Period: January 1985 - September 2024 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Live Update: Oct 22 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
(Change Settings)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Live Update: Oct 22 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
October 1994
10.90$
Final Capital
September 2024
September 2024
8.29%
Yearly Return
11.13
Std Deviation
-38.23%
Max Drawdown
38 months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
January 1985
44.09$
Final Capital
September 2024
September 2024
9.99%
Yearly Return
11.27
Std Deviation
-38.23%
Max Drawdown
38 months
Recovery Period
Live update: October 2024 (USD)
-0.15%
1 day - Oct 22 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
-0.37%
Month - October 2024
The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio can be implemented with 12 ETFs. This portfolio has a high risk, indicating it can undergo considerable value changes. It is appropriate for investors with a high risk tolerance who are aiming for higher returns and can handle notable drawdowns.
The asset allocation is the following: 69% on the Stock Market, 31% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 31% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as high risk.
As of September 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio obtained a 8.29% compound annual return, with a 11.13% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -38.23% that required 38 months to be recovered.
Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information.
The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators.
Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
Table of contents
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Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
69% Stocks
31% Fixed Income
0% Commodities
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The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight (%) |
ETF Ticker |
ETF Currency |
ETF Name | Investment Themes (Orig.Currency) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.00 |
VUG
|
USD | Vanguard Growth | Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth (USD) |
| 17.00 |
VEU
|
USD | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap (USD) |
| 16.00 |
VTV
|
USD | Vanguard Value | Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value (USD) |
| 7.00 |
EEM
|
USD | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap (USD) |
| 2.00 |
IJS
|
USD | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value (USD) |
| 2.00 |
IJT
|
USD | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth | Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Growth (USD) |
| 9.00 |
IEI
|
USD | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD) |
| 9.00 |
LQD
|
USD | iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond | Bond, U.S., All-Term (USD) |
| 7.00 |
MBB
|
USD | iShares MBS | Bond, U.S., Long-Term (USD) |
| 3.00 |
HYG
|
USD | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD) |
| 2.00 |
BIL
|
USD | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term (USD) |
| 1.00 |
BNDX
|
USD | Vanguard Total International Bond | Bond, Developed Markets Ex-US, All-Term (USD) |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Sep 30, 2024
The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- rebalancing: at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
Live Update: Oct 22 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Sep 30, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Oct 2024 |
YTD
(9M) |
1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~40Y) |
|||
| Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio | -0.15 | -0.37 | 14.32 | 2.14 | 8.69 | 26.11 | 9.60 | 8.22 | 8.29 | 9.99 | |||
| Components | |||||||||||||
|
VUG
|
USD | Vanguard Growth | -0.02 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | 2.57 | 23.96 | 2.35 | 11.81 | 41.79 | 19.00 | 15.55 | 11.70 | 12.68 |
|
VEU
|
USD | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | -0.42 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -2.75 | 13.97 | 2.55 | 8.69 | 25.25 | 7.86 | 5.52 | 5.15 | 7.96 |
|
VTV
|
USD | Vanguard Value | -0.15 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | 0.74 | 18.88 | 1.53 | 8.44 | 29.75 | 12.24 | 10.77 | 9.87 | 11.10 |
|
EEM
|
USD | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | -0.22 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -0.79 | 14.84 | 5.74 | 12.41 | 23.98 | 4.68 | 3.22 | 4.90 | 8.92 |
|
IJS
|
USD | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | -0.42 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -0.89 | 5.90 | 0.92 | 5.83 | 22.60 | 9.22 | 8.89 | 10.52 | 11.86 |
|
IJT
|
USD | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth | -0.75 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -1.74 | 12.38 | 0.90 | 7.39 | 28.51 | 10.42 | 10.59 | 9.98 | 10.20 |
|
IEI
|
USD | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | -0.06 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -1.63 | 4.25 | 1.02 | 4.93 | 8.94 | 0.45 | 1.48 | 4.46 | 5.77 |
|
LQD
|
USD | iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond | -0.01 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -2.63 | 5.15 | 1.96 | 6.07 | 15.77 | 0.85 | 2.91 | 5.50 | 6.76 |
|
MBB
|
USD | iShares MBS | 0.03 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -2.15 | 4.51 | 0.94 | 5.71 | 12.11 | -0.07 | 1.27 | 4.07 | 5.31 |
|
HYG
|
USD | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond | -0.14 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -0.68 | 8.62 | 2.19 | 7.00 | 16.34 | 3.58 | 3.95 | 5.78 | 6.98 |
|
BIL
|
USD | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | 0.01 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | 0.29 | 3.97 | 0.42 | 2.65 | 5.36 | 2.18 | 1.49 | 2.29 | 3.14 |
|
BNDX
|
USD | Vanguard Total International Bond | -0.04 | 04:00PM, Oct 22 2024 | -0.44 | 3.40 | 1.25 | 3.41 | 10.23 | -0.18 | 2.15 | 5.14 | 6.60 |
| Returns over 1 year are annualized | |||||||||||||
| (*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York) | |||||||||||||
In 2023, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio granted a 2.71% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Sep 30, 2024
An investment of 1$, from October 1994 to September 2024,
would be worth 10.90$, with a total return of 989.60% (8.29% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 5.17$, with a net total return of 416.95% (5.63% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 5.17$, with a net total return of 416.95% (5.63% annualized).
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An investment of 1$, from January 1985 to September 2024,
would be worth 44.09$, with a total return of 4309.06% (9.99% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 14.78$, with a net total return of 1378.16% (7.01% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 14.78$, with a net total return of 1378.16% (7.01% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024
Metrics of Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio, updated as of 30 September 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.
These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- rebalancing: at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
YTD
(9M) |
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~40Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 14.32 | 2.14 | 6.00 | 8.69 | 26.11 | 5.84 | 9.60 | 8.22 | 8.09 | 8.29 | 9.99 |
| Growth of 1$ | 1.14 | 1.02 | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.58 | 2.20 | 4.74 | 10.90 | 44.09 |
| US Inflation (%) | 1.93 | 0.18 | 0.52 | 0.79 | 2.41 | 4.74 | 4.18 | 2.86 | 2.56 | 2.52 | 2.79 |
| Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | |||||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
|
Current | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | 0.00 | -3.06 | -22.31 | -22.31 | -22.31 | -38.23 | -38.23 | -38.23 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 2 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 38 | 38 | 38 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 22 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2024 05 | 2024 02 | 2024 02 | 2024 02 | 2010 12 | 2010 12 | 2010 12 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) | -2.28 |
same |
same |
same |
same |
-25.60 | -25.60 | ||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 2 | 41 | 41 | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2000 09 | 2000 09 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2023 11 | 2024 02 | 2024 02 | 2024 02 | 2010 12 | 2004 01 | 2004 01 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 2 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 53 | 110 | 110 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 03 | 2021 11 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2004 10 | 2000 01 | 2000 01 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2024 01 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | -4.60 | -0.08 | -0.40 | -0.40 | -1.18 | -0.21 | -0.21 | ||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -0.60 | -3.36 | -26.76 | -27.45 | -27.45 | -39.25 | -39.25 | -39.25 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 37* | 2 | 35 | 37* | 37* | 42 | 42 | 42 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2021 11 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2024 05 | 2024 09 | - | - | 2011 04 | 2011 04 | 2011 04 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) | -2.36 |
same |
same |
same |
same |
-29.53 | -29.53 | ||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 2 | 64 | 64 | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2021 11 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2000 04 | 2000 04 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 30 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 34 | 34 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2023 11 | 2024 09 | - | - | 2011 04 | 2005 07 | 2005 07 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 2 | 34 | 47 | 58 | 60 | 132 | 132 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 03 | 2021 10 | 2019 12 | 2017 12 | 2007 06 | 1998 03 | 1998 03 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2024 04 | 2024 07 | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2012 05 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | -8.46 | -0.19 | -0.32 | -0.17 | -0.09 | -0.21 | -0.21 | ||||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | |||||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 9.70 | 13.49 | 13.35 | 11.17 | 11.41 | 11.13 | 11.27 | ||||
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.14 | 0.18 | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.61 | ||||
| Sortino Ratio | 2.99 | 0.24 | 0.73 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.80 | ||||
| Ulcer Index | 1.06 | 9.84 | 8.01 | 6.08 | 8.30 | 8.51 | 7.73 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 2.69 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.89 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | 8.53 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.26 | ||||
