Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio vs Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1871 - May 2025 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1871)
Inflation Adjusted:
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 1995
10.74$
Final Capital
May 2025
8.23%
Yearly Return
9.67%
Std Deviation
-30.55%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 1995
5.09$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.58%
Yearly Return
9.67%
Std Deviation
-31.69%
Max Drawdown
38months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
93.9K$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.70%
Yearly Return
10.20%
Std Deviation
-62.03%
Max Drawdown
83months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
3.7K$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.46%
Yearly Return
10.20%
Std Deviation
-52.05%
Max Drawdown
71months
Recovery Period
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 1995
7.24$
Final Capital
May 2025
6.82%
Yearly Return
6.65%
Std Deviation
-15.92%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
June 1995
3.43$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.20%
Yearly Return
6.65%
Std Deviation
-23.09%
Max Drawdown
58months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
6.5K$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.85%
Yearly Return
5.81%
Std Deviation
-30.61%
Max Drawdown
46months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
254.13$
Final Capital
May 2025
3.65%
Yearly Return
5.81%
Std Deviation
-45.48%
Max Drawdown
182months
Recovery Period

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 8.23% compound annual return, with a 9.67% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -30.55% that required 36 months to be recovered.

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio obtained a 6.82% compound annual return, with a 6.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -15.92% that required 27 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
60.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
25.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2025 (~154 years)
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Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 60/40
-- Market Benchmark
1.22 3.33 -1.37 10.16 8.81 8.04 8.23 7.70
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_harry_browne.webp Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne
6.92 0.68 4.23 14.58 5.60 6.17 6.82 5.85
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of May 31, 2025

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since June 1995, now would be worth 10.74$, with a total return of 973.95% (8.23% annualized).

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since June 1995, now would be worth 7.24$, with a total return of 624.11% (6.82% annualized).


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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 93915.10$, with a total return of 9391409.53% (7.70% annualized).

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 6530.49$, with a total return of 652949.35% (5.85% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2025 (~154 years)
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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Author Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 25%
Fixed Income 40% 50%
Commodities 0% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.16 14.58
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.60 11.92
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.56 -2.51
Start to Recovery (months) 6* 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.56 -0.13
Start to Recovery (months) 6* 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 7 3
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.09 4.78
Sharpe Ratio 0.67 2.07
Sortino Ratio 0.89 2.52
Ulcer Index 1.97 0.70
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.26 3.05
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.23 5.80
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Author Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 25%
Fixed Income 40% 50%
Commodities 0% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.81 5.60
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.00 0.93
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.69 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 26 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.69 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 26 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.58 8.42
Sharpe Ratio 0.54 0.35
Sortino Ratio 0.72 0.49
Ulcer Index 7.71 5.91
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.76 0.66
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.35
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Author Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 25%
Fixed Income 40% 50%
Commodities 0% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.04 6.17
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.82 3.01
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.69 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 26 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.69 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 26 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.48 7.27
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.60
Sortino Ratio 0.79 0.85
Ulcer Index 5.81 4.48
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.77 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.39 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Author Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 25%
Fixed Income 40% 50%
Commodities 0% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.23 6.82
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.58 4.20
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.55 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 36 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.56 -15.92
Start to Recovery (months) 41 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 110 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.67 6.65
Sharpe Ratio 0.62 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.81 0.95
Ulcer Index 6.91 3.20
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.85 1.03
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.27 0.43
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Author Harry Browne
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 25%
Fixed Income 40% 50%
Commodities 0% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.70 5.85
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.46 3.65
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -62.03 -30.61
Start to Recovery (months) 83 46
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -62.03 -14.17
Start to Recovery (months) 83 53
Longest Negative Period (months) 154 80
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.20 5.81
Sharpe Ratio 0.36 0.32
Sortino Ratio 0.50 0.47
Ulcer Index 9.20 3.52
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.75 1.01
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.12 0.19
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2025 (~154 years)

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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-30.55 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-21.56 41 Sep 2000
Jan 2004
-20.69 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-12.63 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-12.29 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-10.18 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-9.00 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-8.38 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-6.98 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.86 17 Oct 2012
Feb 2014
-6.73 15 Feb 2015
Apr 2016
-5.43 19 Sep 2000
Mar 2002
-5.35 5 Apr 2000
Aug 2000
-5.34 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998

