Gold Portfolio vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1871 - March 2025 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1871)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gold Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
7.31$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.86%
Yearly Return
15.66%
Std Deviation
-42.91%
Max Drawdown
107months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
3.46$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.22%
Yearly Return
15.66%
Std Deviation
-45.71%
Max Drawdown
158months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
125.43$
Final Capital
March 2025
3.18%
Yearly Return
12.68%
Std Deviation
-61.78%
Max Drawdown
319months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
4.90$
Final Capital
March 2025
1.04%
Yearly Return
12.68%
Std Deviation
-82.52%
Max Drawdown
542months
Recovery Period
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
17.02$
Final Capital
March 2025
9.91%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
8.05$
Final Capital
March 2025
7.20%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
415.2K$
Final Capital
March 2025
8.75%
Yearly Return
14.82%
Std Deviation
-79.29%
Max Drawdown
178months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
16.2K$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.49%
Yearly Return
14.82%
Std Deviation
-73.85%
Max Drawdown
86months
Recovery Period

As of March 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Gold Portfolio obtained a 6.86% compound annual return, with a 15.66% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -42.91% that required 107 months to be recovered.

As of March 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 9.91% compound annual return, with a 13.71% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -45.52% that required 42 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gold Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
100.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Warren Buffett Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
90.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Mar 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)
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Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2025
YTD
(3M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gold.webp Gold
-- Market Benchmark
19.00 9.45 18.55 40.06 14.25 9.75 6.86 3.18
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_warren_buffett.webp Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
-3.78 -5.16 -1.37 8.40 16.75 11.36 9.91 8.75
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2025

Gold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1995, now would be worth 7.31$, with a total return of 631.02% (6.86% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1995, now would be worth 17.02$, with a total return of 1601.84% (9.91% annualized).


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Gold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 125.43$, with a total return of 12442.93% (3.18% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 415213.82$, with a total return of 41521281.63% (8.75% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 March 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)
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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 40.06 8.40
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 36.79 5.87
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.49 -6.34
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.49 -6.34
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2*
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 6*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.76 11.13
Sharpe Ratio 2.99 0.31
Sortino Ratio 4.28 0.42
Ulcer Index 1.52 2.16
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.41 0.76
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 8.93 1.33
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025
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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 14.25 16.75
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 9.46 11.86
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 40 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 40 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.86 15.34
Sharpe Ratio 0.79 0.93
Sortino Ratio 1.18 1.26
Ulcer Index 6.97 7.92
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.96 1.09
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.79 0.73
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025
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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.75 11.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.47 8.03
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 40 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 40 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 42 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.03 13.92
Sharpe Ratio 0.57 0.69
Sortino Ratio 0.86 0.92
Ulcer Index 6.65 6.32
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.69 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.54 0.49
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025
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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.86 9.91
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.22 7.20
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -42.91 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 107 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -42.91 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 107 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 145 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.66 13.71
Sharpe Ratio 0.29 0.56
Sortino Ratio 0.43 0.73
Ulcer Index 20.47 12.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.44 0.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.16 0.22
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025
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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.18 8.75
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.04 6.49
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -61.78 -79.29
Start to Recovery (months) 319 178
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.20 -79.29
Start to Recovery (months) 685 178
Longest Negative Period (months) 744 181
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.68 14.82
Sharpe Ratio -0.06 0.32
Sortino Ratio -0.12 0.45
Ulcer Index 22.25 15.58
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.25 0.59
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.05 0.11
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)

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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-42.91 107 Sep 2011
Jul 2020
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-37.17 95 Feb 1996
Dec 2003
-25.83 15 Mar 2008
May 2009
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-18.08 40 Aug 2020
Nov 2023
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-8.64 10 Dec 2004
Sep 2005
-8.63 10 May 2006
Feb 2007
-8.37 6 Dec 2009
May 2010
-8.31 7 Apr 2004
Oct 2004

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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-79.29 178 Sep 1929
Jun 1944
-61.78 319 Oct 1980
Apr 2007
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-44.24 43 Jan 1975
Jul 1978
-42.91 107 Sep 2011
Jul 2020
-40.52 42 Jan 1973
Jun 1976
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-30.50 37 Apr 1876
Apr 1879
-30.14 26 Oct 1906
Nov 1908
-27.35 21 Sep 1987
May 1989
-26.19 28 Dec 1968
Mar 1971
-25.83 15 Mar 2008
May 2009
-25.03 29 Dec 1916
Apr 1919
-24.27 5 Feb 1980
Jun 1980
-23.47 30 Nov 1919
Apr 1922

