Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 2009 to November 2023 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 02 2023, 10:59AM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
1.09%
1 Day
Dec 02 2023, 10:59AM Eastern Time
1.09%
Current Month
December 2023

The Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 5 ETFs.

It's exposed for 25% on the Stock Market and for 25% on Commodities.

In the last 10 Years, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 5.08% compound annual return, with a 11.38% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin has the following asset allocation:

25% Stocks
50% Fixed Income
25% Commodities

The Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%) Ticker Currency ETF Name Investment Themes
25.00
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
25.00
BIL
USD SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term
25.00
TLT
USD iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Long-Term
23.00
GLD
USD SPDR Gold Trust Commodity, Gold
2.00
^BTC
USD Bitcoin Commodities

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023

The Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming: December 2023 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 02 2023, 10:59AM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023
  1 Day Time ET(*) Dec 2023 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin 1.09 1.09 5.60 2.85 8.48 7.42 5.08 16.33
US Inflation Adjusted return 5.60 1.67 4.97 3.21 2.20 13.39
Components
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market 0.84 Dec 01 2023 0.84 9.42 10.04 12.72 11.71 11.16 13.55
BIL
USD SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill 0.02 Dec 01 2023 0.02 0.47 2.67 4.88 1.67 1.05 0.71
TLT
USD iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond 1.88 Dec 01 2023 1.88 9.92 -9.50 -8.15 -2.46 1.07 0.95
GLD
USD SPDR Gold Trust 1.73 Dec 01 2023 1.73 2.53 3.53 14.53 10.31 4.57 5.37
^BTC
USD Bitcoin 0.36 10:59AM, Dec 02 2023 0.36 8.76 37.81 118.03 57.23 41.81 144.93
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 2009
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.35% , 5Y: 4.07% , 10Y: 2.82%

In 2022, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin granted a 1.13% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023

An investment of 1$, since December 2013, now would be worth 1.64$, with a total return of 64.10% (5.08% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1.24$, with a net total return of 24.31% (2.20% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 9.54$, with a total return of 854.24% (16.33% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 6.52$, with a net total return of 552.02% (13.39% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023

Metrics of Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin, updated as of 30 November 2023.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 30 November 2023 (~15 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
Investment Return (%) 5.60 2.09 2.85 8.48 1.50 7.42 5.08 16.33
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 5.60 1.87 1.67 4.97 -4.01 3.21 2.20 13.39
US Inflation (%) 0.00 0.21 1.17 3.35 5.74 4.07 2.82 2.59
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.74 -16.88 -16.88 -23.85 -37.49
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4 23* 23* 45 29
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2013 12 2011 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 9 9 1 5
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 09 2022 09 2013 12 2011 11
Bottom to End (# months) 2 14 14 44 24
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - 2017 08 2013 11
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-23.85
Start to Recovery (# months) details 45
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2013 12 2013 12
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 9 9 1 1
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 09 2022 09 2013 12 2013 12
Bottom to End (# months) 2 14 14 44 44
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - 2017 08 2017 08
Longest negative period (# months) details 9 35 39 46 46
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 02 2020 12 2020 08 2013 12 2013 12
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2017 09 2017 09
Annualized Return (%) -2.39 -0.34 -0.12 -0.07 -0.07
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.38 -23.20 -23.20 -23.84 -37.63
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4* 35* 35* 48 29
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 01 2021 01 2013 12 2011 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 22 22 1 5
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2013 12 2011 11
Bottom to End (# months) 2 13 13 47 24
End (yyyy mm) - - - 2017 11 2013 11
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-23.84
Start to Recovery (# months) details 48
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 01 2021 01 2013 12 2013 12
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 22 22 1 1
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2013 12 2013 12
Bottom to End (# months) 2 13 13 47 47
End (yyyy mm) - - - 2017 11 2017 11
Longest negative period (# months) details 11 36* 52 52 52
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2022 12 2020 12 2019 07 2019 07 2019 07
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 11 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -0.65 -4.01 -0.22 -0.22 -0.22
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 10.68 9.86 9.21 11.38 35.99
Sharpe Ratio 0.34 -0.04 0.62 0.35 0.34
Sortino Ratio 0.51 -0.06 0.90 0.44 1.03
Ulcer Index 2.38 7.89 6.17 10.77 13.36
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.79 0.15 0.81 0.45 0.45
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.48 0.09 0.44 0.21 0.44
% Positive Months details 58% 52% 61% 59% 60%
Positive Months 7 19 37 71 109
Negative Months 5 17 23 49 70
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.08 23.14
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.08
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.20 21.03
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.20
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
Over the latest 10Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 36.15 17.59 15.30 5.08
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -18.38 -4.81 2.79
% Positive Periods 80% 98% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 33.33 15.38 13.09 2.20
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -22.40 -5.91 0.94
% Positive Periods 73% 81% 100% 100%
Over all the available data source (Jan 2009 - Nov 2023)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 190.49 67.14 37.50 23.14
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -29.51 -4.81 2.79 5.08
% Positive Periods 85% 99% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 186.94 63.66 34.74 21.03
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -30.66 -5.91 0.94 2.20
% Positive Periods 80% 88% 100% 100%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y MAX
Safe WR (%) 32.07 23.63 10.15 21.48
Perpetual WR (%) 0.00 3.11 2.15 11.81
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Asset
VTI
BIL
TLT
GLD
^BTC
VTI
-
0.08
0.83
0.27
0.39
BIL
0.08
-
-0.06
-0.12
-0.29
TLT
0.83
-0.06
-
0.51
0.48
GLD
0.27
-0.12
0.51
-
0.65
^BTC
0.39
-0.29
0.48
0.65
-
Asset
VTI
BIL
TLT
GLD
^BTC
VTI
-
-0.09
0.13
0.20
0.43
BIL
-0.09
-
0.08
0.09
-0.05
TLT
0.13
0.08
-
0.42
0.15
GLD
0.20
0.09
0.42
-
0.20
^BTC
0.43
-0.05
0.15
0.20
-
Asset
VTI
BIL
TLT
GLD
^BTC
VTI
-
-0.06
0.06
0.09
0.30
BIL
-0.06
-
0.01
0.10
-0.03
TLT
0.06
0.01
-
0.43
0.09
GLD
0.09
0.10
0.43
-
0.10
^BTC
0.30
-0.03
0.09
0.10
-
Asset
VTI
BIL
TLT
GLD
^BTC
VTI
-
-0.10
-0.11
0.09
0.15
BIL
-0.10
-
-0.03
0.07
-0.10
TLT
-0.11
-0.03
-
0.24
-0.03
GLD
0.09
0.07
0.24
-
0.00
^BTC
0.15
-0.10
-0.03
0.00
-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 30 November 2023 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-23.85% Dec 2013 Dec 2013 1 Aug 2017 44 45 15.89
-16.88% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 14 23 9.75
-4.62% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 Mar 2019 5 14 2.48
-2.85% Sep 2021 Sep 2021 1 Oct 2021 1 2 1.64
-2.64% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3 1.64
-2.63% Jan 2021 Feb 2021 2 Apr 2021 2 4 1.66
-2.44% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3 1.25
-1.64% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Jan 2020 4 5 0.79
-1.56% Sep 2017 Sep 2017 1 Oct 2017 1 2 0.90
-0.21% Nov 2021 Nov 2021 1 Dec 2021 1 2 0.12
-0.12% Jun 2021 Jun 2021 1 Jul 2021 1 2 0.07
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-23.84% Dec 2013 Dec 2013 1 Nov 2017 47 48 17.06
-23.20% Jan 2021 Oct 2022 22 in progress 13 35 13.62
-6.51% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 May 2019 7 16 3.55
-2.96% Aug 2020 Oct 2020 3 Nov 2020 1 4 1.65
-2.49% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3 1.31
-1.72% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Jan 2020 4 5 0.91
-0.14% Jul 2019 Jul 2019 1 Aug 2019 1 2 0.08
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-37.49% Jul 2011 Nov 2011 5 Nov 2013 24 29 24.47
-23.85% Dec 2013 Dec 2013 1 Aug 2017 44 45 15.89
-16.88% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 14 23 9.75
-6.36% Jan 2009 Feb 2009 2 Jul 2009 5 7 3.57
-4.62% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 Mar 2019 5 14 2.48
-2.89% Dec 2009 Jan 2010 2 Apr 2010 3 5 1.66
-2.85% Sep 2021 Sep 2021 1 Oct 2021 1 2 1.64
-2.64% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3 1.64
-2.63% Jan 2021 Feb 2021 2 Apr 2021 2 4 1.66
-2.44% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3 1.25
-1.64% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Jan 2020 4 5 0.79
-1.56% Sep 2017 Sep 2017 1 Oct 2017 1 2 0.90
-0.36% Oct 2009 Oct 2009 1 Nov 2009 1 2 0.21
-0.26% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Feb 2011 1 2 0.15
-0.21% Nov 2021 Nov 2021 1 Dec 2021 1 2 0.12
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-37.63% Jul 2011 Nov 2011 5 Nov 2013 24 29 25.63
-23.84% Dec 2013 Dec 2013 1 Nov 2017 47 48 17.06
-23.20% Jan 2021 Oct 2022 22 in progress 13 35 13.62
-7.23% Jan 2009 Feb 2009 2 Sep 2009 7 9 4.15
-6.51% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 9 May 2019 7 16 3.55
-3.05% Dec 2009 Jan 2010 2 Apr 2010 3 5 1.74
-2.96% Aug 2020 Oct 2020 3 Nov 2020 1 4 1.65
-2.49% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Apr 2020 1 3 1.31
-1.72% Sep 2019 Sep 2019 1 Jan 2020 4 5 0.91
-0.99% Mar 2011 Mar 2011 1 Apr 2011 1 2 0.57
-0.73% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Feb 2011 1 2 0.42
-0.45% Oct 2009 Oct 2009 1 Nov 2009 1 2 0.26
-0.14% Jul 2019 Jul 2019 1 Aug 2019 1 2 0.08
-0.12% May 2010 May 2010 1 Jun 2010 1 2 0.07

Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 30 November 2023 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -18.38 12/2013
11/2014
0.81$ -2.41 0.97$ 8.27 1.08$ 17.26 1.17$ 36.15 01/2017
12/2017
1.36$ 8.48 19.27%
2Y -9.97 12/2013
11/2015
0.81$ -1.11 0.97$ 11.11 1.23$ 15.62 1.33$ 21.18 01/2016
12/2017
1.46$ -2.46 18.56%
3Y -4.81 12/2013
11/2016
0.86$ 3.72 1.11$ 11.97 1.40$ 14.68 1.50$ 17.59 08/2017
07/2020
1.62$ 1.50 1.18%
5Y 2.79 12/2013
11/2018
1.14$ 6.45 1.36$ 10.47 1.64$ 13.92 1.91$ 15.30 01/2016
12/2020
2.03$ 7.42 0.00%
7Y 6.65 12/2013
11/2020
1.56$ 8.59 1.78$ 9.70 1.91$ 11.08 2.08$ 11.63 01/2014
12/2020
2.15$ 9.62 0.00%
10Y 5.08 12/2013
11/2023
1.64$ 5.08 1.64$ 5.08 1.64$ 5.08 1.64$ 5.08 12/2013
11/2023
1.64$ 5.08 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -22.40 11/2021
10/2022
0.77$ -3.84 0.96$ 4.80 1.04$ 15.07 1.15$ 33.33 01/2017
12/2017
1.33$ 4.97 26.61%
2Y -10.78 12/2013
11/2015
0.79$ -7.09 0.86$ 7.26 1.15$ 13.53 1.28$ 18.70 01/2016
12/2017
1.40$ -7.29 21.65%
3Y -5.91 12/2013
11/2016
0.83$ -1.41 0.95$ 9.61 1.31$ 11.62 1.39$ 15.38 08/2017
07/2020
1.53$ -4.01 18.82%
5Y 0.94 01/2018
12/2022
1.04$ 2.40 1.12$ 8.43 1.49$ 11.29 1.70$ 13.09 01/2016
12/2020
1.85$ 3.21 0.00%
7Y 4.20 10/2016
09/2023
1.33$ 4.98 1.40$ 6.37 1.54$ 8.99 1.82$ 9.87 01/2014
12/2020
1.93$ 5.88 0.00%
10Y 2.20 12/2013
11/2023
1.24$ 2.20 1.24$ 2.20 1.24$ 2.20 1.24$ 2.20 12/2013
11/2023
1.24$ 2.20 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -29.51 07/2011
06/2012
0.70$ -0.15 0.99$ 12.98 1.12$ 34.71 1.34$ 190.49 12/2012
11/2013
2.90$ 8.48 14.88%
2Y -10.69 07/2011
06/2013
0.79$ 2.53 1.05$ 14.89 1.31$ 43.67 2.06$ 85.83 12/2011
11/2013
3.45$ -2.46 12.82%
3Y -4.81 12/2013
11/2016
0.86$ 5.22 1.16$ 14.68 1.50$ 33.06 2.35$ 67.14 12/2010
11/2013
4.66$ 1.50 0.69%
5Y 2.79 12/2013
11/2018
1.14$ 8.47 1.50$ 14.78 1.99$ 33.10 4.17$ 37.50 03/2009
02/2014
4.91$ 7.42 0.00%
7Y 6.65 12/2013
11/2020
1.56$ 9.37 1.87$ 20.47 3.68$ 25.64 4.94$ 27.22 02/2011
01/2018
5.39$ 9.62 0.00%
10Y 5.08 12/2013
11/2023
1.64$ 15.27 4.14$ 19.40 5.88$ 22.31 7.49$ 23.14 08/2010
07/2020
8.01$ 5.08 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -30.66 07/2011
06/2012
0.69$ -2.60 0.97$ 10.30 1.10$ 30.78 1.30$ 186.94 12/2012
11/2013
2.86$ 4.97 19.64%
2Y -12.19 07/2011
06/2013
0.77$ -0.68 0.98$ 12.57 1.26$ 40.72 1.98$ 83.08 12/2011
11/2013
3.35$ -7.29 14.74%
3Y -5.91 12/2013
11/2016
0.83$ 3.47 1.10$ 11.62 1.39$ 31.69 2.28$ 63.66 12/2010
11/2013
4.38$ -4.01 11.11%
5Y 0.94 01/2018
12/2022
1.04$ 5.81 1.32$ 12.48 1.80$ 30.71 3.81$ 34.74 03/2009
02/2014
4.44$ 3.21 0.00%
7Y 4.20 10/2016
09/2023
1.33$ 5.84 1.48$ 18.80 3.33$ 23.65 4.41$ 25.15 07/2009
06/2016
4.80$ 5.88 0.00%
10Y 2.20 12/2013
11/2023
1.24$ 12.47 3.23$ 17.10 4.84$ 20.22 6.30$ 21.03 08/2010
07/2020
6.74$ 2.20 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.50
60%
-0.68
40%
0.87
60%
0.89
80%
0.18
60%
0.92
60%
2.23
100%
0.09
60%
-3.03
0%
1.10
80%
2.53
60%
0.98
80%
Best 5.8
2023
0.7
2019
4.4
2023
5.3
2020
1.9
2019
5.0
2019
5.7
2020
3.8
2019
-1.6
2019
4.0
2021
5.6
2023
4.8
2020
Worst -3.2
2022
-3.0
2023
-1.9
2020
-5.2
2022
-1.7
2022
-3.2
2022
0.0
2019
-2.7
2022
-4.7
2022
-0.7
2020
-0.6
2019
-1.1
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 2009 - Nov 2023
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.62
80%
0.14
50%
0.36
40%
0.69
70%
0.42
60%
0.95
60%
1.35
90%
0.63
60%
-2.10
0%
0.87
70%
1.94
60%
-1.22
70%
Best 5.8
2023
3.7
2016
4.4
2023
5.3
2020
2.4
2017
5.0
2019
5.7
2020
5.6
2017
0.0
2016
4.0
2021
8.8
2017
5.2
2017
Worst -3.2
2022
-3.0
2023
-1.9
2020
-5.2
2022
-1.7
2022
-3.2
2022
-1.3
2014
-2.7
2022
-4.7
2022
-2.3
2018
-2.9
2016
-23.8
2013
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 2009 - Nov 2023
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.14
67%
0.41
53%
1.05
47%
2.48
80%
2.06
53%
2.22
60%
0.97
87%
0.06
67%
-1.75
27%
1.06
60%
9.91
67%
-0.26
64%
Best 5.8
2023
4.9
2011
9.7
2013
20.6
2011
27.8
2011
29.4
2011
5.7
2020
5.6
2017
3.1
2009
11.7
2013
123.5
2013
7.7
2011
Worst -4.0
2009
-3.0
2023
-1.9
2020
-5.2
2022
-3.2
2013
-6.9
2013
-7.6
2011
-15.6
2011
-13.3
2011
-6.9
2011
-2.9
2016
-23.8
2013
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 2009 - Nov 2023

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 30 November 2023 (~15 years)
71 Positive Months (59%) - 49 Negative Months (41%)
109 Positive Months (61%) - 70 Negative Months (39%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)

Portfolio efficiency

The following portfolios granted a higher return over 10 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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10 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Cape US Sector Value Robert Shiller +13.36 15.80 -21.00 100 0 0
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett +10.69 13.69 -23.08 90 10 0
US Stocks Minimum Volatility +10.13 12.15 -19.06 100 0 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 +9.29 12.74 -22.75 80 20 0
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.81 12.07 -22.24 75 25 0
Dedalo Four Dedalo Invest +8.60 12.49 -22.61 80 20 0
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch +7.82 12.87 -23.81 84 16 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 with Bitcoin +7.56 13.19 -22.56 59 39 2
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 +7.37 10.11 -20.69 60 40 0
Dedalo Eleven Dedalo Invest +7.32 12.43 -23.40 80 20 0
Core Four Rick Ferri +7.22 12.17 -23.46 80 20 0
Sheltered Sam 90/10 Bill Bernstein +7.14 13.34 -22.65 87.3 10 2.7
Four Funds Bogleheads +7.14 12.26 -23.20 80 20 0
Three Funds Bogleheads +7.10 12.21 -23.18 80 20 0
LifeStrategy Growth Fund Vanguard +7.00 12.17 -23.11 80 20 0
Aim Bold Strategy Aim Ways +6.91 9.41 -20.16 45 40 15
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch +6.90 11.11 -22.31 69 31 0
Robo Advisor 90 Betterment +6.75 13.78 -23.36 90.1 9.9 0
Perfect Portfolio Ben Stein +6.67 11.80 -18.62 80 20 0
All Country World 80/20 +6.63 12.41 -23.52 80 20 0
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn +6.59 11.11 -22.74 70 30 0
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson +6.58 11.15 -22.88 66.7 33.3 0
Couch Potato Scott Burns +6.57 9.18 -19.77 50 50 0
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein +6.51 11.91 -19.89 77.6 20 2.4
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 ESG +6.39 10.35 -22.44 60 40 0
Seven Value Scott Burns +6.32 11.79 -20.44 71.5 28.5 0
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel +6.25 11.27 -22.44 71 29 0
Robo Advisor 80 Betterment +6.19 12.55 -22.63 80 20 0
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein +6.15 11.60 -19.76 75 25 0
Long Term Portfolio Ben Stein +6.14 11.88 -20.52 80 20 0
Robust Alpha Architect +6.04 11.21 -19.09 70 20 10
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen +5.96 10.74 -22.43 70 30 0
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein +5.88 10.51 -17.80 67.9 30 2.1
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns +5.78 11.50 -19.67 66.7 33.3 0
Margaritaville Scott Burns +5.74 10.70 -21.96 67 33 0
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch +5.73 9.27 -20.56 53 47 0
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard +5.71 9.67 -20.84 60 40 0
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc +5.66 9.73 -20.45 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin +5.66 11.49 -22.55 39 59 2
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA +5.64 9.30 -20.34 55.9 44.1 0
Simple and Cheap Time Inc +5.58 9.66 -21.27 60 40 0
Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin +5.56 11.99 -23.09 40 40 20
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson +5.50 11.49 -23.76 70 30 0
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel +5.48 8.80 -16.74 50 50 0
Andrew Tobias Portfolio Andrew Tobias +5.48 9.77 -18.85 66.7 33.3 0
All Country World 60/40 +5.48 10.05 -21.52 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum +5.44 7.77 -21.11 40 60 0
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber +5.43 9.66 -19.93 50 25 25
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 +5.41 7.69 -18.63 40 60 0
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis +5.35 10.11 -19.65 60 40 0
Gretchen Tai Portfolio Gretchen Tai +5.32 11.39 -23.59 70 30 0
Five Fold Scott Burns +5.31 9.81 -21.60 60 40 0
Golden Butterfly Tyler +5.29 8.22 -17.79 40 40 20
Dynamic 60/40 Income +5.24 9.11 -18.21 60 40 0
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein +5.24 9.14 -16.49 58.2 40 1.8
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein +5.17 9.04 -15.87 60 40 0
Nano Portfolio John Wasik +5.17 9.93 -22.12 60 40 0
Five Asset Roger Gibson +5.17 11.03 -19.30 60 20 20
Pinwheel +5.16 10.03 -19.49 65 25 10
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green +5.11 11.25 -21.98 65 30 5
Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Harry Browne +5.08 11.38 -23.85 25 50 25

The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.

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5 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Harry Browne +7.42 9.21 -16.88 25 50 25
Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged +6.91 16.89 -31.96 25 50 25
All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Ray Dalio +6.32 21.42 -37.02 37.5 55 7.5
All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Ray Dalio +6.28 10.75 -21.81 30 55 15
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne +5.76 8.53 -15.92 25 50 25
Simplified Permanent Portfolio +5.73 8.63 -16.43 25 50 25
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio +4.70 10.06 -20.58 30 55 15

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 10 Years and Medium Risk categorization.

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10 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Couch Potato Scott Burns +6.57 9.18 -19.77 50 50 0
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel +5.48 8.80 -16.74 50 50 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum +5.44 7.77 -21.11 40 60 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 +5.41 7.69 -18.63 40 60 0
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne +4.86 7.22 -15.92 25 50 25
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