Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin vs Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - July 2025 (~17 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 July 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
All Data
(2009/01 - 2025/07)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2009
11.89$
Final Capital
July 2025
16.10%
Yearly Return
33.06%
Std Deviation
-40.72%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2009
7.82$
Final Capital
July 2025
13.20%
Yearly Return
33.06%
Std Deviation
-41.34%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2009
4.67$
Final Capital
July 2025
9.73%
Yearly Return
11.33%
Std Deviation
-22.31%
Max Drawdown
26months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2009
3.07$
Final Capital
July 2025
6.99%
Yearly Return
11.33%
Std Deviation
-27.45%
Max Drawdown
39months
Recovery Period

As of July 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 16.10% compound annual return, with a 33.06% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -40.72% that required 29 months to be recovered.

As of July 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio obtained a 9.73% compound annual return, with a 11.33% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -22.31% that required 26 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
60.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
8.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VUG
Vanguard Growth
17.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
16.00
VTV
Vanguard Value
7.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
2.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
2.00
IJT
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth
9.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
9.00
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
7.00
MBB
iShares MBS
3.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
2.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
1.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Jul 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
All Data
(2009/01 - 2025/07)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 11.89 $ 1 088.92% 16.10%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 4.67 $ 366.57% 9.73%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 7.82 $ 681.56% 13.20%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 3.07 $ 206.71% 6.99%

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Return (%) as of Jul 31, 2025
YTD
(7M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~17Y)
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
7.42 0.62 5.37 11.70 7.14 9.69 16.10
https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_merrill_lynch.webp Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
8.93 0.82 6.58 12.27 9.20 8.55 9.73
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Jul 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 July 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 August 2024 - 31 July 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 August 2020 - 31 July 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 August 2015 - 31 July 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 31 July 2025 (~17 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
All (2009/01 - 2025/07)
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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Gyroscopic Investing Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 69%
Fixed Income 60% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.70 12.27
Infl. Adjusted (%) 8.91 9.46
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -1.70 -2.56
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -0.75 -2.23
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 7
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 4.76 7.69
Sharpe Ratio 1.50 1.01
Sortino Ratio 2.00 1.34
Ulcer Index 0.54 1.26
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.46 1.60
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 6.89 4.79
Metrics calculated over the period 1 August 2024 - 31 July 2025
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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Gyroscopic Investing Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 69%
Fixed Income 60% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.14 9.20
Infl. Adjusted (%) 2.55 4.52
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.75 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.75 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.90 12.01
Sharpe Ratio 0.56 0.54
Sortino Ratio 0.75 0.73
Ulcer Index 5.67 7.72
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.90 0.77
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.45 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 August 2020 - 31 July 2025
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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Gyroscopic Investing Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 69%
Fixed Income 60% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.69 8.55
Infl. Adjusted (%) 6.44 5.33
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.75 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.75 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.41 11.30
Sharpe Ratio 1.06 0.59
Sortino Ratio 1.52 0.79
Ulcer Index 4.11 6.02
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.31 0.76
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.62 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 August 2015 - 31 July 2025
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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Gyroscopic Investing Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 69%
Fixed Income 60% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.10 9.73
Infl. Adjusted (%) 13.20 6.99
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -40.72 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 29 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.13 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 47 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 33.06 11.33
Sharpe Ratio 0.45 0.76
Sortino Ratio 1.34 1.03
Ulcer Index 13.56 5.19
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.49 0.86
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.40 0.44
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 31 July 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 August 2015 - 31 July 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 31 July 2025 (~17 years)

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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-40.72 29 Jul 2011
Nov 2013
-23.13 47 Dec 2013
Oct 2017
-22.31 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-15.75 27 Nov 2021
Jan 2024
-14.29 7 Jan 2020
Jul 2020
-13.38 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.32 4 Jan 2009
Apr 2009
-9.25 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-8.54 14 Jun 2015
Jul 2016
-8.24 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-5.96 6 Apr 2012
Sep 2012
-5.90 5 Jan 2009
May 2009
-4.32 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-4.24 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-4.23 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 31 July 2025 (~17 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
7.42 -0.64 8.93 -2.56
2024
12.79 -2.60 13.17 -3.06
2023
14.50 -3.65 19.24 -8.08
2022
-12.91 -15.69 -17.08 -22.31
2021
7.04 -2.42 12.88 -3.28
2020
18.53 -4.32 16.02 -14.29
2019
15.90 -0.68 22.30 -4.24
2018
-2.37 -3.37 -5.68 -9.25
2017
35.50 -0.65 18.60 0.00
2016
7.70 -1.79 8.18 -3.80
2015
0.93 -2.42 -1.40 -7.75
2014
4.36 -1.80 6.31 -2.65
2013
130.41 -23.13 16.88 -2.57
2012
10.19 -1.94 13.59 -5.96
2011
35.50 -40.72 -0.71 -13.38
2010
18.32 -1.67 13.09 -8.24
2009
9.57 -5.90 26.40 -13.32
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