Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio vs Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.59$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.73%
Yearly Return
8.46%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.17$
Final Capital
April 2025
1.61%
Yearly Return
8.46%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
2.65$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.14%
Yearly Return
7.86%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
1.75$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.48%
Yearly Return
7.86%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.52$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.69%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-16.89%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.86$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.42%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-22.71%
Max Drawdown
47months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
12.12$
Final Capital
April 2025
16.50%
Yearly Return
34.45%
Std Deviation
-37.49%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
8.01$
Final Capital
April 2025
13.59%
Yearly Return
34.45%
Std Deviation
-38.14%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 6.14% compound annual return, with a 7.86% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.58% which has been ongoing for 40 months and is still in progress.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 16.50% compound annual return, with a 34.45% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.49% that required 29 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
7.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
7.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
25.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
23.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
2.00 -0.74 1.04 10.15 2.92 4.73 6.14
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_harry_browne.webp Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Harry Browne
5.70 1.23 5.59 17.23 7.43 9.69 16.50
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.59$, with a total return of 58.81% (4.73% annualized).

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.52$, with a total return of 152.25% (9.69% annualized).


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Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 2.65$, with a total return of 164.57% (6.14% annualized).

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 12.12$, with a total return of 1112.01% (16.50% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Ray Dalio Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 15% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.15 17.23
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.92 14.85
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.45 -2.56
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.45 -2.56
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 7* 3
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.04 5.13
Sharpe Ratio 0.76 2.42
Sortino Ratio 0.92 2.96
Ulcer Index 1.36 0.71
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.44 3.36
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.94 6.73
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Ray Dalio Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 15% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 2.92 7.43
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -1.54 2.77
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -16.89
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -16.89
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 45 39
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.35 9.01
Sharpe Ratio 0.04 0.54
Sortino Ratio 0.05 0.76
Ulcer Index 9.54 6.18
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.28 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.14 0.44
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Ray Dalio Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 15% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.73 9.69
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.61 6.42
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -16.89
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -16.89
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 39
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.46 8.50
Sharpe Ratio 0.35 0.93
Sortino Ratio 0.48 1.39
Ulcer Index 6.96 4.61
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.56 1.14
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.23 0.57
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Ray Dalio Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 15% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.14 16.50
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.48 13.59
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -37.49
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 29
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -23.85
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 45
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 46
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.86 34.45
Sharpe Ratio 0.65 0.45
Sortino Ratio 0.86 1.34
Ulcer Index 5.78 12.77
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.78 0.48
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.30 0.44
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.58 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-16.89 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-6.42 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.08 9 Aug 2016
Apr 2017
-4.71 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.63 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-4.30 11 May 2015
Mar 2016
-3.74 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-3.68 4 Aug 2020
Nov 2020
-3.52 10 May 2015
Feb 2016
-2.86 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.79 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018
-2.67 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-2.61 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-2.56 2 Dec 2024
Jan 2025

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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.49 29 Jul 2011
Nov 2013
-23.85 45 Dec 2013
Aug 2017
-20.58 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-16.89 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-6.66 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-6.42 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.36 7 Jan 2009
Jul 2009
-5.29 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-4.71 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.63 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-3.74 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-3.68 4 Aug 2020
Nov 2020
-2.89 5 Dec 2009
Apr 2010
-2.86 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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All Weather Portfolio Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.00 -1.94 5.70 0.00
2024
6.36 -3.73 13.79 -2.56
2023
9.95 -9.25 14.40 -5.74
2022
-18.39 -20.58 -13.80 -16.89
2021
8.27 -3.74 5.48 -2.86
2020
15.88 -3.68 21.66 -2.67
2019
17.93 -0.83 17.66 -1.61
2018
-3.02 -4.71 -3.19 -4.63
2017
11.55 -0.49 38.10 -1.36
2016
6.50 -6.42 7.85 -6.08
2015
-3.23 -6.66 -2.15 -6.28
2014
12.89 -2.52 8.31 -2.83
2013
1.71 -5.29 122.23 -23.85
2012
7.02 -1.33 9.90 -1.72
2011
15.64 -2.00 40.38 -37.49
2010
12.88 -0.69 20.30 -0.51
2009
2.71 -11.57 7.37 -6.36
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with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing