The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio vs Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1927 - May 2026 (~99 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2026
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1927/01 - 2026/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
The Lazy Team The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1996
8.96$
Final Capital
May 2026
7.58%
Yearly Return
7.05%
Std Deviation
-16.43%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1996
4.21$
Final Capital
May 2026
4.91%
Yearly Return
7.05%
Std Deviation
-23.36%
Max Drawdown
53months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1927
945.81$
Final Capital
May 2026
7.14%
Yearly Return
7.30%
Std Deviation
-30.22%
Max Drawdown
46months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1927
50.37$
Final Capital
May 2026
4.02%
Yearly Return
7.30%
Std Deviation
-25.39%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
Tyler Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1996
10.20$
Final Capital
May 2026
8.05%
Yearly Return
7.97%
Std Deviation
-17.79%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1996
4.80$
Final Capital
May 2026
5.37%
Yearly Return
7.97%
Std Deviation
-23.47%
Max Drawdown
51months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1927
3.46 K$
Final Capital
May 2026
8.54%
Yearly Return
8.81%
Std Deviation
-48.31%
Max Drawdown
70months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1927
184.09$
Final Capital
May 2026
5.39%
Yearly Return
8.81%
Std Deviation
-34.73%
Max Drawdown
44months
Recovery Period

As of May 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio obtained a 7.58% compound annual return, with a 7.05% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -16.43% that required 27 months to be recovered.

As of May 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 8.05% compound annual return, with a 7.97% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -17.79% that required 30 months to be recovered.

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Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.

Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
50.00
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
20.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2026

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1927/01 - 2026/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 8.96 $ 795.62% 7.58%
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 10.20 $ 920.44% 8.05%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 4.21 $ 321.29% 4.91%
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 4.80 $ 380.00% 5.37%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 945.81 $ 94 480.93% 7.14%
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 3 456.66 $ 345 566.31% 8.54%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 50.37 $ 4 937.11% 4.02%
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 184.09 $ 18 309.20% 5.39%

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Return (%) as of May 31, 2026
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~99Y)
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/lzp-assets/img/author/avatar_lzp.webp Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
4.03 0.92 4.40 19.38 7.75 7.85 7.58 7.14
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/lzp-assets/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly
Tyler
6.45 1.08 6.76 22.93 7.00 8.26 8.05 8.54
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2026

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2026, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2025 - 31 May 2026 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2021 - 31 May 2026 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2016 - 31 May 2026 (10 years)
Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1927 - 31 May 2026 (~99 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1927/01 - 2026/05)
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Author The Lazy Team Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 25% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 19.38 22.93
Infl. Adjusted (%) 15.14 18.55
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.45 -5.05
Start to Recovery (months) 3* 3*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.45 -5.05
Start to Recovery (months) 3* 3*
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 3*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.43 8.45
Sharpe Ratio 1.84 2.25
Sortino Ratio 2.14 2.66
Ulcer Index 1.95 1.51
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.30 2.71
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.56 4.54
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2025 - 31 May 2026
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Author The Lazy Team Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 25% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.75 7.00
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.24 2.51
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 32 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.93 10.20
Sharpe Ratio 0.49 0.35
Sortino Ratio 0.64 0.48
Ulcer Index 5.95 6.44
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.87 0.69
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.47 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2021 - 31 May 2026
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Author The Lazy Team Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 25% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.85 8.26
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.37 4.77
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 39
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.60 8.82
Sharpe Ratio 0.75 0.69
Sortino Ratio 1.01 0.94
Ulcer Index 4.45 4.76
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.03 0.94
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.48 0.46
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2016 - 31 May 2026
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Author The Lazy Team Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 25% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.58 8.05
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.91 5.37
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -17.79
Start to Recovery (months) 27 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 39
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.05 7.97
Sharpe Ratio 0.76 0.73
Sortino Ratio 1.05 0.98
Ulcer Index 3.15 3.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.08 1.01
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.46 0.45
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Author The Lazy Team Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 25% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.14 8.54
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.02 5.39
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.22 -48.31
Start to Recovery (months) 46 70
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.22 -23.45
Start to Recovery (months) 46 71
Longest Negative Period (months) 67 74
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.30 8.81
Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.59
Sortino Ratio 0.76 0.82
Ulcer Index 4.28 6.87
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.98 0.97
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.18
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1927 - 31 May 2026
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1927 - 31 May 2026 (~99 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-17.79 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-16.43 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.81 19 Mar 2008
Sep 2009
-13.28 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-9.44 8 May 1998
Dec 1998
-7.16 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-6.86 12 Jun 2002
May 2003
-6.69 11 Apr 2013
Feb 2014
-6.37 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.25 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.23 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-5.45 3* Mar 2026
In progress
-5.27 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-5.09 9 Feb 1999
Oct 1999
-5.05 3* Mar 2026
In progress

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-48.31 70 Sep 1929
Jun 1935
-30.22 46 Sep 1929
Jun 1933
-23.45 71 Mar 1937
Jan 1943
-17.79 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-17.05 22 May 1969
Feb 1971
-16.43 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.87 10 Apr 1974
Jan 1975
-14.81 19 Mar 2008
Sep 2009
-14.34 21 Dec 1980
Aug 1982
-13.73 5 Feb 1980
Jun 1980
-13.70 32 Mar 1937
Oct 1939
-13.28 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-13.17 5 Feb 1980
Jun 1980
-13.14 21 May 1969
Jan 1971
-11.37 10 Apr 1974
Jan 1975

