Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 04:00PM Eastern Time
The European Stocks Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.
It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the European Stocks Portfolio obtained a 7.37% compound annual return, with a 17.83% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The European Stocks Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The European Stocks Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
100.00 % | VGK | Vanguard FTSE Europe | Equity, Developed Europe, Large Cap |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The European Stocks Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
European Stocks Portfolio | 1.58 | -2.88 | -1.71 | 17.68 | -0.96 | 3.75 | 5.42 | 7.37 | 8.67 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -2.26 | 15.85 | -6.60 | -0.10 | 2.73 | 4.75 | 4.51 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe |
1.58 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-2.88 | -1.71 | 17.68 | -0.96 | 3.75 | 5.42 | 7.38 | 8.67 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of European Stocks Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-1.71 | 5.88 | 17.68 | -0.96 | 7.94 | 3.75 | 5.42 | 7.48 | 7.37 | 8.67 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 3.98 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-2.26 | 4.78 | 15.85 | -6.60 | 2.64 | -0.10 | 2.73 | 4.84 | 4.75 | 4.51 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 25.84 | 23.07 | 19.99 | 16.79 | 18.89 | 17.83 | 17.43 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.12 | 0.31 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.27 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.17 | 0.43 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.37 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -24.11 | -30.98 | -30.98 | -30.98 | -59.77 | -59.77 | -59.77 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
10
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
> 18
|
78
|
78
|
78
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 92.07 | 53.23 | 38.41 | 21.29 | 16.28 | 13.84 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -52.96 | -18.37 | -8.13 | -1.57 | 2.21 | 6.13 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 69% | 81% | 90% | 99% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 69 | 141 | 216 | 383 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 51 | 99 | 144 | 255 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 55% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 38.67 | 20.31 | 12.47 | 10.55 | 8.83 | 4.15 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 2.58 | 0.00 | 2.66 | 4.62 | 4.53 | 4.31 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the European Stocks Portfolio granted a 2.67% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the European Stocks Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4021.60$, with a net total return of 302.16% (4.75% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 10426.51$, with a net total return of 942.65% (4.51% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-59.77% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Apr 2014 | 62 | 78 |
-45.88% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2004 | 27 | 57 |
-30.98% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-25.65% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-20.91% | Jun 2014 | Feb 2016 | 21 | May 2017 | 15 | 36 |
-19.44% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Dec 2019 | 12 | 23 |
-16.03% | Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | Apr 1999 | 7 | 9 |
-7.18% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-7.00% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Aug 1994 | 2 | 7 |
-5.68% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 2 |
-4.95% | Oct 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | Jan 1998 | 3 | 4 |
-4.90% | May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 6 |
-4.49% | Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 3 | Jul 2005 | 2 | 5 |
-4.08% | Sep 1994 | Sep 1994 | 1 | Mar 1995 | 6 | 7 |
-3.97% | Aug 1995 | Aug 1995 | 1 | Dec 1995 | 4 | 5 |
