Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio vs Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.81$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.08%
Yearly Return
7.28%
Std Deviation
-15.92%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.33$
Final Capital
April 2025
2.92%
Yearly Return
7.28%
Std Deviation
-23.09%
Max Drawdown
57months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
2.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.57%
Yearly Return
7.01%
Std Deviation
-15.92%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
1.87$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.91%
Yearly Return
7.01%
Std Deviation
-23.09%
Max Drawdown
57months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.23$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.34%
Yearly Return
9.72%
Std Deviation
-21.82%
Max Drawdown
37months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.65$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.11%
Yearly Return
9.72%
Std Deviation
-28.18%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
11.11$
Final Capital
April 2025
15.88%
Yearly Return
34.18%
Std Deviation
-36.76%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
7.34$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.98%
Yearly Return
34.18%
Std Deviation
-37.42%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio obtained a 6.57% compound annual return, with a 7.01% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -15.92% that required 27 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 15.88% compound annual return, with a 34.18% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -36.76% that required 28 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
25.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
6.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
6.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_harry_browne.webp Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne
6.20 1.11 4.94 16.56 5.73 6.08 6.57
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Ray Dalio
1.80 -0.48 1.95 11.35 4.55 8.34 15.88
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.81$, with a total return of 80.51% (6.08% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.23$, with a total return of 122.73% (8.34% annualized).


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Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 2.83$, with a total return of 182.85% (6.57% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 11.11$, with a total return of 1010.72% (15.88% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.56 11.35
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 14.19 9.09
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.51 -3.51
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -0.13 -3.51
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 5*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 4.90 7.37
Sharpe Ratio 2.40 0.89
Sortino Ratio 2.87 1.11
Ulcer Index 0.70 1.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.38 1.54
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 6.59 3.24
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.73 4.55
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.14 0.01
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -21.82
Start to Recovery (months) 27 37
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -21.82
Start to Recovery (months) 27 37
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 42
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.43 11.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.38 0.18
Sortino Ratio 0.52 0.26
Ulcer Index 5.91 9.77
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.68 0.41
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.36 0.21
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.08 8.34
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.92 5.11
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -21.82
Start to Recovery (months) 27 37
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -21.82
Start to Recovery (months) 27 37
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 42
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.28 9.72
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.85 0.97
Ulcer Index 4.48 7.08
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.84 0.86
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.38 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.57 15.88
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.91 12.98
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -36.76
Start to Recovery (months) 27 28
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -23.49
Start to Recovery (months) 27 44
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 43
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.01 34.18
Sharpe Ratio 0.79 0.43
Sortino Ratio 1.11 1.24
Ulcer Index 3.89 12.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.94 0.46
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.41 0.43
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-21.82 37 Nov 2021
Nov 2024
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-6.98 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-5.80 9 Aug 2016
Apr 2017
-4.85 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.43 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-4.25 13 Feb 2018
Feb 2019
-3.97 10 May 2015
Feb 2016
-3.73 10 May 2015
Feb 2016
-3.51 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025
-3.30 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-2.97 4 Aug 2020
Nov 2020
-2.82 8 Jan 2018
Aug 2018
-2.73 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.65 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-36.76 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-23.49 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-21.82 37 Nov 2021
Nov 2024
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-11.55 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-6.98 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.86 17 Oct 2012
Feb 2014
-6.73 15 Feb 2015
Apr 2016
-6.22 7 Jan 2009
Jul 2009
-4.85 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.43 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-4.25 13 Feb 2018
Feb 2019
-3.51 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025
-3.30 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-3.07 5 Dec 2009
Apr 2010

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
6.20 0.00 1.80 -1.84
2024
11.90 -2.51 8.49 -4.22
2023
11.55 -5.68 12.99 -8.52
2022
-12.53 -15.92 -19.86 -21.79
2021
4.21 -4.43 9.09 -2.65
2020
16.10 -3.30 21.78 -2.97
2019
16.17 -1.10 19.48 -1.39
2018
-1.76 -4.25 -4.35 -4.85
2017
10.97 -0.83 38.75 -1.04
2016
5.54 -6.98 8.71 -5.80
2015
-3.06 -6.73 -2.16 -6.22
2014
9.40 -2.62 12.06 -2.72
2013
-2.08 -6.04 125.82 -23.49
2012
6.41 -1.83 10.54 -1.68
2011
11.11 -1.85 45.03 -36.76
2010
13.92 -0.53 19.43 -0.63
2009
7.85 -6.22 2.31 -11.55
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