Data Source: from March 2010 to November 2023 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
2.17%
1 Day
Dec 01 2023
2.17%
Current Month
December 2023
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 3 ETFs.
It's exposed for 25% on the Stock Market and for 25% on Commodities.
In the last 10 Years, the Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 6.06% compound annual return, with a 14.16% standard deviation.
Table of contents
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged has the following asset allocation:
25% Stocks
50% Fixed Income
25% Commodities
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight (%) | Ticker | Currency | ETF Name | Investment Themes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.00 |
SSO
|
USD | ProShares Ultra S&P 500 | 2x, Equity, U.S., Large Cap |
| 50.00 |
UST
|
USD | ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 2x, Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term |
| 25.00 |
UGL
|
USD | ProShares Ultra Gold | 2x, Commodity, Gold |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
SIMPLIFIED PERMANENT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Dec 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~14Y) |
|||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged | 2.17 | 2.17 | 10.03 | 0.15 | 5.62 | 6.91 | 6.06 | 8.39 | |||
| US Inflation Adjusted return | 10.03 | -1.01 | 2.20 | 2.72 | 3.15 | 5.67 | |||||
| Components | |||||||||||
|
SSO
|
USD | ProShares Ultra S&P 500 | 1.15 | Dec 01 2023 | 1.15 | 18.26 | 16.13 | 18.96 | 16.64 | 17.75 | 20.94 |
|
UST
|
USD | ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 2.06 | Dec 01 2023 | 2.06 | 8.23 | -9.95 | -9.95 | -3.21 | -0.49 | 2.33 |
|
UGL
|
USD | ProShares Ultra Gold | 3.42 | Dec 01 2023 | 3.42 | 4.25 | 2.23 | 19.32 | 13.00 | 3.46 | 2.30 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Mar 2010
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023.
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%.
Current inflation (annualized) is
1Y: 3.35%
, 5Y: 4.07%
, 10Y: 2.82%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
In 2022, the Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged granted a 0.24% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023
An investment of 1$, since December 2013,
now would be worth 1.80$, with a total return of 80.08% (6.06% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1.36$, with a net total return of 36.41% (3.15% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1.36$, with a net total return of 36.41% (3.15% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since March 2010,
now would be worth 3.03$, with a total return of 202.84% (8.39% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.13$, with a net total return of 113.34% (5.67% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.13$, with a net total return of 113.34% (5.67% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
Metrics of Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged, updated as of 30 November 2023.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
SIMPLIFIED PERMANENT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 March 2010 - 30 November 2023 (~14 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
MAX
(~14Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 10.03 | 0.78 | 0.15 | 5.62 | -3.28 | 6.91 | 6.06 | 8.39 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details | 10.03 | 0.57 | -1.01 | 2.20 | -8.53 | 2.72 | 3.15 | 5.67 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.17 | 3.35 | 5.74 | 4.07 | 2.82 | 2.58 |
| Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -11.16 | -31.96 | -31.96 | -31.96 | -31.96 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 7* | 23* | 23* | 23* | 23* | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 05 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
