30 Years, the Gold Portfolio obtained a 5.10% compound annual return, with a 15.40% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Gold Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

0% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
100% Commodities

The Gold Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
100.00 %
GLD SPDR Gold Trust Commodity, Gold
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Oct 31, 2022

The Gold Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • No fees or capital gain taxes
GOLD PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 03:59PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%)
Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2022
  1 Day Time ET(*) Nov 2022 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~152Y)
Gold Portfolio 0.49 7.12 -1.78 -14.13 -8.84 4.71 -0.93 5.10 2.80
US Inflation Adjusted return -2.18 -16.70 -15.40 0.83 -3.41 2.53 0.67
Components
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
0.49 03:59PM
Nov 29 2022
7.12 -1.78 -14.13 -8.84 4.71 -0.93 5.10 7.23
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Oct 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.75% , 5Y: 3.85% , 10Y: 2.57% , 30Y: 2.51%

Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022

Metrics of Gold Portfolio, updated as of 31 October 2022.

Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • No fees or capital gain taxes
GOLD PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 October 2022 (~152 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~152Y)
Portfolio
Return (%)
-1.78 -7.43 -14.13 -8.84 2.17 4.71 -0.93 8.12 5.10 2.80
US Inflation (%) 0.41 0.59 3.08 7.75 5.01 3.85 2.57 2.52 2.51 2.11
Infl. Adjusted
Return (%)
-2.18 -7.97 -16.70 -15.40 -2.71 0.83 -3.41 5.47 2.53 0.67
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.55 14.28 12.93 14.58 16.78 15.40 12.63
Sharpe Ratio -1.00 0.12 0.29 -0.10 0.42 0.19 -0.09
Sortino Ratio -1.95 0.19 0.45 -0.15 0.60 0.28 -0.17
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -15.91 -18.08 -18.08 -39.18 -42.91 -42.91 -61.78
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 04 2020 08 2020 08 2012 11 2011 09 2011 09 1980 10
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 2015 12 1999 08
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 27 27 38 52 52 227
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
> 7
> 27
> 27
92
107
107
319
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 179.42 70.26 39.62 34.02 15.64 9.81
Worst Return (%) -37.71 -15.32 -14.69 -5.99 -4.36 -0.43
% Positive Periods 73% 76% 76% 78% 84% 93%
MONTHS
Positive 0 0 0 3 14 27 51 125 181 1486
Negative 1 3 6 9 22 33 69 115 179 336
% Positive 0% 0% 0% 25% 39% 45% 43% 52% 50% 82%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 36.90 22.81 7.25 11.36 4.18 0.73
Perpetual WR (%) 0.00 0.82 0.00 5.18 2.47 0.67
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Capital Growth as of Oct 31, 2022

An investment of 1000$, since November 1992, now would be worth 4453.28$, with a total return of 345.33% (5.10% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2118.96$, with a net total return of 111.90% (2.53% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1871, now would be worth 66127.52$, with a total return of 6512.75% (2.80% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2767.74$, with a net total return of 176.77% (0.67% annualized).

Drawdowns

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-42.91% Sep 2011 Dec 2015 52 Jul 2020 55 107
-37.17% Feb 1996 Aug 1999 43 Dec 2003 52 95
-25.83% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 8 May 2009 7 15
-18.08% Aug 2020 Oct 2022 27 in progress 27
-11.51% Aug 1993 Sep 1993 2 Jan 1996 28 30
-8.64% Dec 2004 May 2005 6 Sep 2005 4 10
-8.63% May 2006 Sep 2006 5 Feb 2007 5 10
-8.37% Dec 2009 Jan 2010 2 May 2010 4 6
-8.31% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Oct 2004 6 7
-6.38% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Mar 2011 2 3
-5.22% Jun 2009 Jun 2009 1 Sep 2009 3 4
-5.09% Jul 2010 Jul 2010 1 Aug 2010 1 2
-4.90% Jan 2004 Feb 2004 2 Mar 2004 1 3
-4.20% May 2007 Jun 2007 2 Sep 2007 3 5
-4.18% May 2011 Jun 2011 2 Jul 2011 1 3
-3.43% Nov 1992 Feb 1993 4 Apr 1993 2 6
-1.65% Nov 2007 Nov 2007 1 Dec 2007 1 2
-1.11% Mar 2007 Mar 2007 1 Apr 2007 1 2
-1.11% Feb 2006 Feb 2006 1 Mar 2006 1 2
-0.64% Oct 2005 Oct 2005 1 Nov 2005 1 2
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-61.78% Oct 1980 Aug 1999 227 Apr 2007 92 319
-44.24% Jan 1975 Aug 1976 20 Jul 1978 23 43
-42.91% Sep 2011 Dec 2015 52 Jul 2020 55 107
-25.83% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 8 May 2009 7 15
-24.27% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 2 Jun 1980 3 5
-20.49% Jul 1973 Oct 1973 4 Jan 1974 3 7
-20.28% Nov 1978 Nov 1978 1 Feb 1979 3 4
-19.77% May 1969 Jan 1970 9 Dec 1971 23 32
-18.25% Jan 1948 Jan 1955 85 Mar 1969 170 255
-18.08% Aug 2020 Oct 2022 27 in progress 27
-16.62% Apr 1974 Jun 1974 3 Nov 1974 5 8
-12.20% Jan 1876 Jan 1879 37 Jan 1933 648 685
-8.37% Dec 2009 Jan 2010 2 May 2010 4 6
-6.88% Aug 1972 Nov 1972 4 Feb 1973 3 7
-6.38% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Mar 2011 2 3
-6.01% Jul 1980 Jul 1980 1 Sep 1980 2 3
-5.22% Jun 2009 Jun 2009 1 Sep 2009 3 4
-5.09% Jul 2010 Jul 2010 1 Aug 2010 1 2
-4.46% Mar 1979 Mar 1979 1 May 1979 2 3
-4.20% May 2007 Jun 2007 2 Sep 2007 3 5

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Gold Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
3.98 179.42
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
-37.71
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982
27.28%
2 Years
3.60 92.76
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
-30.30
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982
26.96%
3 Years
3.40 70.26
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
-15.32
Nov 1980 - Oct 1983
23.89%
5 Years
3.16 39.62
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
-14.69
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
23.94%
7 Years
3.10 38.74
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
-6.75
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987
22.31%
10 Years
3.12 34.02
Feb 1970 - Jan 1980
-5.99
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990
22.14%
15 Years
3.15 21.61
Oct 1965 - Sep 1980
-3.63
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995
21.49%
20 Years
3.04 15.64
Oct 1960 - Sep 1980
-4.36
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000
15.86%
30 Years
2.94 9.81
Oct 1950 - Sep 1980
-0.43
Feb 1875 - Jan 1905
6.63%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Gold Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Gold Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.14
60%
-0.69
20%
-0.21
40%
1.43
40%
1.51
60%
-0.32
40%
1.70
60%
0.49
20%
-2.87
0%
0.77
60%
-1.72
40%
4.20
100%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.14
100.44
100.23
101.66
103.20
102.87
104.62
105.13
102.12
102.90
101.13
105.38
Best 4.5
2020
6.1
2022
1.3
2022
7.3
2020
7.7
2021
8.0
2019
10.8
2020
7.9
2019
-0.7
2018
2.6
2019
0.4
2017
7.0
2020
Worst -3.2
2021
-6.3
2021
-1.6
2019
-2.1
2022
-3.3
2022
-7.1
2021
-2.6
2022
-2.9
2022
-4.2
2020
-1.8
2022
-5.4
2020
2.1
2017
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
2.82
70%
0.59
40%
-0.67
30%
0.67
50%
-0.74
40%
-0.10
40%
1.00
60%
1.27
50%
-2.98
10%
-0.09
40%
-3.02
20%
1.37
60%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
102.82
103.43
102.74
103.43
102.66
102.56
103.58
104.89
101.77
101.67
98.60
99.96
Best 8.7
2015
10.9
2016
1.3
2022
7.3
2020
7.7
2021
9.0
2016
10.8
2020
7.9
2019
0.7
2016
2.6
2019
0.4
2017
7.0
2020
Worst -3.2
2021
-6.3
2021
-3.1
2014
-7.6
2013
-6.2
2013
-11.1
2013
-6.6
2015
-3.3
2016
-6.2
2014
-3.1
2014
-8.4
2016
-3.8
2013
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.99
70%
0.43
84%
-0.15
80%
0.31
83%
0.37
82%
-0.04
81%
0.21
84%
0.27
84%
0.48
84%
0.01
80%
0.19
84%
0.45
83%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.99
101.42
101.26
101.58
101.96
101.91
102.13
102.41
102.90
102.90
103.10
103.56
Best 56.4
1933
28.8
1973
14.4
1985
12.9
1982
26.5
1973
22.0
1980
10.8
2020
20.0
1982
26.1
1979
11.7
1978
12.8
2009
23.2
1979
Worst -14.1
1981
-18.2
1983
-22.4
1980
-8.3
2004
-10.0
1982
-11.1
1981
-9.1
1976
-10.5
1973
-11.6
1975
-16.1
2008
-20.3
1978
-10.7
2011
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1871 - Oct 2022

