Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023
The US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.
It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.
In the last 15 Years, the US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio obtained a 10.18% compound annual return, with a 18.61% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
100.00 % | RSP | Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF | Equity, U.S. |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~20Y) |
|
US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio | 0.79 | -5.10 | -3.38 | 5.05 | -3.22 | 9.76 | 11.68 | 10.93 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -3.92 | 3.42 | -8.73 | 5.68 | 8.83 | 8.21 | |||
Components | |||||||||
RSP Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF |
0.79 | Mar 20 2023 | -5.10 | -3.38 | 5.05 | -3.22 | 9.76 | 11.68 | 10.93 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~20Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-3.38 | -1.08 | 5.05 | -3.22 | 14.38 | 9.76 | 11.68 | 10.93 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.52 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-3.92 | -2.11 | 3.42 | -8.73 | 8.76 | 5.68 | 8.83 | 8.21 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 23.14 | 22.46 | 20.22 | 16.01 | 17.02 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 | 0.61 | 0.42 | 0.69 | 0.41 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.33 | 0.81 | 0.57 | 0.92 | 0.54 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -18.50 | -20.69 | -26.65 | -26.65 | -55.58 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2022 01 | 2020 01 | 2020 01 | 2007 06 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2020 03 | 2020 03 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 21 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 11
|
> 14
|
11
|
11
|
45
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||
Best Return (%) | 79.06 | 33.05 | 28.31 | 18.33 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -47.46 | -18.35 | -7.39 | 6.90 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 80% | 86% | 95% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 83 | 158 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | 80 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 61% | 65% | 69% | 66% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 44.65 | 24.25 | 17.34 | 10.73 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 8.06 | 5.38 | 8.11 | 7.59 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio granted a 1.59% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3013.44$, with a net total return of 201.34% (7.63% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4784.16$, with a net total return of 378.42% (8.21% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-50.67% | Jun 2008 | Feb 2009 | 9 | Dec 2010 | 22 | 31 |
-26.65% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-20.69% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
-19.88% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-13.90% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
-10.58% | Jun 2015 | Jan 2016 | 8 | May 2016 | 4 | 12 |
-7.69% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
-6.93% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-5.28% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 6 |
-3.79% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-3.27% | Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 3 |
-2.96% | Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 2 |
-2.92% | Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 2 |
-2.92% | Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 2 |
-2.64% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-2.58% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 2 |
-2.44% | Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 2 |
-2.33% | Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 1 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2 |
-1.86% | Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 2 |
-1.23% | Jun 2013 | Jun 2013 | 1 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 2 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-55.58% | Jun 2007 | Feb 2009 | 21 | Feb 2011 | 24 | 45 |
-26.65% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 |
-20.69% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
-19.88% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-13.90% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
-10.58% | Jun 2015 | Jan 2016 | 8 | May 2016 | 4 | 12 |
-7.69% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
-6.93% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-5.49% | Jan 2005 | Apr 2005 | 4 | Jun 2005 | 2 | 6 |
-5.28% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 6 |
-4.67% | Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 2 | Oct 2004 | 2 | 4 |
-4.52% | May 2006 | Jul 2006 | 3 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 5 |
-3.79% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-3.27% | Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 3 |
-3.05% | Aug 2005 | Oct 2005 | 3 | Nov 2005 | 1 | 4 |
-3.02% | Mar 2004 | Apr 2004 | 2 | Jun 2004 | 2 | 4 |
-2.96% | Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 2 |
-2.92% | Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 2 |
-2.92% | Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 2 |
-2.64% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
11.81 |
79.06 Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-47.46 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
20.26% |
2 Years |
11.06 |
51.38 Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-30.52 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
11.63% |
3 Years |
10.17 |
33.05 Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
-18.35 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
13.79% |
5 Years |
9.64 |
28.31 Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
-7.39 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
5.03% |
7 Years |
10.38 |
20.10 Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
3.91 Jan 2005 - Dec 2011 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
10.95 |
18.33 Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
6.90 Feb 2006 - Jan 2016 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
9.44 |
11.16 May 2003 - Apr 2018 |
7.09 Apr 2005 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
2.03
40% |
-0.68
40% |
-1.87