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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-62.03 83 Sep 1929
Jul 1936
-31.73 71 Mar 1937
Jan 1943
-30.61 46 Sep 1929
Jun 1933
-30.55 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-27.28 37 Jan 1973
Jan 1976
-21.56 41 Sep 2000
Jan 2004
-20.69 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-19.17 17 Sep 1987
Jan 1989
-18.96 28 Apr 1876
Jul 1878
-18.76 26 Dec 1968
Jan 1971
-17.90 23 Oct 1906
Aug 1908
-16.37 28 Feb 1893
May 1895
-16.01 25 Oct 1902
Oct 1904
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.17 53 Mar 1937
Jul 1941

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2025 (~154 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Permanent Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
1.22 -4.02 6.92 0.00
2024
14.84 -3.62 11.90 -2.51
2023
17.79 -7.48 11.55 -5.68
2022
-16.95 -20.69 -12.53 -15.92
2021
14.66 -3.24 4.21 -4.43
2020
15.70 -12.29 16.10 -3.30
2019
21.94 -3.41 16.17 -1.10
2018
-3.17 -8.38 -1.76 -4.25
2017
14.15 0.00 10.97 -0.83
2016
8.71 -2.95 5.54 -6.98
2015
0.44 -5.24 -3.06 -6.73
2014
9.85 -1.50 9.40 -2.62
2013
19.23 -2.27 -2.08 -6.04
2012
11.13 -3.54 6.41 -1.83
2011
3.75 -9.00 11.11 -1.85
2010
12.93 -7.13 13.92 -0.53
2009
18.79 -11.70 7.85 -6.22
2008
-19.44 -22.19 0.87 -12.63
2007
5.99 -3.07 12.69 -1.20
2006
11.12 -2.03 10.94 -2.12
2005
4.74 -2.34 8.91 -1.25
2004
9.37 -2.68 6.83 -4.20
2003
20.04 -1.99 13.32 -2.34
2002
-8.98 -13.74 5.85 -4.02
2001
-3.21 -11.68 -0.52 -4.13
2000
-1.79 -8.27 2.40 -3.23
1999
13.98 -3.76 5.17 -3.54
1998
17.39 -10.18 10.09 -5.34
1997
22.37 -3.12 7.19 -2.33
1996
14.01 -3.33 5.08 -2.02
1995
28.74 -0.20 18.11 0.00
1994
-1.16 -6.47 -1.37 -3.63
1993
10.25 -1.36 12.00 -0.99
1992
8.32 -1.65 3.57 -1.77
1991
25.53 -2.86 11.72 -0.88
1990
-0.19 -8.52 1.11 -4.53
1989
22.33 -1.36 12.90 -1.18
1988
13.33 -2.24 4.39 -1.50
1987
2.18 -19.17 7.42 -5.78
1986
14.79 -5.58 17.64 -1.28
1985
27.66 -2.15 20.47 -2.05
1984
7.32 -6.58 2.22 -3.58
1983
15.69 -2.85 3.46 -2.83
1982
24.75 -4.29 23.27 -5.51
1981
1.27 -8.82 -5.34 -9.88
1980
21.05 -9.57 13.65 -11.38
1979
16.69 -6.65 39.77 -4.50
1978
5.53 -7.92 12.78 -5.31
1977
-1.60 -4.89 6.43 -2.00
1976
21.38 -1.34 11.22 -2.75
1975
25.64 -8.13 6.98 -7.00
1974
-14.41 -20.38 12.43 -11.15
1973
-9.12 -9.87 15.65 -6.85
1972
11.66 -1.45 18.84 -1.56
1971
14.37 -5.73 12.86 -1.09
1970
9.77 -11.52 7.89 -4.68
1969
-7.02 -8.24 -6.38 -8.20
1968
9.19 -3.30 9.27 -1.10
1967
16.22 -2.87 6.11 -1.37
1966
-3.25 -9.79 -0.04 -3.86
1965
8.81 -2.63 4.59 -0.95
1964
11.40 -0.78 6.00 -0.25
1963
13.34 -1.77 6.05 -0.74
1962
-3.49 -12.63 -0.23 -4.93
1961
