Last Update: 31 October 2021

Implementing the Gold Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1972 until October 2021.

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Gold Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

Gold Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
+9.92% +179.42%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
-37.71%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982
41.23%
2 Years
+8.32% +92.76%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
-30.30%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982
40.35%
3 Years
+7.08% +70.26%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
-15.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1983
37.48%
4 Years
+6.46% +56.96%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
-15.26%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
32.67%
5 Years
+6.29% +36.39%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1980
-14.70%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
34.14%
6 Years
+6.16% +30.45%
Feb 1974 - Jan 1980
-10.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986
36.62%
7 Years
+6.01% +38.74%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
-6.75%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987
36.70%
8 Years
+5.82% +38.89%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
-6.28%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
35.79%
9 Years
+5.49% +33.58%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1980
-6.43%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1989
31.36%
10 Years
+5.36% +24.75%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1981
-6.00%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990
27.14%
11 Years
+5.31% +23.93%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1983
-5.57%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1991
25.48%
12 Years
+5.20% +19.85%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1983
-5.25%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1992
25.05%
13 Years
+5.11% +16.25%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1984
-5.11%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993
28.44%
14 Years
+5.07% +15.48%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1985
-4.06%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
26.68%
15 Years
+4.98% +15.89%
May 1972 - Apr 1987
-3.63%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995
25.30%
16 Years
+4.84% +16.24%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1987
-3.47%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
26.29%
17 Years
+4.69% +14.10%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1988
-4.24%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1997
24.30%
18 Years
+4.57% +13.09%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1989
-4.54%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1998
18.54%
19 Years
+4.44% +12.17%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1990
-4.72%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
16.17%
20 Years
+4.32% +11.03%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1991
-4.36%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000
14.48%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+9.92% +179.42%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
-37.71%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982
41.23%
242 out of 587

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.32% +92.76%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
-30.30%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982
40.35%
232 out of 575

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+7.08% +70.26%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
-15.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1983
37.48%
211 out of 563

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.46% +56.96%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
-15.26%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
32.67%
180 out of 551

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.29% +36.39%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1980
-14.70%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
34.14%
184 out of 539

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.16% +30.45%
Feb 1974 - Jan 1980
-10.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986
36.62%
193 out of 527

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.01% +38.74%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
-6.75%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987
36.70%
189 out of 515

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.82% +38.89%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
-6.28%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
35.79%
180 out of 503

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.49% +33.58%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1980
-6.43%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1989
31.36%
154 out of 491

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.36% +24.75%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1981
-6.00%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990
27.14%
130 out of 479

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.31% +23.93%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1983
-5.57%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1991
25.48%
119 out of 467

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.20% +19.85%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1983
-5.25%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1992
25.05%
114 out of 455

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.11% +16.25%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1984
-5.11%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993
28.44%
126 out of 443

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.07% +15.48%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1985
-4.06%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
26.68%
115 out of 431

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.98% +15.89%
May 1972 - Apr 1987
-3.63%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995
25.30%
106 out of 419

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.84% +16.24%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1987
-3.47%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
26.29%
107 out of 407

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.69% +14.10%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1988
-4.24%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1997
24.30%
96 out of 395

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.57% +13.09%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1989
-4.54%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1998
18.54%
71 out of 383

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.44% +12.17%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1990
-4.72%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
16.17%
60 out of 371

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.32% +11.03%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1991
-4.36%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000
14.48%
52 out of 359

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Gold Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

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