|||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 05 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 11 | 36* | 50 | 50 | 50 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2019 09 | 2019 09 | 2019 09 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -4.36 | -3.28 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.08 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -12.44 | -36.08 | -36.09 | -36.09 | -36.09 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 7* | 23* | 39* | 39* | 39* | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 05 | 2022 01 | 2020 09 | 2020 09 | 2020 09 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 5 | 9 | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
|||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 05 | 2022 01 | 2020 09 | 2020 09 | 2020 09 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 5 | 9 | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 11 | 36* | 57 | 88 | 88 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2019 02 | 2016 07 | 2016 07 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -7.74 | -8.53 | -0.35 | -0.22 | -0.22 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | MAX | |||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 20.28 | 18.99 | 16.89 | 14.16 | 13.81 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 | -0.27 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.32 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.05 | -0.39 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.45 | |||
| Ulcer Index | 5.09 | 17.07 | 13.39 | 10.33 | 9.06 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 0.28 | -0.17 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.61 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | 0.50 | -0.10 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.26 | |||
| % Positive Months details | 58% | 50% | 56% | 55% | 57% | |||
| Positive Months | 7 | 18 | 34 | 67 | 95 | |||
| Negative Months | 5 | 18 | 26 | 53 | 70 | |||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | MAX | |||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 6.06 | 12.35 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 3.90 | |||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 3.15 | 10.42 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 1.34 | |||||||
|
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | MAX | |||
| Over the latest 10Y | ||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 35.15 | 20.61 | 14.36 | 6.06 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -29.22 | -6.84 | 3.07 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 74% | 87% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 33.83 | 16.54 | 12.20 | 3.15 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -34.30 | -11.90 | -0.76 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 66% | 81% | 96% | 100% | ||||
| Over all the available data source (Mar 2010 - Nov 2023) | ||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 38.51 | 20.61 | 14.47 | 12.35 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -29.22 | -6.84 | 3.07 | 3.90 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 77% | 91% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 33.83 | 17.02 | 12.66 | 10.42 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -34.30 | -11.90 | -0.76 | 1.34 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 70% | 87% | 98% | 100% | ||||
|
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | MAX | |||
| Safe WR (%) | 30.64 | 25.13 | 12.75 | 14.19 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 2.65 | 3.06 | 5.36 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Analyze your Portfolio: Backtest Now!
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Asset |
SSO
|
UST
|
UGL
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
SSO
|
-
|
0.75
|
0.30
|
|
UST
|
0.75
|
-
|
0.63
|
|
UGL
|
0.30
|
0.63
|
-
|
| Asset |
SSO
|
UST
|
UGL
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
SSO
|
-
|
0.16
|
0.20
|
|
UST
|
0.16
|
-
|
0.44
|
|
UGL
|
0.20
|
0.44
|
-
|
| Asset |
SSO
|
UST
|
UGL
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
SSO
|
-
|
0.05
|
0.08
|
|
UST
|
0.05
|
-
|
0.46
|
|
UGL
|
0.08
|
0.46
|
-
|
| Asset |
SSO
|
UST
|
UGL
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
SSO
|
-
|
-0.10
|
0.09
|
|
UST
|
-0.10
|
-
|
0.35
|
|
UGL
|
0.09
|
0.35
|
-
|
If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.
Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