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1927 - 31 May 2026 (~99 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Golden Butterfly
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2026
4.03 -5.45 6.45 -5.05
2025
24.21 0.00 19.30 -0.53
2024
12.30 -2.24 10.73 -3.42
2023
11.51 -5.16 11.98 -8.08
2022
-12.67 -16.43 -13.35 -17.79
2021
3.72 -3.81 9.35 -2.45
2020
16.46 -3.11 13.93 -7.16
2019
16.15 -0.99 18.03 -1.83
2018
-1.29 -3.68 -4.03 -6.37
2017
9.78 -0.96 10.96 -0.32
2016
5.72 -6.23 10.82 -3.36
2015
-1.82 -5.27 -3.71 -6.25
2014
7.12 -2.59 9.13 -3.27
2013
-1.76 -6.69 6.26 -3.84
2012
7.59 -1.89 8.84 -2.43
2011
10.45 -3.69 8.86 -3.00
2010
16.36 -0.02 16.54 -2.77
2009
9.94 -4.96 10.77 -10.16
2008
0.94 -13.28 -4.18 -13.53
2007
14.14 -1.50 9.58 -2.06
2006
10.82 -2.47 12.44 -2.71
2005
7.34 -1.60 8.04 -1.76
2004
6.42 -4.79 9.88 -4.36
2003
15.31 -2.22 18.85 -2.72
2002
9.00 -2.60 3.15 -6.86
2001
0.15 -3.21 2.71 -4.99
2000
4.63 -2.98 6.88 -3.64
1999
2.25 -5.09 4.24 -3.38
1998
12.93 -4.63 8.03 -9.44
1997
8.38 -2.87 13.09 -2.50
1996
4.09 -3.64 8.18 -2.60
1995
21.97 0.00 21.86 -0.40
1994
-4.18 -5.67 -1.98 -4.64
1993
13.56 -1.61 14.50 -1.37
1992
4.46 -3.11 9.15 -1.58
1991
15.41 -1.06 19.14 -1.63
1990
1.55 -5.66 -2.51 -7.94
1989
15.24 -1.52 14.78 -0.89
1988
3.97 -2.03 9.18 -1.64
1987
5.46 -5.83 5.10 -10.93
1986
19.06 -1.00 17.75 -2.42
1985
24.24 -2.66 25.09 -1.93
1984
3.14 -5.27 3.75 -4.68
1983
2.74 -3.74 11.13 -2.46
1982
28.65 -5.77 28.31 -5.34
1981
-6.55 -13.29 -1.23 -8.50
1980
11.44 -13.17 15.59 -13.73
1979
38.61 -5.94 38.92 -6.53
1978
11.00 -5.48 13.30 -7.41
1977
5.09 -3.12 7.87 -1.53
1976
13.24 -2.32 20.55 -2.29
1975
6.02 -7.68 16.99 -8.68
1974
11.61 -11.37 5.51 -14.87
1973
15.34 -6.38 7.22 -5.95
1972
17.84 -2.23 17.32 -1.70
1971
14.20 -2.36 14.13 -3.04
1970
12.20 -5.73 8.32 -8.47
1969
-9.41 -11.13 -9.95 -11.26
1968
11.01 -0.78 14.16 -1.16
1967
5.38 -1.95 15.73 -1.53
1966
0.48 -4.81 -1.43 -6.81
1965
4.02 -0.86 9.98 -1.26
1964
5.99 -0.28 9.63 -0.39
1963
6.03 -0.83 9.52 -1.19
1962
0.41 -5.15 -2.25 -8.47
1961
7.10 -1.25 11.32 -1.53
1960
6.95 -1.34 4.68 -2.33
1959
2.64 -2.19 5.78 -2.67
1958
10.15 -0.76 21.04 -0.09
1957
0.51 -3.69 -1.90 -5.44
1956
0.82 -2.90 2.40 -3.74
1955
5.80 -0.45 9.05 -1.20
1954
14.04 -1.08 24.09 -1.32
1953
-0.81 -5.34 -1.25 -5.95
1952
3.54 -1.51 5.01 -1.97
1951
4.75 -1.88 5.62 -3.17
1950
6.73 -1.65 15.80 -2.07
1949
6.56 -1.06 8.87 -1.60
1948
1.37 -2.71 0.60 -4.83
1947
3.38 -1.58 3.73 -2.27
1946
-0.72 -6.02 -2.14 -9.34
1945
13.13 -0.77 23.40 -1.03
1944
6.27 -0.34 13.20 -0.29
1943
8.67 -2.39 18.24 -2.65
1942
5.07 -3.07 8.95 -4.55
1941
-0.43 -3.99 -1.87 -5.56
1940
0.90 -6.62 -0.80 -9.89
1939
2.59 -2.86 -0.30 -6.03
1938
9.29 -6.59 14.14 -10.34
1937
-8.08 -9.88 -15.74 -17.75
1936
11.10 -1.80 19.77 -2.63
1935
13.72 -1.24 19.44 -3.22
1934
6.62 -2.89 5.81 -5.68
1933
29.29 -5.58 45.52 -6.98
1932
2.29 -9.64 2.29 -16.27
1931
-12.31 -16.02 -20.79 -25.80
1930
-4.80 -9.44 -10.68 -16.78
1929
-0.60 -8.59 -3.62 -14.87
1928
10.16 -1.26 13.65 -2.02
1927
11.74 -1.08 16.03 -1.81
Mastering ETF Investing
Mastering ETF Investing
A practical guide to build wealth with Lazy Portfolios and passive investing
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