Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 May 2023

The Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio obtained a 8.17% compound annual return, with a 15.60% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 9.28% compound annual return, with a 9.43% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Risk Very High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 100% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +8.17% +9.28%
Std Dev 15.60% 9.43%
Max Drawdown -57.21% -32.52%

Last Update: 31 May 2023

Historical Returns as of May 31, 2023

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y(*) 10Y(*) 30Y(*) MAX(*)
Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio -3.43 -1.87 -4.73 +3.48 +6.63 +8.17 +10.71
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio -3.31 -5.57 -4.10 +3.87 +7.58 +9.28 +10.91
(*) Returns over 1 year are annualized

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2023

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since June 1993, now would be worth 10563.26$, with a total return of 956.33% (8.17% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since June 1993, now would be worth 14339.34$, with a total return of 1333.93% (9.28% annualized).

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since January 1982, now would be worth 67623.87$, with a total return of 6662.39% (10.71% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1000$, since January 1982, now would be worth 72812.54$, with a total return of 7181.25% (10.91% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since May 1993.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom Drawdown Start Bottom
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-32.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022
-24.21% Nov 2021 Sep 2022
-21.14% Sep 2000 Sep 2002
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016
-10.73% Feb 2020 Mar 2020
-9.29% Oct 2018 Dec 2018
-8.65% Sep 2000 Nov 2000
-8.25% Feb 1994 Jan 1995
-7.14% May 2011 Sep 2011
-6.78% Aug 1998 Aug 1998
-6.35% Feb 1994 Jun 1994
-6.22% Oct 1997 Nov 1997
-5.20% Sep 2020 Oct 2020
-4.95% Apr 2004 Apr 2004

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom Drawdown Start Bottom
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-32.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020
-25.26% Sep 1987 Nov 1987
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022
-24.21% Nov 2021 Sep 2022
-21.87% Jan 1990 Sep 1990
-21.14% Sep 2000 Sep 2002
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002
-20.08% Sep 1987 Nov 1987
-16.41% Jan 1982 Jul 1982
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016
-10.73% Feb 2020 Mar 2020
-9.29% Oct 2018 Dec 2018
-8.65% Sep 2000 Nov 2000
-8.25% Feb 1994 Jan 1995
-7.66% Aug 1990 Sep 1990
-7.54% Dec 1983 May 1984

Yearly Returns

Yearly return comparison. Common historical serie start from January 1982.

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Year Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
2023
+1.57% -2.99%
2022
-15.37% -16.20%
2021
+19.37% +7.27%
2020
+6.40% +20.99%
2019
+23.62% +19.89%
2018
-11.86% -1.04%
2017
+21.78% +23.93%
2016
+12.36% +4.01%
2015
-1.21% +5.58%
2014
+3.86% +11.10%
2013
+24.33% +19.91%
2012
+18.52% +10.22%
2011
-6.03% +6.73%
2010
+17.95% +13.29%
2009
+32.93% +11.92%
2008
-39.47% -21.83%
2007
+3.86% +13.35%
2006
+25.26% +8.04%
2005
+14.55% +12.44%
2004
+24.50% +11.72%
2003
+45.35% +17.18%
2002
-8.70% -4.07%
2001
-4.24% -7.04%
2000
-0.62% -1.21%
1999
+20.93% +23.95%
1998
+4.55% +32.69%
1997
+7.53% +25.89%
1996
+14.79% +19.33%
1995
+16.47% +32.67%
1994
-2.37% -1.72%
1993
+30.62% +11.81%
1992
+7.12% +5.45%
1991
+32.16% +28.24%
1990
-15.66% +4.36%
1989
+27.73% +31.11%
1988
+25.20% +7.18%
1987
+6.29% +2.02%
1986
+33.82% +19.66%
1985
+40.18% +28.33%
1984
+7.34% +5.51%
1983
+26.91% +12.26%
1982
+9.42% +30.72%