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Gold Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
19.00 0.00 -3.78 -6.34
2024
26.66 -4.49 23.12 -3.67
2023
12.69 -7.22 24.86 -7.55
2022
-0.77 -15.91 -18.29 -23.08
2021
-4.15 -10.32 24.59 -4.32
2020
24.81 -10.12 19.19 -17.49
2019
17.86 -4.10 28.46 -5.73
2018
-1.94 -11.66 -3.84 -12.09
2017
12.81 -4.09 19.83 0.00
2016
8.03 -15.02 10.69 -4.87
2015
-10.67 -17.81 0.96 -7.73
2014
-2.19 -12.44 12.08 -2.97
2013
-28.33 -28.33 29.44 -2.62
2012
6.60 -10.45 14.59 -6.10
2011
9.57 -14.48 1.43 -15.04
2010
29.27 -5.09 14.55 -11.71
2009
24.03 -7.20 24.66 -16.03
2008
4.92 -25.83 -32.35 -33.45
2007
30.45 -4.20 6.30 -4.37
2006
22.55 -8.63 14.32 -2.48
2005
17.76 -4.91 5.58 -3.97
2004
4.65 -8.31 9.73 -2.96
2003
19.89 -8.88 25.87 -3.66
2002
25.57 -6.72 -19.13 -24.82
2001
0.75 -6.10 -10.04 -20.31
2000
-5.44 -9.93 -7.27 -11.55
1999
0.85 -11.47 19.15 -5.59
1998
-0.83 -12.01 26.49 -13.83
1997
-21.41 -21.41 30.52 -5.15
1996
-4.59 -8.95 21.03 -3.99
1995
0.98 -2.46 34.91 -0.25
1994
-2.17 -3.91 1.01 -6.47
1993
17.68 -11.51 9.53 -2.10
1992
-5.73 -6.97 7.36 -2.36
1991
-8.56 -10.05 28.35 -4.14
1990
-3.11 -15.14 -2.00 -12.77
1989
-2.84 -12.30 29.38 -2.30
1988
-15.26 -18.05 15.17 -3.40
1987
24.53 -1.97 4.71 -27.35
1986
18.96 -8.14 17.29 -7.59
1985
6.00 -6.67 29.49 -3.46
1984
-19.38 -21.80 6.99 -6.07
1983
-16.31 -23.52 19.96 -3.02
1982
14.94 -20.13 21.09 -7.70
1981
-32.60 -32.60 -3.26 -10.93
1980
15.19 -24.27 29.60 -8.82
1979
126.55 -4.46 17.05 -6.17
1978
37.01 -20.28 5.62 -8.58
1977
22.64 -4.00 -6.77 -10.10
1976
-4.10 -25.85 22.58 -1.97
1975
-24.80 -25.92 34.14 -11.01
1974
66.15 -16.62 -23.54 -30.75
1973
72.96 -20.49 -14.10 -15.10
1972
49.02 -6.88 17.45 -1.74
1971
16.70 -3.48 13.67 -7.10
1970
6.16 -1.56 4.95 -17.25
1969
-16.07 -19.25 -7.28 -9.56
1968
18.16 -7.38 10.36 -5.60
1967
0.28 0.00 21.92 -4.49
1966
-0.28 -0.28 -8.57 -14.09
1965
0.42 0.00 11.37 -4.53
1964
0.28 0.00 15.12 -1.23
1963
-0.28 -0.28 20.68 -2.38
1962
-0.42 -0.42 -7.50 -19.86
1961
-2.74 -2.74 24.37 -2.49
1960
3.55 0.00 1.29 -6.95
1959
0.00 0.00 10.87 -5.10
1958
0.00 0.00 39.17 -1.46
1957
0.14 0.00 -9.21 -12.91
1956
0.14 0.00 6.10 -6.96
1955
-0.28 -0.28 28.33 -2.43
1954
-0.70 -0.70 47.42 -2.78
1953
-8.27 -8.27 -0.68 -8.07
1952
-3.25 -3.25 16.84 -3.31
1951
