Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio vs Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - April 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.85$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.37%
Yearly Return
11.59%
Std Deviation
-22.88%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.37$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.20%
Yearly Return
11.59%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.36$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.32%
Yearly Return
10.84%
Std Deviation
-22.88%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.28$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.60%
Yearly Return
10.84%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.12$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.81%
Yearly Return
22.06%
Std Deviation
-44.36%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.57$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.60%
Yearly Return
22.06%
Std Deviation
-49.20%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
6.14$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.71%
Yearly Return
20.43%
Std Deviation
-44.36%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.17$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.88%
Yearly Return
20.43%
Std Deviation
-49.20%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio obtained a 8.32% compound annual return, with a 10.84% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -22.88% that required 32 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 12.71% compound annual return, with a 20.43% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -44.36% which has been ongoing for 40 months and is still in progress.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
33.34
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
33.33
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
33.33
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
33.34
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
33.33
URE
ProShares Ultra Real Estate
33.33
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_roger_gibson.webp Talmud Portfolio
Roger Gibson
-0.72 -0.93 -1.15 11.83 7.35 6.37 8.32
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_roger_gibson.webp Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Roger Gibson
-1.72 -1.80 -3.78 19.15 7.61 7.81 12.71
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.85$, with a total return of 85.45% (6.37% annualized).

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.12$, with a total return of 112.13% (7.81% annualized).


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Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 3.36$, with a total return of 236.07% (8.32% annualized).

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 6.14$, with a total return of 513.79% (12.71% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 66.67%
Fixed Income 33.33% 33.33%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.83 19.15
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 9.56 16.73
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.09 -10.45
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.09 -10.45
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 8* 9*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.47 18.47
Sharpe Ratio 0.74 0.78
Sortino Ratio 0.94 0.97
Ulcer Index 2.43 5.20
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.25 1.04
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.32 1.83
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 66.67%
Fixed Income 33.33% 33.33%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.35 7.61
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.70 2.95
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 47*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.94 25.40
Sharpe Ratio 0.37 0.20
Sortino Ratio 0.50 0.27
Ulcer Index 9.89 23.38
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.57 0.30
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.32 0.17
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 66.67%
Fixed Income 33.33% 33.33%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.37 7.81
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.20 4.60
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 54
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.59 22.06
Sharpe Ratio 0.40 0.27
Sortino Ratio 0.53 0.37
Ulcer Index 7.39 17.29
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.55 0.35
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.28 0.18
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 66.67%
Fixed Income 33.33% 33.33%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.32 12.71
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.60 9.88
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.88 -44.36
Start to Recovery (months) 32 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 54
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.84 20.43
Sharpe Ratio 0.66 0.57
Sortino Ratio 0.89 0.76
Ulcer Index 6.19 14.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.77 0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.36 0.29
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)

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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-44.36 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-25.50 11 Feb 2020
Dec 2020
-22.88 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-15.16 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-14.56 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-11.50 10 Aug 2016
May 2017
-8.28 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-8.09 5 Jun 2015
Oct 2015
-7.81 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-7.57 6 Sep 2018
Feb 2019
-5.40 5 Nov 2015
Mar 2016
-5.09 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-4.84 7 Aug 2016
Feb 2017
-4.22 3 Aug 2015
Oct 2015
-4.20 6 Jan 2018
Jun 2018

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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-44.36 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-25.50 11 Feb 2020
Dec 2020
-22.88 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-16.87 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-15.16 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-14.56 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-13.21 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-12.34 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-11.50 10 Aug 2016
May 2017
-11.02 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-10.50 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-8.28 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-7.81 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-7.57 6 Sep 2018
Feb 2019
-7.29 5 May 2010
Sep 2010

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Talmud Portfolio Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
-0.72 -3.70 -1.72 -7.10
2024
10.00 -4.87 12.55 -10.58
2023
14.42 -9.16 19.46 -18.58
2022
-19.62 -22.88 -39.60 -42.70
2021
21.44 -3.93 46.68 -8.28
2020
8.02 -15.16 4.10 -25.50
2019
22.79 -1.65 44.89 -3.27
2018
-3.78 -7.57 -9.85 -14.56
2017
9.90 -0.80 21.37 -0.99
2016
7.99 -4.84 10.82 -11.50
2015
1.11 -5.69 0.17 -11.02
2014
16.24 -3.05 33.69 -6.02
2013
11.22 -4.74 19.08 -12.34
2012
12.41 -3.41 24.83 -5.45
2011
5.83 -10.50 9.95 -16.87
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with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing