Data Source: from January 1994 to December 2021

Last Update: 31 December 2021

The Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio is exposed for 60% on the Stock Market.

It's a High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 10 ETFs.

In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 8.73% compound annual return, with a 8.25% standard deviation.

In the last 25 years, a 7.46% compound annual return, with a 9.46% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

60% Stocks
40% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
15.00 % VV Vanguard Large-Cap Equity, U.S., Large Cap
10.00 % IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value
10.00 % VTV Vanguard Value Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value
5.00 % IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap Equity, U.S., Small Cap
5.00 % EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap
5.00 % VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe Equity, Developed Europe, Large Cap
5.00 % VPL Vanguard FTSE Pacific Equity, Developed Asia Pacific, Large Cap
5.00 % VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Real Estate, U.S.
28.00 % SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Short Term
12.00 % LQD iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns

The Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

BILL BERNSTEIN COWARD'S PORTFOLIO RETURNS (%)
Last Update: 31 December 2021
Swipe left to see all data
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y(*) 5Y(*) 10Y(*) 20Y(*) 25Y(*)
Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio +3.13 +4.27 +2.96 +13.47 +13.23 +9.10 +8.73 +7.36 +7.46
--- Inflation Adjusted return +2.65 +2.02 -0.42 +5.92 +9.37 +6.00 +6.47 +4.94 +5.05
Components
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
+4.17 +10.38 +10.81 +27.40 +26.47 +18.72 +16.63 +9.69 +9.88
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
+4.12 +4.30 +0.09 +30.53 +18.47 +10.04 +13.33 +9.82 +10.48
VTV
Vanguard Value
+6.95 +9.34 +8.31 +26.51 +17.58 +12.48 +13.74 +8.48 +8.66
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap
+4.50 +5.57 +2.49 +26.60 +20.05 +12.37 +14.47 +10.68 +10.37
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
+1.53 -1.57 -10.09 -3.61 +10.06 +9.16 +4.73 +8.87 +5.94
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe
+5.20 +5.08 +3.11 +16.88 +15.69 +10.84 +8.67 +6.52 +6.50
VPL
Vanguard FTSE Pacific
+3.01 -1.90 -2.99 +1.12 +11.71 +8.99 +7.95 +6.65 +3.51
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
+9.69 +15.03 +15.74 +40.52 +19.96 +11.22 +11.50 +10.89 +9.94
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
-0.21 -0.60 -0.57 -0.72 +1.88 +1.47 +0.95 +2.17 +3.01
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
-0.03 +0.38 -0.08 -1.85 +8.53 +5.66 +4.94 +5.65 +5.93
(*) annualized
Portfolio returns are calculated assuming:
  • a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
  • the reinvestment of dividends

Inflation is updated to Dec 2021. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.12% , 3Y: 3.53% , 5Y: 2.92% , 10Y: 2.12% , 20Y: 2.31% , 25Y: 2.29%

In 2021, the portfolio granted a 1.73% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Historical Returns

Historical returns and stats of Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio. Total Returns and Inflation Adjusted Returns are both mentioned.

BILL BERNSTEIN COWARD'S PORTFOLIO
Last Update: 31 December 2021
Swipe left to see all data
Period Return
Dec 2021
update
Return
Inflation
Adjusted
Standard
Deviation(*)
Max
Drawdown
Months
Pos - Neg
1M
Dec 2021
+3.13%
+2.65%
0.00%
1 - 0
3M
+4.27%
+2.02%
-1.73%
Nov 2021 - Nov 2021
2 - 1
6M
+2.96%
-0.42%
-2.51%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
3 - 3
YTD
+13.47%
+5.92%
5.97%
-2.51%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
9 - 3
75% pos
1Y
+13.47%
+5.92%
5.97%
-2.51%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
9 - 3
75% pos
3Y
+13.23%
annualized
+9.37%
annualized
11.00%
-15.13%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
26 - 10
72% pos
5Y
+9.10%
annualized
+6.00%
annualized
9.56%
-15.13%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
43 - 17
72% pos
10Y
+8.73%
annualized
+6.47%
annualized
8.25%
-15.13%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
85 - 35
71% pos
20Y
+7.36%
annualized
+4.94%
annualized
9.47%
-33.85%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
161 - 79
67% pos
25Y
+7.46%
annualized
+5.05%
annualized
9.46%
-33.85%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
198 - 102
66% pos
MAX
01 Jan 1994
+7.81%
annualized
+5.34%
annualized
9.18%
-33.85%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
227 - 109
68% pos
(*)Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns

Portfolio efficiency

Is the Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio actually efficient, compared to other Lazy Portfolios?

