Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio vs Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings

Period: January 1975 - May 2025 (~50 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025

Initial Amount: 1$

Rebalancing: at every Jan 1^st

Currency: USD

Inflation: US

(Change Settings)

Results

30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)

All Data
(1975/01 - 2025/05)

Inflation Adjusted:

Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio

1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
8.09$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.22%
Yearly Return
9.16%
Std Deviation
-32.39%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
3.84$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.58%
Yearly Return
9.16%
Std Deviation
-33.50%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1975
136.79$
Final Capital
May 2025
10.25%
Yearly Return
9.75%
Std Deviation
-32.39%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1975
22.14$
Final Capital
May 2025
6.34%
Yearly Return
9.75%
Std Deviation
-33.50%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period

Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio

1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
7.74$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.06%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-31.96%
Max Drawdown
41months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
3.67$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.43%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-33.86%
Max Drawdown
47months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1975
93.93$
Final Capital
May 2025
9.43%
Yearly Return
8.19%
Std Deviation
-31.96%
Max Drawdown
41months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1975
15.20$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.55%
Yearly Return
8.19%
Std Deviation
-33.86%
Max Drawdown
47months
Recovery Period

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio obtained a 7.22% compound annual return, with a 9.16% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -32.39% that required 36 months to be recovered.

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio obtained a 7.06% compound annual return, with a 8.50% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -31.96% that required 41 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.

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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Tim Maurer Simple Money Portfolio

Weight (%)	Ticker	Name
15.00	SCZ	iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap
15.00	EFV	iShares MSCI EAFE Value
7.50	IJR	iShares Core S&P Small-Cap
7.50	IJS	iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
7.50	VTV	Vanguard Value
7.50	VV	Vanguard Large-Cap
40.00	IEI	iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond

Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio

Weight (%)	Ticker	Name
20.00	SPY	SPDR S&P 500
20.00	VNQ	Vanguard Real Estate
10.00	IJS	iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
30.00	BIL	SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
20.00	LQD	iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond

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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
rebalancing: at every Jan 1^st.
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.

Return Comparison

Capital Growth

30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)

All Data
(1975/01 - 2025/05)

Inflation Adjusted:

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer	1 $	8.09 $	708.88%	7.22%
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel	1 $	7.74 $	674.16%	7.06%
	Jun 1995	May 2025

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer	1 $	3.84 $	283.67%	4.58%
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel	1 $	3.67 $	267.21%	4.43%
	Jun 1995	May 2025

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer	1 $	136.79 $	13 579.36%	10.25%
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel	1 $	93.93 $	9 292.97%	9.43%
	Jan 1975	May 2025

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer	1 $	22.14 $	2 114.04%	6.34%
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel	1 $	15.20 $	1 420.27%	5.55%
	Jan 1975	May 2025

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		Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
		YTD (5M)	1M	6M	1Y	5Y	10Y	30Y	MAX (~50Y)
	Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer	5.74	2.70	2.48	9.05	7.21	5.28	7.22	10.25
	One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel	0.28	1.96	-3.07	7.30	6.71	5.66	7.06	9.43
Returns over 1 year are annualized.

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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON

Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)

Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)

Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)

Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)

Period: 1 January 1975 - 31 May 2025 (~50 years)

1 Year

5 Years

10 Years

30 Years

All (1975/01 - 2025/05)

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	Simple Money Portfolio	One-Decision Portfolio
Author	Tim Maurer	Marvin Appel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	60%	50%
Fixed Income	40%	50%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	9.05	7.30
Infl. Adjusted (%)	6.52	4.81
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-3.22	-4.94
Start to Recovery (months)	8	6*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-3.22	-4.94
Start to Recovery (months)	8	6*
Longest Negative Period (months)	7	8
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	7.55	7.40
Sharpe Ratio	0.58	0.35
Sortino Ratio	0.76	0.46
Ulcer Index	1.32	2.31
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	1.20	0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	2.81	1.48
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025

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	Simple Money Portfolio	One-Decision Portfolio
Author	Tim Maurer	Marvin Appel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	60%	50%
Fixed Income	40%	50%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	7.21	6.71
Infl. Adjusted (%)	2.48	2.00
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-18.44	-16.74
Start to Recovery (months)	31	31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-18.44	-16.74
Start to Recovery (months)	31	31
Longest Negative Period (months)	35	32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	10.62	10.03
Sharpe Ratio	0.43	0.41
Sortino Ratio	0.61	0.56
Ulcer Index	5.91	6.36
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.68	0.67
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.39	0.40
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025

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	Simple Money Portfolio	One-Decision Portfolio
Author	Tim Maurer	Marvin Appel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	60%	50%
Fixed Income	40%	50%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	5.28	5.66
Infl. Adjusted (%)	2.14	2.51
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-18.44	-16.74
Start to Recovery (months)	31	31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-18.44	-16.74
Start to Recovery (months)	31	31
Longest Negative Period (months)	35	32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	9.67	9.19
Sharpe Ratio	0.36	0.42
Sortino Ratio	0.49	0.56
Ulcer Index	4.99	4.93
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.55	0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.29	0.34
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025

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	Simple Money Portfolio	One-Decision Portfolio
Author	Tim Maurer	Marvin Appel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	60%	50%
Fixed Income	40%	50%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	7.22	7.06
Infl. Adjusted (%)	4.58	4.43
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-32.39	-31.96
Start to Recovery (months)	36	41
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-32.39	-31.96
Start to Recovery (months)	36	41
Longest Negative Period (months)	52	64
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	9.16	8.50
Sharpe Ratio	0.54	0.56
Sortino Ratio	0.71	0.73
Ulcer Index	5.67	5.55
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.79	0.83
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.22	0.22
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025