-0.62 -0.62 22.18 -4.95
1950
-0.62 -0.62 27.56 -4.82
1949
-3.57 -3.57 16.43 -4.20
1948
-2.33 -2.33 4.72 -9.37
1947
12.42 0.00 4.83 -5.40
1946
2.68 0.00 -7.24 -19.89
1945
2.76 0.00 32.94 -3.82
1944
-0.68 -0.68 17.83 -1.51
1943
2.82 0.00 23.35 -8.12
1942
0.00 0.00 19.04 -10.12
1941
2.90 0.00 -10.47 -12.57
1940
-1.43 -1.43 -8.93 -21.91
1939
0.00 0.00 -0.71 -14.33
1938
0.00 0.00 30.06 -22.24
1937
0.00 0.00 -31.63 -35.23
1936
0.00 0.00 29.65 -6.77
1935
0.00 0.00 42.64 -8.74
1934
8.29 0.00 -1.85 -18.67
1933
56.36 0.00 47.84 -17.61
1932
0.00 0.00 -7.22 -40.36
1931
0.00 0.00 -39.39 -47.83
1930
0.00 0.00 -22.03 -33.22
1929
0.00 0.00 -7.44 -30.51
1928
0.00 0.00 39.15 -3.41
1927
0.00 0.00 33.87 -3.63
1926
0.00 0.00 10.43 -8.30
1925
0.00 0.00 26.87 -5.61
1924
0.00 0.00 23.76 -3.57
1923
0.00 0.00 4.17 -12.09
1922
0.00 0.00 25.52 -4.09
1921
0.00 0.00 14.22 -7.26
1920
0.00 0.00 -17.37 -17.55
1919
0.00 0.00 19.03 -6.76
1918
0.00 0.00 23.53 -2.81
1917
0.00 0.00 -22.57 -22.57
1916
0.00 0.00 8.31 -3.17
1915
0.00 0.00 32.47 -1.72
1914
0.00 0.00 -2.69 -16.94
1913
0.00 0.00 -8.10 -9.68
1912
0.00 0.00 7.42 -3.53
1911
0.00 0.00 5.58 -8.31
1910
0.00 0.00 -6.56 -12.23
1909
0.00 0.00 17.29 -2.20
1908
0.00 0.00 41.02 -2.76
1907
0.00 0.00 -26.28 -29.55
1906
0.00 0.00 6.52 -5.84
1905
0.00 0.00 17.87 -5.03
1904
0.00 0.00 28.41 -2.12
1903
0.00 0.00 -12.70 -20.83
1902
0.00 0.00 4.74 -7.42
1901
0.00 0.00 24.93 -5.95
1900
0.00 0.00 10.87 -6.21
1899
0.00 0.00 8.97 -5.80
1898
0.00 0.00 21.34 -5.52
1897
0.00 0.00 15.72 -5.41
1896
0.00 0.00 2.13 -11.61
1895
0.00 0.00 4.21 -8.87
1894
0.00 0.00 2.30 -5.30
1893
0.00 0.00 -13.61 -22.56
1892
0.00 0.00 5.62 -2.01
1891
0.00 0.00 21.07 -2.84
1890
0.00 0.00 -8.74 -14.28
1889
0.00 0.00 7.15 -2.07
1888
0.00 0.00 2.28 -3.19
1887
0.00 0.00 -1.95 -9.29
1886
0.00 0.00 11.65 -3.90
1885
0.00 0.00 24.10 -1.67
1884
0.00 0.00 -11.59 -13.08
1883
0.00 0.00 -2.16 -5.03
1882
0.00 0.00 2.42 -5.39
1881
0.00 0.00 7.13 -5.89
1880
0.00 0.00 22.34 -8.26
1879
-0.10 -0.10 44.89 -0.91
1878
-2.64 -2.64 10.78 -1.28
1877
-4.71 -4.71 -3.06 -18.64
1876
-5.27 -5.27 -10.41 -14.59
1875
1.95 0.00 2.65 -4.05
1874
1.54 0.00 9.72 -4.25
1873
-1.94 -1.94 -5.05 -15.65
1872
2.66 0.00 12.20 -2.37
1871
-1.27 -1.27 11.39 -4.36
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