Data Source: from November 2012 to February 2023 (~10 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 03:59PM Eastern Time
Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 03:59PM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.58%
1 Day
Mar 20 2023, 03:59PM Eastern Time
3.80%
Current Month
March 2023
The Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.
It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.
In the last 10 Years, the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio obtained a 14.33% compound annual return, with a 15.52% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.00 % | CAPE | DoubleLine Shiller U.S. Equities ETF | Equity, U.S., Large Cap |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
ROBERT SHILLER CAPE US SECTOR VALUE PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 03:59PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~10Y) |
|
| Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio | 0.58 | -3.80 | -2.26 | 1.44 | -3.82 | 11.27 | 14.33 | 14.83 | |
| US Inflation Adjusted return | -2.80 | -0.13 | -9.30 | 7.14 | 11.40 | 11.94 | |||
| Components | |||||||||
|
CAPE DoubleLine Shiller U.S. Equities ETF |
0.58 |
03:59PM Mar 20 2023 |
-3.80 | -2.26 | 1.44 | -3.82 | 11.27 | 14.33 | 14.83 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Nov 2012
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
ROBERT SHILLER CAPE US SECTOR VALUE PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 November 2012 - 28 February 2023 (~10 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~10Y) |
|
| Portfolio Return (%) |
-2.26 | -0.35 | 1.44 | -3.82 | 15.10 | 11.27 | 14.33 | 14.83 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.58 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-2.80 | -1.39 | -0.13 | -9.30 | 9.45 | 7.14 | 11.40 | 11.94 |
| Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||
| RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 25.28 | 21.23 | 19.30 | 15.52 | 15.33 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.88 | 0.71 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | -0.34 | 0.91 | 0.69 | 1.18 | 0.94 | |||
| MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||
| Drawdown Depth (%) | -18.39 | -20.07 | -21.00 | -21.00 | -21.00 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2022 01 | 2020 02 | 2020 02 | 2020 02 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2020 03 | 2020 03 | 2020 03 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 11
|
> 14
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
|||
| ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||
| Best Return (%) | 62.89 | 26.51 | 19.92 | 15.31 | ||||
| Worst Return (%) | -15.62 | 4.34 | 8.27 | 14.32 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| MONTHS | ||||||||
| Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 81 | 85 |
| Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | 39 |
| % Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 68% | 69% |
| WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||
| Safe WR (%) | 45.47 | 25.34 | 19.38 | 17.33 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 8.64 | 6.66 | 10.23 | 10.67 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio granted a 0.44% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
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Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
An investment of 1000$, since March 2013,
now would be worth 3814.40$, with a total return of 281.44% (14.33% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2943.67$, with a net total return of 194.37% (11.40% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2943.67$, with a net total return of 194.37% (11.40% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since November 2012,
now would be worth 4173.01$, with a total return of 317.30% (14.83% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3208.65$, with a net total return of 220.86% (11.94% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3208.65$, with a net total return of 220.86% (11.94% annualized).
Drawdowns
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -21.00% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 6 |
| -20.07% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
| -15.27% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
| -8.74% | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 3 |
| -5.96% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
| -5.62% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 6 |
| -5.00% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
| -4.58% | Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | Mar 2016 | 2 | 3 |
| -4.02% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
| -3.84% | Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 2 |
| -3.14% | Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.99% | Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.77% | Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 2 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 3 |
| -2.29% | Jun 2013 | Jun 2013 | 1 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.05% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.04% | Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 3 |
| -2.03% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.02% | Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 2 | Jul 2015 | 3 | 5 |
| -1.15% | Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | May 2016 | 1 | 2 |
| -1.07% | Jan 2021 | Jan 2021 | 1 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -21.00% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 6 |
| -20.07% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
| -15.27% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
| -8.74% | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 3 |
| -5.96% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
| -5.62% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 6 |
| -5.00% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
| -4.58% | Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | Mar 2016 | 2 | 3 |
| -4.02% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
| -3.84% | Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 2 |
| -3.14% | Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.99% | Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | Sep 2013 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.77% | Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 2 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 3 |
| -2.29% | Jun 2013 | Jun 2013 | 1 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.05% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.04% | Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 3 |
| -2.03% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2 |
| -2.02% | Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 2 | Jul 2015 | 3 | 5 |