-3.23% | Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | Dec 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-3.19% | Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 | Sep 2007 | 2 | 4 |
-2.93% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Aug 2006 | 3 | 4 |
-2.19% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-1.89% | Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 1 | Feb 2005 | 1 | 2 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-59.77% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Apr 2014 | 62 | 78 |
-45.88% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2004 | 27 | 57 |
-38.16% | Jan 1973 | Sep 1974 | 21 | Jun 1975 | 9 | 30 |
-33.23% | Dec 1980 | Jul 1982 | 20 | Apr 1983 | 9 | 29 |
-30.98% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 5 | 18 |
-26.83% | Jan 1970 | Jun 1970 | 6 | Mar 1971 | 9 | 15 |
-25.65% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-23.15% | Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 2 | Jul 1989 | 20 | 22 |
-20.91% | Jun 2014 | Feb 2016 | 21 | May 2017 | 15 | 36 |
-20.21% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | May 1992 | 20 | 22 |
-19.44% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Dec 2019 | 12 | 23 |
-19.23% | Feb 1976 | Nov 1976 | 10 | Dec 1977 | 13 | 23 |
-16.03% | Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | Apr 1999 | 7 | 9 |
-12.85% | Jun 1992 | Nov 1992 | 6 | Aug 1993 | 9 | 15 |
-12.84% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Sep 1980 | 6 | 8 |
-10.90% | Jul 1975 | Sep 1975 | 3 | Jan 1976 | 4 | 7 |
-10.12% | Dec 1983 | Jul 1984 | 8 | Jan 1985 | 6 | 14 |
-8.83% | May 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | Aug 1986 | 3 | 4 |
-7.42% | Sep 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | Jan 1980 | 3 | 5 |
-7.18% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
European Stocks Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
10.95 |
92.07 May 1985 - Apr 1986 |
-52.96 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
30.94% |
2 Years |
10.10 |
58.72 Jan 1985 - Dec 1986 |
-30.58 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
21.14% |
3 Years |
9.61 |
53.23 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-18.37 Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
19.07% |
5 Years |
9.51 |
38.41 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-8.13 Jun 2007 - May 2012 |
10.02% |
7 Years |
9.56 |
28.01 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
-1.10 Nov 2007 - Oct 2014 |
0.72% |
10 Years |
9.81 |
21.29 Aug 1982 - Jul 1992 |
-1.57 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.77% |
15 Years |
10.17 |
19.85 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
0.46 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
10.26 |
16.28 Apr 1978 - Mar 1998 |
2.21 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
10.26 |
13.84 Jun 1977 - May 2007 |
6.13 Apr 1990 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the European Stocks Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in European Stocks Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.74
40% |
-1.84
40% |
-2.55
60% |
2.21
80% |
0.92
60% |
-0.46
40% |
2.26
80% |
-1.16
40% |
-3.11
40% |
0.80
60% |
5.12
60% |
1.78
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.74
|
99.86
|
97.31
|
99.46
|
100.38
|
99.91
|
102.17
|
100.99
|
97.85
|
98.63
|
103.68
|
105.52
|
Best |
9.6 2023 |
3.2 2019 |
3.3 2021 |
6.4 2020 |
5.8 2020 |
6.4 2019 |
5.0 2022 |
4.3 2020 |
2.6 2019 |
8.4 2022 |
16.4 2020 |
5.7 2020 |
Worst |
-3.6 2022 |
-8.0 2020 |
-16.7 2020 |
-6.2 2022 |
-5.7 2019 |
-9.9 2022 |
-2.6 2019 |
-7.5 2022 |
-9.7 2022 |
-7.9 2018 |
-4.9 2021 |
-4.8 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.77
50% |
-0.46
50% |
-0.41
60% |
2.91
90% |
1.01
70% |
-1.46
20% |
2.36
80% |
-1.28
50% |
-1.25
50% |
0.91
60% |
2.51
50% |
1.10
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.77
|
100.31
|
99.90
|
102.81
|
103.85
|
102.33
|
104.74
|
103.40
|
102.11
|
103.04
|
105.62
|
106.78
|
Best |
9.6 2023 |
7.3 2014 |
7.0 2016 |
6.4 2020 |
5.8 2020 |
6.4 2019 |
7.6 2013 |
4.3 2020 |
7.2 2013 |
8.4 2022 |
16.4 2020 |
5.7 2020 |
Worst |
-5.6 2016 |
-8.0 2020 |
-16.7 2020 |
-6.2 2022 |
-5.7 2019 |
-9.9 2022 |
-4.3 2014 |
-7.5 2022 |
-9.7 2022 |
-7.9 2018 |
-4.9 2021 |
-4.8 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.48