SIMPLIFIED PERMANENT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 March 2010 - 30 November 2023 (~14 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -31.96% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 14 | 23 | 21.03 |
| -13.44% | Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | 5 | Aug 2017 | 8 | 13 | 7.00 |
| -11.33% | Feb 2015 | Dec 2015 | 11 | Mar 2016 | 3 | 14 | 7.02 |
| -9.99% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Mar 2019 | 5 | 14 | 5.75 |
| -8.58% | Sep 2020 | Mar 2021 | 7 | May 2021 | 2 | 9 | 5.14 |
| -5.95% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 4 | 2.78 |
| -4.81% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Jan 2015 | 4 | 5 | 2.54 |
| -3.39% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.78 |
| -3.21% | May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2 | 1.85 |
| -2.87% | Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 1 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2 | 1.66 |
| -2.33% | Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | Dec 2017 | 3 | 4 | 1.29 |
| -2.13% | Sep 2019 | Sep 2019 | 1 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 2 | 1.23 |
| -1.92% | Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | May 2014 | 2 | 3 | 1.01 |
| -1.19% | Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 2 | 0.69 |
| -0.83% | Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 2 | 0.48 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -36.09% | Sep 2020 | Sep 2022 | 25 | in progress | 14 | 39 | 20.47 |
| -13.73% | Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | 5 | Jan 2018 | 13 | 18 | 6.71 |
| -12.39% | Feb 2015 | Dec 2015 | 11 | Apr 2016 | 4 | 15 | 8.02 |
| -11.77% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Jun 2019 | 8 | 17 | 6.43 |
| -4.88% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Dec 2014 | 3 | 4 | 2.69 |
| -3.60% | May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2 | 2.08 |
| -3.44% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.86 |
| -2.83% | Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 1 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2 | 1.63 |
| -2.55% | Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | Jun 2014 | 3 | 4 | 1.40 |
| -2.21% | Sep 2019 | Sep 2019 | 1 | Dec 2019 | 3 | 4 | 1.03 |
| -0.82% | Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 2 | 0.48 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -31.96% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 14 | 23 | 21.03 |
| -13.44% | Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | 5 | Aug 2017 | 8 | 13 | 7.00 |
| -12.86% | Oct 2012 | Jun 2013 | 9 | Feb 2014 | 8 | 17 | 5.68 |
| -11.33% | Feb 2015 | Dec 2015 | 11 | Mar 2016 | 3 | 14 | 7.02 |
| -9.99% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Mar 2019 | 5 | 14 | 5.75 |
| -8.58% | Sep 2020 | Mar 2021 | 7 | May 2021 | 2 | 9 | 5.14 |
| -7.47% | Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | Jan 2012 | 4 | 5 | 3.98 |
| -5.95% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 4 | 2.78 |
| -4.81% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Jan 2015 | 4 | 5 | 2.54 |
| -3.69% | May 2012 | May 2012 | 1 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 3 | 1.99 |
| -3.39% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.78 |
| -3.21% | May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2 | 1.85 |
| -2.87% | Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 1 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2 | 1.66 |
| -2.63% | Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | Jul 2011 | 1 | 2 | 1.52 |
| -2.33% | Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | Dec 2017 | 3 | 4 | 1.29 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -36.09% | Sep 2020 | Sep 2022 | 25 | in progress | 14 | 39 | 20.47 |
| -13.73% | Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | 5 | Jan 2018 | 13 | 18 | 6.71 |
| -13.64% | Oct 2012 | Jun 2013 | 9 | Feb 2014 | 8 | 17 | 6.19 |
| -12.39% | Feb 2015 | Dec 2015 | 11 | Apr 2016 | 4 | 15 | 8.02 |
| -11.77% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Jun 2019 | 8 | 17 | 6.43 |
| -7.61% | Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | Jan 2012 | 4 | 5 | 3.93 |
| -4.88% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Dec 2014 | 3 | 4 | 2.69 |
| -4.61% | Feb 2012 | May 2012 | 4 | Jul 2012 | 2 | 6 | 2.21 |
| -3.60% | May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2 | 2.08 |
| -3.44% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.86 |
| -2.83% | Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 1 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2 | 1.63 |
| -2.55% | Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | Jun 2014 | 3 | 4 | 1.40 |
| -2.52% | Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | Jul 2011 | 1 | 2 | 1.46 |
| -2.44% | Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 | Feb 2011 | 1 | 2 | 1.41 |
| -2.21% | Sep 2019 | Sep 2019 | 1 | Dec 2019 | 3 | 4 | 1.03 |
Rolling Returns
( more details)
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
SIMPLIFIED PERMANENT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 March 2010 - 30 November 2023 (~14 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -29.22 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.70$ | -4.99 | 0.95$ | 6.37 | 1.06$ | 21.27 | 1.21$ | 35.15 |
08/2019 07/2020 |
1.35$ | 5.62 | 25.69% |
| 2Y | -13.44 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.74$ | -5.38 | 0.89$ | 6.98 | 1.14$ | 16.73 | 1.36$ | 27.40 |
01/2019 12/2020 |
1.62$ | -9.19 | 21.65% |
| 3Y | -6.84 |
10/2020 09/2023 |
0.80$ | 0.69 | 1.02$ | 6.31 | 1.20$ | 15.29 | 1.53$ | 20.61 |
01/2019 12/2021 |
1.75$ | -3.28 | 12.94% |
| 5Y | 3.07 |
11/2017 10/2022 |
1.16$ | 5.19 | 1.28$ | 7.96 | 1.46$ | 11.96 | 1.75$ | 14.36 |
01/2016 12/2020 |
1.95$ | 6.91 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 3.29 |
10/2016 09/2023 |
1.25$ | 4.78 | 1.38$ | 7.61 | 1.67$ | 10.08 | 1.95$ | 11.25 |
01/2014 12/2020 |
2.10$ | 6.46 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 6.06 |
12/2013 11/2023 |
1.80$ | 6.06 | 1.80$ | 6.06 | 1.80$ | 6.06 | 1.80$ | 6.06 |
12/2013 11/2023 |
1.80$ | 6.06 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -34.30 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.65$ | -7.96 | 0.92$ | 2.93 | 1.02$ | 19.73 | 1.19$ | 33.83 |
08/2019 07/2020 |
1.33$ | 2.20 | 33.94% |
| 2Y | -18.36 |
10/2020 09/2022 |
0.66$ | -11.52 | 0.78$ | 5.27 | 1.10$ | 13.34 | 1.28$ | 25.12 |
01/2019 12/2020 |
1.56$ | -13.69 | 26.80% |
| 3Y | -11.90 |
10/2020 09/2023 |
0.68$ | -4.16 | 0.88$ | 4.89 | 1.15$ | 12.83 | 1.43$ | 16.54 |
11/2018 10/2021 |
1.58$ | -8.53 | 18.82% |
| 5Y | -0.76 |
11/2017 10/2022 |
0.96$ | 1.31 | 1.06$ | 6.01 | 1.33$ | 9.77 | 1.59$ | 12.20 |
09/2015 08/2020 |
1.77$ | 2.72 | 3.28% |
| 7Y | -0.23 |
10/2016 09/2023 |
0.98$ | 1.33 | 1.09$ | 4.52 | 1.36$ | 7.83 | 1.69$ | 9.49 |
01/2014 12/2020 |
1.88$ | 2.83 | 2.70% |
| 10Y | 3.15 |
12/2013 11/2023 |
1.36$ | 3.15 | 1.36$ | 3.15 | 1.36$ | 3.15 | 1.36$ | 3.15 |
12/2013 11/2023 |
1.36$ | 3.15 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -29.22 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.70$ | -4.14 | 0.95$ | 7.43 | 1.07$ | 23.28 | 1.23$ | 38.51 |
09/2010 08/2011 |
1.38$ | 5.62 | 22.73% |
| 2Y | -13.44 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.74$ | -0.01 | 0.99$ | 6.99 | 1.14$ | 18.11 | 1.39$ | 27.40 |
01/2019 12/2020 |
1.62$ | -9.19 | 14.79% |
| 3Y | -6.84 |
10/2020 09/2023 |
0.80$ | 2.30 | 1.07$ | 6.87 | 1.22$ | 14.77 | 1.51$ | 20.61 |
01/2019 12/2021 |
1.75$ | -3.28 | 8.46% |
| 5Y | 3.07 |
11/2017 10/2022 |
1.16$ | 5.28 | 1.29$ | 7.44 | 1.43$ | 11.59 | 1.73$ | 14.47 |
03/2010 02/2015 |
1.96$ | 6.91 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 3.29 |
10/2016 09/2023 |
1.25$ | 5.16 | 1.42$ | 7.61 | 1.67$ | 10.39 | 1.99$ | 12.16 |
09/2013 08/2020 |
2.23$ | 6.46 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 3.90 |
10/2012 09/2022 |
1.46$ | 5.42 | 1.69$ | 8.41 | 2.24$ | 10.84 | 2.79$ | 12.35 |
08/2010 07/2020 |
3.20$ | 6.06 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -34.30 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.65$ | -4.57 | 0.95$ | 4.80 | 1.04$ | 20.42 | 1.20$ | 33.83 |
08/2019 07/2020 |
1.33$ | 2.20 | 29.22% |
| 2Y | -18.36 |
10/2020 09/2022 |
0.66$ | -3.40 | 0.93$ | 5.49 | 1.11$ | 15.37 | 1.33$ | 25.12 |
01/2019 12/2020 |
1.56$ | -13.69 | 19.01% |
| 3Y | -11.90 |
10/2020 09/2023 |
0.68$ | 1.02 | 1.03$ | 5.29 | 1.16$ | 11.99 | 1.40$ | 17.02 |
04/2010 03/2013 |
1.60$ | -8.53 | 12.31% |
| 5Y | -0.76 |
11/2017 10/2022 |
0.96$ | 2.94 | 1.15$ | 5.51 | 1.30$ | 9.15 | 1.54$ | 12.66 |
03/2010 02/2015 |
1.81$ | 2.72 | 1.89% |
| 7Y | -0.23 |
10/2016 09/2023 |
0.98$ | 2.83 | 1.21$ | 5.68 | 1.47$ | 8.48 | 1.76$ | 10.48 |
09/2013 08/2020 |
2.00$ | 2.83 | 1.22% |
| 10Y | 1.34 |
10/2012 09/2022 |
1.14$ | 2.57 | 1.28$ | 6.05 | 1.79$ | 8.92 | 2.34$ | 10.42 |
08/2010 07/2020 |
2.69$ | 3.15 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
2.20
60% |
-2.16
40% |
1.31
40% |
1.27
80% |
0.46
40% |
0.86
60% |
4.13
100% |
-0.57
60% |
-6.23
0% |
0.96
80% |
4.24
60% |
1.65
60% |
| Best |
9.0 2023 |
1.2 2022 |
8.8 2023 |
7.3 2020 |
4.0 2021 |
8.6 2019 |
8.4 2020 |
6.2 2019 |
-2.1 2019 |
5.0 2021 |
10.3 2022 |
5.1 2020 |
| Worst |
-5.5 2022 |
-7.5 2023 |
-2.3 2020 |
-9.3 2022 |
-2.4 2023 |
-5.7 2022 |
0.6 2019 |
-8.0 2022 |
-10.6 2022 |
-3.0 2020 |
-0.5 2019 |
-2.9 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2010 - Nov 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
3.01
80% |
-0.12
50% |
0.53
30% |
1.03
70% |
0.30
60% |
0.98
50% |
2.26
80% |
0.15
60% |
-3.99
10% |
0.28
70% |
1.69
60% |
0.78
50% |
| Best |
9.0 2023 |
7.3 2016 |
8.8 2023 |
7.3 2020 |
4.0 2021 |
8.6 2019 |
8.4 2020 |
6.2 2019 |
0.3 2016 |
5.0 2021 |
10.3 2022 |
5.1 2020 |
| Worst |
-5.5 2022 |
-7.5 2023 |
-2.3 2020 |
-9.3 2022 |
-3.2 2016 |
-5.7 2022 |
-2.9 2014 |
-8.0 2022 |
-10.6 2022 |
-4.0 2016 |
-7.2 2016 |
-2.9 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2010 - Nov 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
2.92
77% |
0.07
46% |
0.71
43% |
1.69
71% |
-0.31
50% |
0.27
50% |
2.67
86% |
1.14
64% |
-2.53
29% |
0.85
71% |
1.32
57% |
0.29
46% |
| Best |
9.0 2012 |
7.3 2016 |
8.8 2023 |
7.6 2011 |
4.0 2021 |
8.6 2019 |
8.4 2020 |
8.7 2011 |
6.3 2010 |
5.2 2011 |
10.3 2022 |
5.1 2020 |
| Worst |
-5.5 2022 |
-7.5 2023 |
-2.3 2020 |
-9.3 2022 |
-4.0 2013 |
-7.2 2013 |
-2.9 2014 |
-8.0 2022 |
-10.6 2022 |
-4.0 2016 |
-7.2 2016 |
-3.9 2011 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2010 - Nov 2023
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
SIMPLIFIED PERMANENT PORTFOLIO 2X LEVERAGED
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 2013 - 30 November 2023 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 March 2010 - 30 November 2023 (~14 years)
67 Positive Months (56%) - 53 Negative Months (44%)
95 Positive Months (58%) - 70 Negative Months (42%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Portfolio efficiency
The following portfolios granted a higher return over 10 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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10 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Cape US Sector Value | +13.36 | 15.80 | -21.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks Momentum | +11.25 | 15.49 | -30.16 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks | +11.16 | 15.49 | -24.81 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Warren Buffett Portfolio | +10.69 | 13.69 | -23.08 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
| Dedalo Three | +10.15 | 15.23 | -25.03 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks Minimum Volatility | +10.13 | 12.15 | -19.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks Equal Weight | +9.71 | 16.46 | -26.65 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks Value | +9.54 | 15.49 | -26.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| US Stocks ESG | +9.49 | 16.06 | -27.79 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum | +9.36 | 12.79 | -27.23 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 80/20 | +9.29 | 12.74 | -22.75 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Simple Path to Wealth | +8.81 | 12.07 | -22.24 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
| Dedalo Four | +8.60 | 12.49 | -22.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Second Grader's Starter | +8.05 | 13.54 | -24.21 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
| Edge Select Aggressive | +7.82 | 12.87 | -23.81 | 84 | 16 | 0 | ||
| Sheltered Sam 100/0 | +7.75 | 14.79 | -25.40 | 97 | 0 | 3 | ||
