Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy vs Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 May 2023

The Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio obtained a 8.17% compound annual return, with a 15.60% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 10.63% compound annual return, with a 12.22% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio
Risk Very High Very High
Asset Allocation Stocks 100% 80%
Fixed Income 0% 20%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +8.17% +10.63%
Std Dev 15.60% 12.22%
Max Drawdown -57.21% -43.61%

Last Update: 31 May 2023

Historical Returns as of May 31, 2023

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y(*) 10Y(*) 30Y(*) MAX(*)
Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio -3.43 -1.87 -4.73 +3.48 +6.63 +8.17 +10.71
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio -4.06 -7.92 -4.64 +4.77 +9.51 +10.63 +12.11
(*) Returns over 1 year are annualized

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2023

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since June 1993, now would be worth 10563.26$, with a total return of 956.33% (8.17% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since June 1993, now would be worth 20712.10$, with a total return of 1971.21% (10.63% annualized).

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since January 1982, now would be worth 67623.87$, with a total return of 6662.39% (10.71% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since January 1982, now would be worth 113642.58$, with a total return of 11264.26% (12.11% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since May 1993.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom Drawdown Start Bottom
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-43.61% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-32.75% Sep 2000 Sep 2002
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020
-27.23% Nov 2021 Sep 2022
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018
-14.33% Feb 2020 Mar 2020
-12.46% Oct 2018 Dec 2018
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016
-9.24% Aug 1998 Aug 1998
-8.65% Sep 2000 Nov 2000
-8.25% Feb 1994 Jan 1995
-6.80% Feb 1994 Jun 1994
-6.55% Sep 2020 Oct 2020
-6.22% Aug 2015 Sep 2015
-6.22% Oct 1997 Nov 1997
-5.19% Apr 2012 May 2012

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom Drawdown Start Bottom
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-43.61% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-32.75% Sep 2000 Sep 2002
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020
-27.23% Nov 2021 Sep 2022
-25.63% Sep 1987 Nov 1987
-25.26% Sep 1987 Nov 1987
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022
-21.87% Jan 1990 Sep 1990
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002
-16.41% Jan 1982 Jul 1982
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018
-14.33% Feb 2020 Mar 2020
-12.46% Oct 2018 Dec 2018
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016
-10.02% Aug 1990 Sep 1990
-9.41% Jul 1983 May 1984
-9.24% Aug 1998 Aug 1998
-8.65% Sep 2000 Nov 2000

Yearly Returns

Yearly return comparison. Common historical serie start from January 1982.

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Year Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum Portfolio
2023
+1.57% -4.79%
2022
-15.37% -17.23%
2021
+19.37% +10.32%
2020
+6.40% +25.42%
2019
+23.62% +23.57%
2018
-11.86% -1.35%
2017
+21.78% +30.71%
2016
+12.36% +4.51%
2015
-1.21% +7.25%
2014
+3.86% +12.86%
2013
+24.33% +27.24%
2012
+18.52% +12.58%
2011
-6.03% +6.33%
2010
+17.95% +15.66%
2009
+32.93% +14.68%
2008
-39.47% -31.40%
2007
+3.86% +15.50%
2006
+25.26% +9.30%
2005
+14.55% +15.79%
2004
+24.50% +14.21%
2003
+45.35% +21.59%
2002
-8.70% -8.17%
2001
-4.24% -12.19%
2000
-0.62% -5.41%
1999
+20.93% +32.18%
1998
+4.55% +40.72%
1997
+7.53% +31.37%
1996
+14.79% +24.58%
1995
+16.47% +37.49%
1994
-2.37% -1.40%
1993
+30.62% +12.52%
1992
+7.12% +4.88%
1991
+32.16% +32.57%
1990
-15.66% +2.93%
1989
+27.73% +36.94%
1988
+25.20% +7.13%
1987
+6.29% +2.18%
1986
+33.82% +21.18%
1985
+40.18% +30.36%
1984
+7.34% +2.34%
1983
+26.91% +14.60%
1982
+9.42% +30.58%