Best Classic Portfolios, with High Risk, ordered by 25 Years annualized return.

25 Years Stats
% Allocation
Portfolio Return Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm.
Simple Path to Wealth
JL Collins
+8.96% -38.54% 75 25 0 Compare
Yale Endowment
David Swensen
+8.94% -39.46% 70 30 0 Compare
Talmud Portfolio
Roger Gibson
+8.80% -40.18% 66.67 33.33 0 Compare
Late Sixties and Beyond
Burton Malkiel
+8.63% -41.80% 71 29 0 Compare
Lazy Portfolio
David Swensen
+8.41% -40.88% 70 30 0 Compare

See all portfolios

Our overall ratings, assigned to the Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio. The portfolio is classified as High Risk.

Very High Risk
Bond weight:
Less than 25%
High Risk
Bond weight:
25% - 49.99%
Medium Risk
Bond weight:
50% - 74.99%
Low Risk
Bond weight:
At least 75%
High Risk
Portfolios
All
Portfolios
25 Years Ann. Return
(Inflation Adjusted)
+7.46%
(+5.05%)
Average : 2.4 / 5
Good : 3.2 / 5
Standard Deviation
over 25 Years
9.46%
Good : 3.5 / 5
Good : 3.5 / 5
Maximum Drawdown
over 25 Years
-33.85%
Good : 3.4 / 5
Average : 2.9 / 5
Easy to manage 10 ETFs
Poor : 1 / 5
Poor : 1 / 5
Rating assigned considering all the High Risk Portfolios Rating assigned considering all the Portfolios in the database

Capital Growth

Time Range:

An investment of 1000$, since January 1997, now would be worth 6037.40$, with a total return of 503.74% (7.46% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3428.19$, with a net total return of 242.82% (5.05% annualized).

Drawdowns

Time Range:

Worst drawdowns since January 1997 - Chart and Data

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-33.85% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Dec 2010 22 38
-15.13% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Nov 2020 8 11
-11.86% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Feb 2012 5 10
-11.84% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 20 Jul 2003 10 30
-11.38% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Dec 1998 4 8
-8.66% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Apr 2019 4 8
-6.47% Jun 2015 Jan 2016 8 Jun 2016 5 13
-4.88% Apr 2012 May 2012 2 Aug 2012 3 5
-4.68% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 3 Jan 2001 2 5
-3.72% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-3.48% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Sep 2004 5 6
-3.23% Jun 2007 Jul 2007 2 Sep 2007 2 4
-3.19% Feb 2018 Mar 2018 2 Jul 2018 4 6
-2.92% Oct 1997 Oct 1997 1 Feb 1998 4 5
-2.77% Aug 1997 Aug 1997 1 Sep 1997 1 2
-2.66% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3
-2.66% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 3 Nov 1999 2 5
-2.62% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-2.60% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Nov 2014 2 3
-2.60% May 2006 May 2006 1 Aug 2006 3 4

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
+8.39% +38.05%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-28.57%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
17.23%
2 Years
+7.86% +26.64%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-15.55%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
10.22%
3 Years
+7.63% +18.22%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-7.36%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
8.97%
5 Years
+7.33% +15.26%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
-0.84%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.72%
7 Years
+7.09% +10.85%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2016
+2.09%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
10 Years
+7.12% +10.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
+3.20%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
15 Years
+6.84% +8.34%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2018
+5.46%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020
0.00%
20 Years
+7.08% +8.39%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2014
+5.49%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio Seasonality: in which months is it better to invest?

In the table below, the average monthly return is represented.

Below each return, it's also mentioned the probability of obtaining a positive monthly result (Win %).

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Win %
0.35
61%
0.14
64%
0.67
71%
1.69
82%
0.40
64%
0.45
64%
0.72
61%
0.01
64%
0.15
57%
0.67
64%
1.20
75%
1.51
82%
Best
Year
5.9
2019
4.0
1998
5.3
2016
8.4
2009
4.7
2003
4.4
2019
6.2
2009
3.0
2000
5.4
2010
7.2
2011
8.1
2020
4.9
2008
Worst
Year
-7.3
2009
-7.5
2009
-10.1
2020
-3.5
2004
-5.1
2010
-5.3
2008
-5.4
2002
-8.8
1998
-5.6
2011
-11.2
2008
-4.1
2008
-4.9
2018
Statistics calculated for the period Jan 1994 - Dec 2021

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly/Yearly Returns

Bill Bernstein Coward's Portfolio monthly and yearly returns: how is the distribution of the returns recorded so far?

MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
227 Positive Months (68%) - 109 Negative Months (32%)
Jan 1994 - Dec 2021
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2021
+13.47 +5.92 0.6 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.3 -2.5 2.9 -1.7 3.1
2020
+8.12 +6.74 -1.2 -4.5 -10.1 6.4 2.5 1.7 2.9 2.6 -1.8 -0.6 8.1 3.3
2019
+18.34 +15.72 5.9 1.6 0.6 2.1 -3.7 4.4 0.3 -0.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.1
2018
-5.49 -7.27 2.1 -3.1 -0.1 0.1 1.4 0.0 2.0 1.2 -0.5 -4.8 1.4 -4.9
2017
+12.63 +10.31 1.0 1.7 0.2 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.4 -0.1 2.0 1.1 1.5 0.8
2016
+10.13 +7.92 -3.0 0.0 5.3 0.7 0.3 1.2 2.7 0.1 0.3 -1.8 2.2 1.7
2015
-1.45 -2.08 -0.5 2.6 -0.1 0.2 0.1 -1.3 0.3 -3.8 -1.4 4.1 0.2 -1.5
2014
+6.21 +5.52 -1.9 2.9 0.7 0.3 1.3 1.4 -1.3 2.2 -2.6 2.5 0.8 -0.1
2013
+16.08 +14.35 2.6 0.6 1.9 1.7 -0.1 -1.3 3.3 -2.1 3.3 2.7 1.4 1.1
2012
+11.64 +9.71 4.0 2.2 1.2 -0.5 -4.4 3.1 0.7 1.5 1.7 -0.5 0.5 1.9
2011
-0.01 -2.98 0.8 2.3 0.1 2.5 -0.6 -1.1 -0.9 -4.0 -5.6 7.2 -0.9 0.9
2010
+12.72 +11.12 -1.9 1.9 4.2 1.9 -5.1 -2.6 5.0 -2.4 5.4 2.3 -0.4 4.4
2009
+18.27 +15.03 -7.3 -7.5 4.9 8.4 4.3 0.1 6.2 2.8 3.2 -2.3 3.6 2.0
2008
-19.69 -19.68 -2.5 -1.2 0.1 2.8 0.7 -5.3 0.0 0.6 -5.4 -11.2 -4.1 4.9
2007
+4.57 +0.44 1.3 -0.4 0.9 2.0 1.9 -1.0 -2.2 1.5 2.7 1.9 -2.9 -1.0
2006
+14.41 +11.59 3.6 0.0 1.8 1.1 -2.6 0.5 0.5 1.9 1.1 2.9 2.1 0.9
2005
+6.99 +3.53 -1.6 1.9 -1.7 -0.9 2.2 1.5 2.5 0.1 1.1 -2.0 2.6 1.1
2004
+12.14 +8.52 1.5 1.5 0.7 -3.5 0.9 1.9 -1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6 3.6 2.3
2003
+23.63 +21.17 -1.9 -1.0 0.0 5.1 4.7 1.6 1.3 2.2 0.6 3.8 1.4 3.9
2002
-5.60 -7.88 -0.4 0.2 3.0 0.0 -0.1 -2.8 -5.4 0.7 -4.3 2.2 2.8 -1.2
2001
-0.05 -1.62 3.2 -3.6 -2.8 4.0 0.7 -0.4 -0.3 -1.3 -5.4 1.8 3.1 1.5
2000
+3.31 -0.13 -2.6 1.0 3.3 -1.5 -1.2 2.3 0.0 3.0 -1.1 -0.7 -2.9 4.0
1999
+12.80 +9.86 0.7 -2.7 2.5 4.6 -1.0 3.0 -1.0 -1.1 -0.6 2.0 1.8 4.1
1998
+8.26 +6.54 0.3 4.0 2.6 0.4 -1.7 0.6 -1.6 -8.8 3.7 4.1 3.0 2.3
1997
+15.65 +13.72 1.8 0.5 -1.8 1.7 4.3 3.3 4.0 -2.8 4.3 -2.9 1.2 1.5
1996
+13.38 +9.67 1.8 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.2 -2.7 1.9 2.8 1.3 4.1 0.1
1995
+21.63 +18.63 0.3 2.5 1.7 2.3 3.0 1.3 2.5 0.4 1.9 -1.0 2.8 2.3
1994
-1.24 -3.74 3.1 -2.2 -3.7 1.1 0.4 -1.0 1.9 2.5 -1.8 0.8 -2.9 0.9

* Note:
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2005, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • VV - Vanguard Large-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
  • IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
  • VTV - Vanguard Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
  • IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
  • EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
  • VGK - Vanguard FTSE Europe: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
  • VPL - Vanguard FTSE Pacific: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
  • VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
  • SHY - iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2002
  • LQD - iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2002
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