| All Country World Stocks | +7.75 | 14.88 | -25.52 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 60/40 with Bitcoin | +7.56 | 13.19 | -22.56 | 59 | 39 | 2 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum | +7.42 | 10.19 | -24.21 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 60/40 | +7.37 | 10.11 | -20.69 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
| Dedalo Eleven | +7.32 | 12.43 | -23.40 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Core Four | +7.22 | 12.17 | -23.46 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Robo Advisor 100 | +7.22 | 14.92 | -24.17 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Sheltered Sam 90/10 | +7.14 | 13.34 | -22.65 | 87.3 | 10 | 2.7 | ||
| Four Funds | +7.14 | 12.26 | -23.20 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Three Funds | +7.10 | 12.21 | -23.18 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| LifeStrategy Growth Fund | +7.00 | 12.17 | -23.11 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Aim Bold Strategy | +6.91 | 9.41 | -20.16 | 45 | 40 | 15 | ||
| Edge Select Moderately Aggressive | +6.90 | 11.11 | -22.31 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
| Robo Advisor 90 | +6.75 | 13.78 | -23.36 | 90.1 | 9.9 | 0 | ||
| Late Thirties to Early Forties | +6.72 | 12.82 | -24.26 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||
| Mid-Twenties | +6.71 | 13.05 | -24.50 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||
| Perfect Portfolio | +6.67 | 11.80 | -18.62 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| All Country World 80/20 | +6.63 | 12.41 | -23.52 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio | +6.59 | 11.11 | -22.74 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
| Talmud Portfolio | +6.58 | 11.15 | -22.88 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
| Couch Potato | +6.57 | 9.18 | -19.77 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
| Mid-Fifties | +6.55 | 12.37 | -24.05 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Sheltered Sam 80/20 | +6.51 | 11.91 | -19.89 | 77.6 | 20 | 2.4 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 60/40 ESG | +6.39 | 10.35 | -22.44 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
| Seven Value | +6.32 | 11.79 | -20.44 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
| Late Sixties and Beyond | +6.25 | 11.27 | -22.44 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
| Robo Advisor 80 | +6.19 | 12.55 | -22.63 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| No Brainer Portfolio | +6.15 | 11.60 | -19.76 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
| Long Term Portfolio | +6.14 | 11.88 | -20.52 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
| Yale Endowment | +6.07 | 11.30 | -25.53 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged | +6.06 | 14.16 | -31.96 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
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5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin | +7.42 | 9.21 | -16.88 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio 2x Leveraged | +6.91 | 16.89 | -31.96 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged | +6.32 | 21.42 | -37.02 | 37.5 | 55 | 7.5 | ||
| All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin | +6.28 | 10.75 | -21.81 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
| Permanent Portfolio | +5.76 | 8.53 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio | +5.73 | 8.63 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| All Weather Portfolio | +4.70 | 10.06 | -20.58 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 10 Years and Medium Risk categorization.
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10 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Couch Potato | +6.57 | 9.18 | -19.77 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
| One-Decision Portfolio | +5.48 | 8.80 | -16.74 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum | +5.44 | 7.77 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 40/60 | +5.41 | 7.69 | -18.63 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Permanent Portfolio | +4.86 | 7.22 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
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