Monthly/Yearly Returns

Gold Portfolio data source starts from January 1871: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1871 - Oct 2022
1486 Positive Months (82%) - 336 Negative Months (18%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1871 - Oct 2022
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2022
-11.14 -16.87 -1.7 6.1 1.3 -2.1 -3.3 -1.6 -2.6 -2.9 -2.9 -1.8
2021
-4.15 -10.45 -3.2 -6.3 -1.1 3.6 7.7 -7.1 2.5 -0.1 -3.2 1.5 -0.7 3.3
2020
+24.81 +23.14 4.5 -0.6 -0.2 7.3 2.6 2.7 10.8 -0.3 -4.2 -0.5 -5.4 7.0
2019
+17.86 +15.22 2.9 -0.6 -1.6 -0.7 1.8 8.0 0.0 7.9 -3.4 2.6 -3.2 3.7
2018
-1.94 -3.78 3.2 -2.1 0.6 -1.0 -1.2 -3.6 -2.2 -2.1 -0.7 2.1 0.3 4.9
2017
+12.81 +10.48 5.4 3.2 -0.4 1.7 -0.1 -2.2 2.3 4.2 -3.4 -0.7 0.4 2.1
2016
+8.03 +5.84 5.4 10.9 -0.8 5.1 -6.1 9.0 2.0 -3.3 0.7 -2.9 -8.4 -1.9
2015
-10.67 -11.32 8.7 -5.9 -2.2 -0.2 0.6 -1.5 -6.6 3.7 -1.8 2.3 -6.8 -0.5
2014
-2.19 -2.92 3.4 6.3 -3.1 0.5 -3.1 6.3 -3.6 0.4 -6.2 -3.1 -0.5 1.3
2013
-28.33 -29.39 -0.5 -5.1 0.9 -7.6 -6.2 -11.1 7.4 5.2 -4.8 -0.3 -5.5 -3.8
2012
+6.60 +4.77 11.4 -3.0 -1.3 -0.1 -6.3 2.4 0.8 4.9 4.7 -2.9 -0.5 -2.4
2011
+9.57 +6.41 -6.4 6.0 1.6 8.9 -1.8 -2.4 8.4 12.3 -11.1 5.9 1.7 -10.7
2010
+29.27 +27.37 -1.3 3.3 -0.4 5.9 3.1 2.4 -5.1 5.7 4.8 3.7 2.1 2.4
2009
+24.03 +20.74 5.5 1.4 -2.5 -3.3 10.2 -5.2 2.4 0.1 5.8 3.7 12.8 -7.2
2008
+4.92 +4.83 10.8 5.2 -6.0 -4.2 0.9 4.5 -1.4 -9.3 4.1 -16.1 12.6 7.7
2007
+30.45 +25.34 2.6 2.5 -1.1 2.1 -2.3 -1.9 2.4 1.1 10.5 7.0 -1.7 6.6
2006
+22.55 +19.51 9.9 -1.1 3.6 12.0 -1.3 -4.7 3.2 -1.4 -4.5 1.3 6.9 -1.8
2005
+17.76 +13.87 -3.6 3.1 -1.6 1.2 -3.9 4.3 -1.4 1.4 7.6 -0.6 5.8 5.1
2004
+4.65 +1.35 -4.0 -1.0 7.0 -8.3 1.2 0.6 -1.1 4.0 2.1 2.4 6.5 -3.9
2003
+19.89 +17.68 5.8 -5.5 -3.6 0.6 7.3 -4.3 2.5 5.9 3.3 -0.5 3.1 4.5
2002
+25.57 +22.65 2.1 5.2 1.5 2.3 6.0 -2.5 -4.3 2.7 3.5 -2.1 0.7 8.8
2001
+0.75 -0.79 -3.6 0.8 -3.4 2.1 1.7 1.2 -1.7 2.7 7.4 -4.9 -1.2 0.4
2000
-5.44 -8.54 -2.4 3.7 -5.8 -0.6 -1.0 5.8 -4.0 0.1 -1.2 -3.3 1.7 2.0
1999
+0.85 -1.79 -0.8 0.6 -2.6 2.6 -6.3 -2.8 -2.1 -0.3 17.3 0.0 -2.6 -0.4
1998
-0.83 -2.40 5.0 -2.4 1.2 3.2 -5.5 0.9 -2.5 -5.3 7.5 -0.5 0.8 -2.3
1997
-21.41 -22.72 -6.4 3.8 -2.9 -2.3 1.6 -3.2 -2.5 -0.3 2.1 -6.2 -4.7 -2.2
1996
-4.59 -7.65 4.8 -1.2 -1.1 -1.3 -0.2 -2.2 0.9 0.3 -1.9 0.1 -2.2 -0.6
1995
+0.98 -1.52 -2.2 0.4 4.1 -0.6 -1.4 0.7 -1.0 -0.3 0.4 -0.4 1.3 -0.2
1994
-2.17 -4.72 -3.5 1.0 2.0 -3.3 3.0 0.2 -1.1 0.5 2.4 -2.8 -0.2 0.0
1993
+17.68 +14.53 -0.7 -0.9 3.1 4.9 6.5 0.3 6.2 -7.5 -4.3 4.0 0.4 5.6
1992
-5.73 -8.39 0.3 -0.3 -3.2 -1.6 0.3 1.7 4.2 -5.0 2.6 -2.8 -1.5 -0.4
1991
-8.56 -11.28 -5.2 -0.9 -1.9 0.6 0.7 2.2 -1.5 -4.3 2.2 0.7 2.5 -3.6
1990
-3.11 -8.69 4.1 -1.8 -9.6 -0.2 -1.3 -3.0 5.7 4.1 5.3 -7.1 1.4 0.4
1989
-2.84 -7.15 -4.0 -1.8 -1.0 -1.5 -4.2 3.1 -1.3 -2.3 1.9 2.4 8.8 -2.3
1988
-15.26 -18.84 -5.4 -7.0 7.2 -1.7 1.4 -4.2 0.1 -2.1 -7.3 4.0 2.5 -2.9
1987
+24.53 +19.24 3.0 1.3 3.7 7.7 -0.5 -0.8 3.4 -2.0 1.3 2.0 5.1 -1.7
1986
+18.96 +17.66 7.3 -3.5 1.7 0.5 -0.7 1.0 3.1 7.6 10.0 -5.2 -2.9 -0.2
1985
+6.00 +2.12 -0.5 -6.2 14.4 -2.4 -2.3 1.2 3.1 1.8 -2.3 -0.2 0.1 0.5
1984
-19.38 -22.44 -2.3 5.5 -1.5 -3.3 2.2 -2.9 -8.2 1.7 -1.3 -3.0 -1.3 -6.3
1983
-16.31 -19.36 9.3 -18.2 1.5 3.5 1.9 -4.9 1.4 -1.8 -2.2 -5.7 6.0 -5.6
1982
+14.94 +10.70 -2.6 -6.3 -11.7 12.9 -10.0 -2.4 8.0 20.0 -3.5 6.6 3.0 4.8
1981
-32.60 -38.12 -14.1 -3.5 5.1 -6.0 -0.7 -11.1 -4.7 4.7 0.9 -0.4 -2.9 -4.1
1980
+15.19 +2.37 27.5 -2.5 -22.4 4.8 3.4 22.0 -6.0 2.8 5.6 -5.7 -1.5 -4.8
1979
+126.55 +99.97 3.4 7.5 -4.5 2.2 11.9 1.1 6.8 6.3 26.1 -3.8 8.8 23.2
1978
+37.01 +25.68 6.5 3.7 -0.4 -5.9 7.8 -0.6 9.4 4.2 4.0 11.7 -20.3 16.9
1977
+22.64 +14.94 -1.6 7.9 4.3 -1.1 -2.9 0.0 0.8 1.3 5.5 4.8 -0.9 3.1
1976
-4.10 -8.55 -8.6 3.2 -2.0 -0.9 -2.3 -1.4 -9.1 -7.6 11.5 6.2 5.8 3.3
1975
