Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin vs David Swensen Lazy Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.23$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.34%
Yearly Return
9.72%
Std Deviation
-21.82%
Max Drawdown
37months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.65$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.11%
Yearly Return
9.72%
Std Deviation
-28.18%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
11.11$
Final Capital
April 2025
15.88%
Yearly Return
34.18%
Std Deviation
-36.76%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
7.34$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.98%
Yearly Return
34.18%
Std Deviation
-37.42%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
David Swensen Lazy Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.22%
Yearly Return
11.03%
Std Deviation
-22.43%
Max Drawdown
31months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.35$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.05%
Yearly Return
11.03%
Std Deviation
-26.58%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
3.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.57%
Yearly Return
11.48%
Std Deviation
-22.43%
Max Drawdown
31months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
2.53$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.85%
Yearly Return
11.48%
Std Deviation
-26.58%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 15.88% compound annual return, with a 34.18% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -36.76% that required 28 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the David Swensen Lazy Portfolio obtained a 8.57% compound annual return, with a 11.48% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -22.43% that required 31 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
6.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
6.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
David Swensen Lazy Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
15.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
5.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
15.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin
Ray Dalio
1.80 -0.48 1.95 11.35 4.55 8.34 15.88
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_david_swensen.webp Lazy Portfolio
David Swensen
1.23 -0.04 0.60 11.66 8.15 6.22 8.57
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.23$, with a total return of 122.73% (8.34% annualized).

David Swensen Lazy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.83$, with a total return of 82.84% (6.22% annualized).


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Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 11.11$, with a total return of 1010.72% (15.88% annualized).

David Swensen Lazy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 3.83$, with a total return of 283.00% (8.57% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio David Swensen
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 70%
Fixed Income 55% 30%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.35 11.66
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 9.09 9.39
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.51 -3.50
Start to Recovery (months) 3 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.51 -3.50
Start to Recovery (months) 3 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 5* 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.37 7.80
Sharpe Ratio 0.89 0.88
Sortino Ratio 1.11 1.09
Ulcer Index 1.35 1.53
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.54 1.49
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.24 3.33
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio David Swensen
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 70%
Fixed Income 55% 30%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.55 8.15
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.01 3.46
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.82 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 37 31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.82 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 37 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 42 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.00 12.08
Sharpe Ratio 0.18 0.47
Sortino Ratio 0.26 0.62
Ulcer Index 9.77 8.71
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.41 0.67
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.21 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio David Swensen
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 70%
Fixed Income 55% 30%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.34 6.22
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.11 3.05
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.82 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 37 31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.82 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 37 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 42 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.72 11.03
Sharpe Ratio 0.68 0.41
Sortino Ratio 0.97 0.54
Ulcer Index 7.08 6.67
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.86 0.56
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.38 0.28
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio David Swensen
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 70%
Fixed Income 55% 30%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 15.88 8.57
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 12.98 5.85
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.76 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 28 31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.49 -22.43
Start to Recovery (months) 44 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 43 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 34.18 11.48
Sharpe Ratio 0.43 0.65
Sortino Ratio 1.24 0.88
Ulcer Index 12.30 5.68
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.46 0.75
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-22.43 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-21.82 37 Nov 2021
Nov 2024
-14.66 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-8.18 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-6.73 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-5.80 9 Aug 2016
Apr 2017
-4.85 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-3.97 10 May 2015
Feb 2016
-3.96 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018
-3.57 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-3.51 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025
-3.50 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-3.44 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-3.03 6 Aug 2016
Jan 2017
-2.97 4 Aug 2020
Nov 2020

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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-36.76 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-23.49 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-22.43 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-21.82 37 Nov 2021
Nov 2024
-16.73 5 Jan 2009
May 2009
-14.66 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-12.40 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-11.55 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-8.18 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-7.79 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-6.84 16 Mar 2015
Jun 2016
-4.85 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.74 4 May 2012
Aug 2012
-4.57 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-3.96 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Lazy Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
1.80 -1.84 1.23 -1.98
2024
8.49 -4.22 9.78 -3.79
2023
12.99 -8.52 14.13 -8.59
2022
-19.86 -21.79 -17.86 -22.43
2021
9.09 -2.65 17.34 -3.57
2020
21.78 -2.97 10.56 -14.66
2019
19.48 -1.39 21.27 -2.73
2018
-4.35 -4.85 -5.67 -8.18
2017
38.75 -1.04 13.94 0.00
2016
8.71 -5.80 7.74 -3.13
2015
-2.16 -6.22 -0.95 -6.84
2014
12.06 -2.72 9.97 -3.50
2013
125.82 -23.49 10.89 -4.57
2012
10.54 -1.68 13.49 -4.74
2011
45.03 -36.76 2.21 -12.40
2010
19.43 -0.63 15.37 -7.79
2009
2.31 -11.55 24.86 -16.73
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with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing