Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023
The Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 8 ETFs.
It's exposed for 55% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio obtained a 7.18% compound annual return, with a 8.23% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
20.00 % | VV | Vanguard Large-Cap | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
10.00 % | SCZ | iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap | Equity, EAFE, Small Cap | |
8.00 % | IJR | iShares Core S&P Small-Cap | Equity, U.S., Small Cap | |
6.00 % | EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap | |
6.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
5.00 % | VNQ | Vanguard Real Estate | Real Estate, U.S. | |
41.00 % | IEI | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term | |
4.00 % | BIL | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio | 0.43 | -0.32 | -2.89 | 0.74 | -8.12 | 3.50 | 5.12 | 7.18 | 9.42 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -3.43 | -0.82 | -13.35 | -0.34 | 2.43 | 4.56 | 5.57 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VV Vanguard Large-Cap |
0.87 | Mar 20 2023 | -0.36 | -2.40 | 0.97 | -8.75 | 9.59 | 12.07 | 9.71 | 8.90 |
SCZ iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap |
1.09 | Mar 20 2023 | -3.12 | -3.14 | 8.11 | -9.39 | 0.61 | 5.89 | 6.98 | 10.53 |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap |
1.46 | Mar 20 2023 | -7.84 | -1.21 | 6.33 | -3.60 | 7.80 | 10.87 | 10.28 | 11.48 |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets |
0.37 | Mar 20 2023 | -1.26 | -7.57 | -1.58 | -16.23 | -2.35 | 0.92 | 5.83 | 7.41 |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US |
1.01 | Mar 20 2023 | -1.77 | -4.39 | 7.42 | -7.28 | 1.97 | 4.24 | 5.50 | 8.03 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate |
1.14 | Mar 20 2023 | -4.96 | -5.86 | -5.50 | -13.27 | 7.07 | 6.31 | 8.64 | 7.02 |
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond |
-0.28 | Mar 20 2023 | 2.70 | -2.39 | -2.15 | -8.08 | 0.46 | 0.58 | 4.20 | 4.48 |
BIL SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill |
0.01 | Mar 20 2023 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 1.68 | 2.07 | 1.18 | 0.66 | 2.19 | 3.99 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-2.89 | -0.26 | 0.74 | -8.12 | 3.28 | 3.50 | 5.12 | 7.20 | 7.18 | 9.42 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 3.65 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-3.43 | -1.30 | -0.82 | -13.35 | -1.79 | -0.34 | 2.43 | 4.57 | 4.56 | 5.57 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 13.88 | 11.56 | 10.12 | 8.14 | 8.64 | 8.23 | 8.87 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.73 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.55 | 0.70 | 0.61 | 0.61 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -1.10 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.72 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.82 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -14.79 | -19.10 | -19.10 | -19.10 | -28.96 | -28.96 | -28.96 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 03 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 14
|
> 14
|
> 14
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 43.70 | 26.97 | 23.63 | 16.53 | 13.36 | 11.84 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -24.75 | -4.49 | 1.29 | 4.81 | 6.21 | 7.17 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 87% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 79 | 162 | 242 | 382 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 41 | 78 | 118 | 184 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 61% | 62% | 66% | 68% | 67% | 67% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 36.03 | 21.63 | 12.72 | 9.52 | 7.31 | 7.01 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.37 | 4.37 | 4.36 | 5.28 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VV | SCZ | IJR | EEM | VEU | VNQ | IEI | BIL | |
VV |
1.00
|
0.89
|
0.96
|
0.63
|
0.84
|
0.90
|
0.60
|
0.02
|
|
SCZ |
0.89
|
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.85
|
0.98
|
0.87
|
0.79
|
0.25
|
|
IJR |
0.96
|
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.58
|
0.80
|
0.84
|
0.64
|
0.01
|
|
EEM |
0.63
|
0.85
|
0.58
|
1.00
|
0.93
|
0.70
|
0.80
|
0.28
|
|
VEU |
0.84
|
0.98
|
0.80
|
0.93
|
1.00
|
0.83
|
0.81
|
0.25
|
|
VNQ |
0.90
|
0.87
|
0.84
|
0.70
|
0.83
|
1.00
|
0.62
|
-0.04
|
|
IEI |
0.60
|
0.79
|
0.64
|
0.80
|
0.81
|
0.62
|
1.00
|
0.13
|
|
BIL |
0.02
|
0.25
|
0.01
|
0.28
|
0.25
|
-0.04
|
0.13
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VV | SCZ | IJR | EEM | VEU | VNQ | IEI | BIL | |
VV |
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.90
|
0.71
|
0.87
|
0.84
|
0.10
|
-0.21
|
|
SCZ |
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.83
|
0.97
|
0.81
|
0.13
|
-0.15
|
|
IJR |
0.90
|
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.73
|
0.86
|
0.79
|
-0.02
|
-0.24
|
|
EEM |
0.71
|
0.83
|
0.73
|
1.00
|
0.92
|
0.64
|
0.17
|
-0.12
|
|
VEU |
0.87
|
0.97
|
0.86
|
0.92
|
1.00
|
0.77
|
0.15
|
-0.13
|
|
VNQ |
0.84
|
0.81
|
0.79
|
0.64
|
0.77
|
1.00
|
0.19
|
-0.18
|
|
IEI |
0.10
|
0.13
|
-0.02
|
0.17
|
0.15
|
0.19
|
1.00
|
0.18
|
|
BIL |
-0.21
|
-0.15
|
-0.24
|
-0.12
|
-0.13
|
-0.18
|
0.18
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VV | SCZ | IJR | EEM | VEU | VNQ | IEI | BIL | |
VV |
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.87
|
0.68
|
0.85
|
0.72
|
0.01
|
-0.16
|
|
SCZ |
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.79
|
0.79
|
0.95
|
0.66
|
0.08
|
-0.12
|
|
IJR |
0.87
|
0.79
|
1.00
|
0.61
|
0.76
|
0.65
|
-0.10
|
-0.19
|
|
EEM |
0.68
|
0.79
|
0.61
|
1.00
|
0.91
|
0.52
|
0.14
|
-0.06
|
|
VEU |
0.85
|
0.95
|
0.76
|
0.91
|
1.00
|
0.64
|
0.10
|
-0.08
|
|
VNQ |
0.72
|
0.66
|
0.65
|
0.52
|
0.64
|
1.00
|
0.29
|
-0.15
|
|
IEI |
0.01
|
0.08
|
-0.10
|
0.14
|
0.10
|
0.29
|
1.00
|
0.10
|
|
BIL |
-0.16
|
-0.12
|
-0.19
|
-0.06
|
-0.08
|
-0.15
|
0.10
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VV | SCZ | IJR | EEM | VEU | VNQ | IEI | BIL | |
VV |
1.00
|
0.73
|
0.82
|
0.72
|
0.81
|
0.61
|
-0.12
|
-0.02
|
|
SCZ |
0.73
|
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.75
|
0.88
|
0.60
|
-0.11
|
-0.09
|
|
IJR |
0.82
|
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.69
|
0.74
|
0.64
|
-0.20
|
-0.05
|
|
EEM |
0.72
|
0.75
|
0.69
|
1.00
|
0.85
|
0.51
|
-0.10
|
-0.03
|
|
VEU |
0.81
|
0.88
|
0.74
|
0.85
|
1.00
|
0.58
|
-0.14
|
-0.04
|
|
VNQ |
0.61
|
0.60
|
0.64
|
0.51
|
0.58
|
1.00
|
0.03
|
-0.01
|
|
IEI |
-0.12
|
-0.11
|
-0.20
|
-0.10
|
-0.14
|
0.03
|
1.00
|
0.18
|
|
BIL |
-0.02
|
-0.09
|
-0.05
|
-0.03
|
-0.04
|
-0.01
|
0.18
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VV | SCZ | IJR | EEM | VEU | VNQ | IEI | BIL | |
VV |
1.00
|
0.80
|
0.84
|
0.71
|
0.75
|
0.61
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
|
SCZ |
0.80
|
1.00
|
0.76
|
0.72
|
0.82
|
0.60
|
0.06
|
-0.03
|
|
IJR |
0.84
|
0.76
|
1.00
|
0.66
|
0.68
|
0.66
|
0.01
|
-0.01
|
|
EEM |
0.71
|
0.72
|
0.66
|
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.49
|
0.06
|
-0.03
|
|
VEU |
0.75
|
0.82
|
0.68
|
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.54
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
|
VNQ |
0.61
|
0.60
|
0.66
|
0.49
|
0.54
|
1.00
|
0.09
|
0.01
|
|
IEI |
0.09
|
0.06
|
0.01
|
0.06
|
0.05
|
0.09
|
1.00
|
0.20
|
|
BIL |
0.00
|
-0.03
|
-0.01
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.20
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio granted a 1.48% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3812.50$, with a net total return of 281.25% (4.56% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 12899.43$, with a net total return of 1189.94% (5.57% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-28.96% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Apr 2010 | 14 | 30 |
-19.10% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
-10.75% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-9.56% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-9.04% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-7.14% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 8 |
-6.93% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Apr 2002 | 7 | 15 |
-6.91% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Apr 1995 | 10 | 15 |
-6.62% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | May 2003 | 8 | 12 |
-5.67% | May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 2 | Sep 2010 | 3 | 5 |
-5.03% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jun 2016 | 4 | 13 |
-4.69% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 3 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 5 |
-4.32% | May 2012 | May 2012 | 1 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 5 |
-3.88% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
-3.38% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Feb 1998 | 6 | 7 |
-3.21% | Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 2 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 3 |
-2.79% | Feb 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | Aug 2018 | 4 | 7 |
-2.79% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-2.74% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 3 |
-2.74% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 4 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-28.96% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Apr 2010 | 14 | 30 |
-19.10% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 5 | 14 |
-15.85% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Dec 1988 | 13 | 16 |
-10.75% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-10.22% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 7 |
-9.56% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-9.04% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-8.94% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | May 1980 | 2 | 4 |
-7.72% | Dec 1981 | Jun 1982 | 7 | Sep 1982 | 3 | 10 |
-7.64% | Jun 1981 | Sep 1981 | 4 | Nov 1981 | 2 | 6 |
-7.14% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 8 |
-6.93% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Apr 2002 | 7 | 15 |
-6.91% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Apr 1995 | 10 | 15 |
-6.80% | Sep 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | Jan 1980 | 3 | 5 |
-6.62% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | May 2003 | 8 | 12 |
-6.22% | Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | Jan 1979 | 3 | 4 |
-5.67% | May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 2 | Sep 2010 | 3 | 5 |
-5.61% | Jan 1990 | Apr 1990 | 4 | Jun 1990 | 2 | 6 |
-5.21% | Feb 1984 | May 1984 | 4 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 7 |
-5.03% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jun 2016 | 4 | 13 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
9.85 |
43.70 Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-24.75 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
12.97% |
2 Years |
9.84 |
31.66 Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
-11.72 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
5.34% |
3 Years |
9.82 |
26.97 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-4.49 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
0.94% |
5 Years |
9.83 |
23.63 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
1.29 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
7 Years |
9.90 |
19.44 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
4.30 Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
9.92 |
16.53 Aug 1982 - Jul 1992 |
4.81 Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
9.70 |
15.02 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
4.55 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
9.64 |
13.36 Mar 1978 - Feb 1998 |
6.21 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
9.68 |
11.84 Nov 1977 - Oct 2007 |
7.17 Oct 1992 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.39
60% |
-1.06
40% |
-1.06
60% |
0.84
60% |
0.45
80% |
0.18
60% |
1.83
100% |
0.30
60% |
-2.04
20% |
0.29
60% |
2.54
80% |
0.30
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.39
|
100.32
|
99.26
|
100.09
|
100.54
|
100.73
|
102.57
|
102.88
|
100.78
|
101.06
|
103.63
|
103.94
|
Best |
5.3 2023 |
1.4 2021 |
1.3 2021 |
5.1 2020 |
2.6 2020 |
3.6 2019 |
4.4 2022 |
2.8 2020 |
1.1 2019 |
2.8 2022 |
6.5 2020 |
3.1 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.4 2020 |
-7.2 2020 |
-4.9 2022 |
-2.8 2019 |
-4.6 2022 |
0.0 2019 |
-3.4 2022 |
-6.6 2022 |
-4.4 2018 |
-1.5 2021 |
-3.6 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.73
60% |
-0.16
50% |
0.14
70% |
0.85
80% |
0.43
80% |
0.07
60% |
1.57
90% |
-0.16
50% |
-0.82
40% |
0.86
70% |
1.54
80% |
0.28
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.73
|
100.58
|
100.72
|
101.58
|
102.01
|
102.08
|
103.68
|
103.51
|
102.66
|
103.55
|
105.14
|
105.44
|
Best |
5.3 2023 |
2.7 2014 |
4.6 2016 |
5.1 2020 |
2.6 2020 |
3.6 2019 |
4.4 2022 |
2.8 2020 |
3.7 2013 |
3.4 2015 |
6.5 2020 |
3.1 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.4 2020 |
-7.2 2020 |
-4.9 2022 |
-2.8 2019 |
-4.6 2022 |
-1.2 2014 |
-3.4 2015 |
-6.6 2022 |
-4.4 2018 |
-1.5 2021 |
-3.6 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.03
65% |
0.28
56% |
0.69
74% |
1.29
81% |
0.74
66% |
0.65
64% |
0.93
66% |
0.54
66% |
0.06
60% |
0.43
62% |
1.41
74% |
1.40
77% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.03
|
101.32
|
102.01
|
103.32
|
104.08
|
104.76
|
105.73
|
106.30
|
106.37
|
106.82
|
108.33
|
109.85
|
Best |
7.3 1987 |
5.7 1986 |
5.3 2009 |
6.8 2009 |
5.6 1990 |
3.9 1988 |
5.4 2009 |
7.7 1982 |
5.4 2010 |
8.1 1982 |
6.5 2020 |
8.8 1991 |
Worst |
-6.4 2009 |
-5.9 2009 |
-7.2 2020 |
-4.9 2022 |
-4.4 2010 |
-4.6 2022 |
-3.3 2002 |
-7.0 1998 |
-6.6 2022 |
-12.0 1987 |
-2.7 1994 |
-3.6 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio data source starts from January 1976: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+2.29 | +0.92 | 5.3 | -2.9 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-14.72 | -19.89 | -3.5 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -4.9 | 0.3 | -4.6 | 4.4 | -3.4 | -6.6 | 2.8 | 5.2 | -2.5 |
2021 |
+9.88 | +2.66 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -2.7 | 2.4 | -1.5 | 2.5 |
2020 |
+10.59 | +9.10 | -0.4 | -3.4 | -7.2 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | -1.4 | -1.0 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
2019 |
+16.81 | +14.20 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | -2.8 | 3.6 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
2018 |
-4.77 | -6.56 | 2.0 | -2.7 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 1.5 | -3.6 |
2017 |
+13.38 | +11.04 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
2016 |
+6.63 | +4.46 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -0.2 | 0.7 | -1.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
2015 |
+0.48 | -0.25 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0.6 | -3.4 | -0.9 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -1.1 |
2014 |
+4.84 | +4.05 | -1.4 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 1.9 | -2.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 |
2013 |
+12.69 | +11.02 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | -0.9 | -1.7 | 3.0 | -1.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
2012 |
+10.59 | +8.69 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -4.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | -0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
2011 |
+0.70 | -2.20 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.8 | -0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -3.1 | -5.4 | 5.9 | -0.6 | 0.2 |
2010 |
+13.17 | +11.50 | -1.5 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | -4.4 | -1.4 | 5.0 | -1.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | -0.9 | 3.5 |
2009 |
+19.04 | +15.88 | -6.4 | -5.9 | 5.3 | 6.8 | 4.6 | -0.4 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 3.6 | -1.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
2008 |
-16.79 | -16.87 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -4.2 | -0.7 | 0.2 | -4.4 | -9.8 | -2.1 | 3.4 |
2007 |
+7.88 | +3.65 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
2006 |
+13.86 | +11.03 | 3.4 | -0.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -2.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
2005 |
+8.69 | +5.10 | -0.8 | 1.8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
2004 |
+13.13 | +9.56 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -3.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
2003 |
+24.10 | +21.81 | -1.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 |
2002 |
-0.29 | -2.61 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -1.8 | -3.3 | 1.3 | -2.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -0.2 |
2001 |
+0.13 | -1.40 | 2.7 | -2.8 | -2.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -4.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
2000 |
+2.38 | -0.97 | -2.1 | 1.4 | 2.8 | -2.2 | -1.0 | 3.7 | -0.7 | 2.6 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -1.8 | 3.0 |
1999 |
+12.00 | +9.07 | 0.7 | -2.7 | 2.8 | 4.4 | -1.5 | 2.9 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3.8 |