-24.80 -29.68 -5.7 3.4 -2.5 -5.8 0.0 -0.4 0.3 -4.1 -11.6 1.2 -3.3 1.5
1974
+66.15 +47.90 18.0 22.6 6.5 -2.2 -7.4 -8.0 8.1 0.0 -3.0 10.4 10.2 1.4
1973
+72.96 +59.11 1.7 28.8 5.9 0.8 26.5 7.4 -6.2 -10.5 -3.4 -2.0 3.1 11.1
1972
+49.02 +44.12 8.3 2.2 0.4 2.5 19.9 8.7 5.6 -2.1 -4.0 0.3 -1.2 2.0
1971
+16.70 +13.01 1.7 2.1 0.0 2.1 3.0 -1.5 5.7 -3.5 3.6 -0.2 2.7 0.2
1970
+6.16 +0.56 -0.7 0.1 0.9 1.6 -1.0 0.0 -0.6 1.4 1.3 3.2 0.5 -0.6
1969
-16.07 -20.97 1.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 -1.0 -4.5 0.5 -1.2 -0.7 -2.0 -10.8 -1.0
1968
+18.16 +12.83 -0.9 0.0 0.0 11.1 7.4 -2.5 -5.0 2.4 -0.4 -1.3 1.7 5.3
1967
+0.28 -2.68 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1966
-0.28 -3.61 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1965
+0.42 -1.47 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1964
+0.28 -0.68 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1963
-0.28 -1.89 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1962
-0.42 -1.73 -0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1961
-2.74 -3.39 -2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1960
+3.55 +2.16 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1959
+0.00 -1.70 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1958
+0.00 -1.73 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1957
+0.14 -2.68 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1956
+0.14 -2.76 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1955
-0.28 -0.65 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1954
-0.70 +0.04 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1953
-8.27 -8.95 -8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1952
-3.25 -3.97 -3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1951
-0.62 -6.25 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1950
-0.62 -6.19 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1949
-3.57 -1.53 -3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1948
-2.33 -5.17 -2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1947
+12.42 +3.29 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1946
+2.68 -13.08 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1945
+2.76 +0.50 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1944
-0.68 -2.91 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1943
+2.82 -0.13 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1942
+0.00 -8.28 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1941
+2.90 -6.39 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1940
-1.43 -2.13 -1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1939
+0.00 +0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1938
+0.00 +2.86 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1937
+0.00 -2.78 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1936
+0.00 -1.43 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1935
+0.00 -2.90 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1934
+8.29 +6.67 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1933
+56.36 +55.18 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1932
+0.00 +11.45 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1931
+0.00 +10.27 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1930
+0.00 +6.83 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1929
+0.00 -0.58 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1928
+0.00 +1.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1927
+0.00 +2.31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1926
+0.00 +1.13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1925
+0.00 -3.35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1924
+0.00 +0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1923
+0.00 -2.31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1922