| -1.15% | Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | May 2016 | 1 | 2 |
| -1.07% | Jan 2021 | Jan 2021 | 1 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
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| Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
| 1 Year |
15.59 |
62.89 Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
-15.62 Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
12.39% |
| 2 Years |
15.63 |
37.58 Apr 2020 - Mar 2022 |
0.39 Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 3 Years |
14.97 |
26.51 Jan 2019 - Dec 2021 |
4.34 Apr 2017 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 5 Years |
14.96 |
19.92 Nov 2016 - Oct 2021 |
8.27 Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 7 Years |
14.99 |
16.84 Sep 2014 - Aug 2021 |
11.24 Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 10 Years |
14.68 |
15.31 Dec 2012 - Nov 2022 |
14.32 Jan 2013 - Dec 2022 |
0.00% |
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
2.68
60% |
-0.96
40% |
-1.13
60% |
3.48
80% |
0.34
60% |
0.30
80% |
4.98
100% |
1.78
60% |
-2.99
40% |
1.03
60% |
4.16
80% |
-1.07
60% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
102.68
|
101.69
|
100.54
|
104.04
|
104.40
|
104.71
|
109.93
|
111.88
|
108.54
|
109.66
|
114.21
|
113.00
|
| Best |
9.9 2023 |
4.4 2021 |
4.3 2021 |
11.7 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
6.5 2019 |
11.7 2022 |
6.7 2020 |
1.5 2018 |
7.1 2022 |
12.2 2020 |
4.6 2021 |
| Worst |
-4.5 2022 |
-9.2 2020 |
-13.0 2020 |
-3.8 2022 |
-6.0 2019 |
-9.7 2022 |
1.7 2021 |
-3.7 2022 |
-10.6 2022 |
-7.9 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-8.9 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Mar 2018 - Feb 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.23
50% |
1.01
60% |
0.29
60% |
2.07
70% |
1.49
80% |
0.26
60% |
3.73
90% |
0.39
60% |
-1.45
50% |
2.19
70% |
3.71
90% |
-0.25
70% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.23
|
102.24
|
102.55
|
104.67
|
106.24
|
106.51
|
110.49
|
110.92
|
109.31
|
111.71
|
115.85
|
115.55
|
| Best |
9.9 2023 |
5.5 2014 |
6.0 2016 |
11.7 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
6.5 2019 |
11.7 2022 |
6.7 2020 |
3.4 2013 |
9.9 2015 |
12.2 2020 |
4.6 2021 |
| Worst |
-4.6 2016 |
-9.2 2020 |
-13.0 2020 |
-3.8 2022 |
-6.0 2019 |
-9.7 2022 |
-0.9 2014 |
-6.2 2015 |
-10.6 2022 |
-7.9 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-8.9 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.64
55% |
1.06
64% |
0.29
60% |
2.07
70% |
1.49
80% |
0.26
60% |
3.73
90% |
0.39
60% |
-1.45
50% |
2.19
70% |
3.44
91% |
-0.14
73% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.64
|
102.71
|
103.02
|
105.15
|
106.73
|
107.01
|
111.00
|
111.43
|
109.81
|
112.22
|
116.08
|
115.92
|
| Best |
9.9 2023 |
5.5 2014 |
6.0 2016 |
11.7 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
6.5 2019 |
11.7 2022 |
6.7 2020 |
3.4 2013 |
9.9 2015 |
12.2 2020 |
4.6 2021 |
| Worst |
-4.6 2016 |
-9.2 2020 |
-13.0 2020 |
-3.8 2022 |
-6.0 2019 |
-9.7 2022 |
-0.9 2014 |
-6.2 2015 |
-10.6 2022 |
-7.9 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-8.9 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2012 - Feb 2023
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio data source starts from November 2012: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
We are providing two different views:
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Nov 2012 - Feb 2023
85 Positive Months (69%) - 39 Negative Months (31%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Nov 2012 - Feb 2023
(Scroll down to see all data)
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Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 2023 |
+7.47 | +6.02 | 9.9 | -2.3 | ||||||||||
| 2022 |
-15.62 | -20.73 | -4.5 | -1.2 | 3.9 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -9.7 | 11.7 | -3.7 | -10.6 | 7.1 | 6.4 | -7.3 |
| 2021 |
+27.80 | +19.40 | -1.1 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -5.0 | 5.4 | -2.0 | 4.6 |
| 2020 |
+19.47 | +17.86 | 0.0 | -9.2 | -13.0 | 11.7 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 6.7 | -2.0 | -2.1 | 12.2 | 3.9 |
| 2019 |
+32.61 | +29.65 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 4.1 | -6.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | -2.0 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 2018 |
-3.51 | -5.32 | 6.3 | -2.3 | -3.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | -7.9 | 1.0 | -8.9 |
| 2017 |
+21.38 | +18.87 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | -0.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| 2016 |
+18.06 | +15.66 | -4.6 | 2.3 | 6.0 | -1.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -3.1 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 2015 |
+4.57 | +3.81 | -1.9 | 5.3 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 1.9 | -0.4 | 1.1 | -6.2 | -2.7 | 9.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 2014 |
+15.77 | +14.90 | -3.8 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.8 | -0.9 | 2.9 | -2.1 | 2.8 | 4.4 | -0.9 |
| 2013 |
+33.36 | +31.39 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 5.5 | -2.3 | 5.4 | -3.0 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 2012 |
- | - | 0.8 | 1.0 | ||||||||||
Portofolio Returns, up to April 2022, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- CAPE - DoubleLine Shiller U.S. Equities ETF: simulated historical serie, up to April 2022
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio, no other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 10 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
Swipe left to see all data
5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Cape US Sector Value Robert Shiller |
+11.27 | 19.30 | -21.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Equal Weight |
+9.76 | 20.22 | -26.65 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks |
+9.34 | 19.00 | -24.81 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Value |
+8.75 | 18.79 | -26.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks ESG |
+8.19 | 19.13 | -27.79 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+8.15 | 14.84 | -19.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Momentum |
+6.15 | 18.76 | -30.16 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 10 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
Swipe left to see all data
10 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Technology |
+16.97 | 17.77 | -32.58 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Momentum |
+12.55 | 15.14 | -30.16 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks |
+11.82 | 15.19 | -24.81 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
|
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+11.01 | 13.39 | -23.08 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
|
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+10.61 | 12.10 | -19.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