56% |
0.45
54% |
1.01
70% |
2.35
72% |
-0.07
55% |
0.10
49% |
1.30
62% |
0.02
55% |
-0.80
55% |
0.93
58% |
1.57
64% |
2.55
72% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.48
|
100.93
|
101.95
|
104.35
|
104.29
|
104.39
|
105.75
|
105.76
|
104.91
|
105.89
|
107.55
|
110.29
|
Best |
12.7 1975 |
11.1 1986 |
8.8 1986 |
13.5 2003 |
14.3 2009 |
8.3 2012 |
14.2 2010 |
12.2 1982 |
11.3 2010 |
18.1 1974 |
16.4 2020 |
10.2 1999 |
Worst |
-13.8 2009 |
-10.4 2009 |
-16.7 2020 |
-10.4 1970 |
-12.0 2012 |
-9.9 2022 |
-11.1 2002 |
-12.5 1998 |
-13.1 2002 |
-21.8 2008 |
-9.6 1973 |
-5.1 1980 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
European Stocks Portfolio data source starts from January 1970: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+7.68 | +6.24 | 9.6 | -1.7 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-16.00 | -21.10 | -3.6 | -5.3 | 0.2 | -6.2 | 2.4 | -9.9 | 5.0 | -7.5 | -9.7 | 8.4 | 13.5 | -1.7 |
2021 |
+16.88 | +9.20 | -0.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 4.5 | -1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | -5.4 | 5.0 | -4.9 | 5.2 |
2020 |
+6.11 | +4.69 | -3.1 | -8.0 | -16.7 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4.3 | -3.1 | -5.4 | 16.4 | 5.7 |
2019 |
+24.86 | +22.07 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 3.9 | -5.7 | 6.4 | -2.6 | -1.6 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 4.5 |
2018 |
-14.91 | -16.50 | 5.6 | -6.1 | -0.4 | 2.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 3.4 | -2.8 | 0.1 | -7.9 | -0.7 | -4.8 |
2017 |
+26.99 | +24.36 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 4.9 | -0.5 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 1.5 |
2016 |
-0.37 | -2.39 | -5.6 | -3.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | -0.5 | -4.0 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -3.5 | -2.3 | 4.9 |
2015 |
-1.94 | -2.65 | 0.5 | 6.1 | -2.4 | 4.2 | 0.3 | -3.3 | 2.7 | -7.0 | -4.1 | 5.9 | -1.2 | -2.6 |
2014 |
-7.10 | -7.80 | -4.6 | 7.3 | -0.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | -0.1 | -4.3 | 0.7 | -4.0 | -1.9 | 2.1 | -4.7 |
2013 |
+24.38 | +22.54 | 4.3 | -3.4 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.4 | 7.6 | -1.5 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
2012 |
+21.57 | +19.49 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 0.1 | -2.5 | -12.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4.3 |
2011 |
-11.64 | -14.19 | 3.7 | 3.1 | -1.0 | 8.3 | -2.8 | -2.1 | -4.6 | -9.3 | -12.2 | 12.4 | -2.9 | -2.3 |
2010 |
+6.05 | +4.49 | -6.3 | -0.6 | 6.5 | -3.8 | -11.7 | -1.6 | 14.2 | -4.6 | 11.3 | 4.9 | -7.8 | 9.1 |
2009 |
+31.33 | +27.85 | -13.8 | -10.4 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 14.3 | -2.4 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 4.8 | -2.6 | 4.5 | -0.2 |
2008 |
-44.71 | -44.76 | -9.0 | -0.3 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 0.7 | -9.0 | -2.9 | -3.8 | -12.9 | -21.8 | -7.4 | 7.1 |
2007 |
+13.24 | +8.80 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 2.1 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 4.7 | -3.8 | -2.1 |
2006 |
+33.06 | +29.76 | 6.3 | -0.3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | -2.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
2005 |
+9.26 | +5.65 | -1.9 | 4.9 | -2.5 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | -3.2 | 1.3 | 3.8 |
2004 |
+20.86 | +17.05 | 1.1 | 2.9 | -3.1 | -0.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 4.2 |
2003 |
+38.70 | +36.14 | -4.7 | -3.3 | -1.5 | 13.5 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 8.2 |
2002 |
-17.95 | -19.85 | -5.1 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -0.7 | 0.1 | -3.4 | -11.1 | -0.1 | -13.1 | 9.6 | 4.9 | -3.7 |
2001 |
-20.30 | -21.52 | 0.0 | -8.8 | -7.5 | 7.1 | -4.8 | -3.8 | 0.3 | -2.6 | -10.0 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
2000 |
-8.21 | -11.22 | -7.2 | 5.3 | 2.4 | -4.3 | -0.6 | 2.3 | -1.7 | -1.1 | -4.8 | -0.8 | -4.0 | 6.9 |
1999 |
+16.66 | +13.61 | -0.8 | -2.7 | 1.3 | 3.1 | -4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.8 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 10.2 |
1998 |
+28.86 | +26.82 | 4.2 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -12.5 | -4.0 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 4.2 |
1997 |
+24.23 | +22.15 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.4 | -0.5 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 4.7 | -5.7 | 9.7 | -5.0 | 1.4 | 3.6 |
1996 |
+21.25 | +17.36 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -1.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 |
1995 |
+22.28 | +19.25 | -0.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5.2 | -4.0 | 3.0 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 3.1 |
1994 |
+1.88 | -0.78 | 4.7 | -3.6 | -3.0 | 4.9 | -4.1 | -1.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | -4.1 | 4.1 | -3.8 | 0.5 |
1993 |
+29.13 | +25.67 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | -1.4 | 0.4 | 8.8 | -0.2 | 3.7 | -2.2 | 7.7 |
1992 |
-3.32 | -6.04 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -3.7 | 5.9 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -3.7 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -6.9 | -0.4 | 2.5 |
1991 |
+12.40 | +9.06 | 2.8 | 7.7 | -6.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -8.0 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -2.1 | -2.6 | 7.6 |
1990 |
-3.87 | -9.40 | -0.1 | -2.5 | 1.7 | -2.9 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 5.0 | -9.9 | -11.4 | 7.9 | 0.4 | -1.4 |
1989 |
+28.18 | +22.48 | 4.4 | -0.9 | 0.6 | 3.0 | -4.5 | 2.4 | 11.7 | -1.0 | 2.4 | -6.9 | 5.6 | 9.8 |
1988 |
+13.69 | +8.88 | -3.9 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | -1.5 | -1.1 | 0.4 | -4.7 | 5.1 | 8.2 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
1987 |
+7.05 | +2.51 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | -19.6 | -4.4 | 6.5 |
1986 |
+40.96 | +39.42 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 9.3 | -8.8 | 4.2 | -0.6 | 10.1 | -6.7 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
1985 |
+78.72 | +72.18 | 11.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 5.8 |
1984 |
+0.52 | -3.29 | -1.0 | -3.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -6.0 | 1.7 | -2.0 | 11.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 2.3 |
1983 |
+20.82 | +16.41 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 7.6 | -0.9 | 3.7 | -3.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -1.4 | 2.2 | -0.7 |
1982 |
+3.86 | +0.03 | -2.9 | -6.6 | -2.3 | 2.7 | -4.6 | -3.4 | -4.1 | 12.2 | -0.4 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
1981 |
-12.54 | -19.71 | -5.0 | 1.5 | 3.2 | -2.8 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.6 | -6.3 | -6.0 | 4.8 | 4.0 | -3.6 |
1980 |
+11.80 | -0.64 | 4.3 | -1.2 | -11.8 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 5.6 | -0.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 11.1 | -5.1 |
1979 |
+12.18 | -0.98 | 3.6 | -3.3 | 5.3 | -0.1 | -2.2 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 5.9 | -0.2 | -7.2 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
1978 |
+21.77 | +11.70 | -4.7 | -0.3 | 3.9 | 9.5 | 2.5 | -0.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 0.6 | -7.0 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
1977 |
+21.77 | +14.12 | -2.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.2 | -1.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
1976 |
-7.88 | -12.15 | 9.5 | -3.3 | 0.4 | -3.6 | -3.7 | 3.0 | -3.4 | -2.5 | 0.3 | -5.4 | -2.6 | 4.2 |
1975 |
+41.32 | +32.15 | 12.7 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 | -6.3 | -1.7 | -3.3 | 6.6 | 3.4 | -1.0 |
1974 |
-24.15 | -32.48 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -2.0 | -3.8 | -2.2 | -1.7 | -7.6 | -8.2 | -11.0 | 18.1 | -3.6 | -1.9 |
1973 |
-8.86 | -16.16 | -1.4 | -3.1 | 0.3 | -3.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 5.0 | -2.3 | 4.9 | 0.4 | -9.6 | 2.0 |
1972 |
+14.25 | +10.49 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | -2.3 | -0.4 | 3.7 | -0.8 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 |
1971 |
+26.21 | +22.21 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 4.7 | -2.9 | 1.2 | -2.8 | 4.5 | 0.4 | -2.8 | 0.9 | 8.9 |
1970 |
-10.74 | -15.45 | -8.6 | 4.3 | -0.8 | -10.4 | -7.6 | -6.6 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 | -2.5 | 4.3 | 5.5 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2005, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VGK - Vanguard FTSE Europe: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the European Stocks Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+9.51 | 13.66 | -43.27 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.38 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 100/0 Bill Bernstein |
+9.26 | 15.17 | -54.91 | 97 | 0 | 3 | ||
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+9.21 | 13.51 | -45.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Aggressive Global Income |
+8.99 | 14.36 | -52.63 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 90/10 Bill Bernstein |
+8.85 | 13.61 | -50.12 | 87.3 | 10 | 2.7 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 |
+8.84 | 12.34 | -41.09 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Robust Alpha Architect |
+8.81 | 10.97 | -44.20 | 70 | 20 | 10 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.61 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Paul Merriman |
+8.54 | 15.60 | -57.21 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 100 Betterment |
+8.51 | 15.75 | -54.55 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Mid-Fifties Burton Malkiel |
+8.51 | 12.91 | -46.21 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Late Thirties to Early Forties Burton Malkiel |
+8.45 | 13.54 | -48.28 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein |
+8.41 | 12.09 | -45.06 | 77.6 | 20 | 2.4 | ||
Robo Advisor 90 Betterment |
+8.37 | 14.39 | -50.07 | 90.1 | 9.9 | 0 | ||
Mid-Twenties Burton Malkiel |
+8.37 | 13.87 | -49.50 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+8.34 | 13.17 | -45.65 | 84 | 16 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.34 | 11.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.23 | 10.84 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 80 Betterment |
+8.18 | 13.01 | -45.47 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Second Grader's Starter Paul Farrell |
+8.15 | 13.77 | -48.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.14 | 11.26 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.06 | 10.67 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Core Four Rick Ferri |
+7.96 | 12.09 | -44.44 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein |
+7.95 | 10.60 | -39.73 | 67.9 | 30 | 2.1 | ||
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson |
+7.94 | 11.56 | -38.46 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 10.87 | -39.14 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.88 | 9.46 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
+7.88 | 10.78 | -40.89 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+7.86 | 11.04 | -38.23 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Four Funds Bogleheads |
+7.83 | 12.36 | -44.08 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green |
+7.77 | 12.03 | -43.02 | 65 | 30 | 5 | ||
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn |
+7.75 | 10.66 | -39.55 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Three Funds Bogleheads |
+7.73 | 12.29 | -43.68 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Growth Fund Vanguard |
+7.68 | 12.32 | -44.18 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.64 | 9.53 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Long Term Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.64 | 12.36 | -45.92 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.60 | 11.65 | -40.40 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Perfect Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.54 | 12.33 | -44.81 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Pinwheel |
+7.51 | 10.43 | -36.89 | 65 | 25 | 10 | ||
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein |
+7.45 | 9.15 | -34.12 | 58.2 | 40 | 1.8 | ||
Gretchen Tai Portfolio Gretchen Tai |
+7.45 | 11.61 | -41.80 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.45 | 9.24 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc |
+7.42 | 9.30 | -34.63 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.39 | 9.55 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
European Stocks |
+7.38 | 17.83 | -59.77 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+13.03 | 23.91 | -81.08 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 |