Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio vs Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2025 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1985)
Inflation Adjusted:
Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
7.86$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.11%
Yearly Return
11.59%
Std Deviation
-47.39%
Max Drawdown
56months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
3.73$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.49%
Yearly Return
11.59%
Std Deviation
-46.78%
Max Drawdown
67months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
27.07$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.52%
Yearly Return
10.82%
Std Deviation
-47.39%
Max Drawdown
56months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
8.93$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.58%
Yearly Return
10.82%
Std Deviation
-46.78%
Max Drawdown
67months
Recovery Period
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
8.50$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.39%
Yearly Return
8.97%
Std Deviation
-29.58%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.04$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.76%
Yearly Return
8.97%
Std Deviation
-30.74%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
32.84$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.04%
Yearly Return
9.13%
Std Deviation
-29.58%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
10.84$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.09%
Yearly Return
9.13%
Std Deviation
-30.74%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio obtained a 7.11% compound annual return, with a 11.59% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -47.39% that required 56 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio obtained a 7.39% compound annual return, with a 8.97% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -29.58% that required 30 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
20.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
20.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
20.00
GSG
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
19.00
VUG
Vanguard Growth
13.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
12.00
VTV
Vanguard Value
5.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
2.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
2.00
IJT
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth
14.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
14.00
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
11.00
MBB
iShares MBS
4.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
2.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
2.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_mebane_faber.webp Ivy Portfolio
Mebane Faber
0.41 -1.79 -0.01 7.93 10.58 5.24 7.11 8.52
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_merrill_lynch.webp Edge Select Moderate
Merrill Lynch
0.67 0.37 1.46 10.40 7.42 6.24 7.39 9.04
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 7.86$, with a total return of 685.61% (7.11% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 8.50$, with a total return of 750.07% (7.39% annualized).


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Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 27.07$, with a total return of 2606.84% (8.52% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 32.84$, with a total return of 3184.41% (9.04% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Author Mebane Faber Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 53%
Fixed Income 20% 47%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.93 10.40
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.74 8.16
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.84 -2.14
Start to Recovery (months) 2* 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.66 -2.14
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 8* 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.49 6.46
Sharpe Ratio 0.48 0.87
Sortino Ratio 0.60 1.09
Ulcer Index 1.25 1.11
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.22 1.61
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.79 4.86
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Author Mebane Faber Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 53%
Fixed Income 20% 47%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.58 7.42
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.79 2.76
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.46 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 24 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.46 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 24 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 30 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.66 10.57
Sharpe Ratio 0.69 0.46
Sortino Ratio 0.92 0.63
Ulcer Index 5.32 7.40
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.91 0.70
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.64 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Author Mebane Faber Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 53%
Fixed Income 20% 47%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.24 6.24
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.10 3.08
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -21.77 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 12 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.46 -20.56
Start to Recovery (months) 24 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 59 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.58 9.47
Sharpe Ratio 0.30 0.47
Sortino Ratio 0.39 0.64
Ulcer Index 5.96 5.63
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.45 0.66
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Author Mebane Faber Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 53%
Fixed Income 20% 47%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.11 7.39
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.49 4.76
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -47.39 -29.58
Start to Recovery (months) 56 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -47.39 -15.42
Start to Recovery (months) 56 38
Longest Negative Period (months) 93 52
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.59 8.97
Sharpe Ratio 0.42 0.57
Sortino Ratio 0.53 0.75
Ulcer Index 9.24 5.96
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.61 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.15 0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025
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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Author Mebane Faber Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 53%
Fixed Income 20% 47%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.52 9.04
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.58 6.09
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -47.39 -29.58
Start to Recovery (months) 56 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -47.39 -15.42
Start to Recovery (months) 56 38
Longest Negative Period (months) 93 52
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.82 9.13
Sharpe Ratio 0.50 0.64
Sortino Ratio 0.63 0.85
Ulcer Index 8.08 5.42
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.79 0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.18 0.31
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)

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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-47.39 56 Jun 2008
Jan 2013
-29.58 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-21.77 12 Jan 2020
Dec 2020
-20.56 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-16.46 24 Apr 2022
Mar 2024
-15.89 37 Jul 2014
Jul 2017
-15.42 38 Sep 2000
Oct 2003
-13.25 13 Apr 1998
Apr 1999
-11.43 28 Feb 2001
May 2003
-11.00 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-10.96 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-9.65 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-7.97 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-7.17 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-6.44 14 May 2015
Jun 2016

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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-47.39 56 Jun 2008
Jan 2013
-29.58 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-21.77 12 Jan 2020
Dec 2020
-20.56 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-16.46 24 Apr 2022
Mar 2024
-15.89 37 Jul 2014
Jul 2017
-15.42 38 Sep 2000
Oct 2003
-15.26 16 Sep 1987
Dec 1988
-13.25 13 Apr 1998
Apr 1999
-11.43 28 Feb 2001
May 2003
-11.40 10 Sep 1987
Jun 1988
-11.00 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-10.96 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-10.40 7 Aug 1990
Feb 1991
-9.65 10 May 2011
Feb 2012

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Ivy Portfolio Edge Select Moderate
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
0.41 -2.84 0.67 -2.02
2024
8.82 -3.17 10.50 -2.94
2023
10.72 -7.72 16.31 -7.35
2022
-10.08 -16.46 -16.06 -20.56
2021
22.27 -4.02 9.66 -2.75
2020
2.25 -21.77 13.88 -10.96
2019
21.16 -3.82 19.44 -3.06
2018
-7.88 -11.00 -4.47 -7.17
2017
12.20 -0.65 15.00 0.00
2016
7.80 -4.52 7.31 -2.51
2015
-7.10 -9.47 -1.02 -6.05
2014
2.25 -5.17 6.15 -2.15
2013
9.20 -3.80 12.89 -2.80
2012
11.11 -6.84 11.74 -4.35
2011
0.04 -15.74 1.36 -9.65
2010
14.19 -9.36 11.88 -5.89
2009
22.28 -18.34 21.52 -11.06
2008
-31.26 -38.00 -18.62 -22.60
2007
8.59 -3.39 8.20 -2.71
2006
15.77 -2.05 12.10 -2.46
2005
11.34 -3.60 6.80 -2.45
2004
17.00 -5.89 10.27 -2.82
2003
28.11 -2.13 21.24 -1.84
2002
3.82 -5.15 -5.21 -10.16
2001
-8.45 -11.43 -2.83 -10.45
2000
12.26 -2.94 -1.46 -6.21
1999
17.97 -2.78 14.10 -2.41
1998
-0.93 -13.25 14.87 -7.97
1997
8.87 -3.23 14.53 -4.08
1996
19.40 -2.64 10.99 -2.45
1995
18.09 -1.03 22.46 -0.02
1994
0.77 -6.49 -0.46 -5.84
1993
11.51 -5.04 17.25 -2.24
1992
4.09 -3.09 4.97 -2.63
1991
17.33 -3.31 28.12 -3.00
1990
-1.70 -7.21 -1.02 -10.40
1989
20.35 -1.48 23.35 -0.80
1988
18.35 -1.99 14.65 -2.43
1987
10.95 -11.40 4.00 -15.26
1986
22.86 -3.01 21.58 -4.43
1985
26.65 -0.47 29.83 -1.40
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