+0.00 +2.37 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1921
+0.00 +12.14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1920
+0.00 -2.58 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1919
+0.00 -12.70 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1918
+0.00 -16.97 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1917
+0.00 -15.33 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1916
+0.00 -11.21 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1915
+0.00 -1.94 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1914
+0.00 -0.99 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1913
+0.00 -3.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1912
+0.00 -6.81 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1911
+0.00 +2.10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1910
+0.00 +8.24 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1909
+0.00 -9.51 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1908
+0.00 -3.22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1907
+0.00 +2.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1906
+0.00 -5.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1905
+0.00 +0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1904
+0.00 -4.47 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1903
+0.00 +5.81 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1902
+0.00 -6.65 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1901
+0.00 -4.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1900
+0.00 +3.80 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1899
+0.00 -14.42 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1898
+0.00 -1.47 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1897
+0.00 -0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1896
+0.00 +1.49 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1895
+0.00 -2.81 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1894
+0.00 +7.15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1893
+0.00 +8.10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1892
+0.00 -1.18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1891
+0.00 +5.06 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1890
+0.00 -1.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1889
+0.00 +6.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1888
+0.00 +0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1887
+0.00 -5.79 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1886
+0.00 +4.88 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1885
+0.00 +1.22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1884
+0.00 +11.48 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1883
+0.00 +8.23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1882
+0.00 +1.89 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1881
+0.00 -6.59 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1880
+0.00 +2.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1879
-0.10 -15.75 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1878
-2.64 +13.19 -2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1877
-4.71 +7.72 -4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1876
-5.27 -3.60 -5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1875
+1.95 +7.27 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1874
+1.54 +7.46 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1873
-1.94 +4.18 -1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1872
+2.66 +0.36 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1871
-1.27 -2.75 -1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Portofolio Returns, up to December 2004, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • GLD - SPDR Gold Trust: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004

Portfolio efficiency

Compared to the Gold Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
+9.67 9.35 -32.52 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20
+8.97 12.23 -41.09 80 20 0
Simple Path to Wealth
JL Collins
+8.74 11.50 -38.53 75 25 0
Seven Value
Scott Burns
+8.41 11.18 -41.22 71.5 28.5 0
Late Sixties and Beyond
Burton Malkiel
+8.41 11.45 -41.80 71 29 0
Yale Endowment
David Swensen
+8.35 10.67 -39.48 70 30 0
Talmud Portfolio
Roger Gibson
+8.27 10.53 -40.17 66.7 33.3 0
Six Ways from Sunday
Scott Burns
+8.16 10.79 -39.14 66.7 33.3 0
Sheltered Sam 70/30
Bill Bernstein
+8.10 10.51 -39.73 67.9 30 2.1
Couch Potato
Scott Burns
+8.06 8.58 -27.04 50 50 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
+8.04 6.77 -21.11 40 60 0
Lazy Portfolio
David Swensen
+8.02 10.64 -40.89 70 30 0
Family Taxable Portfolio
Ted Aronson
+8.00 11.40 -38.46 70 30 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40
+8.00 9.35 -30.55 60 40 0
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
+7.87 10.89 -38.23 69 31 0
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio
Jane Bryant Quinn
+7.82 10.53 -39.55 70 30 0
Coffeehouse
Bill Schultheis
+7.78 9.41 -33.93 60 40 0
Golden Butterfly
+7.70 7.36 -17.79 40 40 20
No Brainer Portfolio
Bill Bernstein
+7.65 11.54 -40.40 75 25 0
Sheltered Sam 60/40
Bill Bernstein
+7.60 9.07 -34.12 58.2 40 1.8
Five Fold
Scott Burns
+7.54 9.53 -37.94 60 40 0
Robo Advisor 50
Betterment
+7.53 9.11 -30.72 49.9 50.1 0
Pinwheel
+7.53 10.28 -36.89 65 25 10
Tilt Toward Value
Time Inc
+7.53 9.16 -34.63 60 40 0
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income
DFA
+7.46 9.06 -31.78 55.9 44.1 0
Gretchen Tai Portfolio
Gretchen Tai
+7.44 11.46 -41.80 70 30 0
Margaritaville
Scott Burns
+7.36 10.67 -38.70 67 33 0
Marc Faber Portfolio
Marc Faber
+7.35 9.37 -28.82 50 25 25
Nano Portfolio
John Wasik
+7.34 9.43 -36.66 60 40 0
Simple Money Portfolio
Tim Maurer
+7.32 8.89 -32.39 60 40 0
All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
+7.29 7.01 -20.19 30 55 15
Sandwich Portfolio
Bob Clyatt
+7.29 8.11 -28.96 55 45 0
Edge Select Moderate
Merrill Lynch
+7.28 8.69 -29.58 53 47 0
Simple and Cheap
Time Inc
+7.26 9.15 -34.84 60 40 0
Coward's Portfolio
Bill Bernstein
+7.24 8.94 -32.68 60 40 0
Ultimate Buy&Hold
FundAdvice
+7.24 9.09 -34.23 60 40 0
Big Rocks Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
+7.17 8.97 -33.80 60 40 0
Global Market Portfolio
Credit Suisse
+7.14 7.93 -25.90 45 55 0
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth
Vanguard
+7.10 9.29 -33.52 60 40 0
Dynamic 60/40 Income
+7.10 9.11 -41.44 60 40 0
Sheltered Sam 50/50
Bill Bernstein
+7.08 7.68 -28.23 48.5 50 1.5
One-Decision Portfolio