16.69 -2.07 6.50 -1.00
1960
5.77 -4.00 5.64 -1.14
1959
6.99 -3.96 2.72 -1.85
1958
25.76 -0.76 9.97 -0.31
1957
-2.53 -7.55 0.57 -2.86
1956
4.48 -5.10 1.35 -2.43
1955
15.12 -1.72 6.24 -0.67
1954
31.48 -2.16 14.12 -0.94
1953
1.85 -4.96 -0.87 -4.16
1952
9.07 -2.48 3.37 -1.26
1951
12.47 -3.94 4.37 -1.85
1950
18.15 -3.45 7.47 -1.53
1949
13.74 -2.42 6.13 -1.15
1948
2.46 -6.51 1.16 -2.70
1947
2.12 -3.61 3.61 -1.52
1946
-3.48 -13.30 -0.66 -5.77
1945
24.98 -2.30 12.40 -0.87
1944
13.65 -0.91 5.95 -0.36
1943
17.73 -5.22 8.33 -2.35
1942
10.55 -7.45 5.04 -3.00
1941
-5.16 -8.44 -1.49 -3.80
1940
-2.58 -14.56 -0.01 -6.09
1939
2.64 -8.45 1.75 -3.29
1938
18.78 -15.43 8.45 -6.59
1937
-20.16 -23.31 -8.65 -10.20
1936
22.00 -4.48 10.39 -1.85
1935
29.34 -5.09 12.79 -1.85
1934
4.30 -9.46 5.72 -3.27
1933
35.51 -12.66 28.60 -5.74
1932
-0.28 -25.51 2.17 -10.03
1931
-27.30 -34.34 -12.64 -16.23
1930
-13.91 -22.76 -4.39 -9.07
1929
-5.08 -21.42 -0.83 -9.26
1928
22.84 -2.72 10.25 -1.14
1927
22.12 -2.70 11.58 -1.05
1926
8.76 -5.17 5.78 -1.79
1925
16.74 -3.95 8.98 -1.51
1924
19.37 -1.79 10.18 -0.44
1923
4.71 -7.60 3.65 -2.70
1922
19.63 -2.80 9.97 -1.17
1921
11.31 -5.11 8.74 -1.62
1920
-8.32 -9.02 -1.56 -2.72
1919
12.66 -4.87 6.55 -2.10
1918
12.74 -2.11 7.63 -0.71
1917
-11.87 -11.87 -4.88 -4.88
1916
6.29 -1.98 4.56 -0.66
1915
21.19 -1.32 10.27 -0.48
1914
-0.68 -11.08 1.02 -3.96
1913
-1.31 -4.21 0.91 -1.08
1912
4.90 -2.48 3.57 -0.83
1911
3.72 -5.85 2.86 -2.33
1910
-0.39 -6.05 0.96 -1.93
1909
10.23 -1.46 5.56 -0.47
1908
28.22 -1.72 13.65 -0.55
1907
-14.66 -16.56 -5.24 -5.97
1906
0.65 -6.03 1.58 -1.96
1905
13.00 -3.42 6.99 -1.27
1904
21.60 -1.44 10.35 -0.56
1903
-9.42 -14.64 -2.87 -5.48
1902
5.32 -4.68 3.72 -1.71
1901
12.37 -5.10 6.40 -2.12
1900
14.00 -2.99 7.28 -1.02
1899
2.03 -5.60 2.46 -1.66
1898
19.40 -4.72 9.71 -2.16
1897
14.52 -2.89 7.76 -0.96
1896
3.55 -8.59 3.16 -3.48
1895
2.99 -6.94 2.81 -2.88
1894
4.58 -2.96 3.47 -0.91
1893
-9.41 -16.37 -2.22 -6.13
1892
4.50 -1.55 3.62 -0.58
1891
13.47 -3.11 6.97 -1.39
1890
-3.23 -7.81 -0.21 -2.89
1889
5.21 -1.48 4.74 -0.41
1888
4.16 -2.40 3.54 -0.99
1887
0.17 -6.26 1.07 -2.41
1886
7.45 -2.95 5.01 -0.83
1885
20.12 -1.12 10.08 -0.41
1884
-5.85 -9.42 -0.61 -3.78
1883
-1.59 -3.70 0.77 -1.33
1882
3.39 -3.65 3.35 -1.31
1881
1.51 -6.38 2.94 -1.91
1880
18.01 -5.21 9.92 -1.87
1879
30.75 -0.79 14.82 -0.23
1878
12.34 -0.38 6.08 -0.22
1877
0.79 -10.85 1.31 -4.59
1876
-5.64 -9.33 -1.26 -2.91
1875
5.80 -2.06 6.22 -0.40
1874
8.29 -2.74 5.61 -0.80
1873
0.18 -11.04 1.85 -4.51
1872
7.40 -2.81 6.24 -0.91
1871
10.46 -3.08 6.83 -1.19
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