Last Update: 31 August 2021

Implementing the David Swensen Yale Endowment Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 3 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 91.93% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1995 until August 2021.

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the David Swensen Yale Endowment Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

David Swensen Yale Endowment Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
+9.72% +47.16%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-34.06%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
16.83%
2 Years
+9.10% +33.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-19.25%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
10.44%
3 Years
+8.73% +24.48%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-9.18%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
8.07%
4 Years
+8.57% +20.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
-3.76%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
1.10%
5 Years
+8.45% +18.71%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
-0.87%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.38%
6 Years
+8.32% +17.77%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
+4.27%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
0.00%
7 Years
+8.36% +13.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
+2.97%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
8 Years
+8.45% +14.04%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
+2.54%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
0.00%
9 Years
+8.54% +13.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
+2.50%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
0.00%
10 Years
+8.51% +12.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
+3.69%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
11 Years
+8.45% +12.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
+3.58%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
0.00%
12 Years
+8.32% +12.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
+4.77%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
0.00%
13 Years
+8.06% +11.05%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2007
+5.53%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
0.00%
14 Years
+8.11% +9.77%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
+6.31%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020
0.00%
15 Years
+8.35% +9.91%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2018
+7.06%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020
0.00%
16 Years
+8.46% +9.61%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2011
+7.13%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2020
0.00%
17 Years
+8.51% +9.58%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020
+7.50%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
0.00%
18 Years
+8.52% +9.78%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
+7.28%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
0.00%
19 Years
+8.42% +9.71%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2021
+7.11%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
20 Years
+8.33% +9.87%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015
+6.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+9.72% +47.16%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-34.06%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
16.83%
52 out of 309

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+9.10% +33.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-19.25%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
10.44%
31 out of 297

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.73% +24.48%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-9.18%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
8.07%
23 out of 285

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.57% +20.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
-3.76%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
1.10%
3 out of 273

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.45% +18.71%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
-0.87%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.38%
1 out of 261

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.32% +17.77%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
+4.27%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 249

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.36% +13.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
+2.97%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 237

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.45% +14.04%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
+2.54%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 225

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.54% +13.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
+2.50%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 213

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.51% +12.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
+3.69%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 201

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.45% +12.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
+3.58%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 189

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.32% +12.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
+4.77%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 177

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.06% +11.05%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2007
+5.53%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 165

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.11% +9.77%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
+6.31%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 153

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.35% +9.91%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2018
+7.06%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 141

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.46% +9.61%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2011
+7.13%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 129

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.51% +9.58%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020
+7.50%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
0.00%
0 out of 117

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.52% +9.78%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
+7.28%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 105

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.42% +9.71%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2021
+7.11%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 93

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+8.33% +9.87%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015
+6.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 81

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the David Swensen Yale Endowment Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

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