Marvin Appel
+7.07 8.15 -31.96 50 50 0
Dynamic 40/60 Income
+7.03 7.91 -29.84 40 60 0
GAA Global Asset Allocation
Mebane Faber
+7.01 7.74 -24.91 40.5 49.5 10
Ideal Index
Frank Armstrong
+7.00 10.51 -40.11 70 30 0
7Twelve Portfolio
Craig Israelsen
+6.94 9.67 -37.96 50 33.3 16.7
Four Square
Scott Burns
+6.92 8.29 -29.95 50 50 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
+6.90 6.70 -19.17 40 60 0
Simplified Permanent Portfolio
+6.80 6.61 -16.43 25 50 25
Rob Arnott Portfolio
Rob Arnott
+6.75 6.96 -24.27 30 60 10
High Yield Bonds Income
+6.71 8.58 -23.97 0 100 0
Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
+6.61 6.58 -20.48 37 63 0
Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
+6.56 5.29 -14.72 30 60 10
Sheltered Sam 40/60
Bill Bernstein
+6.54 6.35 -22.05 38.8 60 1.2
Lifepath Fund
iShares
+6.51 6.75 -21.23 40.4 59.6 0
Andrew Tobias Portfolio
Andrew Tobias
+6.48 9.81 -36.42 66.7 33.3 0
All Country World 60/40
+6.44 9.86 -36.70 60 40 0
Paul Boyer Portfolio
Paul Boyer
+6.41 7.24 -18.04 25 50 25
LifeStrategy Conservative Growth
Vanguard
+6.39 6.65 -21.90 40 60 0
Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne
+6.38 6.29 -15.92 25 50 25
Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
+6.30 5.42 -15.96 30 70 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum
+6.25 4.70 -17.91 20 80 0
All Country World 40/60
+6.23 7.40 -25.16 40 60 0
Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
+5.96 5.12 -16.58 29.1 70 0.9
All Country World 20/80
+5.89 5.41 -17.97 20 80 0
Eliminate Fat Tails
Larry Swedroe
+5.82 6.32 -18.42 30 70 0
Developed World ex-US 60/40
+5.69 10.14 -37.49 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80
+5.67 4.61 -16.57 20 80 0
Developed World ex-US 40/60
+5.66 7.34 -26.17 40 60 0
Dimensional Retirement Income Fund
DFA
+5.62 4.73 -12.91 20.4 79.6 0
LifeStrategy Income Fund
Vanguard
+5.55 4.52 -16.61 20 80 0
Developed World ex-US 20/80
+5.49 5.17 -16.80 20 80 0
US Inflation Protection
+5.47 6.07 -14.74 0 100 0
All Country World Bonds
+5.43 4.44 -17.60 0 100 0
Sheltered Sam 20/80
Bill Bernstein
+5.36 4.07 -11.24 19.4 80 0.6
Edge Select Conservative
Merrill Lynch
+5.28 4.08 -12.44 21 79 0
Robo Advisor 20
Betterment
+5.24 4.07 -12.16 19.9 80.1 0
Total Bond Developed World ex-US
+5.17 4.57 -14.88 0 100 0
Gold
+5.10 15.40 -42.91 0 0 100

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Technology
+13.06 23.81 -81.08 100 0 0
US Stocks Momentum
+12.44 15.06 -53.85 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum
+11.15 12.13 -43.61 80 20 0
US Stocks
+9.79 15.27 -50.84 100 0 0
US Stocks Minimum Volatility
+9.77 13.59 -43.27 100 0 0
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