1998 |
+9.62 | +7.88 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.1 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -1.2 | -7.0 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
1997 |
+10.10 | +8.26 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -2.0 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 3.3 | -3.4 | 3.4 | -2.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
1996 |
+10.04 | +6.50 | 1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -2.6 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3.6 | -0.5 |
1995 |
+19.39 | +16.43 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
1994 |
-2.75 | -5.29 | 2.9 | -2.5 | -4.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -1.3 | 2.1 | 2.6 | -1.8 | 0.6 | -2.7 | 0.9 |
1993 |
+20.08 | +16.87 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 3.3 |
1992 |
+6.13 | +3.14 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1.9 | 0.6 | 2.8 | -1.5 | 2.8 | -0.4 | 0.8 | -0.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
1991 |
+26.12 | +22.37 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | -3.3 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | -2.5 | 8.8 |
1990 |
-2.55 | -8.16 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1.8 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -6.6 | -3.9 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
1989 |
+23.52 | +18.04 | 3.9 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -0.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
1988 |
+14.83 | +9.97 | 4.6 | 3.4 | -1.0 | 0.6 | -0.5 | 3.9 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -0.8 | 1.2 |
1987 |
+2.90 | -1.47 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | -1.8 | -12.0 | -2.6 | 3.7 |
1986 |
+22.03 | +20.71 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.9 | -1.6 | 5.2 | -4.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
1985 |
+29.14 | +24.42 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -1.3 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
1984 |
+10.00 | +5.82 | 0.6 | -2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -4.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
1983 |
+15.81 | +11.58 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 5.3 | -0.4 | 2.2 | -2.6 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 2.0 | -0.1 |
1982 |
+18.57 | +14.19 | -1.4 | -2.4 | -0.9 | 3.0 | -1.2 | -2.5 | 0.5 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
1981 |
+2.36 | -6.02 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -1.6 | 1.7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -3.7 | -2.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | -2.6 |
1980 |
+16.30 | +3.37 | 2.5 | -3.1 | -6.0 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 3.2 | -1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5.3 | -0.9 |
1979 |
+13.51 | +0.19 | 3.4 | -1.7 | 3.9 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 3.7 | -0.1 | -6.7 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
1978 |
+10.15 | +1.04 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.2 | -6.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
1977 |
+5.06 | -1.54 | -2.2 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -1.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
1976 |
+17.59 | +12.13 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1.6 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 3.3 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VV - Vanguard Large-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- SCZ - iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
- EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
- VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BIL - SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Bob Clyatt Sandwich Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.39 | 9.55 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.18 | 8.23 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.38 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.61 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.34 | 11.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.23 | 10.84 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.14 | 11.26 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 |