| Positive Months (%) | 75.00 | 58.33 | 63.33 | 65.83 | 64.58 | 64.72 | 66.03 | ||||
| Positive Months | 9 | 21 | 38 | 79 | 155 | 233 | 315 | ||||
| Negative Months | 3 | 15 | 22 | 41 | 85 | 127 | 162 | ||||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 8.22 | 11.56 | 11.56 | 15.12 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 5.51 | 1.63 | 1.63 | ||||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 5.21 | 9.63 | 9.63 | 11.66 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 3.36 | -0.94 | -0.94 | ||||||||
|
TIMEFRAMES
|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |
| ··· As of Sep 2024 - Over the previous 30Y | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 44.52 | 21.00 | 17.63 | 11.56 | 8.58 | 8.29 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -32.30 | -8.55 | -1.13 | 1.63 | 5.27 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 79.6 | 89.5 | 99.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 41.48 | 18.17 | 14.90 | 9.63 | 6.17 | 5.63 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -32.30 | -10.74 | -3.67 | -0.94 | 3.12 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 74.4 | 78.4 | 92.3 | 98.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 4.57 | 7.00 | 8.64 | 14.05 | 10.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 5.90 | 9.31 | 11.90 | 21.73 | 16.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 6.76 | 10.79 | 14.00 | 29.37 | 20.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 8.15 | 13.20 | 17.41 | 31.08 | 22.76 | 3.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 79.95 | 27.34 | 17.07 | 9.41 | 5.81 | 7.27 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | 2.67 | 5.86 | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
| ··· All available data (Jan 1985 - Sep 2024) | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 44.52 | 21.00 | 20.42 | 15.12 | 12.27 | 10.58 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -32.30 | -8.55 | -1.13 | 1.63 | 5.27 | 7.46 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 82.1 | 92.3 | 99.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 41.48 | 18.17 | 16.17 | 11.66 | 8.97 | 7.64 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -32.30 | -10.74 | -3.67 | -0.94 | 3.12 | 4.81 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 76.8 | 83.9 | 94.4 | 98.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 4.50 | 6.72 | 8.01 | 11.24 | 7.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 5.85 | 9.06 | 11.32 | 19.33 | 14.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 6.72 | 10.56 | 13.44 | 27.53 | 20.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 8.13 | 13.00 | 16.90 | 29.81 | 21.90 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 79.95 | 27.34 | 17.07 | 9.41 | 5.81 | 6.70 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | 2.67 | 5.18 | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
- Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
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Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 September 2024
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Correlation values range between -1 and +1
- A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
- A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
- A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.
Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
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Rolling Returns
For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio: Rolling Returns
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio: Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1985 to September 2024.
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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT MODERATELY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
233 Positive Months (65%) - 127 Negative Months (35%)
315 Positive Months (66%) - 162 Negative Months (34%)
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Methodology
Returns, up to December 2013, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
Returns, up to December 2013, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
- Vanguard Growth (VUG), up to December 2004
- Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US (VEU), up to December 2007
- Vanguard Value (VTV), up to December 2004
- iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), up to December 2003
- iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (IJS), up to December 2000
- iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth (IJT), up to December 2000
- iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (IEI), up to December 2007
- iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond (LQD), up to December 2002
- iShares MBS (MBB), up to December 2007
- iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG), up to December 2007
- SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill (BIL), up to December 2007
- Vanguard Total International Bond (BNDX), up to December 2013
Portfolio efficiency
The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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In the following table, you can compare the current portfolio with a list of famous portfolios. Metrics are calculated over the last 30 Years.
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The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing