Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Portfolio vs Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.46$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.40%
Yearly Return
9.27%
Std Deviation
-19.41%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.82$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.14%
Yearly Return
9.27%
Std Deviation
-24.91%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
12.57$
Final Capital
April 2025
16.77%
Yearly Return
33.04%
Std Deviation
-41.83%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
8.31$
Final Capital
April 2025
13.85%
Yearly Return
33.04%
Std Deviation
-42.43%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.24%
Yearly Return
9.47%
Std Deviation
-20.56%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.35$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.08%
Yearly Return
9.47%
Std Deviation
-26.20%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
3.49$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.95%
Yearly Return
9.36%
Std Deviation
-20.56%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
2.31$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.25%
Yearly Return
9.36%
Std Deviation
-26.20%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Portfolio obtained a 16.77% compound annual return, with a 33.04% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -41.83% that required 28 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio obtained a 7.95% compound annual return, with a 9.36% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.56% that required 27 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
39.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
59.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
19.00
VUG
Vanguard Growth
13.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
12.00
VTV
Vanguard Value
5.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
2.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
2.00
IJT
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth
14.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
14.00
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
11.00
MBB
iShares MBS
4.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
2.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
2.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin
-- Market Benchmark
-0.26 0.22 1.85 11.04 7.50 9.40 16.77
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_merrill_lynch.webp Edge Select Moderate
Merrill Lynch
0.67 0.37 1.46 10.40 7.42 6.24 7.95
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.46$, with a total return of 145.65% (9.40% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.83$, with a total return of 83.27% (6.24% annualized).


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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 12.57$, with a total return of 1157.31% (16.77% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 3.49$, with a total return of 248.83% (7.95% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 39% 53%
Fixed Income 59% 47%
Commodities 2% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.04 10.40
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.79 8.16
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.79 -2.14
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.79 -2.14
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 5* 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.02 6.46
Sharpe Ratio 0.89 0.87
Sortino Ratio 1.20 1.09
Ulcer Index 1.31 1.11
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.57 1.61
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.95 4.86
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 39% 53%
Fixed Income 59% 47%
Commodities 2% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.50 7.42
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.84 2.76
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.41 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 29 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.41 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 29 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.12 10.57
Sharpe Ratio 0.49 0.46
Sortino Ratio 0.67 0.63
Ulcer Index 7.54 7.40
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.74 0.70
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.39 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 39% 53%
Fixed Income 59% 47%
Commodities 2% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.40 6.24
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.14 3.08
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.41 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 29 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.41 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 29 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.27 9.47
Sharpe Ratio 0.83 0.47
Sortino Ratio 1.15 0.64
Ulcer Index 5.52 5.63
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.01 0.66
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.48 0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
Swipe left to see all data
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 39% 53%
Fixed Income 59% 47%
Commodities 2% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.77 7.95
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 13.85 5.25
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -41.83 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 28 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.55 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 44 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 43 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 33.04 9.36
Sharpe Ratio 0.48 0.74
Sortino Ratio 1.30 1.00
Ulcer Index 13.31 4.68
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.51 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.40 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.56 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-19.41 29 Nov 2021
Mar 2024
-10.96 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-8.64 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-7.17 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-6.44 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-5.74 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-3.61 3 Apr 2024
Jun 2024
-3.52 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018
-3.49 4 Aug 2015
Nov 2015
-3.06 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-2.96 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018
-2.94 2 Apr 2024
May 2024
-2.87 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-2.79 5* Dec 2024
In progress

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-41.83 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-22.55 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-20.56 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-19.41 29 Nov 2021
Mar 2024
-11.06 5 Jan 2009
May 2009
-10.96 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-9.65 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-8.64 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-8.48 5 Jan 2009
May 2009
-7.17 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-6.44 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-5.89 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-5.74 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.35 5 Apr 2012
Aug 2012
-3.85 5 May 2010
Sep 2010

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderate
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
-0.26 -2.30 0.67 -2.02
2024
12.52 -3.61 10.50 -2.94
2023
16.46 -5.77 16.31 -7.35
2022
-16.63 -19.40 -16.06 -20.56
2021
10.11 -2.69 9.66 -2.75
2020
18.82 -8.64 13.88 -10.96
2019
19.02 -0.23 19.44 -3.06
2018
-3.57 -5.74 -4.47 -7.17
2017
37.76 -0.22 15.00 0.00
2016
8.97 -1.81 7.31 -2.51
2015
1.16 -3.49 -1.02 -6.05
2014
7.20 -1.50 6.15 -2.15
2013
135.55 -22.50 12.89 -2.80
2012
11.90 -1.96 11.74 -4.35
2011
34.51 -41.83 1.36 -9.65
2010
17.41 -3.85 11.88 -5.89
2009
13.41 -8.48 21.52 -11.06
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