The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Bogleheads Four Funds Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - June 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
All Data
(2010/03 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
4.50$
Final Capital
June 2025
10.31%
Yearly Return
13.58%
Std Deviation
-31.96%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
3.05$
Final Capital
June 2025
7.54%
Yearly Return
13.58%
Std Deviation
-36.13%
Max Drawdown
58months
Recovery Period
Bogleheads Four Funds Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
3.97$
Final Capital
June 2025
9.42%
Yearly Return
12.05%
Std Deviation
-23.20%
Max Drawdown
26months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
2.69$
Final Capital
June 2025
6.67%
Yearly Return
12.05%
Std Deviation
-27.97%
Max Drawdown
37months
Recovery Period

As of June 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 10.31% compound annual return, with a 13.58% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -31.96% that required 32 months to be recovered.

As of June 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Bogleheads Four Funds Portfolio obtained a 9.42% compound annual return, with a 12.05% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -23.20% that required 26 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
50.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
25.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
50.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
30.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
10.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
10.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
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Portfolio Returns as of Jun 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
All Data
(2010/03 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
The Lazy Team
1 $ 4.50 $ 350.04% 10.31%
Bogleheads Four Funds
Bogleheads
1 $ 3.97 $ 297.40% 9.42%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
The Lazy Team
1 $ 3.05 $ 204.95% 7.54%
Bogleheads Four Funds
Bogleheads
1 $ 2.69 $ 169.28% 6.67%

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Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2025
YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_lzp.webp Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged
The Lazy Team
17.07 3.49 17.07 28.05 6.79 9.16 10.31
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_bogleheads.webp Four Funds
Bogleheads
9.14 3.94 9.14 14.55 11.20 8.92 9.42
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 June 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 June 2025 (~15 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
All (2010/03 - 2025/06)
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Author The Lazy Team Bogleheads
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 28.05 14.55
Infl. Adjusted (%) 25.01 11.83
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.11 -2.68
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.11 -2.68
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 7
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.86 8.39
Sharpe Ratio 2.64 1.18
Sortino Ratio 3.22 1.53
Ulcer Index 1.18 1.34
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.17 1.74
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 6.83 5.42
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Author The Lazy Team Bogleheads
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.79 11.20
Infl. Adjusted (%) 2.17 6.38
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.82 13.12
Sharpe Ratio 0.24 0.65
Sortino Ratio 0.33 0.88
Ulcer Index 14.09 7.85
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.40 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.21 0.48
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Author The Lazy Team Bogleheads
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.16 8.92
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.94 5.71
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 50 32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.25 12.46
Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.57
Sortino Ratio 0.71 0.76
Ulcer Index 10.51 6.34
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.64 0.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Author The Lazy Team Bogleheads
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.31 9.42
Infl. Adjusted (%) 7.54 6.67
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -31.96 -23.20
Start to Recovery (months) 32 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 50 32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.58 12.05
Sharpe Ratio 0.67 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.94 0.92
Ulcer Index 8.95 5.64
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.76 0.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.32 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 30 June 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 June 2025 (~15 years)

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-31.96 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-23.20 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-17.11 7 Jan 2020
Jul 2020
-15.64 11 May 2011
Mar 2012
-13.44 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-12.86 17 Oct 2012
Feb 2014
-11.33 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-10.69 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-10.05 14 Jun 2015
Jul 2016
-9.99 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-9.98 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-8.58 9 Sep 2020
May 2021
-7.47 5 Sep 2011
Jan 2012
-6.92 6 Apr 2012
Sep 2012
-5.95 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 June 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged Four Funds
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
17.07 0.00 9.14 -2.68
2024
19.37 -4.11 13.88 -3.37
2023
15.62 -11.16 18.65 -8.64
2022
-26.74 -31.96 -17.06 -23.20
2021
8.10 -7.85 15.70 -3.50
2020
24.56 -6.86 15.71 -17.11
2019
30.31 -2.13 23.60 -4.69
2018
-6.20 -9.99 -7.02 -10.69
2017
18.32 -2.33 19.47 0.00
2016
8.57 -13.44 8.61 -4.75
2015
-4.99 -11.33 -1.37 -8.95
2014
13.48 -4.81 5.85 -2.96
2013
-1.57 -11.75 19.92 -2.53
2012
13.11 -4.01 14.85 -6.92
2011
17.58 -7.47 -1.60 -15.64
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