Last Update: 31 July 2022

Implementing the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 13 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 10 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 99.35% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from March 1987 until July 2022.

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling
Period		 Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
 13.62 111.70
Jan 1991 - Dec 1991 		-54.34
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 		35.02%
2 Years
 12.04 64.67
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989 		-25.90
Sep 1996 - Aug 1998 		34.33%
3 Years
 11.20 60.25
Jan 1989 - Dec 1991 		-15.31
Sep 1995 - Aug 1998 		26.15%
4 Years
 10.78 54.04
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991 		-15.90
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998 		21.69%
5 Years
 10.36 49.02
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993 		-10.37
Feb 1994 - Jan 1999 		21.31%
6 Years
 9.79 46.91
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993 		-7.23
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003 		20.34%
7 Years
 9.18 36.13
Nov 1987 - Oct 1994 		-6.71
Oct 1994 - Sep 2001 		13.16%
8 Years
 8.82 29.83
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995 		-5.29
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002 		12.12%
9 Years
 8.65 28.19
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996 		-5.04
Feb 1994 - Jan 2003 		10.06%
10 Years
 8.47 22.76
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997 		-0.12
Apr 1993 - Mar 2003 		0.65%
11 Years
 8.39 20.13
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 		-1.21
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 		1.02%
12 Years
 8.56 21.44
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 		-0.34
Jun 2008 - May 2020 		1.42%
13 Years
 8.62 16.71
Jan 1988 - Dec 2000 		0.37
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 		0.00%
14 Years
 8.62 15.19
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 		0.84
Jun 2008 - May 2022 		0.00%
15 Years
 8.93 14.74
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005 		1.38
Aug 2007 - Jul 2022 		0.00%
16 Years
 9.21 15.87
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003 		3.16
May 2006 - Apr 2022 		0.00%
17 Years
 9.40 16.89
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007 		4.65
Aug 2005 - Jul 2022 		0.00%
18 Years
 9.44 17.25
May 1988 - Apr 2006 		5.06
Oct 1997 - Sep 2015 		0.00%
19 Years
 9.35 18.56
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007 		4.09
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016 		0.00%
20 Years
 9.08 18.64
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007 		4.57
Feb 1994 - Jan 2014 		0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+13.62% +111.70%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1991 		-54.34%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 		35.02%
145 out of 414
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+12.04% +64.67%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989 		-25.90%
Sep 1996 - Aug 1998 		34.33%
138 out of 402
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+11.20% +60.25%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1991 		-15.31%
Sep 1995 - Aug 1998 		26.15%
102 out of 390
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+10.78% +54.04%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991 		-15.90%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998 		21.69%
82 out of 378
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+10.36% +49.02%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993 		-10.37%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1999 		21.31%
78 out of 366
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.79% +46.91%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993 		-7.23%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003 		20.34%
72 out of 354
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.18% +36.13%
Nov 1987 - Oct 1994 		-6.71%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2001 		13.16%
45 out of 342
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.82% +29.83%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995 		-5.29%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2002 		12.12%
40 out of 330
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.65% +28.19%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996 		-5.04%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2003 		10.06%
32 out of 318
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.47% +22.76%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1997 		-0.12%
Apr 1993 - Mar 2003 		0.65%
2 out of 306
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.39% +20.13%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 		-1.21%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 		1.02%
3 out of 294
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.56% +21.44%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 		-0.34%
Jun 2008 - May 2020 		1.42%
4 out of 282
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.62% +16.71%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2000 		+0.37%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 		0.00%
0 out of 270
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.62% +15.19%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 		+0.84%
Jun 2008 - May 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 258
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+8.93% +14.74%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005 		+1.38%
Aug 2007 - Jul 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 246
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.21% +15.87%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003 		+3.16%
May 2006 - Apr 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 234
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.40% +16.89%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007 		+4.65%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 222
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.44% +17.25%
May 1988 - Apr 2006 		+5.06%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2015 		0.00%
0 out of 210
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.35% +18.56%
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007 		+4.09%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016 		0.00%
0 out of 198
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Average
Return		 Best
Return		 Worst
Return		 Negative
Periods
+9.08% +18.64%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007 		+4.57%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2014 		0.00%
0 out of 186
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

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