60% |
3.31
80% |
0.44
80% |
0.12
80% |
3.78
100% |
0.37
60% |
-2.40
40% |
1.68
60% |
4.86
80% |
-0.22
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
102.03
|
101.34
|
99.45
|
102.74
|
103.19
|
103.32
|
107.22
|
107.62
|
105.03
|
106.79
|
111.98
|
111.73
|
Best |
9.8 2019 |
6.1 2021 |
6.0 2021 |
14.4 2020 |
4.8 2020 |
7.6 2019 |
8.6 2022 |
4.3 2020 |
3.3 2019 |
9.6 2022 |
14.3 2020 |
6.3 2021 |
Worst |
-4.4 2022 |
-8.9 2020 |
-18.0 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-6.9 2019 |
-9.4 2022 |
0.8 2019 |
-3.5 2022 |
-9.2 2022 |
-7.2 2018 |
-2.6 2021 |
-9.5 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.51
40% |
0.74
60% |
0.27
70% |
2.09
90% |
0.97
90% |
0.11
60% |
2.89
90% |
-0.32
50% |
-1.05
50% |
2.13
70% |
3.85
90% |
0.20
70% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.51
|
101.26
|
101.53
|
103.65
|
104.66
|
104.77
|
107.80
|
107.45
|
106.33
|
108.60
|
112.78
|
113.00
|
Best |
9.8 2019 |
6.1 2021 |
8.0 2016 |
14.4 2020 |
4.8 2020 |
7.6 2019 |
8.6 2022 |
4.3 2020 |
4.1 2013 |
9.6 2022 |
14.3 2020 |
6.3 2021 |
Worst |
-5.6 2016 |
-8.9 2020 |
-18.0 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-6.9 2019 |
-9.4 2022 |
-2.3 2014 |
-5.5 2015 |
-9.2 2022 |
-7.2 2018 |
-2.6 2021 |
-9.5 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.46
50% |
0.51
65% |
1.17
68% |
2.64
79% |
1.06
75% |
-0.55
50% |
1.92
70% |
0.18
55% |
-0.30
60% |
1.20
65% |
2.30
80% |
1.38
80% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.46
|
100.97
|
102.16
|
104.85
|
105.97
|
105.39
|
107.42
|
107.61
|
107.29
|
108.58
|
111.07
|
112.60
|
Best |
9.8 2019 |
6.1 2021 |
10.3 2009 |
18.7 2009 |
10.9 2003 |
7.6 2019 |
9.2 2009 |
5.6 2009 |
10.2 2010 |
13.1 2011 |
14.3 2020 |
7.2 2010 |
Worst |
-8.3 2009 |
-11.2 2009 |
-18.0 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-7.4 2010 |
-9.8 2008 |
-4.6 2004 |
-6.4 2011 |
-10.9 2008 |
-20.9 2008 |
-9.6 2008 |
-9.5 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio data source starts from May 2003: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+3.79 | +2.39 | 7.4 | -3.4 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-11.62 | -16.98 | -4.4 | -0.9 | 2.7 | -6.5 | 1.0 | -9.4 | 8.6 | -3.5 | -9.2 | 9.6 | 6.6 | -4.7 |
2021 |
+29.41 | +20.90 | -0.8 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.4 | -3.8 | 5.3 | -2.6 | 6.3 |
2020 |
+12.71 | +11.20 | -1.9 | -8.9 | -18.0 | 14.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 4.3 | -2.5 | -0.6 | 14.3 | 4.2 |
2019 |
+28.91 | +26.03 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 3.6 | -6.9 | 7.6 | 0.8 | -3.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
2018 |
-7.82 | -9.55 | 4.4 | -4.4 | -0.9 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | -7.2 | 2.6 | -9.5 |
2017 |
+18.51 | +16.06 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -1.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
2016 |
+14.50 | +12.18 | -5.6 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -2.4 | 5.2 | 1.1 |
2015 |
-2.66 | -3.36 | -2.9 | 5.7 | -1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | -2.3 | 1.0 | -5.5 | -3.0 | 7.0 | 0.3 | -2.5 |
2014 |
+14.06 | +13.21 | -3.0 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | -2.3 | 4.2 | -2.6 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
2013 |
+35.54 | +33.53 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 2.7 | -1.2 | 5.6 | -2.9 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.9 |
2012 |
+17.16 | +15.16 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | -0.8 | -7.0 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 | -0.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
2011 |
-0.67 | -3.53 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 3.1 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -3.6 | -6.4 | -9.0 | 13.1 | -0.9 | 0.2 |
2010 |
+21.37 | +19.58 | -3.3 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 2.7 | -7.4 | -6.3 | 7.4 | -4.8 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 7.2 |
2009 |
+44.64 | +40.80 | -8.3 | -11.2 | 10.3 | 18.7 | 6.5 | -1.2 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 5.3 | -3.7 | 5.5 | 4.6 |
2008 |
-40.07 | -40.12 | -4.3 | -3.0 | -1.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | -9.8 | -0.5 | 3.0 | -10.9 | -20.9 | -9.6 | 3.1 |
2007 |
+0.90 | -3.06 | 2.4 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | -1.9 | -4.5 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 1.1 | -4.6 | -1.7 |
2006 |
+15.46 | +12.60 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | -3.0 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
2005 |
+7.41 | +3.86 | -3.1 | 2.1 | -1.4 | -3.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5.1 | -0.9 | 0.5 | -2.7 | 4.6 | 0.5 |
2004 |
+16.48 | +12.81 | 2.4 | 1.9 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -4.6 | -0.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 3.7 |
2003 |
- | - | 10.9 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 4.3 | -1.5 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 5.2 |
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the US Stocks Equal Weight Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 15 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
15 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+14.67 | 19.02 | -44.80 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Equal Weight |
+10.18 | 18.61 | -50.67 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Cape US Sector Value Robert Shiller |
+11.27 | 19.30 | -21.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Equal Weight |
+9.76 | 20.22 | -26.65 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.34 | 19.00 | -24.81 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+8.75 | 18.79 | -26.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks ESG |
+8.19 | 19.13 | -27.79 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+8.15 | 14.84 | -19.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+6.15 | 18.76 | -30.16 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 15 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
15 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+14.67 | 19.02 | -44.80 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.68 | 16.72 | -46.56 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+9.64 | 14.05 | -40.82 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+9.35 | 16.56 | -49.86 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+9.03 | 14.64 | -41.66 | 90 | 10 | 0 |