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	Simple Money Portfolio	One-Decision Portfolio
Author	Tim Maurer	Marvin Appel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	60%	50%
Fixed Income	40%	50%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	10.25	9.43
Infl. Adjusted (%)	6.34	5.55
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-32.39	-31.96
Start to Recovery (months)	36	41
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-32.39	-31.96
Start to Recovery (months)	36	41
Longest Negative Period (months)	52	64
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	9.75	8.19
Sharpe Ratio	0.61	0.63
Sortino Ratio	0.83	0.83
Ulcer Index	4.86	4.50
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	1.05	1.15
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.32	0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1975 - 31 May 2025

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON

Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)

Period: 1 January 1975 - 31 May 2025 (~50 years)

30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)

Chart Table

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Simple Money Portfolio			One-Decision Portfolio
Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To	Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To
-32.39	36	Nov 2007 Oct 2010
			-31.96	41	Jun 2007 Oct 2010
-18.44	31	Sep 2021 Mar 2024
			-16.74	31	Jan 2022 Jul 2024
-14.55	11	Jan 2020 Nov 2020
			-13.04	10	Feb 2020 Nov 2020
-11.27	11	May 2011 Mar 2012
-9.50	8	May 1998 Dec 1998
-8.98	12	Jun 2002 May 2003
-8.67	10	Sep 2018 Jun 2019
			-8.52	8	Jun 2011 Jan 2012
			-8.13	6	Jul 1998 Dec 1998
			-7.23	14	Apr 2002 May 2003
			-6.99	7	Sep 2018 Mar 2019
-6.83	14	Feb 2001 Mar 2002

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Simple Money Portfolio			One-Decision Portfolio
Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To	Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To
-32.39	36	Nov 2007 Oct 2010
			-31.96	41	Jun 2007 Oct 2010
-18.44	31	Sep 2021 Mar 2024
-17.06	13	Sep 1987 Sep 1988
			-16.74	31	Jan 2022 Jul 2024
-14.55	11	Jan 2020 Nov 2020
			-13.04	10	Feb 2020 Nov 2020
			-12.38	13	Sep 1987 Sep 1988
-11.99	14	Jan 1990 Feb 1991
-11.27	11	May 2011 Mar 2012
-10.06	4	Feb 1980 May 1980
-9.50	8	May 1998 Dec 1998
-8.98	12	Jun 2002 May 2003
-8.67	10	Sep 2018 Jun 2019
			-8.52	8	Jun 2011 Jan 2012

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison

Annualized Rolling Returns Chart

Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 January 1975 - 31 May 2025 (~50 years)

Rolling Period:

Simple Money Portfolio
One-Decision Portfolio

Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):

US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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	Simple Money Portfolio		One-Decision Portfolio
Year	Return (%)	Drawdown (%)	Return (%)	Drawdown (%)
2025	5.74	-0.67	0.28	-3.37
2024	6.04	-3.22	8.40	-3.55
2023	11.53	-7.51	12.43	-7.22
2022	-11.48	-18.42	-13.18	-16.74
2021	10.46	-2.79	16.51	-2.73
2020	6.87	-14.55	5.32	-13.04
2019	16.14	-3.66	18.51	-2.02
2018	-6.64	-8.67	-3.64	-6.99
2017	13.36	-0.06	8.07	-0.59
2016	8.15	-3.04	8.52	-3.21
2015	0.47	-5.71	-0.25	-4.76
2014	2.33	-3.17	11.14	-2.54
2013	17.81	-2.16	10.43	-2.72
2012	11.70	-5.80	10.65	-2.81
2011	-0.69	-11.27	3.87	-8.52
2010	12.55	-7.06	13.01	-6.14
2009	17.16	-14.10	15.30	-14.35
2008	-18.42	-21.26	-16.74	-22.59
2007	5.07	-3.51	-0.68	-5.17
2006	15.49	-2.64	14.45	-1.98
2005	8.71	-2.47	5.08	-2.36
2004	16.23	-3.15	12.05	-4.65
2003	28.83	-2.44	18.87	-1.57
2002	-0.10	-8.98	-2.42	-7.23
2001	-0.39	-6.83	4.32	-3.58
2000	6.34	-2.93	9.42	-2.13
1999	8.40	-3.42	4.70	-3.16
1998	10.11	-9.50	5.32	-8.13
1997	8.93	-2.66	17.36	-1.24
1996	8.40	-2.89	15.52	-1.31
1995	20.10	-0.83	19.02	-0.66
1994	-1.91	-6.44	-1.28	-5.02
1993	18.40	-1.79	11.41	-1.82
1992	9.26	-1.70	9.68	-0.89
1991	19.48	-3.59	23.01	-1.99
1990	-6.46	-11.99	-1.89	-7.50
1989	18.70	-1.68	15.28	-0.97
1988	17.54	-1.71	12.57	-1.14
1987	9.10	-17.06	2.00	-12.38
1986	29.42	-4.06	13.98	-2.95
1985	35.92	-1.27	20.92	-1.32
1984	8.33	-6.36	12.26	-2.55
1983	19.04	-2.19	19.12	-1.46
1982	20.34	-5.31	23.18	-1.47
1981	5.26	-7.35	6.73	-5.61
1980	16.99	-10.06	17.14	-6.77
1979	12.42	-7.65	17.24	-6.81
1978	14.64	-7.08	7.38	-5.77
1977	8.65	-2.11	6.67	-0.92
1976	18.42	-2.41	25.20	-1.17
1975	27.95	-7.97	21.70	-5.67

Table of contents

Resources & Extras

Asset Allocations and ETFs

Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

Drawdowns

Rolling Returns

Yearly Returns